Week 8 College Fantasy
Last year I started a weekly blog that included my surprise fantasy picks for each week of the college football season. Each week I picked the players that were flying under the radar and this year I have continued my weekly surprise fantasy picks. Last week I finished with a 6-4-2 record including big wins on QB Bryant Moniz, Hawaii who led the upset win over Nevada and WRs Greg Salas and Kealoha Pilares also from Hawaii who combined for 220 yds and 2 TD’s. Also all three of my defenses held their opponents under 20 pts and 300 total yds. Overall on the season I am 51-21-14 (65%). To check out last week’s picks click here. Here are my picks for this week.
My QB’s of the week are: Robert Bolden, Penn St, Dan Persa, Northwestern and Aaron Murray, Georgia
Robert Bolden, Penn St-Bolden’s first two road starts were at Alabama and at Iowa and both were at night. That is taking an exam on College Advanced Calculus and now he has a noon game vs the #118 pass efficiency defense in the country. That is like a first grade math quiz. Look for much better results and here we take a QB that is averaging just 196 pass ypg (56%) with a 4-7 ratio and it wouldn’t shock me if Bolden had a career best game here.
Dan Persa, Northwestern-Persa is #4 in the NCAA in pass efficiency with 277 pass ypg, 78%, and a 10-2 ratio and has accounted for 77% of the offense. This week he takes on a Michigan St pass defense that is the biggest ? mark on the team and in their only game this season against a top passing team gave up 369 pass yds to Notre Dame. The Wildcats are off a bye while MSU is off three straight tough games and I think Persa will surprise here and have a huge game and this is a surprise naturally with the Wildcats facing an undefeated top 10 team.
Aaron Murray, Georgia-I used redshirt frosh Murray a couple of weeks ago against Tennessee and called for him to have a career day and he had 266 yds (68%) with a 2-0 ratio and added 41 rush yds (5.9) and 2 TD’s. The Bulldogs and Murray had 4 straight losses w/out WR AJ Green at full health but have outscored their last two opp’s by a combined 84-14 with him 100%. This week Murray faces a Kentucky pass defense that is drained from the come-from-behind win against South Carolina and I look for Murray to keep putting up solid numbers and he gets the Bulldogs back to .500. Murray is a surprise pick with the fact that he is only a frosh and Kentucky is off a huge upset over South Carolina last week.
My RB’s of the week are: Bilal Powell, Louisville, Chad Spann, Northern Illinois and Robbie Rouse, Fresno St
Bilal Powell, Louisville-Powell is one of the most underrated RB’s in the country and already has 898 rush yds (7.8) and 9 TD’s. Last week Powell had a career-high 209 rush yds in a loss to Cincinnati and continues to improve each week. Powell this week takes on a Connecticut team that was one of the favorites in the Big East and has disappointed. In their two games vs strong rush offenses they gave up 287 (4.7) to Michigan and 194 (5.4) to Temple and I think Powell burns them for 100+ rush yds here.
Chad Spann, Northern Illinois-Spann has 753 rush yds (5.5) and 8 TD’s this season and easily leads the MAC. This week he takes on a Central Michigan defense that is allowing just 142 rush ypg but did allow 306 yds rushing (7.1) to Ball St just a few weeks ago. My computer calls for 237 yds rushing and it would not surprise me if Spann along with Harnish combine for nearly 200 yds here.
Robbie Rouse, Fresno St-Here is another name that is flying under the radar. Rouse has not been fully healthy this season but last week vs a similarly talented defense, Rouse ran for a season-high 150 yds and a pair of TD’s. This week he gets a decimated San Jose St defense and should have another 100+ rush yd day and a TD or two.
My WR’s of the week are: TE Tyler Eifert, Notre Dame, Dwayne Harris, East Carolina and Jeremy Ebert, Northwestern
TE Tyler Eifert, Notre Dame-Eifert stepped in last week for Rudolph who is out for the year and had 4 rec (18.0) and a TD in his very first start. This week he goes up against an undersized Navy defense and with WR Floyd not 100% and WR Riddick out for this one QB Crist will have to find other options and it would not surprise me if Eifert had a career day here and naturally this is a surprise pick as because I know most of you have never even heard of Eifert before.
