Week 5 Picks for Every FBS Game
For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on every game that involves a FBS team.
I list the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games. If you check out my daily blogs on July 30th, July 20th, July 15th, etc, you will see that I have developed a new power rating which takes the yards and points gained against an opponent and factors in that opponents grade to give a team an individual game rating.
Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them! Here are the selections for the 5th Saturday of college Football
|
|
PHIL STEELE |
Computer PTS |
Computer Yards |
Weekly Poll |
+ / - |
Vegas |
|
| VA Tech at Duke |
VT |
VT |
VT |
VT |
VT |
VT |
|
| VT 34-26 |
by 17 |
36-13 |
419-301 |
97% |
by 22 |
by 16.5 |
|
| Mich at Michigan St |
Mich |
Mich St |
Mich St |
Mich |
Mich St |
Mich St |
|
| MSU 26-20 (OT) |
by 4 |
30-29 |
429-333 |
59% |
by 1.75 |
by 2.5 |
|
| Clem at Maryland |
Clem |
Clem |
Clem |
Clem |
Clem |
Clem |
|
| Maryland 24-21 |
by 24 |
32-13 |
383-297 |
93% |
by 16 |
by 13 |
|
| Wisc at Minnesota |
Minn |
Wisc |
Minn |
Wisc |
Minn |
Minn |
|
| Wisc 31-28 |
by 1 |
27-26 |
422-348 |
83% |
by 5 |
by 3 |
|
| UVA at N Car |
NC |
NC |
NC |
NC |
NC |
NC |
|
| UVA 16-3 |
by 14 |
25-10 |
329-218 |
90% |
by 12.5 |
by 12.5 |
|
| USF at Syracuse |
USF |
USF |
USF |
USF |
USF |
USF |
|
| USF 34-20 |
by 24 |
31-14 |
396-284 |
80% |
by 13.75 |
by 6.5 |
|
| E Car at Marshall |
Marsh |
Marsh |
Marsh |
E Car |
E Car |
E Car |
|
| E Carolina 21-17 |
by 7 |
23-22 |
374-353 |
67% |
by 1.5 |
by 2.5 |
|
| Tulane at Army |
Army |
Army |
Army |
Army |
Army |
Army |
|
| Tulane 17-16 |
by 7 |
26-18 |
346-281 |
53% |
by 11.5 |
by 6.5 |
|
| Toledo at Ball St |
Toledo |
Toledo |
Toledo |
Toledo |
Toledo |
Toledo |
|
| Toledo 37-30 |
by 10 |
34-28 |
471-344 |
76% |
by 10 |
by 4.5 |
|
| N’western at Purdue |
Purdue |
Purdue |
Purdue |
Purdue |
Purdue |
Purdue |
|
| N’Western 27-21 |
by 10 |
34-22 |
427-313 |
69% |
by 9 |
by 7 |
|
| Arkansas St at Iowa |
Iowa |
Iowa |
Iowa |
Iowa |
Iowa |
Iowa |
|
| Iowa 24-21 |
by 28 |
34-7 |
440-200 |
100% |
by 34.25 |
by 21 |
|
| Bama at Kentucky |
Bama |
Bama |
Bama |
Bama |
Bama |
Bama |
|
| Bama 38-20 |
by 14 |
31-16 |
383-244 |
97% |
by 16.25 |
by 16 |
|
| Cincy at Mia (OH) |
Cincy |
Cincy |
Cincy |
Cincy |
