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Week 7 Top 25 Forecasts

Every week I will post my forecasts of all the games involving Top 25 teams. As usual, it includes my computer’s projected box score for each game. Last week the Top 25 Forecasts went 19-2 (90%) and so far this season I am 109-15 (88%).

Last year the Top 25 forecasts went 205-60 (77%)! On the bottom of the forecasts, I have also listed some Upset Specials for this week.

 

#1 LSU AT TENNESSEE

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
LSU 167
158
29
1.2
•••
TENNESSEE
49
268
18
2.5
-
The past 4 and 6 of the L7 have been decided by 8 or less. LSU has won 3 straight and has outgained the Vols by 189 ypg . LY LSU had a 434-217 yd edge but 4 TO’s had Tenn up late and they “won” the gm but had too many men on the field which gave LSU one more chance and they got a TD to escape 16-14 at home. Tenn’s young tm (8 ret st’rs) went 0-3 LY at home vs ranked teams but in all 3 losses they were competitive early and were worn out in the 2H (13-13 Oreg, 3-7 Fla, 10-13 Bama). The same thing happened LW as the Vols were tied w/UGA 6-6 at HT but wore down in the 2H in a 20-12 loss as they were outgained 366-270. On UT’s TD drive late in the 4Q, QB Bray (316 ypg, 66%, 14-2 ratio) hurt the thumb on his throwing hand (out 4W) and was replaced by Simms. The UT rush off continues to struggle avg just 85 ypg (2.5) and will find it tough sledding vs an LSU run D all’g just 69 ypg (2.3). LW the Tigers took advantage of the Gators starting their 3rd string QB and rolled to a 41-11 win with 20-9 FD and 453-213 yd edges. QB Lee continued his efficient play and is now avg 158 ypg (60%) but most importantly an 8-1 ratio. Jefferson, back from susp the L/2W, has been used on occasion to take advantage of his running ability. LSU has the edges on off (#22-37), D (#2-25) and ST’s (#16-87) but they have a big gm vs Bama looming in the distance and Aub on deck.

PHIL’S FORECAST:  LSU 23 TENNESSEE 16

 

#2 ALABAMA AT MISSISSIPPI

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
ALABAMA 240
203
34
1.7
-
MISSISSIPPI
76
138
8
2.6
Alabama has won 7 str in this series but 4 of those have been decided by 4 pts or less. LY Bama was off a loss to SC dropping from #1 but only finished with a 15-13 FD edge (23-10). The Tide continues to take care of business on the road going 13-2. LW QB McCarron threw for a career-high 237 yds and 4 TD’s (has not thrown an int since opener) while Heisman candidate Richardson had his 5th str 100 yd gm as the Tide won 34-0. Their D continued to live up to their lofty #1 ranking getting their 2nd shutout of the ssn. Before the bye week, the Rebels had their most complete game of the ssn as they beat Fresno 38-28. QB Mackey got his 1st start and threw for 214 yds and RB Scott now leads with 350 (5.1). Bama’s #1 D is facing a Ole Miss off that ranks just #81 and a QB making just his 2nd start. Roll Tide!

PHIL’S FORECAST:  ALABAMA 41 MISSISSIPPI 6

 

#3 OKLAHOMA AT KANSAS

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
OKLAHOMA 195
408
59
1.1
••
KANSAS
116
208
17
3.4
OU has won 6 straight by 22 ppg incl the last gm in ‘09. OU has stayed focused after the RRR winning 12 straight. LW the Sooners scored a school record 3 D TD’s for their biggest win (55-17) over rival Texas S/’03. UT’s 5 TO’s were turned into 31 Sooners pts and the Horns scored their only off TD with 3:06 left. QB Jones is avg 363 ypg (69%, 13-5) despite not having his full compliment of WR’s TY until the RRR. Sooners are #1 pass eff D (220, 51%, 5-9). LW’s the Jayhawks were drubbed 70-28 at OSU in which the Cowboys scored TD’s on their 1st 8 poss to jump out to a 56-7 HT lead while the Hawks helped matters with 4 1H TO’s. QB Webb is #8 FBS pass eff (226 ypg, 68%, 11-5) but lacks playmakers in the WR corps. The Hawks D is last in the FBS in scoring (49.4), ttl (556) and pass eff (333, 73%, 16-1!). OU continues to pad their BCS resume.

