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The GMAC Bowl

January 6th, 2010 Leave a comment Go to comments

Each day during bowl season in my daily blog, I will give you my forecasts on the bowl games taking place that day. My forecasts will include a detailed write-up with my computer’s projected box score including rushing and passing yards, points and turnovers along with a detailed write-up on each game.

My forecasts have gone 10-2 (83.3%) in the last 12 with 4 outright upsets including yesterdays Iowa upset of Georgia Tech in the Orange Bowl!!

Also check out the bowl matchup section to get the latest and greatest information on the 4 upcoming bowl games including, game by game stats, 2009 recaps, and checklists for every position and intangible.

GMAC Bowl

Central Michigan vs Troy

Team Rush Pass Points TO’s ST
Central Michigan 129 285 32 1.7 –
Troy 126 325 25 2.4 –

Gametime Projected Weather: 34° Clear Wind: NE 2 mph

Central Michigan will be without coach Butch Jones and will be led by interim coach Steve Stripling. This should be a very entertaining game with two teams flying under the radar. CMU was clearly the best team in the MAC and this year finally had an outstanding defense to go along with QB Dan LeFevour and their potent offense as only 1 non-BCS team came within ten points of the Chippewas. One reason to watch is LeFevour who figures to be an NFL draft pick and is the first player in Division I history to top 12,000 pass yards and have 2,500+ rush yards. He also has the record for most total touchdowns in a career with 147. Meanwhile Troy has plenty of weapons including DE Brandon Lang (69 tackles, 7.5 sacks, 3 TFL) who is also an NFL prospect. Troy was clearly the best team in the Sun Belt this year only giving up yards late in the game with the outcome already decided. Troy does feature QB Levi Brown (3868 yards, 65%, 22-9 ratio) and a top notch defense. The MAC has lost 14 bowl games in a row as this figures to be a toss up that could be decided by a late field goal. I’ll side with the team with the more stability on the coaching staff.

PHIL’S FORECAST: TROY 28 CENTRAL MICHIGAN 27

Conference Bowl Standings

Bowl Conference VS ConFerence Records
OVERALL vs BCS CONF
W L % W L %
MWC 4 1 80% 2 0 100%
BIG EAST 4 2 67% 2 2 50%
BIG 12 4 3 57% 4 2 67%
BIG 10 4 3 57% 4 3 57%
SEC 5 4 56% 4 4 50%
WAC 2 2 50% 0 0 0
ACC 3 4 43% 3 4 43%
C USA 2 4 33% 0 2 0%
PAC 10 2 5 29% 1 3 25%
MAC 0 4 0% 0 2 0%
INDEP 1 0 100% 1 0 100%
SUN BELT 1 0 100% 0 0 0

The MWC lost its first game of the bowl season on Monday in their most important bowl with Boise St beating TCU in the Fiesta Bowl. The Sun Belt has a chance to finish 2-0 if Troy beats MAC Champ Central Michigan in the GMAC Bowl tonight. Meanwhile the MAC has a 14 game bowl losing streak. The Big East will finish the bowl season a respectable 4-2 but did get trounced in their BCS game. The Big 12 and SEC have had similar bowl seasons with the Big 12 having a slight advantage in win % and are 4-2 vs BCS conference teams. The National Title game on Thursday between Alabama (SEC) and Texas (Big 12) will decide which conference had the better post season. The Big 10 had their best bowl season in years winning four games over AP Top 15 teams capped off by last nights Iowa win over #9 Georgia Tech in the Orange Bowl. Coming into this season the Big 10 was just 9-20 in bowl games from 2005-08 including 1-6 last year.

Bowl Confidence Contest

After 32 bowl games we have a new leader in Don Seebold who has 445 points and a 84% win %. Don has been mentioned in this blog several times the past week as somebody to look out for with his high win % and he finally took the lead with just two bowl games left. Rusty Moreno stays in 2nd with 440 points while yesterdays leader Rick Perk dropped to 3rd even though he had the Hawkeyes winning.

If Central Michigan wins tonight Don Seebold will have locked up 1st place in the contest even with the national title game remaining. Rick Perk would jump Rusty Moreno for 2nd place and Rusty will drop to 3rd. However if Troy wins tonight the contest will get very interesting with Rusty Moreno jumping Don for 1st since he has Troy for 11. Then it would come down to the national title game with Don having Alabama for 34 while Rusty has Texas for 1.

Remember 1st place wins $250, 2nd place gets $100 and a set of regionals and 3rd gets $50 and a set of regionals.

Thanks again to the near 1200 people that have entered. If you have any questions concerning your points or do not see your name in the Top 50 and think it should be please email Brandon@philsteele.com.

Here are the current leaderboards.

