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Week 7 Picks for Every FBS Game

October 16th, 2009 Leave a comment Go to comments

For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on every game that involves an FBS team.

I list the projected scores from my computer’s forecast. Another column shows you the computer’s yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus/Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games. If you check out my daily blogs on July 30th, July 20th, July 15th, etc, you will see that I have developed a new power rating which takes the yards and points gained against an opponent and factors in that opponents grade to give a team an individual game rating.

Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them! Here are the selections for the 7th Saturday of college Football!

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 17TH

PHIL STEELE

Computer PTS

Computer Yards

Weekly Poll

+ / -

Vegas
Arkansas at Florida
Florida 23-20		 Florida
by 28		 Florida
37-14		 Florida
525-250		 Florida
81%		 Florida
by 28.25		 Florida
by 24.5
S Carolina at Alabama Bama Bama Bama Bama Bama Bama
Bama 20-6 by 21 30-9 392-173 83% by 21.25 by 17
Oklahoma vs. Texas Texas Texas Texas Texas Texas Texas
Texas 16-13 by 6 27-24 360-350 65% by 2 by 3.5
Ohio State at Purdue OSU OSU Purdue OSU OSU OSU
Purdue 26-18 by 24 29-11 297-283 97% by 21 by 13.5
Iowa at Wisconsin Wisc Wisc Wisc Iowa Iowa Wisc
Iowa 20-10 by 1 27-24 410-295 80% by 2.75 by 2.5
Louisville at Connecticut Conn Conn Conn Conn Conn Conn
Conn 38-25 by 3 32-14 382-308 83% by 17.25 by 13
N’western at Michigan St Mich St Mich St Mich St Mich St Mich St Mich St
Mich St 24-14 by 10 29-13 414-233 90% by 12.75 by 13.5
Delaware St at Michigan Mich Mich Mich Mich Mich Mich
Mich 63-6 by 45 45-0 564-86 100% by 50 by 36
Wake Forest at Clemson Clem Clem Clem Clem Clem Clem
Clemson 38-3 by 20 25-18 397-320 59% by 3 by 7
Bowling Green at Ball State BSU BG BG BG BG BG
BG 31-17 by 3 31-30 426-359 79% by 1 by 3
Georgia at Vanderbilt Georgia Georgia Georgia Georgia Georgia Georgia
UGA 34-10 by 21 25-19 356-316 93% by 7.5 by 7.5
Miss St at Middle Tenn Mid Tenn Mid Tenn Mid Tenn Miss St Mid Tenn Miss St
Miss St 27-6 by 1 26.1-25.5 420-385 100% by 1 by 4.5
Army at Temple Temple Temple Temple Army Temple Temple
Temple 27-13 by 13 20-7 296-204 66% by 12.25 by 10
UAB at Mississippi Miss Miss Miss Miss Miss Miss
Ole Miss 48-13 by 28 35-12 501-254 100% by 26 by 22
Miami (OH) at Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio
Ohio 28-7 by 24 34-11 389-316 62% by 19.25 by 13.5
Wyoming at Air Force AF AF AF AF AF AF
Air Force 10-0 by 14 25-12 364-258 79% by 13.75 by 10.5
Nevada at Utah State Nevada Nevada Nevada Nevada Nevada Nevada
Nevada 35-32 by 3 38-25 473-434 83% by 6.5 by 8
USC at Notre Dame USC USC USC USC USC USC
USC 34-27 by 10 27-19 438-387 83% by 12 by 10
Minnesota at Penn State Penn St
 Penn St Penn St Penn St Penn St Penn St
Penn St 20-0 by 24 33-14 480-237 87% by 17.5 by 17
Texas Tech at Nebraska Neb Neb Neb Neb Neb Neb
TT 31-10 by 21 36-22 445-337 93% by 12.5 by 10.5
California at UCLA UCLA UCLA UCLA Cal UCLA Cal
Cal 45-26 by 1 23-19 322-283 62% by 0.25 by 3.5
NC State at Boston College BC BC BC BC BC BC
BC 52-20 by 3 32-25 342-308 62% by 1.25 by 2.5
Rice at East Carolina E Car E Car E Car E Car E Car E Car
E Car 49-13 by 27 39-16 444-253 100% by 15.5 by 17.5
Marshall at West Virginia WV WV WV WV WV WV
WV 24-7 by 17 29-15 457-240 100% by 16.5 by 21
Akron at Buffalo Buff Buff Buff Buff Buff Buff
Buffalo 21-17 by 7 28-19 439-323 67% by 10.5 by 8.5
Houston at Tulane Houston Houston Houston Houston Houston Houston
Houston 44-16 by 14 45-23 579-416 100% by 23.75 by 17
C Mich at W Mich C Mich C Mich C Mich C Mich C Mich C Mich
CM 34-23 by 10 30-22 401-389 83% by 13.75 by 6.5
Colorado State at TCU TCU TCU TCU TCU TCU TCU
TCU 44-6 by 21 35-11 457-240 93% by 22.5 by 22
Virginia at Maryland Virginia Virginia Virginia Virginia Virginia Virginia
UVA 20-9 by 3 30-22 358-337 64% by 4 by 3.5
Kent St at E Mich Kent St Kent St E Mich Kent St E Mich Kent St
Kent St 28-6 by 5 28-27 421-354 52% by 1 by 7
Hawaii at Idaho Idaho Idaho Idaho Idaho Idaho Idaho
Idaho 35-23 by 21 33-27 456-409 57% by 9.25 by 9.5
Virg Tech at GA Tech VT VT GT VT VT VT
GT 28-23 by 7 31-30 444-373 81% by 7.25 by 3
BYU at San Diego St BYU BYU BYU BYU BYU BYU
BYU 38-28 by 21 40-17 441-291 100% by 27.5 by 17
Stanford at Arizona AZ AZ AZ Stan AZ AZ
Ariz 43-38 by 8 29-28 424-316 60% by 0.25 by 4.5
NMSt at LA Tech LA Tech LA Tech LA Tech LA Tech LA Tech LA Tech
LA Tech 45-7 by 7 28-10 399-233 83% by 22 by 20
Kansas at Colorado Colorado Kansas Colorado Kansas Kansas Kansas
Colorado 34-30 by 4 30-26 404-373 89% by 7.5 by 9.5
Baylor at Iowa St Baylor Iowa St Iowa St Baylor Baylor Iowa St
ISU 24-10 by 1 30-29 474-418 66% by 3.5 by 2.5
Illinois at Indiana Illinois Illinois Illinois Illinois Illinois Illinois
Indy 27-14 by 17 29-26 411-399 72% by 3.75 by 2
Louisiana at WKU UL UL UL UL UL UL
UL 30-22 by 14 30-21 401-324 72% by 7 by 7.5
FAU at North Texas FAU NT NT FAU NT NT
FAU 44-40 by 3 32-31 491-411 66% by 0.5 by 2
Troy at FIU Troy Troy Troy Troy Troy Troy
Troy 42-33 by 14 32-22 466-326 86% by 7.5 by 9.5
Texas A&M at Kansas S K-St A&M A&M A&M A&M A&M
K-St 62-14 by 7 31-29 438-397 80% by 3 by 5.5
Memphis at Southern Miss S Miss S Miss S Miss S Miss S Miss S Miss
SM 26-16 by 21 32-22 502-318 86% by 11 by 14
N  Illinois at Toledo Toledo N Ill Toledo N Ill N Ill N Ill
Toledo 20-19 by 7 38-28 472-345 62% by 2.5 by 4.5
Miami (FL) at UCF Miami Miami Miami Miami Miami Miami
Miami 27-7 by 21 28-14 355-280 93% by 18 by 14
Kentucky at Auburn Aub Aub Aub Aub Aub Aub
UK 21-14 by 21 36-27 457-343 90% by 7.25 by 13.5
Navy at SMU SMU Navy Navy Navy Navy Navy
Navy 38-35 (OT) by 7 31-24 376-346 83% by 10 by 8
Washington at Ariz St Wash Az St Az St Wash Az St Az St
Az St 24-17 by 1 23-21 357-293 75% by 6.25 by 6.5
Missouri at Okla St Okla St Okla St Okla St Okla St Okla St Okla St
OKSt 33-17 by 17 31-26 437-343 57% by 7 by 7
San Jose St at Fresno St Fresno Fresno Fresno Fresno Fresno Fresno
Fresno 41-21 by 17 37-12 497-263 93% by 21 by 19.5
Utah at UNLV Utah Utah Utah Utah Utah Utah
Utah 35-15 by 4 37-21 481-319 97% by 20 by 16.5
YTD TOTALS (pre 10/17) 247-85 261-70 255-77 258-73 256-75 257-72
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  • V