PHIL’S FORECAST: OKLAHOMA 59 KANSAS 17

 

#4 WISCONSIN VS INDIANA

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
INDIANA 70
205
11
2.7
-
WISCONSIN
295
295
50
1.4
In the L5Y Wisc is 5-0 avg 51 ppg vs Indy with a 25 ppg MOV and an avg of +227 ypg. LY Indy lost their QB down 24-10 and lost 83-20 here in Madison amid running up the score charges. TY Wisky is off a bye after demolishing #8 Neb 48-17. The Huskers actually led 14-13 before the Badgers turned 3 int into 3 TD’s which blew the gm open. Heisman contender QB Wilson (278 ypg, 75%, 13-1) has been the “free agent pickup” of the year as he’s #1 FBS pass eff which has perfectly complimented the rugged gm led by RB duo of Ball (511, 5.5) and White (329, 5.9). Unheralded Badgers D have all’d 3 meaningful TD’s in 5 gms (and 3 in garbage time). IU meanwhile is playing for a 7th straight week and this is their 1st B10 road game. Thanks to an opening KR TD IU jumped out to 10-0 lead over undefeated IL before crashing back to earth in a 41-20 home loss in which they were outgained 518-302. With the starting QB for the 1st 4 gms (Wright-Baker) out for the 2nd gm in a row (ankle), IU turned to true Fr Roberson (11-17-148, 1 int) after st’r Kiel (6-19-71) suffered an ankle inj. IU had 7 P, 2 TO and 2 FG on their first 11 drives for 165 yds before gaining 137 on their final 2 after IL took a 21 pt lead. UW is running for 5.5 ypc TY while IU allows 4.6 ypc which spells trouble.

PHIL’S FORECAST:  WISCONSIN 52 INDIANA 10

 

#5 BOISE ST AT COLORADO STATE

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
BOISE ST 196
280
40
1.9
-
COLORADO ST
44
170
5
3.3
-
1st meeting. Boise is off a Fri Night Marquee win over Fresno, 57-7, leaving a lasting impression on pollsters in their final gm on ESPN. BSU built a 30-0 lead before FSU even crossed midfield (FSU’s only TD on 79 yd PR). Moore, coming off a subpar gm 2W ago, hit 23-31-254 with 3 TD and is now avg 278 ypg (74%) with a 17-4 ratio. CSU is off a bye after losing to SJSt on HC 2W ago. QB Thomas is avg 218 ypg (67%) with a 6-5 ratio (BSU #5 pass eff D). RB’s Carter (260, 4.9, 2 TD) and Nwoke (231, 3.7, 4) handle the bulk of the action while WR Greenwood (257, 17.1, 2) and TE Gillmore (222, 10.6, 3) pace the rec gm. BSU has taken on my 6th toughest sked (CSU #118) and takes on AF’s option next wk (may sneak in some prep work). CSU is 6-14 in MW HG’s (avg loss by 16 ppg) and could stay closer than what many will expect..

PHIL’S FORECAST:  BOISE ST 37 COLORADO ST 13

 

#6 OKLAHOMA ST AT #22 TEXAS

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
OKLAHOMA ST 62
348
38
2.6
••
TEXAS
199
278
34
3.4
-
OSU dominated LY leading 33-3 into the 4Q before they allowed 2 gbg TD’s. Prior to LY’s loss the Horns had won TWELVE in a row in the series by 17.5 ppg incl a 41-14 win in Stillwater over a #13 OSU team. Have to believe this game is special to the Horns as their conf home opener after going 0-4 at home in B12 play LY! LY UT allowed a ssn high 532 yds incl 409 passing. OSU does have a schedule edge off a bye and home game vs Kansas while Texas is off an embarrassing 55-17 RRR loss to rival to OU in which the Sooners ret’d 3 of the Horns 5 TO’s for TD’s. The FD’s were actually even (22) but OU had a 453-259 yd edge and UT scored its only offensive TD with 3:06 left. Frosh QB’s McCoy and Ash supplied 4 of the TO’s and the Horns all’d 8 sks (just 4 in 1st 4 gms). UT is #4 pass eff D (216, 54%, 5-6). OSU feasted on 4 Kansas 1H TO’s to score TD’s on their 1st 8 poss of the gm in a 70-28 win. QB Weeden is the FBS’s #2 passer (376, 76%, 15-6) and it helps to have targets like Blackmon (46, 11.6). OSU allows 166 rush ypg (4.4). This game comes down to the wire unlike LW’s RRR game.