Dwayne Harris, East Carolina-Harris is one of the best all-purpose players in the entire country and this week takes on a Marshall defense that is allowing 413 ypg. Harris could easily have 100+ yds receiving here as my computer projects 328 pass yds for the Pirates and if you throw in PR and KR yardage Harris could approach 200 all-purpose yds and anytime a player flying under the radar gets those kinds of numbers, he gets a surprise pick.
Jeremy Ebert, Northwestern-Ebert has quietly put together an outstanding season leading the Wildcats with 35 rec (16.0) and 5 TD’s and this week goes up against a shaky MSU pass defense that has not been tested much this year. My computer calls for 270 pass yds for the Wildcats and if that happens I have to think Ebert could have 100+ yds against the undefeated Spartans.
My Top Defenses of the Week: BYU, TCU and West Virginia
BYU vs Wyoming-The Cougar defense has looked like a completely different unit since HC Mendenhall took over and a week after holding San Diego St to just 53 rush yds they held TCU to 108 rush yds (Horned Frogs avg 279 ypg). This week they get a Wyoming team that they have shutout the last two years (combined 96-0) and this year the Cowboys are avg just 12 ppg and 232 ypg. My computer calls for just 10 ppg and 218 yds for Wyoming which easily would be the best numbers given up by a BYU defense all year.
TCU vs Air Force-Air Force comes in the nation’s #1 rush offense (347 ypg) but did lose FB Tew a key part of their offense last week (out 4 weeks). TCU’s speed on defense has throttled Air Force the last few years holding them to 161 and 142 total yards in ’07 and ‘08. The last time here I used TCU as my defense of the week and they allowed a late 57 yard TD run or they would have held Air Force under 100 yards offense. TCU had a streak of 175 minutes without a point end on a BYU FG last week and a new streak begins.
West Virginia vs Syracuse-Syracuse got off to a 4-1 start this year but had wins vs winless Akron and FCS Maine and Colgate and last week were exposed vs Pittsburgh with just 14 pts. The WV defense is having a great year allowing just 246 total ypg (#5 in NCAA) and just 83 rush yds (2.6) (#4 in NCAA). My computer projects just 230 yds and 12 pts here for the Orange and I agree as the Mountaineers continue to impress on the defensive side of the ball.
Upset of the Week:
Northwestern over Michigan St
This is a dangerous game for Michigan St as it will be the first time all season that they leave the state of Michigan. Northwestern is off a bye and would be undefeated if not for 2 missed 4Q FG’s against Purdue two weeks ago. Their QB Dan Persa in his first year as the full-time starter has accounted for 77% of the offense and is #4 in the NCAA in pass efficiency with a 78% comp % and a 10-2 ratio. Last week MSU trailed Illinois 6-3 at the half before winning 26-6 but their top RB’s Bell and Baker were held to a combined 37 yds (2.1). The Spartans are 7-0 for the first time since 1966 but I’ll call for the upset here as the Wildcats perform well after a loss under Fitzgerald and with the extra time to prepare knock off the Spartans.
A special thanks to our friends at CollegeFantasyFootballInsider.com for providing us with their Week 8 Rankings
We are more than halfway through the season and its crunch time for fantasy owners. For most, this is a must win week to stay in the playoff hunt. And as usual we identify the top players for this week’s college fantasy football action.
Visit CollegeFantasyFootballInsider.com for more player rankings and projections.
A special thanks to our friends at CollegeFootballGeek.com for providing us with their Sneaky Plays for Week 8
The eighth week of the college football season is already here and there may be some owners looking for some under the radar fantasy options. Check out who we think could fill in nicely for fantasy teams in Week 8.
Carson Coffman QB Kansas State vs. Baylor:
Coffman is coming of a career game in which he accounted for 220 yards and a whopping 5 scores which included 3 on the ground. This week he gets to face a shaky Bears defense that ranks 80th in the country in total defense. While Daniel Thomas may be the focal point of the Wildcats offense, there is room for Coffman to continue to improve and maybe post some quality numbers for fantasy owners.
Jeff Godfrey QB Central Florida vs. Rice:
Godfrey has been sharing time with Rob Calabrese this season, but Calabrese tore his ACL and is out for the rest of the season. The Owls and their 116th ranked pass defense might be just what Godfrey needs to show off his talents. With the position all to himself this weekend, Godfrey could be a nice reward for fantasy owners.
Stephen Garcia QB South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt:
Garcia is enjoying a solid season as the Cocks quarterback and could be counted on heavily this week with stud running back, Marcus Lattimore expected to miss the game against the Commodores. Garcia threw for 382 yards and two scores last week against Kentucky and may have to put it in the air often this week as well. Fantasy owners could expect 250 yards and 2 or 3 scores against Vandy.
