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2012 Lettermen Returning/Lost

Today’s blog starts my in-depth look at my New and Improved Experience Chart. For 7 years I had listed an experience chart, which broke down the number of seniors, juniors, sophomores and freshmen each team had in the two deep and rated the teams experience level with a formula I devised. In 2009, I made the experience chart FIVE TIMES better.

Today I will look at the returning letterman/lost percentages.

Last year I went back and looked at percentages of lettermen returning and lost. Using percentages is more reliable than the amount of returning or lost lettermen because schools give out letters in different manners. Some schools hand out a lot of letters and others far fewer. Getting a letter at Syracuse under Paul Pasqualoni was tough, as he handed out just 38 total letters in 2004 and 40 in 2003. This year the low’s went to Ball St with 46 while Connecticut under Pasqualoni had 49. Nebraska in 2001 handed out 82 letters or over double what Syracuse was giving out. It was also the most given out by any school in the previous 6 years. In 2007, Ohio broke all records with an amazing 91 letters given out while Hawaii had 90! Last year BYU was number one with 89 total letters given out while Florida St was #2 with 88.

Returning Letterman/Lost %

Rank
Team Returning Lost % Total
1
UTSA 53 9 85.48% 62
2
Florida 55 10 84.62% 65
3
WKU 48 10 82.76% 58
4
Stanford 61 16 79.22% 77
4
Oregon 61 16 79.22% 77
6
Mississippi 60 16 78.95% 76
7
FIU 48 13 78.69% 61
8
Utah 58 16 78.38% 74
9
Tulane 56 16 77.78% 72
10
Central Michigan 45 13 77.59% 58
11
Florida St 68 20 77.27% 88
12
Baylor 54 16 77.14% 70
13
Louisville 47 14 77.05% 61
14
Georgia Tech 53 16 76.81% 69
15
Louisiana Tech 46 14 76.67% 60
16
Tennessee 49 15 76.56% 64
17
Mississippi St 54 17 76.06% 71
18
Rutgers 43 14 75.44% 57
19
Ohio 49 16 75.38% 65
20
Arizona 55 18 75.34% 73
21
Pittsburgh 53 18 74.65% 71
21
Houston 53 18 74.65% 71
23
Memphis 41 14 74.55% 55
24
FAU 46 16 74.19% 62
25
UCLA 51 18 73.91% 69
26
South Alabama 47 17 73.44% 64
27
Buffalo 55 20 73.33% 75
28
Miami (Oh) 49 18 73.13% 67
29
BYU 65 24 73.03% 89
30
Georgia 54 20 72.97% 74
31
Wyoming 43 16 72.88% 59
32
Marshall 48 18 72.73% 66
32
Texas St 48 18 72.73% 66
32
Boston Coll 40 15 72.73% 55
35
Eastern Michigan 45 17 72.58% 62
36
Bowling Green 42 16 72.41% 58
37
Wake Forest 55 21 72.37% 76
38
Illinois 41 16 71.93% 57
39
Northern Illinois 53 21 71.62% 74
40
Michigan St 50 20 71.43% 70
40
Oklahoma St 50 20 71.43% 70
42
Army 57 23 71.25% 80
43
Minnesota 52 21 71.23% 73
44
Umass 42 17 71.19% 59
45
Arkansas 49 20 71.01% 69
46
Washington St 44 18 70.97% 62
47
Auburn 48 20 70.59% 68
47
East Carolina 48 20 70.59% 68
47
Boise St 48 20 70.59% 68
50
USF 45 19 70.31% 64
51
Oregon St 52 22 70.27% 74
52
Oklahoma 49 21 70.00% 70
52
Temple 49 21 70.00% 70
52
Louisiana 49 21 70.00% 70
55
Kansas 51 22 69.86% 73
56
South Carolina 44 19 69.84% 63
57
Toledo 48 21 69.57% 69
58
Indiana 50 22 69.44% 72
59
Hawaii 54 24 69.23% 78