PHIL’S FORECAST:  OKLAHOMA ST 38 TEXAS 35

 

#7 STANFORD AT WASHINGTON STATE

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
STANFORD 204
275
41
1.8
••
WASHINGTON ST
66
320
18
2.1
-
The margin on Stanford’s L/3 wins has decreased from 58 to 26 to 10 LY although it was somewhat misleading as the Cougs trailed 31-7 into the 4Q amassing 9 FD’s (47%) and 245 yds (63%) in the final quarter. For the 2nd time in 3 gms WSU blew a 2H lead, this time coming into the 4Q (8 pt lead vs UCLA, WSU had 3 FG’s of 26 yds or less) and now moves to 3-2 where they very well could be undefeated (28-15 FD and 389-371 yd edges vs Bruins). QB Luck and the SU offense put up 553 yds en route to a 41 pt win over Colorado. SU’s offense outgained 6 of 7 opponents away from home (not Oregon) LY by 185 ypg and have been just as impressive on the road TY outgaining Duke and Arizona by 202 ypg. They have however kept opponents in games longer than they would like (led CU just 13-7 in 2Q). The Cardinal have the nation’s longest win streak, but it must be noted that the only team they’ve faced with a winning record TY has been Duke (3-2).

PHIL’S FORECAST:  STANFORD 41 WASHINGTON ST 24

#8 CLEMSON AT MARYLAND

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
CLEMSON 170
278
29
1.8
•••
MARYLAND
146
188
19
2.3
-

This series has seen 4 upsets in the L6Y. LTH CU blew an early 10-0 lead. In the 4Q CU missed 47 and 48 yd FG’s but had a FD at the M32 driving for a tie/win but 3pl later was sk’d and fmbl’d and lost 24-21. LY was very misleading as MD had FD and yd edges (+137) but after a 7-3 lead, all’d an 87 yd KR TD and a 61 yd IR TD while also missing a 33 yd FG, SOD at C29, int at C21 and CU won 31-7. LW CU put up 17 quick pts in the 1Q but lost QB Boyd in the 3Q in their 36-14 win over BC but Boyd should be back. CU is now avg over 450 yds in 5 of the L/6 gms (323 vs VT) and the defense has all’d 260 ypg the L/2W. MD mounted a comeback led by a bkp QB (trailed 21-3 3Q) but fell short 21-16 to GT. There is a QB controversy in MD as Edsall pulled LY’s ACC FOY O’Brien after a 1 for 6 start for unproven soph CJ Brown. Despite playing w/o several key players on D MD held GT’s #2 scoring O to a ssn low 386 yds. Clemson has all the edges here incl off (#17-73) and ST’s (#33-110) and is rolling.

PHIL’S FORECAST:  CLEMSON 34 MARYLAND 17

 

#9 OREGON VS #18 ARIZONA STATE

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
ARIZONA ST 137
265
30
2.0
-
OREGON
298
245
42
3.1
-
This could very well be the preview to the inaugural P12 Title Game. The Ducks come into this home matchup with a few extra days rest after their Thurs night win over Cal (trailed by 1 at HT, won by 28) while the Sun Devils travel North for a 2nd straight week after LW’s win over Utah, a game in which ASU scored the final 25 pts. In LY’s meeting the Ducks were very fortunate to escape the desert with a win as they were outFD’d 31-20 and outgained 597-385 but a -5 TO margin did in the Sun Devils. Oregon has now won 19 straight HG’s dating back to ‘08 incl a 6-0 run LY in which they outgained foes by an amazing 305 ypg. While UO will likely be w/o RB James for a bit (inj vs Cal), the Ducks have plenty of depth at the position to maintain their success.

PHIL’S FORECAST:  OREGON 47 ARIZONA ST 30

 

