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The Orange Bowl

January 5th, 2010 Leave a comment Go to comments

Each day during bowl season in my daily blog, I will give you my forecasts on the bowl games taking place that day. My forecasts will include a detailed write-up with my computer’s projected box score including rushing and passing yards, points and turnovers along with a detailed write-up on each game.

Also check out the bowl matchup section to get the latest and greatest information on the 4 upcoming bowl games including, game by game stats, 2009 recaps, and checklists for every position and intangible.

Orange Bowl

Georgia Tech vs Iowa

Team Rush Pass Points TO’s ST
Georgia Tech 274 90 26 2.1 –
Iowa 121 210 22 2.7 ••

Gametime Projected Weather: 48° Clear Wind: NW 10 mph

Iowa has an excellent defense and they have had extra time to prepare for the Georgia Tech option attack. LSU had extra time to prepare for it last year in the bowl and dominated 38-3. However this year the Yellow Jackets are running it at a much higher level. The Iowa offense has struggled all year but the two games they lost they were without injured QB Ricky Stanzi who is now back and healthy for this game. After having poor starts to games Stanzi was the master of the fourth quarter leading the Hawkeyes to several 2nd half comebacks. Georgia Tech has a large edge on offense (#11-93) while the Hawkeyes have the large edge on defense (#11-55). I give the special teams edge to Iowa and that could give the Hawkeyes the outright win here.

PHIL’S FORECAST: IOWA 27 GEORGIA TECH 23

Conference Bowl Standings

Bowl Conference VS ConFerence Records
OVERALL vs BCS CONF
W L % W L %
MWC 4 1 80% 2 0 100%
BIG EAST 4 2 67% 2 2 33%
BIG 12 4 3 57% 4 2 67%
SEC 5 4 56% 4 4 50%
BIG 10 3 3 50% 3 3 50%
ACC 3 3 50% 3 3 50%
WAC 2 2 50% 0 0 0
C USA 2 4 33% 0 2 0%
PAC 10 2 5 29% 1 3 25%
MAC 0 4 0% 0 2 0%
INDEP 1 0 100% 1 0 100%
SUN BELT 1 0 100% 0 0 0

The MWC lost its first game of the bowl season last night in their most important bowl with Boise St beating TCU in the Fiesta Bowl. The Sun Belt has a chance to finish undefeated if Troy beats MAC Champ Central Michigan in the GMAC Bowl tomorrow. The Big East will finish the bowl season a respectable 4-2 but did get trounced in their BCS game. The Big 12 and SEC have had similar bowl seasons with the Big 12 having a slight advantage in win % and are 4-2 vs BCS conference teams. The National Title game on Thursday between Alabama (SEC) and Texas (Big 12) will decide which conference had the better post season. The Big 10 has a chance to finish the bowl season strong with an Iowa win tonight in the Orange Bowl. The conference was just 9-20 in bowl games from 2005-08 including 1-6 last year however the ACC will finish ahead of the Big 10 if Georgia Tech wins the Orange Bowl.

Bowl Confidence Contest

After 31 bowl games we have a new leader in Rick Perk who has 429 points and a 75% win %. Rick had Boise for 30 points and jumped from 7th to 1st. Yesterdays leader Rusty Moreno is in 2nd with 428 points and Don Seebold despite the loss is still in great shape at #3 with 423 points and an 83% win % which easily ranks 1st. Don still has 85 points left on the board and has the highest possible max score of 508.

The top 3 all have Iowa winning tonight and if the Hawkeyes do win Don Seebold will jump to 1st since he has Iowa for 22 points. Rusty Moreno who has Iowa for 12 points will stay in 2nd and Rick Perk who has Iowa for only 4 points will slide to 3rd. If Georgia Tech wins Rick and Rusty would stay in 1st and 2nd but Donnie Holmann would jump Don Seebold for 3rd since he has the Yellow Jackets for 8 points.

Remember 1st place wins $250, 2nd place gets $100 and a set of regionals and 3rd gets $50 and a set of regionals.

Thanks again to the near 1200 people that have entered. If you have any questions concerning your points or do not see your name in the Top 50 and think it should be please email Brandon@philsteele.com.

Here are the current leaderboards.