The Top 50 in Points Won

Rank Name Pts Won Pts Lost Win % % Rank Pts Left Max Score
1 Don Seebold 445 87 84% 1 63 508
2 Rusty Moreno 440 143 75% 2 12 452
3 Rick Perk 433 143 75% 4 19 452
4 Gary Osborne 423 138 75% 3 34 457
4 Marc Ostrom 423 164 72% 9 8 431
6 Donnie Holmann 419 147 74% 5 29 448
7 Jeremy Ackerman 413 152 73% 7 30 443
8 Mike Bambrick 412 178 70% 21 5 417
9 Dick Rosser 409 166 71% 13 20 429
10 Jeremy Zinn 402 185 68% 28 8 410
11 Joe Russo 401 174 70% 22 20 421
12 Ben Brin 400 164 71% 14 31 431
13 Jim Martindale 399 157 72% 10 39 438
14 Chris Metz 398 190 68% 36 7 405
15 Patrick Hilt 395 145 73% 6 55 450
15 John Tsuji 395 153 72% 8 47 442
15 Clyde Rardin 395 165 71% 17 35 430
15 Kristen Domonkos 395 168 70% 18 32 427
19 Donald Huggins 392 174 69% 25 29 421
19 Dean Duff 392 193 67% 43 10 402
19 Roy Hiyama 392 194 67% 48 9 401
22 Pat Fleming 391 181 68% 30 23 414
23 Bobby Welles 390 158 71% 12 47 437
24 Tim Johnston 389 167 70% 20 39 428
24 Mike Magee 389 175 69% 27 31 420
24 William J Meleski 389 203 66% 61 3 392
27 Gary Grodin 388 185 68% 35 22 410
28 Blake Ali 387 165 70% 19 43 430
28 Samuel Brown 387 173 69% 26 35 422
30 Courtney Moeller 386 191 67% 47 18 404
31 Christopher Haynes 384 180 68% 31 31 415
31 Chris Haynes 384 180 68% 32 31 415
31 Kevin Demitt 384 181 68% 33 30 414
31 Al Nagy 384 191 67% 50 20 404
35 Jason Bellinger 383 159 71% 15 53 436
35 adam muscat 383 189 67% 46 23 406
37 Jack Hawn 381 182 68% 38 32 413
37 Louis Leiwalo 381 204 65% 75 10 391
39 Gary Magnus 380 153 71% 11 62 442
39 Mike Connors 380 187 67% 42 28 408
39 Michael Mancini 380 201 65% 66 14 394
39 dan styklunas 380 206 65% 83 9 389
43 Gary McQuain 379 158 71% 16 58 437
43 Jerry Villela 379 167 69% 23 49 428
45 Bob Siciliano 378 201 65% 71 16 394
46 Frances Ward 377 180 68% 37 38 415
47 Dan Maurer 376 205 65% 87 14 390
47 Lisa DiBello 376 208 64% 96 11 387
49 Stacey Karkoff 375 191 66% 58 29 404
49 Scott Boyce 375 201 65% 77 19 394
49 NICK SCHWEMBERGER 375 202 65% 80 18 393
49 Nicholas Jermstad 375 206 65% 92 14 389

The Top 50 in Win %

Name Pts Won Pts Lost Win % % Rank Pts Left Max Score
Don Seebold 445 87 84% 1 63 508
Rusty Moreno 440 143 75% 2 12 452
Gary Osborne 423 138 75% 3 34 457
Rick Perk 433 143 75% 4 19 452
Donnie Holmann 419 147 74% 5 29 448
Patrick Hilt 395 145 73% 6 55 450
Jeremy Ackerman 413 152 73% 7 30 443
John Tsuji 395 153 72% 8 47 442
Marc Ostrom 423 164 72% 9 8 431
Jim Martindale 399 157 72% 10 39 438
Gary Magnus 380 153 71% 11 62 442
Bobby Welles 390 158 71% 12 47 437
Dick Rosser 409 166 71% 13 20 429
Ben Brin 400 164 71% 14 31 431
Jason Bellinger 383 159 71% 15 53 436
Gary McQuain 379 158 71% 16 58 437
Clyde Rardin 395 165 71% 17 35 430
Kristen Domonkos 395 168 70% 18 32 427
Blake Ali 387 165 70% 19 43 430
Tim Johnston 389 167 70% 20 39 428
Mike Bambrick 412 178 70% 21 5 417
Joe Russo 401 174 70% 22 20 421
Jerry Villela 379 167 69% 23 49 428
Austin Huggins 372 164 69% 24 59 431
Donald Huggins 392 174 69% 25 29 421
Samuel Brown 387 173 69% 26 35 422
Mike Magee 389 175 69% 27 31 420
Jeremy Zinn 402 185 68% 28 8 410
Bernie Lin 369 170 68% 29 56 425
Pat Fleming 391 181 68% 30 23 414
Christopher Haynes 384 180 68% 31 31 415
Chris Haynes 384 180 68% 32 31 415
Kevin Demitt 384 181 68% 33 30 414
Jeff Enzell 368 175 68% 34 52 420
Gary Grodin 388 185 68% 35 22 410
Chris Metz 398 190 68% 36 7 405
Frances Ward 377 180 68% 37 38 415
Jack Hawn 381 182 68% 38 32 413
Tom Guertin 356 172 67% 39 67 423
Art Hartman 363 177 67% 40 55 418
Jerry McHugh 370 182 67% 41 43 413
Mike Connors 380 187 67% 42 28 408
Dean Duff 392 193 67% 43 10 402
Mike Swerline 369 182 67% 44 44 413
Luis A Monroy 373 184 67% 45 38 411
Adam Muscat 383 189 67% 46 23 406
Courtney Moeller 386 191 67% 47 18 404
Roy Hiyama 392 194 67% 48 9 401
Marsha Realgood 364 181 67% 49 50 414
Al Nagy 384 191 67% 50 20 404
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