#11 MICHIGAN AT #23 MICHIGAN STATE

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
MICHIGAN 168
135
24
2.6
-
MICHIGAN ST
152
285
21
2.5
MSU has had 3 straight wins since Mike Hart’s infamous “little brother” comment (+182 ypg). LY UM led 10-7 mid-2Q LY before allowing 24 unanswered. QB Robinson was handcuffed for most of the gm accounting for 3 TO’s including 2 int inside the MSU5 (1 in EZ). UM is off their 42-24 win at NW in their 1st road trip of the yr. UM trailed 24-14 at the half but scored 4 TD on 5 2H poss (1 missed FG) while NW had TO’s on 2 straight poss as the Wolves pulled away. QB D-Rob (206, 56%, 10-9, B10’s #1 rusher 674, 7.2) shook off 3 1H int which set the Cats up for 10 pts. Improved UM D allows 13 ppg (#9 FBS). MSU is off a bye after their misleading 10-7 manhandling of OSU, their 1st win over the Bucks S/‘99. MSU had 9 sks and a 321-178 yd edge and held OSU to 77 yds until their final 2 drives allowing a TD pass with :10 left to lose the shutout. Spartans top weapon is WR Cunningham (38, 15.3) while a banged up OL should be closer to 100% which could help kick start a stagnant run gm (50 ypg, 1.9 vs 2 BCS foes). Spartans are #1 FBS in ttl D (173 ypg), #3 scoring (10.2) with 64 rush ypg (2.2) and keep in mind they only all’d 275 yds in their loss at ND. MSU looks to win their 4th straight over their rival for the 1st time S/’62.

PHIL’S FORECAST:  MICHIGAN ST 31 MICHIGAN 24

 

#12 GEORIGA TECH AT VIRGINIA

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
GEORGIA TECH 300
93
33
1.7
-
VIRGINIA
196
223
23
2.7
••
GT has now won B2B gms and DC Al Groh who was the HC here for 9 ssns returns “home”. UVA’s rush D is the obvious concern as they allowed 477 (6.4) to GT LY and on the season allowed 5.1 ypc. UVA is more prepared under London in his 2nd ssn all’g 116 (3.5) so far. They are off a bye to prep for the unique offense and hosted Idaho the week prior while the Jackets are playing their 4th straight ACC game. GT held off MD LW 21-16 a game they led 21-3 in 3Q. GT should have been up big in the 1H but were plagued by penalties, miscues and 7 dropped passes incl 4 huge pass plays for possible TD’s. HC Johnson went conservative in the 2H and took the pitch/pass out of QB Washington’s hands which made his triple option (avg 578 ypg) 1 dimensional (1 drive over 5pl). GT defense was w/o 3 of their starting LB’s incl their star Attouchou but all should return here. UVA also let ID hang around needing OT for the win 2 wks ago. The Cavs had some QB issues in their last game and also were w/o their top RB and NFL caliber DE. The visitor is just 3-13 but GT won LTH, 34-9 w/a 447-198 yd edge. Johnson warned GT players not to read their own press clippings prior to MD and the Cavs should be prepared for the option.

PHIL’S FORECAST:  GEORGIA TECH 30 VIRGINIA 27

 

#15 SOUTH CAROLINA AT MISSISSIPPI STATE

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
SOUTH CAROLINA 145
188
21
2.9
MISSISSIPPI ST
146
183
16
3.1
-
They’ve not met S/‘07 but it’s been decade of domination by SC (5-0) and they have won the L/3 by 24,15 and 17 pts avg +130 ypg. Both tms may be playing relatively “green” QB’s in this one as LW SC QB Shaw replaced the struggling Garcia as the starter and he threw for 311 yds (67%) with a 4-0 ratio (Garcia only 4-9 ratio thru 1st 5 gms comb) as the Gamecocks racked up a dominating 639-96 yd edge in their 54-3 win over KY. It was their biggest MOV in an SEC gm since joining the league in ‘92 and the most yds under Spurrier in his tenure here. WR Jeffery finally had a big gm with 6 rec (15.8) and 2 TD’s while the dependable RB Lattimore leads with 779 yds (5.3) and 9 TD. MSU found themselves down 3-0 at HT LW at UAB and QB Russell replaced the ineffective Relf (beating he took early ssn taking its toll) in the 2H while leading the Bulldogs to 3 2H TD’s in their 21-3 win. Russell threw for 166 yds (85%) with a 3-0 ratio while RB Ballard topped the 100 yd mark and he leads with 531 (6.2). LY Miss St beat GA at home and outFD’d Ark 32-21 in an OT loss, have a bye on deck and this will be Shaw’s first true away start as the Bulldogs grab a key conf win.