    in this interactive blog, the tag misspells Mr. Steele’s last name. do not let that detract from the excellent content – pls fix.

  • jasonpointer

    No where else to put this, but how do you have Mark Ingram for Alabama as a fourth team all-american running back. He might not have the gaudiest statistics, but he is also splitting time with some other great backs–unlike other backs who get more carries and are able to rack up yards in conferences with weaker defenses. Furthermore, how can you put Dexter McCluster as 3rd team all-sec wide receiver when he is not even the best wide receiver on his team?

  • http://www.philsteele.com Phil Steele

    Where are you looking V?

  • Gus

    Phil – think you need to give Uconn a little more respect as to players talent. You seem to think Uconn does better than you expect due to coaching, think not so much, more so the talent is better than you think. Not saying top 25 team, but the upset special vs. Ohio, the get killed by Baylor, the squeak by a weak Louisville team – seem to keep hoping Uconn fails to back up you # 73 magazine prediction; while you vastly over rated Rutgers who into the season had no quarterback and lost all their big time receivers. I'd say thought preseason Uconn and Rutgers pretty similar with Uconn actually a little better and still see it that way. You actually had Louisville ranked preseason ahead of Uconn – wow! Think you really need to watch BE games more (not just turn them on, but actually watch). Would put Uconn in top 5 of BE and those top 5 are all potentially top 35 with a couple maybe top 10. Don't believe all that VHT stuff, otherwise Notre Dame would be 12-0 and not beating average teams in the last minute.

  • Gus

    Phil – think you need to give Uconn a little more respect as to players talent. You seem to think Uconn does better than you expect due to coaching, think not so much, more so the talent is better than you think. Not saying top 25 team, but the upset special vs. Ohio, the get killed by Baylor, the squeak by a weak Louisville team – seem to keep hoping Uconn fails to back up you # 73 magazine prediction; while you vastly over rated Rutgers who into the season had no quarterback and lost all their big time receivers. I'd say thought preseason Uconn and Rutgers pretty similar with Uconn actually a little better and still see it that way. You actually had Louisville ranked preseason ahead of Uconn – wow! Think you really need to watch BE games more (not just turn them on, but actually watch). Would put Uconn in top 5 of BE and those top 5 are all potentially top 35 with a couple maybe top 10. Don't believe all that VHT stuff, otherwise Notre Dame would be 12-0 and not beating average teams in the last minute.