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Week 8 Picks for Every FBS Game

October 23rd, 2009 Leave a comment Go to comments

For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on every game that involves a FBS team.

I list the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games. If you check out my daily blogs on July 30th, July 20th, July 15th, etc, you will see that I have developed a new power rating which takes the yards and points gained against an opponent and factors in that opponents grade to give a team an individual game rating.

Saturday, October 24 PHIL STEELE Computer PTS Computer Yards Weekly Poll + / - Vegas
Georgia Tech at Virginia Virginia GT GT GT GT GT
GA Tech 34-9 by 3 26-22 360-357 95% by 2.5 by 5
Minnesota at Ohio St OSU OSU OSU OSU OSU OSU
Ohio St 38-7 by 21 26-8 395-170 86% by 18.25 by 16
South Florida at Pittsburgh Pitt Pitt Pitt USF Pitt Pitt
Pitt 41-14 by 8 26-21 394-308 55% by 9.5 by 6.5
Connecticut at West Virginia WV WV WV WV WV WV
WV 28-24 by 10 27-21 407-285 64% by 4.5 by 7.5
Indiana at Northwestern NW NW NW NW NW NW
NW 29-28 by 4 25-20 409-336 55% by 5 by 6
C Michigan at Bowling Green C Mich C Mich BG C Mich C Mich C Mich
CM 24-10 by 17 36-24 434-431 86% by 11.75 by 8
UAB at Marshall MU MU MU MU MU MU
Marshall 27-7 by 17 30-19 414-338 76% by 8.5 by 7
Illinois at Purdue Purdue Purdue Purdue Purdue Purdue Purdue
Purdue 24-14 by 3 33-20 452-363 74% by 13 by 10
Arkansas at Mississippi Miss Miss Miss Ark Miss Miss
Miss 30-17 by 7 25-24 389-381 59% by 3.25 by 6.5
Oklahoma St at Baylor Okla St Okla St Okla St Okla St Okla St Okla St
OKSt 34-7 by 14 32-22 436-386 91% by 8.25 by 9.5
Iowa St at Nebraska Neb Neb Neb Neb Neb Neb
Iowa St 9-7 by 24 33-14 462-263 78% by 16.25 by 17.5
Colorado at Kansas St K-St K-St K-St K-St K-St
K-St 20-6 by 3 29-24 362-318 59% Even by 4.5
N Illinois at Miami (OH) NI NI Miami NI NI NI
N Illinois 27-16 by 24 28-11 354-321 80% by 13 by 11
Ball St at E Michigan Ball St Ball St E Mich E Mich Ball St Ball St
Ball St 29-27 by 4 27-23 381-354 55% by 2 by 2.5
Maryland at Duke Duke Duke Duke Duke Duke Duke
Duke 17-13 by 10 37-27 436-354 64% by 8 by 5
Kent St at Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio
Kent St 20-11 by 21 26-13 404-256 90% by 8.25 by 9.5
Buffalo at W Michigan W Mich W Mich W Mich W Mich W Mich W Mich
W Michigan 34-31 (OT) by 14 27-20 434-366 52% by 2.25 by 5
Louisiana Tech at Utah St Utah St LA Tech Utah St LA Tech LA Tech Utah St
Utah St 23-21 by 8 27-26 460-350 86% by 1 by 1.5
Tennessee at Alabama Bama Bama Bama Bama Bama Bama
Bama 12-10 by 21 29-12 377-223 77% by 18.25 by 14
Louisville at Cincinnati Cincy Cincy Cincy Cincy Cincy Cincy
Cincy 41-10 by 10 39-15 477-358 91% by 25.25 by 18
Clemson at Miami (FL) Miami Miami Miami Miami Miami Miami
Clemson 40-37 (OT) by 7 23-16 339-248 70% by 7.5 by 4.5
Oregon at Washington Wash Oreg Oreg Oreg Oreg Oreg
Oregon 43-19 by 3 33-22 411-364 91% by 13 by 10
Penn St at Michigan Penn St Mich Penn St Penn St Penn St Penn St
Penn St 35-10 by 11 27-26 388-377 54% by 4.75 by 4.5
Oklahoma at Kansas Okla Okla Okla Okla Okla Okla
Okla 35-13 by 17 30-17 430-347 65% by 14.5 by 7.5
Boston Coll at Notre Dame ND ND ND ND ND ND
Notre Dame 20-16 by 24 34-27 502-313 50% by 6 by 8
Akron at Syracuse Syr Syr Syr Syr Syr Syr
Syracuse 28-14 by 14 29-22 372-318 90% by 12 by 10
UCF at Rice UCF UCF UCF UCF UCF UCF
UCF 49-7 by 7 34-16 351-316 95% by 11.25 by 10
WKU at Middle Tenn Mid Tenn Mid Tenn Mid Tenn Mid Tenn Mid Tenn Mid Tenn
Middle Tenn 62-24 by 21 33-14 514-286 86% by 19 by 18
Wake Forest at Navy Navy Navy Navy Navy Navy Navy
Navy 13-10 by 3 30-26 389-373 73% by 3.75 by 1.5
North Texas at Troy Troy Troy Troy Troy Troy Troy
Troy 50-26 by 21 42-21 502-338 77% by 20 by 19
Air Force at Utah Utah Utah Utah Utah Utah Utah
Utah 23-16 (OT) by 4 19-11 372-230 55% by 11.5 by 9.5
San Diego St at Colo St SDSt Colo St Colo St Colo St Colo St Colo St
San Diego St 42-28 by 4 30-27 424-321 82% by 10 by 7.5
Idaho at Nevada Nevada Nevada Nevada Nevada Nevada Nevada
Nevada 70-45 by 17 40-25 532-363 64% by 13.25 by 15.5
Wash St at Cal Cal Cal Cal Cal Cal Cal
Cal 49-17 by 45 44-13 552-245 100% by 34.5 by 35
FAU at Louisiana FAU UL UL FAU FAU UL
FAU 51-29 by 4 31-29 424-416 55% by 2 by 3
UCLA at Arizona Ariz Ariz Ariz Ariz Ariz Ariz
Arizona 27-13 by 10 31-23 409-296 68% by 6.25 by 7.5
Iowa at Michigan St Iowa Iowa Mich St Iowa Iowa
Iowa 15-13 by 4 19-17 319-298 59% by 5.25 Even
Vandy at S Carolina S Car S Car S Car S Car S Car S Car
S Carolina 14-10 by 17 24-4 372-223 95% by 21 by 12.5
ULM at Kentucky UK UK UK UK UK UK
Kentucky 36-13 by 13 34-17 434-278 96% by 17.75 by 14.5
FIU at Ark St Ark St Ark St Ark St Ark St Ark St Ark St
Ark St 27-10 by 10 34-22 449-293 68% by 7.75 by 10.5
Tulane at S Miss S Miss S Miss S Miss S Miss S Miss S Miss
S Miss 43-6 by 24 39-15 457-298 95% by 26 by 21
Tx A&M at Texas Tech TT TT TT TT TT TT
A&M 52-30 by 31 53-17 540-347 86% by 27.5 by 21.5
Temple at Toledo Toledo Temple Toledo Toledo Toledo Toledo
Temple 40-24 by 3 28-25 437-295 52% by 0.5 by 3
Florida at Miss St Fla Fla Fla Fla Fla Fla
Florida 29-19 by 31 32-10 411-269 95% by 26 by 22.5
TCU at BYU BYU BYU BYU TCU TCU TCU
TCU 38-7 by 10 27-26 375-345 74% by 2 by 2.5
Auburn at LSU Aub LSU LSU LSU LSU LSU
LSU 31-10 by 1 29-14 410-285 91% by 16 by 7.5
SMU at Houston UH UH UH UH UH UH
Houston 38-15 by 7 43-29 604-398 90% by 15.5 by 16.5
Texas at Missouri Texas Texas Texas Texas Texas Texas
Texas 41-7 by 17 33-18 375-302 82% by 18.5 by 13
Oregon St at USC USC USC USC USC USC USC
USC 42-36 by 28 33-15 535-230 82% by 17.25 by 21
UNLV at New Mexico UNLV UNLV NM UNLV UNLV N Mex
UNLV 34-17 by 14 34-31 429-373 77% by 8 by 1
Arizona St at Stanford Stan Stan Stan Stan Stan Stan
Stanford 33-14 by 14 27-21 431-331 73% by 9.5 by 6.5
Fresno St at New Mex St Fresno Fresno Fresno Fresno Fresno Fresno
Fresno 34-3 by 35 42-11 466-226 100% by 25.5 by 24
Boise St at Hawaii Boise Boise Boise Boise Boise Boise
Boise 54-9 by 35 38-18 427-380 91% by 29 by 25
YTD 286-97 300-82 297-86 298-84 294-88 298-82
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  • jasonpointer