Cincy |
Cincy |
|
| Cincy 37-13 |
by 42 |
46-11 |
436-384 |
100% |
by 33 |
by 28.5 |
|
| Temple at E Mich |
Temple |
Temple |
E Mich |
Temple |
Temple |
Temple |
|
| Temple 24-12 |
by 20 |
30-22 |
356-329 |
57% |
by 7 |
by 6 |
|
| Kan St at Iowa St |
K-St |
K-St |
K-St |
K-St |
K-St |
Iowa St |
|
| K-St 24-23 |
by 10 |
28-22 |
433-344 |
55% |
by 0.5 |
by 3 |
|
| LSU at Georgia |
Georgia |
Georgia |
Georgia |
LSU |
Georgia |
Georgia |
|
| LSU 20-13 |
by 7 |
32-27 |
427-285 |
52% |
by 6.75 |
by 3 |
|
| Penn St at Illinois |
Penn St |
Penn St |
Illinois |
Penn St |
Penn St |
Penn St |
|
| Penn St 35-17 |
by 7 |
26-20 |
394-358 |
93% |
by 10.5 |
by 7 |
|
| UCLA at Stanford |
UCLA |
Stanford |
Stanford |
Stanford |
Stanford |
Stanford |
|
| Stanford 24-16 |
by 1 |
24-21 |
351-311 |
66% |
by 2.5 |
by 5 |
|
| Wash at Notre Dame |
ND |
ND |
ND |
ND |
ND |
ND |
|
| ND 37-30 (OT) |
by 10 |
31-17 |
477-313 |
57% |
by 14 |
by 12.5 |
|
| Fla St at Boston Coll |
BC |
BC |
BC |
Fla St |
BC |
Fla St |
|
| BC 28-21 |
by 1 |
24-23 |
342-318 |
72% |
by 2.25 |
by 4 |
|
| NCSt at Wake |
WF |
WF |
WF |
NCSt |
NCSt |
WF |
|
| Wake 30-24 |
by 1 |
25.4-25 |
414-358 |
69% |
by 3.5 |
by 1.5 |
|
| C Mich at Buffalo |
C Mich |
C Mich |
C Mich |
C Mich |
C Mich |
C Mich |
|
| CM 20-13 |
by 14 |
35-21 |
361-346 |
90% |
by 10.5 |
by 7.5 |
|
| Memphis at UCF |
UCF |
UCF |
UCF |
UCF |
UCF |
UCF |
|
| UCF 32-14 |
by 3 |
23-17 |
329-308 |
55% |
by 10.75 |
by 7 |
|
| Air Force at Navy |
Navy |
AF |
AF |
Navy |
Navy |
Navy |
|
| Navy 16-13 (OT) |
by 1 |
26-23 |
358-349 |
53% |
4.75 |
by 2.5 |
|
| W Mich at N Illinois |
N ILL |
N ILL |
N ILL |
N ILL |
N ILL |
N ILL |
|
| N Illinois 38-3 |
by 3 |
27-20 |
422-358 |
53% |
by 9.25 |
by 6.5 |
|
| N Mex at Tex Tech |
TT |
TT |
TT |
TT |
TT |
TT |
|
| TT 48-28 |
by 46 |
43-3 |
535-192 |
97% |
by 42.5 |
by 35 |
|
| Florida Int’l at ULM |
ULM |
ULM |
ULM |
FIU |
ULM |
ULM |
|
| ULM 48-35 |
by 10 |
31-24 |
411-316 |
66% |
by 4.75 |
by 6 |
|
| Ohio at BG |
Ohio |
Ohio |
BG |
BG |
BG |
BG |
|
| Ohio 44-37 |
by 7 |
25-22 |
369-361 |
83% |
by 4.25 |
by 3 |
|
| Wyom at FAU |
FAU |
FAU |
FAU |
Wyoming |
FAU |
FAU |
|
| WY 30-28 |
by 14 |
22.1-22 |
447-325 |
53% |
by 1.5 |
by 3.5 |
|
| UNLV at Nevada |
Nevada |
Nevada |
Nevada |
Nevada |
Nevada |
Nevada |
|
| Nevada 63-28 |
by 1 |
32-27 |
