Archive for August, 2010

Final Conference Poll Results

August 17th, 2010 No comments

The last couple of years, I have I put up a poll for everyone to pick who would win each conference game during the year. I found these results fascinating prior to the year. When you vote in the poll, it tabulates the current % of votes for each team in each individual game. Here are the results of the fan poll from 2009.

When initially reviewing the results I was quite impressed with the accuracy as you the fans did quite well in numerous conferences. In fact, when I calculated the results (similar to what does for all the major preseason college football magazines) you guys finished #1!!!! Check out my June 10 Blog for more details. Read more…

2010 Starters Adjusted

August 16th, 2010 No comments

Schools have a lot of different methods in determining returning starters. I personally look at the individual starters for all 120 FBS teams. I determine only 11 starters from the previous year. Some schools have the criteria of 5 or more starts and therefore list 14 starters returning (as an example: 9 starters returning, 5 starters lost). I look at each position and determine my starters. Sometimes my criteria is not just 6 or more starts. As an example: at Nebraska a couple years ago year RB Marlon Lucky had 11 starts at the I-back position. His “backup” Roy Helu had 2 starts and Quentin Castille had 1. Determining the Nebraska RB position on the start basis would have a starter lost from the RB position. I look at the fact that Helu led the team in ’08 with 803 yds rush while Lucky was a distant second at 517. Castille almost topped Lucky’s numbers with 467. Each of the 3 had almost identical carries. With the top rusher back and 1,373 of the teams 1,910 RB yds (72%) I graded that unit as a starter returning. Read more…

Non-Conference Polls and Power Ratings

August 14th, 2010 No comments

The “Who Will Win the Conference” Contest expired today at noon, so today I’ll shift my attention to the Non-Conference Poll. I find this poll fascinating because there are some intriguing non-conference games that can make or break a season. To name a few, I think the Virginia Tech/Boise St, Penn St/Alabama, Oklahoma/Florida St and Miami, Fl/Ohio St games are definitely ones that will make or break a season for either team. If you visit the homepage right now, you can get a head start on voting in the Non-Conference Poll with all the non-conference games. To see where you rank against other voters, as soon as your vote is entered in, you will see the % stacked with or against you.

In the next day or two the non-BCS conferences will be added on the front page. The Non-Conference Poll will run until Sunday, Aug 29th. On Monday the 30th, look for the Weekly Polls to start. There are games every day Thursday September 2nd thru Monday September 6th as the first week of the season looks to kick off with a bang! Weekly prizes will be awarded throughout the season. Read more…

2010 NFL Toughest Schedules

August 13th, 2010 2 comments

As you know I’ve always spent about 90% of my time on college football but I am very excited about our NFL Magazine. I have the same desire to mirror my success of being college footballs “most accurate” magazine by becoming the most accurate NFL Magazine as well. In this years magazine (which is now available) I project each of the division races with records. I want to share just how much work and research goes into making these forecasts.

I’ve posted several articles on my blog including: repeating as a division champ and slipping and sliding can help you analyze a teams fortunes. These are just part of the research I do annually to make my predictions. The schedule is of course an important part of analyzing the upcoming season. Read more…

My Favorite Teams for 2010!

August 12th, 2010 8 comments

A lot of people ask me if I have a favorite team. I was born and raised and still live in Cleveland, Ohio. I was a fan of many teams as a child but now that I put out a National magazine, I cannot afford to be a fan of any team. I have to pick the teams where I think they will finish each year. I was doing a radio show last week and I was asked if I have a favorite team or teams. My response was a strong YES! The interviewer was surprised by that answer and also eager to hear which team I would pick. My answer was my favorite team each year is the team I pick #1 in the magazine and my favorite teams are the ones I have picked higher than all the other major magazines out there. I then said that each year I establish a list of my favorite teams for that year. I then give this list to my wife. I wear a shirt and tie to work every day during the week and my tie is always a college team. I wear polo shirts during the weekend and when not at work and they are always different college teams. The list I give my wife is the ones to buy that I will be wearing for the upcoming year as these are the teams I will be the biggest fan of for the upcoming season. I was then asked “What teams will your wife be buying ties and shirts of this year? That was a great question and I thought I would answer it in a blog. Read more…

