Archive for July, 2009

College Football Radio Shows

July 31st, 2009 No comments

I have now done over 200 radio shows so far this year and will end up doing between 300 and 400 by the end of the season. Since I do a lot of local shows the questions asked sometimes give me a little more insight to the local teams and I’ve learned some new things. A few weeks back I started jotting down some interesting things that I have learned from my radio show interviews and here they are. Read more…

Top Performances of 2004

July 30th, 2009 No comments

At the end of the 2008 season we devised a formula which plugged in the stats from the just completed season and then factored in the opponents and the site the game was played and came up with an individual team power rating for each game. I was very pleased that the formula did indeed assign a true power rating for each game and it was highly accurate. All you have to do is look at the Top 10 performances of 2008 and you will see how accurate. Check out my blog on Tuesday June 23rd. Read more…

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Attention All FCS Fans!

July 29th, 2009 No comments

The season is getting closer and I am very proud of the ACC/Big East Regional magazine which has more information on the FCS (1AA) than any other magazine out there in the country! The ACC/Big East Regional has ONE HUNDRED AND THIRTY SIX PAGES ON THE FCS! It has a complete HALF page on every FCS team. Here is an actual page from this years magazine. Read more…

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My Most Improved NFL Teams

July 28th, 2009 No comments

Thank you for all the comments and the positive feedback on my NFL blogs. While you know I spend the majority of my time on College Football, most of you are also NFL fans and it shows by the number of reply’s I’ve received.

I’ve written blogs on most of the categories I use to determine if a team will be improved or not and today I will share my results of my most improved NFL team. As you read on let me clarify that the most improved team does not mean the most wins or the most wins compared to last year but instead it represents the NFL team that will play better than last year. Below I list my most improved teams heading into the 2008 season. It was a historic rise for the Miami Dolphins and I was proud to have them pegged as Phil Steele’s 2008 Most Improved NFL team as they went from 1 win in 2007 to 11 wins in 2008. This year my most improved team is the Detroit Lions and while I don’t think they will come close to Miami’s success, they will play at the most improved level. Last season they lost 13 of their 16 games by a TD or more and lost 7 games by 18 points or more. They were also outscored by 15.6 ppg and outgained by 136 ypg. Read more…

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FBS Career Starts Returning

July 27th, 2009 No comments

Here is something that I posted last year on the website – the career starts returning broken down for each team. Last year if you took the bottom 14 teams in terms of career starts returning, 9 of the 14 teams did not go to a bowl game in 2008. There were 8 teams that had less than 185 career starts returning and of those 8 only two got to a bowl game and they were Air Force and Georgia Tech who had both been in bowls the previous year. The other 6 did not get to a bowl and that included Michigan which had a streak of 40 straight non-losing seasons snapped and 3 other teams have a new head coach this year after a bad 2008 season.

There were 12 teams last year that had OVER 325 career starts returning and of those 12, 9 made it to a bowl game. The teams in the over 325 career starts category that made the biggest strides were Northern Illinois (2-10 to a bowl), Ball St (7-6 to unbeaten regular season), Rice (3-9 to 10-3), and Buffalo (5-7 to MAC Champs). Of the 3 teams that did not go to a bowl ULM was #1 in the country in starts lost to injury (54) which took away a lot of their experience, Wisconsin was #3 in starts lost to injury with 48 and Temple improved their record despite losing their starting QB for 3 key starts and they came up 1 game short of bowl eligibility.
Read more…

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College Football Hall of Fame

July 25th, 2009 No comments

Last weekend the National Football Foundation had their Hall of Fame Festival at the College football Hall of Fame with their 2009 class of 21 players and coaches to the College Football Hall of Fame. First of all I would like to let you know that I am honored to be a voting member of this fine organization. I am going to do my best to make it to New York for the December 8th enshrinement dinner. Here is a little background on the NFF. Read more…

How Important Are Injuries In The NFL?

July 24th, 2009 No comments

I’ve been using my daily blogs to share what goes into my division forecasts for the NFL. Today I would like to analyze starters lost in the NFL and just how important it really is.

The chart below is how many starts were lost by each NFL team over the past 3 seasons. I would like to thank Rich Gosselin of the Dallas Morning News for these numbers as we use his totals to be consistent from one season to another. The green blocks represent a top 5 number meaning the fewest injuries lost in a season or the 3 year total while the red number indicates being in the NFL’s bottom 5. Each lost start represents a game missed by a starter. For example when NE’s QB Tom Brady was injured in the opening game he would represent 15 of NE’s 64 starts lost. The chart to the left are starts lost for the last 3 seasons and a 3 year total. The chart on the right represents a teams number of wins. Read more…

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Final Fan Votes

July 23rd, 2009 No comments


Last year I put up a poll for everyone to pick who would win each conference game during the year. I found these results fascinating prior to the year. When you vote in the poll, it tabulates the current % of votes for each team in each individual game. Here are the results of the fan poll from 2008 (PDF). Read more…

NFL’s Toughest Schedule in 2009

July 22nd, 2009 No comments

I continue to do my onslaught of radio shows which occupies a good portion of my days during the end of July. As you know I’ve always spent about 90% of my time on college football but I am very excited about our NFL Magazine. I have the same desire to mirror my success of being college footballs “most accurate” magazine by becoming the most accurate NFL Magazine as well. In this years magazine (which is now available) I project each of the division races with records. I want to share just how much work and research goes into making these forecasts. Read more…

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NFL Magazines are Here!

July 21st, 2009 No comments

It is finally here and ready for the 2009 season. Phil Steele’s Pro Preview magazine is out. This is the very first year that I have produced a full color NFL magazine with SIX full pages on all 32 NFL teams.

This year I set the target of 6 pages for each NFL team. With all my attention on the College Magazine from December 1 thru the middle of May when we sent that magazine off to the presses I had no idea what these 6 pages would look like. Read more…

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