    Mr. Steele, I have a lot of respect for you, but I am astounded every time I read your opinion regarding Ole Miss. Their stats may not be that bad, but that is because they have played Memphis, SE Louisiana, and UAB. Their best win to date was against Vanderbilt. If that was true for my team, I would cry.

  • tomsharp

    I don't understand why Vegas and experts like you think the TCU vs. BYU game will have a total in the 50s. I see TCU playing their great ball/clock control game to perfection. The only problem would be “overtime.” I have a total in the high 30s or low 40s. I'm going to the window big time with this one.

  • Shawn Oakley

    Hey Phil
    Its Shawn for Taunton, ma. Now that Ricky Dobbs is hurt do you still think Wake Forest will lose? I am a big Riley Skinner fan and would love to see him in a “decent” bowl. Ps I totally agree with your BYU pick, and Im a TCU fan. Furthermore, if you remember me at all you know I always ask you about NEVADA whether its calling in to rivals or here. They WILL hammer Idaho (though the Vandals are improved, solid qb ) just seems that NEVADA runs the ball with more authority at home. That being said, do you think they can CHALLENGE Boise in a few weeks?

    Thanks
    Your Biggest Fan
    Shawn (ps Massachusetts is the worst state to live in if you're a college fb fan)

  • Oregon Ducks

    Mr. Steele,

    Please continue predicting Oregon to lose so they can continue winning.

    Thanks

  • s_k

    Sorry if I missed this in an earlier blog, but how do you decide which results to make green or red?

    It seems like predictions for Alabama by 21, 17, 18.25, 14 should all be red since Alabama only won by 2 and did not cover the spread which all the predictions believed they would.

    Same with Notre Dame…predictions of them winning by 24 and 13 should be red correct?

    Cal, South Carolina, there are others as well.

  • s_k

    Sorry if I missed this in an earlier blog, but how do you decide which results to make green or red?

    It seems like predictions for Alabama by 21, 17, 18.25, 14 should all be red since Alabama only won by 2 and did not cover the spread which all the predictions believed they would.

    Same with Notre Dame…predictions of them winning by 24 and 13 should be red correct?

    Cal, South Carolina, there are others as well.