Conference Poll Update

August 11th, 2010 No comments

This is my third update on how the conference poll voting is shaping up. The last couple of years, I have I put up a poll for everyone to pick who would win each conference game during the year. I found these results fascinating prior to the year. When you vote in the poll, it tabulates the current % of votes for each team in each individual game. Prizes will be awarded at the end of the year for the people who predicted the conference’s most accurately. However, you need to vote on every single game to qualify. You cannot just vote on the six BCS conferences and skip the others. You have only until the end of the week to get your votes in!

Here are the current conference standings for all the conferences with the percentages of each game factored in according to your votes. There have been some notable changes since my July 31 Blog. USC is now expected to lose at Oregon St giving the Trojans their only conference loss of the season. In the last update, North Carolina and NC State were tied at 50% but now the Tar Heels have the voting edge with 54% of the vote as expected. Also in the MAC, Northern Illinois and Western Michigan were tied atop the league with identical 6-1-1 records with the teams each getting 50% of the vote in the game at Western. Now the Huskies have the advantage with 51% and are now alone at the top with a 7-1 record. Read more…

FCS Regional Magazine

August 10th, 2010 No comments

When comparing the amount of coverage the FCS gets in preview magazines it pales in comparison to the FBS. This year, Lindy’s has 4 pages in their national magazine devoted to the FCS. Athlon devoted none and The Sporting News who merged with Street and Smiths in ’08 had 18 pages devoted to 1AA or FCS teams last year.

Last year we devoted 136 pages of FCS coverage in our ACC/Big East regional. We went to a half-page on each FCS school and this year we have expanded our coverage again. I am pleased to announce that we now have devoted a full page each on all of the 124 teams in the FCS and expanded our coverage to 175 pages strictly on the FCS! Every team has a full page with the last 6 years results, 2009 statistical leaders that are bold and un-bold showing which players are coming back, the last 6 years statistics, this year’s schedule and a complete position-by-position breakdown which we expanded this year (roughly 1000 to 1500 words on each team)! Read more…

2010′s Homefield Edges

August 9th, 2010 No comments

I have gotten many requests to do a blog to explain how I compute each teams home field edge in the magazine. I have 27 different factors in my computer’s grade of a team. I then compare the computer’s analysis to my own and make the final decision.
While I mention that there are 27 factors in my home field computer ratings, there are actually nine individual factors that I use each year and I then combine the grades for the last three years giving half of the grade to last year, 30% to the numbers from two years ago and 20% to the computer rankings from three years ago.

Today I will go over the nine different areas that I use to rate home field edge. Read more…

Home/Away Record Differences

August 7th, 2010 6 comments

The last two days I have gone over how all 120 teams have fared at home this decade and how they have fared on the road. Here are the results for all 120 teams combined.

120 FBS Home team records: 4593-2651 (63.4%)

120 FBS Away team records: 2602-3957 (39.7%)

That means that on the average teams in the FBS (1A) have a home winning % that is 23.7% greater than their away winning percentage. Now you guys know me by now. I cant leave things go at just that without having a few more questions answered. I wonder which teams play at a much higher level at home than they do on the road. This would be answered by taking the home winning % and subtracting the road %. Also which teams are true road warriors almost playing as well on the road as they do at home? Here are the results for all 120 teams for their home and away records this decades. I ranked them in order of biggest disparity between home and away % to the lowest. Read more…

Away Records Past Decade

August 6th, 2010 No comments

Yesterday I took a look at the best and worst home teams this decade and today I take a look at the road warriors. Here are the current away records this decade.

Away Records Past Decade Read more…