Aaron Murray QB Georgia vs. Kentucky:
Murray has been better than expected and is coming off a 323 combined yard and 2 score effort versus Vanderbilt. He has shown the ability to take off and gain yards on the ground which could happen this week against a Kentucky defense that struggles to stop the run. Another 300 combined yards and a couple of scores could certainly be possible for Murray this week against the Wildcats.
Robbie Rouse RB Fresno State vs. San Jose State:
Rouse has had a disappointing fantasy season due to injuries, but he exploded last week for 150 yards and 2 scores on the ground last week against New Mexico State. This week he rushes against a pathetic San Jose State rush defense that ranks 106th
Daniel Herron RB Ohio State vs. Purdue:
Herron seems to have taken control of the Buckeye backfield and is getting the lion share of carries each week. He churned out 91 yards and 2 scores last week in a loss to Wisconsin. He has even been used in the Wildcat formation in recent weeks. Another 100 total yards and 1 or 2 touchdowns could be well within his reach this week against the Boilermakers.
Stepfan Taylor RB Stanford vs. Washington State:
Taylor has been on fire recently with 100-yard efforts in three straight games. This week he could get that again in a half of football against the always-pathetic Cougars defense. Fantasy owners could see #1 RB numbers this week out of Taylor and would be wise to have him in their starting lineups. There are no sure things in fantasy football as we all know, but Taylor having a good game this week is about as close as it gets.
Keola Antolin RB Arizona vs. Washington:
Antolin is coming off a 92 yard and 2 score game against Washington State and is getting significant carries each week. With starting quarterback Nick Foles out to injury, the Cats may rely on the run even more than usual and that could be a very good thing for Antolin and his fantasy owners. It also doesn’t hurt that the Huskies rush defense ranks 98th nationally.
Wide Receivers & Tight Ends
Wes Kemp WR Missouri vs. Oklahoma:
Kemp was one of the hot “sleeper” names coming out of camp this summer, but has not lived up to expectations thus far. He may have arrived last week with his 89 yards and 2 touchdown performance against Texas A&M. The Sooners have been susceptible to the pass this season and rank a surprisingly low 81st against the pass. He may not reach last week’s stats, but he could very well find some success this week in prime time.
Lester Jean WR Florida Atlantic vs. Arkansas State:
Jean started off the season strong, but has been in a funk recently with low numbers. The Red Wolves and their 105th ranked pass defense might be just what it takes to get Jean back on track and a fantasy option. It looks entirely possible that Jean could find the end zone this week.
Dwight Jones WR North Carolina vs. Miami:
Jones had a monster game last week with 198 yards receiving and two touchdowns against Virginia. The Heels might have to air it out this week to move the ball against the Canes and Jones could be a big part of that attack. While it’s not an optimal match up this week and he will not match last week’s blow up performance, Jones could still be a nice option in Week 8.
Chad Bumphis WR Mississippi State vs. UAB:
To put it simply, Bumphis has big games against lesser competition and struggles against better opponents. The good thing is that he plays an overmatched Blazers and their 92nd ranked pass defense, so it follows that Bumphis should be in line for a nice stat line this week.
Tyler Eifert TE Notre Dame vs. Navy:
Eifert was spectacular in filling in for the injured Kyle Rudolph last week. He had 72 yards and a touchdown against Western Michigan and showed he could be an integral part of the Golden Domers pass offense for the rest of the season. With two wide receivers banged up this week, Eifert could see even more action against Navy.
Texas vs. Iowa State
West Virginia vs. Syracuse
Central Florida vs. Rice
Stanford vs. Washington State
Idaho vs. New Mexico State
Virginia vs. Eastern Michigan
Mississippi State vs. UAB
South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt
There you have it everyone, enjoy this week’s action and always remember to have fun playing college fantasy football.
For more college fantasy football information, visit CollegeFootballGeek.com:
- Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em
- Injury Reports
- Player Stock Reports
- Player Rankings
- Sneaky Plays of the Week
- Waiver Wire Reports
CollegeFootballGeek.com is your home for 2010 college fantasy football content! Draft kit, injury reports, player news, player projections, player rankings, mock drafts, community forums, and much more!