The Top 50 in Points Won

Rank Name Pts Won Pts Lost Win % % Rank Pts Left Max Score
1 Rick Perk 429 143 75% 3 23 452
2 Rusty Moreno 428 143 75% 4 24 452
3 Don Seebold 423 87 83% 1 85 508
4 Donnie Holmann 419 139 75% 2 37 456
5 Marc Ostrom 414 164 72% 15 17 431
6 Mike Bambrick 410 178 70% 23 7 417
7 Dick Rosser 409 163 72% 17 23 432
8 Jeremy Ackerman 401 152 73% 13 42 443
9 Ben Brin 400 147 73% 11 48 448
10 Jeremy Zinn 399 185 68% 37 11 410
11 Joe Russo 396 174 69% 28 25 421
12 Patrick Hilt 395 139 74% 5 61 456
13 Donald Huggins 392 142 73% 8 61 453
14 Gary Osborne 391 138 74% 6 66 457
15 Bobby Welles 390 143 73% 10 62 452
16 Mike Magee 389 142 73% 9 64 453
16 John Tsuji 389 153 72% 14 53 442
16 William J Meleski 389 200 66% 67 6 395
19 Blake Ali 387 155 71% 18 53 440
19 Samuel Brown 387 171 69% 29 37 424
21 Gary Grodin 386 185 68% 47 24 410
22 Chris Metz 382 190 67% 56 23 405
23 Jack Hawn 381 174 69% 35 40 421
24 Mike Connors 380 182 68% 45 33 413
25 Gary McQuain 379 136 74% 7 80 459
26 Clyde Rardin 378 165 70% 27 52 430
26 Bob Siciliano 378 197 66% 73 20 398
28 Kristen Domonkos 377 168 69% 30 50 427
28 Kevin Demitt 377 181 68% 48 37 414
30 Dan Maurer 376 179 68% 43 40 416
31 adam muscat 375 189 66% 61 31 406
32 Jerry Holcombe 374 163 70% 25 58 432
32 Stacey Karkoff 374 191 66% 66 30 404
32 Roy Hiyama 374 194 66% 69 27 401
35 Luis A Monroy 373 170 69% 34 52 425
36 Austin Huggins 372 141 73% 12 82 454
36 Dan Dale 372 166 69% 32 57 429
36 Tim Johnston 372 167 69% 33 56 428
36 Nicholas Jermstad 372 206 64% 110 17 389
40 Wayne Schmoker 371 185 67% 57 39 410
40 Gary Cotton 371 215 63% 143 9 380
42 Jerry McHugh 370 159 70% 21 66 436
42 Lorin Dickinson 370 187 66% 63 38 408
42 Louis Leiwalo 370 204 64% 107 21 391
45 Bernie Lin 369 147 72% 16 79 448
45 Mike Swerline 369 160 70% 22 66 435
47 Jeff Enzell 368 153 71% 19 74 442
47 Nathan Whitaker 368 175 68% 42 52 420
47 Pat Fleming 368 181 67% 51 46 414
47 Michael Mancini 368 201 65% 100 26 394

The Top 50 in Win %

Name Pts Won Pts Lost Win % % Rank Pts Left Max Score
Don Seebold 423 87 83% 1 85 508
Donnie Holmann 419 139 75% 2 37 456
Rick Perk 429 143 75% 3 23 452
Rusty Moreno 428 143 75% 4 24 452
Patrick Hilt 395 139 74% 5 61 456
Gary Osborne 391 138 74% 6 66 457
Gary McQuain 379 136 74% 7 80 459
Donald Huggins 392 142 73% 8 61 453
Mike Magee 389 142 73% 9 64 453
Bobby Welles 390 143 73% 10 62 452
Ben Brin 400 147 73% 11 48 448
Austin Huggins 372 141 73% 12 82 454
Jeremy Ackerman 401 152 73% 13 42 443
John Tsuji 389 153 72% 14 53 442
Marc Ostrom 414 164 72% 15 17 431
Bernie Lin 369 147 72% 16 79 448
Dick Rosser 409 163 72% 17 23 432
Blake Ali 387 155 71% 18 53 440
Jeff Enzell 368 153 71% 19 74 442
Jim Martindale 367 157 70% 20 71 438
Jerry McHugh 370 159 70% 21 66 436
Mike Swerline 369 160 70% 22 66 435
Mike Bambrick 410 178 70% 23 7 417
Jason Bellinger 365 159 70% 24 71 436
Jerry Holcombe 374 163 70% 25 58 432
Gary Magnus 351 153 70% 26 91 442
Clyde Rardin 378 165 70% 27 52 430
Joe Russo 396 174 69% 28 25 421
Samuel Brown 387 171 69% 29 37 424
Kristen Domonkos 377 168 69% 30 50 427
Gregory Ewers 343 153 69% 31 99 442
Dan Dale 372 166 69% 32 57 429
Tim Johnston 372 167 69% 33 56 428
Luis A Monroy 373 170 69% 34 52 425
Jack Hawn 381 174 69% 35 40 421
Jerry Villela 365 167 69% 36 63 428
Jeremy Zinn 399 185 68% 37 11 410
NY Gator 361 168 68% 38 66 427
Scott (wox11) 362 169 68% 39 64 426
Michael Ramirez 353 165 68% 40 77 430
Don Armstrong 359 169 68% 41 67 426
Nathan Whitaker 368 175 68% 42 52 420
Dan Maurer 376 179 68% 43 40 416
Travis Wheeler 362 173 68% 44 60 422
Mike Connors 380 182 68% 45 33 413
Ron Sessions 334 160 68% 46 101 435
Gary Grodin 386 185 68% 47 24 410
Kevin Demitt 377 181 68% 48 37 414
Jim Ryan 366 177 67% 49 52 418
Art Hartman 361 177 67% 50 57 418
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