PHIL’S FORECAST:  MISSISSIPPI STATE 23 SOUTH CAROLINA 20

 

#16 ILLINOIS VS OHIO STATE

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
OHIO STATE 175
128
19
1.8
••••
ILLINOIS
166
193
25
2.6
-
The Bucks bring out the best in the Illini. In the L5Y OSU had a rec of 56-9 while IL had a record of 26-36 BUT the ttl ydg diff was JUST 13 yds. LY OSU only led 14-10 into the 4Q and after QB Pryor was inj’d ran on 24 of 28 plays. Scheelhaase made his 1st B10 start going 12-22 (55%) for 109 yds. OSU is 7-1 vs the B10 after a loss incl LW as they blew a 27-6 3Q lead in the biggest comeback in Neb history. OSU had more yds in their 1st 3 poss (195) vs NU than they had in the entire gm vs MSU (178) but the tide turned when Huskers LB David stole the ball on a scramble by OSU QB Miller which set up a 23/2pl TD drive to cut it to 27-13. Despite the fmbl Miller was on his way to the best gm of his career (5-8-95, 1 TD, 91 rush yd) before being KO’d (ankle) on the next series. In a steady rain bkp Bauserman came in to hit 1-10-13 with 1 int while the lead slipped away and OSU has their first losing streak S/’04. Miller should play but if he can’t go keep in mind Bauserman is a combined 3-24-26 with 1 int in 2 road gms TY. IL shrugged off a 10-0 deficit to Indy in their first road trip of the yr to win 41-20 with a 518-302 yd edge. IL has had the B10’s best pass-catch combo of Scheelhaase (206 ypg, 67%, 10-3, 347 rush) to FBS’s rec yd leader Jenkins (815, 17.7). IL is #6 FBS in sks (22). My, how things have changed as IL is favored to win this game and should take care of business.

PHIL’S FORECAST:  ILLINOIS 23 OHIO ST 20

 

#17 KANSAS STATE AT TEXAS TECH

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
KANSAS ST 237
108
29
1.9
-
TEXAS TECH
109
318
30
2.1
Five straight wins, 5 straight covers and TT has avg 669 yds and outgained KSU by 374 ypg the L/3 but Leach was the HC for each (last met ‘09). KSU hasn’t won in Lubbock S’97 as they have dropped 3 str visits by an avg 37 ppg. In ‘09 KSU fell behind 38-0 at HT and finished allowing 739 yds. Despite 34-23 FD and 523-393 yd edges TT lost 45-40 to bitter rival A&M as the gm’s turning point came in the 3Q when clinging to a 31-23 lead, the Aggies ret’d a blk’d FG 64 yds for a TD. B12’s #2 rusher Stephens (570, 5.2) was also seriously inj’d late 3Q. QB Doege is #21 FBS pass eff (341 ypg, 71%, 17-1). TT is #115 FBS in rush D (224, 4.9). LW KSU scored their 3rd straight upset pulling out to a 24-3 early 4Q lead over Missouri. The Tigers then got 2 TD drives in which they had nearly half of their total yds for the gm but after pulling to within 24-17 with 5:25 couldn’t stop the Cats who ran out the clock. Unflashy KSU QB Klein (119, 57%, 6-3, 468 rush) and RB Hubert (469, 5.5) are getting the job done. It’s the D that’s been the difference however leading the B12 in ttl (299) D and they are #38 pass eff D (206, 56%, 7-7). Could it be 4 straight upsets for HC Snyder?

PHIL’S FORECAST:  KANSAS ST 33 TEXAS TECH 30

 

#19 VIRGINIA TECH AT WAKE FOREST

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
VIRGINIA TECH 165
203
26
1.7
-
WAKE FOREST
121
253
26
1.6
-
VT won and covered 3 ACC meetings and LY had a ssn high 605 yds (VT led at HT, 49-14). After taking all of the criticism for their loss to Clem, Hokies QB Thomas rebounded with a near perfect 23-25-310 with 3 pass and 2 rush TD’s incl a 19 yd TD run on 4&1 with :56 left to defeat Mia 38-35 (VT led 21-7 3Q). VT came into the gm all’g 58 rush ypg (2.0) but played w/o DT Hopkins (300 lbs) and a big UM OL opened holes for 236 yds as the 2 teams comb for over 1,000 yds. Wake held off a late rally (led 32-17 4Q) defeating FSU 35-30. Wake is off to its best start in ACC play (3-0) in school history. QB Price (270, 62%, 10-2) has improved TY but was just 3-16-92 vs VT LY while Harris (411 yds, 4.5) had 241 of the team’s 346 LY. The surprising story is the rush defense with an undersized DL all’g 102 ypg (3.6). They now face one of the best RB in the ACC Wilson with 771 yd (5.8) and a 260 lb QB who showed his legs LW. VT has the defense edge (#12-66) and has played the stronger sked (#63-100). VT has only given up 30+ pts in ACC play 5 times since joining and their frustrated DC Foster will correct the miscues that has plagued the team the L2W.