A special thanks to our friends at CollegeFootballGeek.com for providing us with their Week 8 Player Rankings
|QUARTERBACKS||RUNNING BACKS||WIDE RECEIVERS|
|1||Cam Newton||AUB||1||LaMichael James||OREG||1||Greg Salas||HAW|
|2||Robert Griffin||BAY||2||Bobby Rainey||WKEN||2||Justin Blackmon||OKST|
|3||Dominique Davis||ECAR||3||Ronnie Hillman||SDST||3||Kealoha Pilares||HAW|
|4||Bryant Moniz||HAW||4||Jordan Todman||CON||4||Ryan Broyles||OKLA|
|5||Jerrod Johnson||TXA&M||5||Bilal Powell||LOUIS||5||Alshon Jeffrey||SCAR|
|6||Ryan Aplin||ARKST||6||Shane Vereen||CAL||6||Randall Cobb||KENT|
|7||Kyle Padron||SMU||7||Daniel Thomas||KANST||7||Dwayne Harris||ECU|
|8||Andrew Luck||STAN||8||DeMarco Murray||OKLA||8||AJ Green||GEO|
|9||Tyrod Taylor||VTECH||9||Chad Spann||NILL||9||Aldrick Robinson||SMU|
|10||Terrelle Pryor||OHST||10||Vick Ballard||MISST||10||Armon Binns||CINN|
|11||Ryan Mallett (inj)||ARK||11||Jacquise Terry||KENTST||11||Eric Page||TOLEDO|
|12||Taylor Potts (inj)||TTECH||12||Stephan Taylor||STAN||12||Kamar Jorden||BGREEN|
|13||Zach Collaros||CIN||13||Mark Ingram||ALAB||13||Jeff Fuller||TAMU|
|14||Taylor Martinez||NEB||14||Keith Payne||VIRG||14||Mohamed Sanu||RUT|
|15||Landry Jones||OKLA||15||Bryce Beall||HOU||15||TJ Moe||MIZZU|
|16||Darron Thomas||OREG||16||Christine Michael||TXA&M||16||James Cleveland||HOU|
|17||Andy Dalton||TCU||17||Daniel Herron||OHST||17||Vincent Brown||SDSU|
|18||Aaron Murray||GEORG||18||Rodney Stewart||COLO||18||Tandon Doss||IND|
|19||Dwight Dasher||MDTEN||19||Adam Robinson||IOWA||19||Greg Childs||ARK|
|20||David Piland||HOU||20||Kendall Hunter||OKST||20||Jeremy Ebert||NW|
|21||Jake Locker||WASH||21||Bernard Pierce||TEMP||21||Armand Robinson||MIA-OH|
|22||Mike Hartline||KNTKY||22||Mikel LeShoure||ILLIN||22||Patrick Edwards||HOU|
|23||Dan Persa||NW||23||Andre Ellington||CLEM||23||DJ Koulianos||IOWA|
|24||Nathan Enderle||IDAHO||24||John Clay||WISC||24||Darius Johnson||SMU|
|25||Ben Chappell||IND||25||Jonathan Williams||ECAR||25||Lance Lewis||ECU|
|26||Steven Threet||ARZST||26||Ed Wesley||TCU||26||D. Sanzenbacher||OHIOST|
|27||Austin Dantin||TOLED||27||Alfred Morris||FAU||27||DJ Woods||CINN|
|28||Ryan Lindley||SDST||28||Zach Line||SMU||28||Demarlo Belcher||IND|
|29||Chandler Harnish||NILL||29||Edwin Baker||MCHST||29||L. Hankerson||MIA-FL|
|30||Josh Nesbitt||GTECH||30||Adonis Thomas||TOLED||30||Joe Adams||ARK|
|31||Alex Carder||WMICH||31||Brandon Bolden||MISS||31||Lyle Leong||TTECH|
|32||Brandon Weeden||OKST||32||Eddie Wide||UTAH||32||Jarrett Boykin||VTECH|
|33||Dayne Crist||ND||33||Baron Batch||TTECH||33||Kris Adams||UTEP|
|34||Diondre Borel||UTST||34||Trent Richardson||ALAB||34||Jermaine Kearse||WASH|
|35||Boo Jackson||OHIO||35||Montell Harris||BC||35||Chris Matthews||KENT|
|36||Stephen Garcia||SCAR||36||Washaun Ealey||GEORG||36||Kendall Wright||BAY|
|37||Rikcy Stanzi||IOWA||37||Ronnie Weaver||UCF||37||Terrance Toliver||LSU|