497-353 |
80% |
by 3 |
by 4.5 |
|
| #9 Ohio St at Indy |
Ohio St |
Ohio St |
Ohio St |
Ohio St |
Ohio St |
Ohio St |
|
| OSU 33-14 |
by 28 |
29-8 |
360-225 |
90% |
by 26 |
by 17 |
|
| #21 Miss at Vandy |
Miss |
Miss |
Miss |
Miss |
Miss |
Miss |
|
| Miss 23-7 |
by 17 |
24-11 |
346-291 |
100% |
by 15.5 |
by 8 |
|
| Oregon St at Ariz St |
Az St |
Az St |
Az St |
Oreg St |
AZ St |
Az St |
|
| Oreg St 28-17 |
by 4 |
26-16 |
327-268 |
59% |
by 8.25 |
by 4.5 |
|
| Kent St at Baylor |
Baylor |
Baylor |
Baylor |
Baylor |
Baylor |
Baylor |
|
| Baylor 31-15 |
by 35 |
38-14 |
492-218 |
87% |
by 28 |
by 21 |
|
| S Car St at S Carolina |
S Car |
S Car |
S Car |
S Car |
S Car |
S Car |
|
| S Car 38-14 |
by 28 |
38-5 |
526-119 |
100% |
by 39 |
by 37 |
|
| GA Tech at Miss St |
GT |
GT |
GT |
GT |
GT |
GT |
|
| GA Tech 42-31 |
by 10 |
28-21 |
361-349 |
90% |
by 6 |
by 5.5 |
|
| Texas A&M vs Ark |
Ark |
Tex A&M |
Ark |
Ark |
|
Ark |
|
| Ark 47-19 |
by 7 |
35-31 |
472-423 |
60% |
Even |
by 1 |
|
| Tulsa at Rice |
Tulsa |
Tulsa |
Tulsa |
Tulsa |
Tulsa |
Tulsa |
|
| Tulsa 27-10 |
by 21 |
41-20 |
451-326 |
93% |
by 14.25 |
by 16 |
|
| Aub at Tenn |
Tenn |
Tenn |
Tenn |
Aub |
Tenn |
Tenn |
|
| Auburn 26-22 |
by 3 |
33-28 |
407-305 |
62% |
by 7.5 |
by 2 |
|
| UC Davis at Boise |
Boise |
Boise |
Boise |
Boise |
Boise |
Boise |
|
| Boise 34-16 |
by 49 |
50-3 |
568-162 |
100% |
by 53 |
by 43 |
|
| USC at California |
Cal |
USC |
USC |
USC |
Cal |
USC |
|
| USC 30-3 |
by 3 |
26-23 |
370-332 |
57% |
by 3.5 |
by 4.5 |
|
| Okla at Miami (FL) |
Mia Fla |
Okla |
Okla |
Okla |
Okla |
Okla |
|
| Miaim 21-20 |
by 1 |
30-20 |
378-324 |
70% |
by 18.5 |
by 7.5 |
|
| SMU at TCU |
TCU |
TCU |
TCU |
TCU |
TCU |
TCU |
|
| TCU 39-14 |
by 17 |
37-11 |
502-250 |
100% |
by 31 |
by 28 |
|
| NMSt at SDSt |
SDSt |
SDSt |
SDSt |
SDSt |
SDSt |
SDSt |
|
| SDSt 34-17 |
by 28 |
31-15 |
431-236 |
73% |
by 14 |
by 17 |
|
| Houston at UTEP |
Houston |
Houston |
Houston |
Houston |
Houston |
Houston |
|
| UTEP 58-41 |
by 3 |
45-27 |
548-399 |
97% |
by 16.5 |
by 15.5 |
|
| Wash St at #16 Oreg |
Oreg |
Oreg |
Oreg |
Oreg |
Oreg |
Oreg |
|
| Oregon 52-6 |
by 28 |
42-11 |
525-230 |
97% |
by 33.25 |
by 32.5 |
|
| Colo St at Idaho |
Idaho |
Colo St |
Colo St |
Colo St |
Colo St |
Colo St |
|
| Idaho 31-29 |
by 3 |
29-27 |
371-369 |
73% |
by 5.75 |
by 3 |