PHIL’S FORECAST:  VIRGINIA TECH 34 WAKE FOREST 20

#20 BAYLOR AT #21 TEXAS A&M

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
BAYLOR 172
283
33
1.8
-
TEXAS A&M
239
323
44
1.7
••••••
A&M is 5-1 vs the Bears and has won its L/4 at home by 31 ppg. LY Baylor at home led 30-14 in the 2Q with a 367-230 yd edge at half but lost 42-30 as K Jones missed an xp, had a 41 yd FG blk’d and missed 2 2H kicks (27 and 39 yd’rs). There is bad blood between these 2 administrations and fan bases as after the Bears sued in an attempt to keep the Ags in the B12, A&M had a press release detailing that the Bears had sold just 830 of their allotted 3,850 to this gm and returned the rest. After a slow start in which they fmbl’d at the ISU11, 31 and missed a 48 yd FG in the 1H the Bears used a 14 pt swing (86 yd FR TD) and muscle (391-181 rush yd edge) to beat ISU 49-26. Griffin fell to #2 FBS pass eff (304, 80%, 19-1) with big play dynamo WR Wright (48, 14.4) leading the FBS in rec ypg (690 ttl) and TD rec’s (8). BU is #54 pass eff D (205, 55%, 12-5) but this is the biggest test of their secondary YTD. Despite being outgained 523-393 A&M (-9’) rebounded from B2B losses to beat their nemesis TT 45-40 in Lubbock. The gm’s turning point came in the 3Q as trailing 31-23, TT settled for a FG which A&M blk’d and ret’d for a TD. Ags QB Tannehill (265, 67%, 7-5) has 2 solid backs in Gray (479, 4.7) and Michael (460, 6.4). The Ags are #1 FBS in sacks (21) but last in pass D (348) and have forced just 1 TO since the opener while being outscored in the 2H of their L/3 by a combined 82-26. The offenses are even in our rankings while A&M has huge sked (#7-79), D (#21-82) and ST (#39-119) edges.

PHIL’S FORECAST:  TEXAS A&M 49 BAYLOR 35

 

#24 AUBURN VS FLORIDA

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
FLORIDA 187
193
30
2.3
-
AUBURN
204
178
24
2.7
-
Muschamp earned his Masters at Aub in ‘96 and later was the DC (‘06-’07) prior to Texas. These 2 haven’t met since ‘07 but Auburn has pulled the upset 3 times. Florida is off B2B losses to Bama and LSU for a 2nd str yr and LY lost at home to Miss St in that spot. The Gators are beat-up at QB and RB as true frosh QB Brissett (8-14-94 with an 0-2 ratio) had to play for inj’d Brantley and Driskel LW and RB Demps has seen little action since the 1H of the Bama game. UF has lost consec gms by DD’s for the 1st time S/’92 and has lost consec gms by 28+ for first time S/‘71. Aub is also off a DD loss as after taking a 14-7 1Q lead over Ark they all’d 31 unanswered pts in the 38-14 loss. QB Trotter had his worst gm of the season completing just 6-19 passes and true frosh Frazier (run threat) was inserted to provide a spark as they were playing w/out their top 2 rec’s. RB Dyer leads the way with 679 (5.5) and 8 TD’s and will be facing a UF D which after all’g just 31 rush ypg (1.2) the first 4 gms has all’d 232 rush (5.0) the L/2. These two have one common opp in FAU. Aub struggled to a 30-14 win with only a 315-307 yd edge while UF dominated with a 41-3 win (468-137 yd edge). Auburn is at home (11-0) but they aren’t on the same level as Bama/LSU and UF has the edge on off (#24-44) and def (#15-62) and they could get Driskel/Demps back here.

PHIL’S FORECAST: FLORIDA 27 AUBURN 24

Upsets of the Week: 1-1 LW
NORTHWESTERN OVER IOWA

 

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  • jeff

    have loved your predictions for every game each week, they have helped keep my wife and i in the top of neighborhood pool of about fifty or more. just wish i would listen more too you.  thanks keep up the good work, and don’t  forget this weeks picks. i will be looking forward too them.

  • Jeff

    i also like the picks, cbs sports went 5-2 for auburn, but phil you went flordia. i didnt trust you last week and got killed, i am taking flordia but i will check back in the morning. thanks