Week 11 Picks for Every FBS Games
For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on every game that involves a FBS team.
I list the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games. If you check out my daily blogs on July 30th, July 20th, July 15th, etc, you will see that I have developed a new power rating which takes the yards and points gained against an opponent and factors in that opponents grade to give a team an individual game rating.
Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them! Here are the selections for the 11th Saturday of college Football!
***NOTE — this week the red/green coloring & scoring update
is only available in the “old blog format”.
Please CLICK HERE to access this feature.
| Saturday, November 14 | PHIL STEELE | Computer PTS | Computer Yards | Weekly Poll | + / - | Vegas |
| Texas at Baylor | Tex | Tex | Tex | Tex | Tex | Tex |
| by 35 | 40-11 | 446-261 | 95% | by 27.25 | by 23.5 | |
| Georgia Tech at Duke | GT | GT | GT | GT | GT | GT |
| by 10 | 38-27 | 449-356 | 100% | by 11 | by 12.5 | |
| Houston at UCF | Houston | Houston | Houston | Houston | Houston | Houston |
| by 3 | 34-32 | 538-469 | 87% | by 2.25 | by 4.5 | |
| Indiana at Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | Penn St |
| by 35 | 37-11 | 500-282 | 95% | by 23.5 | by 25 | |
| Michigan at Wisconsin | Wisc | Wisc | Wisc | Wisc | Wisc | Wisc |
| by 15 | 39-24 | 490-295 | 90% | by 15.25 | by 8 | |
| Syracuse at Louisville | UL | UL | UL | UL/ Syra | UL | UL |
| by 14 | 25-17 | 422-290 | 50% | by 6.5 | by 7.5 | |
| South Dakota St at Minnesota | Minn | Minn | Minn | Minn | Minn | |
| by 7 | 32-20 | 414-246 | 100% | by 15 | ||
| Tennessee at Mississippi | Miss | Tenn | Miss | Tenn | Miss | Miss |
| by 10 | 25-24 | 384-331 | 80% | by .25 | by 5 | |
| Clemson at North Carolina St | Clem | Clem | NC St | Clem | Clem | Clem |
| by 10 | 38-24 | 369-356 | 86% | by 9 | by 8.5 | |
| Florida St at Wake Forest | FSU | WF | WF | FSU | WF | WF |
| by 4 | 30-26 | 489-423 | 57% | by 5.5 | by 5.5 | |
| VMI at Army | Army | Army | Army | Army | Army | |
| by 31 | 36-13 | 459-186 | 91% | by 32 | ||
| Northwestern at Illinois | ILL | ILL | ILL | NW | ILL | ILL |
| by 11 | 26-19 | 414-338 | 60% | by 2.5 | by 4 | |
| Michigan St at Purdue | Purdue | Mich St | Purdue | Mich St | Mich St | Mich St |
| by 1 | 29-24 | 372-333 | 75% | by 1 | by 3 | |
| Kentucky at Vanderbilt | Vandy | UK | Vandy | UK | UK | UK |
| by 3 | 23-19 | 386-326 | 70% | by 5.5 | by 3 | |
| Missouri at Kansas St | Kan St | Kan St | Kan St | Kan St | Kan St | Mizzou |
| by 11 | 29-22 | 362-348 | 80% | by 7 | by 1 | |
| Virginia Tech at Maryland | VT | VT | VT | VT | VT | VT |
| by 20 | 27-13 | 368-287 | 100% | by 15.5 | by 18.5 | |
| W Michigan at E Michigan | W Mich | W Mich | W Mich | W Mich | W Mich | W Mich |
| by 10 | 38-26 | 454-401 | 80% | by 9 | by 12.5 | |
| BYU at New Mexico | BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU | BYU |
| by 38 | 44-13 | 488-319 | 96% | by 28.50 | by 26.5 | |
| Colorado at Iowa St | CU | Iowa St | Iowa St | CU | Iowa St | Iowa St |
| by 7 | 23-19 | 379-333 | 52% | by 4.5 | by 5.5 | |
| UAB at Memphis | Memphis | UAB | Memphis | UAB | UAB | Memphis |
| by 3 | 36-33 | 494-451 | 62% | by 6 | by 1 | |
| San Jose St at Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | Utah St |
| by 7 | 36-21 | 485-325 | 65% | by 13 | by 12.5 | |
| Louisiana at Middle Tenn St | Mid Tenn | Mid Tenn | Mid Tenn | Mid Tenn | Mid Tenn | Mid Tenn |
| by 10 | 33-19 | 439-306 | 83% | by 16 | by 12.5 | |
| UTEP at Southern Methodist | SMU | SMU | SMU | SMU | SMU | SMU |
| by 1 | 36-29 | 436-386 | 61% | by 10.5 | by 6.5 | |
