Offensive and Defensive YPP 2007-2010
Eight years ago I did an article on ypp and every year there are some solid charts for you to review. First of all, let’s explain what ypp is exactly. A ypp is simply yards per point. An offense is more efficient when their ypp is a lower number. If a team had an offensive ypp of 10.0, that would mean for every 200 yards they gained, they scored 20 points. Meanwhile, if they had an offensive ypp of 20.0, then for every 200 yards they gained, they only scored 10 points. On the other side of the ball, defenses want to have a higher ypp. Inverting the same thought, if a team allowed 200 yards and had a 20.0 ypp, that means they would allow just 10 points for every 200 yards the opposition traveled, whereas a 10.0 ypp would be 20 points for every 200 yards allowed. When I started this research in 1990, the average ypp for a team was 15.44 and the median was 15.49. It surprises me how much the median has dropped inside this decade. Here is what the YPP was in 2000.
YPP in 2000
|2000 OFF YPP||2000 DEF YPP|
|Kansas St.||10.37||Florida St.||27.02|
|Miami (Fla.)||10.81||Western Mich.||24.45|
|Boise St.||11.05||Miami (Fla.)||21.57|
|San Diego St.||19.74||Rutgers||11.67|
Here are the top and bottom YPP performances on both offense and defense from 2007-2010.
YPP Last 4 Years
|2010 OFF YPP||2009 OFF YPP||2008 OFF YPP||2007 OFF YPP|
|Kansas St.||11.27||Temple||11.29||Utah||10.86||Boise St.||11.03|
|Ohio St.||11.57||Arkansas||11.87||Missouri||11.47||Virginia Tech||11.51|
|UCF||11.66||TCU||11.92||Kansas St.||11.52||West Virginia||11.52|
|Colorado St.||20.29||Washington St.||20.72||Tulane||20.38||Baylor||19.33|
|Memphis||19.77||San Jose St.||20.65||Washington||19.86||Miami (Ohio)||19.08|
|San Jose St.||19.60||New Mexico St.||20.01||Army||19.50||Temple||18.32|
|New Mexico St.||18.93||Tulane||19.43||Washington St.||18.99||Iowa St.||18.00|
|Fla. Atlantic||17.98||New Mexico||19.31||Virginia||18.64||Florida Int’l||17.88|
|Eastern Mich.||17.55||Vanderbilt||18.76||Mississippi St.||18.03||Northern Ill.||17.71|
|Kansas||17.35||Louisville||18.47||Miami (Ohio)||17.70||New Mexico St.||17.64|
|2010 DEF YPP||2009 DEF YPP||2008 DEF YPP||2007 DEF YPP|
|Alabama||21.15||Penn St.||22.44||Boise St.||24.43||Utah||19.50|
|Boise St.||19.95||Ohio St.||20.92||Iowa||22.41||Kansas||19.37|
|West Virginia||19.28||Florida||20.32||Ohio St.||21.10||Connecticut||18.49|
|TCU||19.04||LSU||20.18||Penn St.||19.47||Virginia Tech||18.48|
|Stanford||18.57||Iowa St.||19.04||West Virginia||19.35||Ohio St.||18.25|
|Ohio St.||18.33||Oklahoma||18.75||Texas||18.27||Air Force||17.49|
|Eastern Mich.||10.34||Rice||10.77||Washington St.||10.11||North Texas||10.79|
|New Mexico||10.58||Miami (OH)||11.04||Idaho||11.04||Idaho||11.34|
|La.-Lafayette||10.80||Eastern Mich.||11.17||New Mexico St.||11.14||Florida Int’l||11.45|
|East Carolina||10.88||Tulane||11.53||Tulane||11.34||New Mexico St.||11.87|
|UNLV||11.35||North Texas||11.59||Eastern Mich.||11.48||Rice||11.90|
|Mississippi||11.35||North Carolina St.||11.59||UCLA||11.64||Navy||12.07|
|Western Ky.||11.46||New Mexico||11.66||Washington||11.71||Pittsburgh||12.27|
|New Mexico St.||11.48||Idaho||12.03||Wyoming||11.88||Iowa St.||12.29|
|Memphis||11.56||Syracuse||12.07||Utah St.||11.90||Notre Dame||12.42|
Last year the avg was just 13.7 and the median was 13.9. I found teams that have a high offensive ypp (move the ball but do not score) the previous year generally have a stronger record the next season. Let’s look at teams that had an unusually high ypp the previous year (an inefficient offense). 27 teams have had a ypp greater than 22.3 since 1990 and ALL 27 have had a stronger or identical record the next year. Wyoming was the last team over 22.3 (23.35 in ’08) went from 4-8 to a bowl. Last year Miami, Oh was atop the chart at 22.04 and went from 1-11 to 10-4!!
Teams that had an extremely low ypp the previous year usually have a weaker record the next season. The statistics are not as dominant as the high ypp, probably because there are some teams that benefit from turnovers on a yearly basis, keeping their ypp low. Teams whose ypp were less than 11.56 the previous year had either a weaker or the same record 73.6% of the time the next year.
Now let’s take a look at the teams under the defensive ypp that were fortunate and not so fortunate last year. If a team allows a defensive ypp of 13.29 or lower (meaning they gave up a lot of points but not a lot of yds), their record improves or is the same the next year 68.8% of the time. Teams whose defensive ypp was 17.35 or greater the previous year have a weaker or the same record the following year 64.6% of the time. In 2007 just 5 fit the 20.35 and higher standard and ALL 5 had the same or weaker record (4 weaker).