|38||Blaine Gabbert||MIZZU||38||Damien Berry||MIAFL||38||Lester Jean||FAU|
|39||Geno Smith||WVU||39||Anthony Allen||GTECH||39||D. Christopher||UTAH|
|40||Zac Dysert||MIAOH||40||James White||WISC||40||Marcus Rivers||BUFF|
|41||Matt Schilz||BG||41||Chris Polk||WASH||41||Michael Floyd (inj)||ND|
|42||Greg McElroy||ALAB||42||Robbie Rouse||FRESN||42||Cole Beasley||SMU|
|43||Jeremiah Masoli||MISS||43||Dion Lewis||PITT||43||Juan Nunez||WMU|
|44||Kirk Cousins||MCHST||44||JJ Di Luigi||BYU||44||Juron Criner||ARIZ|
|45||Jordan Wynn||UTAH||45||Roy Helu||NEB||45||Darvin Adams||AUB|
|46||Garrett Gilbert||TEXAS||46||Paris Cotton||CMICH||46||Dwayne Frampton||ARKST|
|47||Matt Scott||ARIZ||47||LeVeon Bell||MCHST||47||Jeff Maehl||ORE|
|48||Chris Relf||MISST||48||Roy Royster||PSU||48||Justin Veltung||IDAHO|
|49||Adam Weber||MINN||49||Eric Stephens||TTECH||49||Andrew Cruse||MIA-OH|
|50||Kolton Browning||LAMON||50||Donald Buckram||UTEP||50||Jereme Brooks||UTAH|
|1||Michael Egnew||MIZZU||1||Devin Barclay||OHIO ST||1||Utah|
|6||Rob Housler||FAU||2||Joe Phillips||UTAH||2||Texas|
|3||Ladarius Green||ULL||3||Dan Conroy||MICH ST||3||Ohio State|
|5||Drake Dunsmore||NW||4||Nate Whitaker||STAN||4||Alabama|
|4||Lance Kendricks||WISC||5||Blair Walsh||UGA||5||TCU|
|2||Daniel Hardy||IDAHO||6||Kevin Goessling||FRESN||6||Oregon|
|7||Tyler Eifert||ND||7||Chris Hazley||VTECH||7||Virginia Tech|
|8||Jack Doyle||WKU||8||Scott Enos||NW||8||Stanford|
|9||DJ Williams||ARK||9||David Ruffer||ND||9||Mississippi State|
|10||Eric Lair||MINN||10||Justin Tucker||TEXAS||10||Iowa|
|11||David Paulson||OREG||11||Rob Beard||OREG||11||South Carolina|
|12||Coby Fleener||STAN||12||Alan Gendreau||MTSU||12||UCF|
|13||Collin Franklin||ISU||13||Eric Folk||WASH||13||Virginia|
|14||Vance McDonald||RICE||14||Colin Wagner||PSU||14||Connecticut|
|15||Allen Reisner||IOWA||15||Josh Jasper||LSU||15||Miami(FL)|
|16||Ben Guidugli||CINN||16||Ross Evans||TCU||16||Idaho|
|17||Dwayne Allen||CLEM||17||Alex Henery||NEB||17||West Virginia|
|18||Ryan Deehan||COLO||18||Dan Bailey||OKST||18||Nebraska|
|19||Ted Bolser||IND||19||Ben Ryan||ECU||19||Oklahoma|
|20||Ben Thayer||EMU||20||Wes Byrum||AUB||20||W. Michigan|
|21||Cody Sparks||TULANE||21||Philip Welch||WISC||21||Fresno State|
|22||Brandon Barden||VANDY||22||Trey Farquhar||IDAHO||22||Penn State|
|23||Jake Stoneburner||OHIOST||23||Dave Teggart||CONN||23||Pittsburgh|
|24||Danny Noble||TOLEDO||24||Grant Ressel||MIZZU||24||No. Illinois|
|25||Cameron Graham||LVILLE||25||Derek Dimke||ILLINI||25||Boston College|
|For complete college fantasy football player rankings and statistical projections, visit the CFG Big Board.|
|Scoring System Used for CFG Rankings:|
|4 points per passing touchdown|
|6 points per rushing/receiving touchdown|
|25 passing yards = 1 point|
|10 rushing/receiving yards = 1 point|
|1 interception = -2 point|
|1 reception = 0.5 points|