| Florida at South Carolina | FLA | FLA | FLA | FLA | FLA | FLA |
| by 24 | 26-11 | 338-302 | 90% | by 17 | by 15.5 | |
| Idaho at Boise St | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise | Boise |
| by 35 | 52-21 | 533-277 | 86% | by 34 | by 31 | |
| Stanford at USC | USC | USC | USC | USC | USC | USC |
| by 6 | 34-27 | 505-395 | 60% | by 5.25 | by 10.5 | |
| Iowa at Ohio St | OSU | OSU | OSU | OSU | OSU | OSU |
| by 17 | 27-6 | 350-190 | 70% | by 20.25 | by 17 | |
| Miami (FL) at North Carolina | Mia Fla | Mia Fla | Mia Fla | Mia Fla | Mia Fla | Mia Fla |
| by 10 | 26-21 | 298-294 | 86% | by 3.5 | by 3.5 | |
| Washington at Oregon St | Oreg St | Oreg St | Oreg St | Oreg St | Oreg St | Oreg St |
| by 14 | 37-21 | 510-340 | 60% | by 20 | by 12 | |
| Tulane at Rice | Tulane | Tulane | Even | Tulane | Rice | Rice |
| by 4 | 31.1-30.5 | 371-371 | 68% | by 3.75 | by 3 | |
| Boston College at Virginia | BC | BC | BC | BC | BC | BC |
| by 1 | 26-15 | 310-257 | 76% | by 9.5 | by 4 | |
| Nebraska at Kansas | Neb | Neb | Kan | Neb | Neb | Neb |
| by 14 | 22-14 | 317-253 | 70% | by 6 | by 3.5 | |
| Delaware at Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy | Navy | |
| by 21 | 35-15 | 479-216 | 100% | by 28 | ||
| Arkansas St at Florida Atlantic | FAU | Ark St | FAU | FAU/Ark St | Ark St | Ark St |
| by 1 | 29-24 | 471-371 | 50% | by 1.5 | by 4 | |
| Western Kentucky at ULM | ULM | ULM | ULM | ULM | ULM | ULM |
| by 28 | 43-18 | 536-274 | 86% | by 25.25 | by 21 | |
| Fresno St at Nevada | Nev | Nev | Nev | Fresno | Nev | Nev |
| by 3 | 38-30 | 569-396 | 57% | by 7.25 | by 7 | |
| Southern Miss at Marshall | Marshall | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss | S Miss |
| by 7 | 24.3-24.1 | 398-389 | 67% | by .5 | by 3 | |
| UCLA at Washington St | UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | UCLA |
| by 24 | 30-13 | 411-289 | 95% | by 17 | by 17.5 | |
| UNLV at Air Force | AF | AF | AF | AF | AF | AF |
| by 6 | 32-13 | 424-243 | 82% | by 17.75 | by 17 | |
| Alabama at Mississippi St | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama | Bama |
| by 14 | 27-16 | 336-334 | 90% | by 11 | by 12 | |
| Louisiana Tech at LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU | LSU |
| by 24 | 35-7 | 450-230 | 100% | by 25 | by 24 | |
| Auburn at Georgia | GA | GA | GA | GA/ Aub | GA | GA |
| by 10 | 33-30 | 422-325 | 50% | by 5.75 | by 4.5 | |
| Texas A&M at Oklahoma | Okla | Okla | Okla | Okla | Okla | Okla |
| by 28 | 38-16 | 530-277 | 85% | by 22.5 | by 20 | |
| North Texas at Florida Int’l | FIU | FIU | N Tex | FIU | FIU | FIU |
| by 3 | 39-33 | 471-436 | 70% | by 7.5 | by 2.5 | |
| Utah at TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU | TCU |
| by 27 | 35-9 | 452-215 | 86% | by 20.5 | by 19.5 | |
| Troy at Arkansas | Ark | Ark | Ark | Ark | Ark | Ark |
| by 8 | 40-22 | 484-411 | 100% | by 18 | by 13.5 | |
| Notre Dame at Pittsburgh | Pitt | Pitt | Pitt | Pitt | Pitt | Pitt |
| by 3 | 32-20 | 444-393 | 73% | by 14.5 | by 6.5 | |
| Texas Tech at Oklahoma St | Okla St | Okla St | Okla St | Okla St | Okla St | Okla St |
| by 10 | 33-26 | 452-338 | 60% | by 5 | by 4 | |
| Wyoming at San Diego St | SDSt | SDSt | SDSt | SDSt | SDSt | SDSt |
| by 13 | 28-20 | 377-298 | 61% | by 1 | by 7.5 | |
| New Mexico St at Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii |
| by 25 | 38-14 | 555-232 | 87% | by 20.5 | by 19.5 | |
| Arizona St at Oregon | Oreg | Oreg | Oreg | Oreg | Oreg | Oreg |
| by 28 | 36-13 | 445-240 | 90% | by 21.25 | by 18 | |
| Arizona at California | AZ | AZ | AZ | AZ/ Cal | Cal | Cal |
| by 4 | 30.1-29-6 | 400-387 | 50% | by 2.5 | by 2.5 | |
| 407-130 | 419-117 | 413-124 | 413-123 | 414-122 | 412-119 |


