Last year I started a weekly blog that included my surprise fantasy picks for each week of the college football season. Each week I picked the players that were flying under the radar and I continued my weekly surprise fantasy picks last week with a 4-2-5 record. Overall on the season I am 29-10-11 (66%). To check out last week’s picks click here. Here are my picks for this week.
Every week we will post my Forecasts of all the games involving Top 25 teams. As usual, it includes my computer’s projected box score for each game.
Last week the Top 25 Forecasts went 19-2 (90.4%) picking the winners of each game and have gone 76-10 (88.4%) so far this season! That record may sound great, but do keep in mind most games have involved teams that were big favorites so the majority of people will have a solid record on these games as well. On the bottom of the forecast, I have also listed some Upset Specials for this week. Click here for more!
Utah St was in a tough situation vs San Diego St last week. They had called the previous week’s home game vs Fresno St “their biggest game ever” and lost that game and also had a Friday night game vs BYU on deck. SDSt dominated as you would expect. In fact, they scored TD’s on their first 4 poss going 58/10, 59/4pl, 70/7pl and 97/6pl to lead 28-0 while Utah St managed 3 FD’s in that span. USt’s only score came after SDSt fumbled a punt on their own 17 and the Aggies got a TD. SDSt finished with a 504-245 yd edge. Read more…
NEWS AND NOTES: Miami was dominant in their 31-3 win over Pitt. In the 1H they had a 12-3 FD edge and in fact, Pitt’s first FD came with under 6:00 to go in the 1H but UM was int twice, once in the EZ and once at the Pitt 7 and only led 10-0. Pitt closed it to 17-3 at the start of the 4Q but fumble’d a punt and UM went 43/4pl for a TD. Pitt gained 71 of their yards on their final drive ending the game at the UM5 trailing 31-3. UM came in leading the NCAA in sacks and tfl and had 5 sk and 9 tfl vs the Panthers. Read more…
| RK | Team | FOE | OFF RUSH | OFF PASS | OFF PTS | DEF RUSH | DEF PASS | DEF PTS | Grade | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIAMI FLA | AT | Pittsburgh | 100 | 248 | 31 | 128 | 104 | 3 | 99 |
| 2 | ARIZONA ST | Oregon | 210 | 387 | 31 | 118 | 262 | 42 | 98.7 | |
| 2 | IOWA | Ball St | 256 | 306 | 45 | 56 | 56 | 0 | 98.7 | |
| 4 | STANFORD | AT | Notre Dame | 167 | 238 | 37 | 50 | 301 | 14 | 97.4 |
| 5 | NC ST | AT | Georgia Tech | 159 | 368 | 45 | 247 | 116 | 28 | 97.3 |
| 6 | MICHIGAN | Bowling Green | 468 | 253 | 65 | 51 | 249 | 21 | 96.5 | |
| 7 | FLORIDA | Kentucky | 176 | 290 | 48 | 99 | 253 | 14 | 95.8 | |
| 8 | FLORIDA ST | Wake Forest | 201 | 284 | 31 | 103 | 82 | 0 | 95.7 | |
| 9 | OHIO ST | E Michigan | 342 | 303 | 73 | 40 | 208 | 20 | 95.2 | |
| 10 | ALABAMA | AT | Arkansas | 227 | 197 | 24 | 63 | 359 | 20 | 95.1 |
| 11 | UCLA | AT | Texas | 260 | 27 | 34 | 85 | 263 | 12 | 94.8 |
| 12 | BOISE ST | Oregon St | 178 | 296 | 37 | 75 | 158 | 24 | 94.1 | |
| 13 | VIRGINIA TECH | AT | Boston College | 106 | 237 | 19 | 70 | 180 | 0 | 93.5 |
| 14 | SAN DIEGO ST | Utah St | 142 | 362 | 41 | 115 | 130 | 7 | 92.9 | |
| 15 | ARKANSAS | Alabama | 63 | 359 | 20 | 227 | 197 | 24 | 92.4 | |
| 16 | WISCONSIN | AUSTIN PEAY | 346 | 272 | 70 | 42 | 115 | 3 | 91.6 | |
| 17 | AUBURN | South Carolina | 337 | 159 | 35 | 77 | 302 | 27 | 91.3 | |
| 18 | UTAH | San Jose St | 272 | 155 | 56 | 94 | 78 | 3 | 91 | |
| 19 | USC | AT | Washington St | 282 | 330 | 50 | 67 | 256 | 16 | 89.9 |
| 20 | MISSOURI | Miami, Oh | 236 | 233 | 51 | 70 | 246 | 13 | 88.3 | |
| 21 | MISSISSIPPI | Fresno St | 425 | 153 | 55 | 30 | 390 | 38 | 86.9 | |
| 22 | MISS ST | Georgia | 179 | 135 | 24 | 113 | 274 | 12 | 86.6 | |
| 23 | NEVADA | AT | BYU | 239 | 196 | 27 | 91 | 229 | 13 | 85.8 |
| 24 | UAB | AT | Tennessee | 115 | 429 | 29 | 42 | 245 | 32 | 85.2 |
| 24 | PENN ST | Temple | 216 | 223 | 22 | 156 | 46 | 13 | 85.2 |
For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on every game that involves a FBS team.
I list the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games.
Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them! Here are the selections……. Read more…
Last year I started a weekly blog that included my surprise fantasy picks for each week of the college football season. Each week I picked the players that were flying under the radar and I continued my weekly surprise fantasy picks last week with an exceptional 7-5-3 record. Overall on the season I am 25-8-6 (70%). To check out last week’s picks click here. Here are my picks for this week.
Every week we will post my Forecasts of all the games involving Top 25 teams. As usual, it includes my computer’s projected box score for each game.
Last week the Top 25 Forecasts went 19-4 82.6% picking the winners of each game and have gone 57-8 (87.7%) so far this season. That record may sound great, but do keep in mind most games have involved teams that were big favorites so the majority of people will have a solid record on these games as well. On the bottom of the forecast, I have listed some Upset Specials which have gone 2-3 on the year. Combined this year’s record is 59-11 (84.3%)!! Click Here For More!
The UCF/Buffalo game was much closer than the final would indicate. In the 1H UCF got a 30 yd IR TD to take a 10-3 lead and Buffalo was intercepted in the EZ at the end of the 1H. At the half Buffalo had a 150-141 yd edge. Buffalo drove for a TD and the score was 10-10 in the 4Q when UCF got a TD with just 9:53 left. Buffalo went for it on 4&1 at its own 34 and was stopped and UCF tacked on a TD with 3:55 left 7 plays later. Buffalo was SOD at the UCF45 on their final drive and finished with 21-16 and 326-288 yd edges. Read more…