60
Kent St 38 17 69.09% 55
61
Northwestern 58 26 69.05% 84
62
Tulsa 41 19 68.33% 60
62
ULM 41 19 68.33% 60
64
Texas 43 20 68.25% 63
64
Idaho 43 20 68.25% 63
66
Air Force 51 24 68.00% 75
67
Michigan 50 24 67.57% 74
67
California 50 24 67.57% 74
69
Vanderbilt 43 21 67.19% 64
69
Cincinnati 43 21 67.19% 64
71
Troy 47 23 67.14% 70
72
Texas Tech 49 24 67.12% 73
72
Kentucky 49 24 67.12% 73
74
Nebraska 56 28 66.67% 84
74
Arizona St 52 26 66.67% 78
74
Arkansas St 52 26 66.67% 78
74
Ohio St 48 24 66.67% 72
74
Clemson 48 24 66.67% 72
74
Iowa St 44 22 66.67% 66
74
Kansas St 44 22 66.67% 66
74
Duke 44 22 66.67% 66
74
UAB 44 22 66.67% 66
74
UCF 42 21 66.67% 63
74
West Virginia 36 18 66.67% 54
85
Texas A&M 53 27 66.25% 80
86
UTEP 45 23 66.18% 68
87
Fresno St 35 18 66.04% 53
88
Purdue 50 26 65.79% 76
89
New Mexico 46 24 65.71% 70
90
Syracuse 42 22 65.63% 64
90
Maryland 42 22 65.63% 64
90
TCU 42 22 65.63% 64
93
Virginia Tech 43 23 65.15% 66
94
Akron 41 22 65.08% 63
95
North Carolina 39 21 65.00% 60
96
Utah St 50 27 64.94% 77
97
UNLV 46 25 64.79% 71
98
Rice 44 24 64.71% 68
99
Washington 42 23 64.62% 65
99
Southern Miss 42 23 64.62% 65
101
Iowa 40 22 64.52% 62
102
Western Michigan 34 19 64.15% 53
102
New Mexico St 34 19 64.15% 53
104
Wisconsin 41 23 64.06% 64
104
Alabama 41 23 64.06% 64
106
Ball St 30 17 63.83% 47
107
SMU 35 20 63.64% 55
108
Colorado St 40 23 63.49% 63
108
San Diego St 40 23 63.49% 63
110
Connecticut 31 18 63.27% 49
111
LSU 43 25 63.24% 68
112
Miami (Fla) 41 24 63.08% 65
113
Missouri 37 22 62.71% 59
114
Virginia 42 25 62.69% 67
115
San Jose St 38 23 62.30% 61
116
Middle Tennessee 41 26 61.19% 67
117
Penn St 35 23 60.34% 58
118
NC State 31 21 59.62% 52
119
Colorado 44 31 58.67% 75
120
Nevada 31 23 57.41% 54
121
Notre Dame 41 31 56.94% 72
122
North Texas 35 27 56.45% 62
123
USC 36 28 56.25% 64
124
Navy 38 36 51.35% 74

UTSA is #1 here in % of lettermen returning with 53 of 62 players back (85.48%). This should come as no surprise as they are just a 2nd-year program. I expect big things out of Florida this year and the Gators are #2 with 55 out of 65 lettermen returning (84.62%). At the bottom of the rankings is Navy which returns only 51.35% of their lettermen. This should not come as a concern though to Midshipmen fans as typically the Service Academies are among the lowest when it comes to returning experience. What is surprising is that probable preseason AP #1 USC sits at #123 as they lose 26 lettermen (56.25%) from last year and Notre Dame is #121 losing an incredible 31 lettermen.

Please check PhilSteele.com everyday to get my Top 40 Countdown which continued today with #18 Stanford and #17 Nebraska. Every day now thru June 12th, I will post both magazine pages on each team that day and you can get an early look on how I breakdown your favorite team. Remember I will make those magazine pages available for only 24 hours for you to download.

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  • Bwilliams

    How about a 2 deep comparison rather than lettermen?

  • Joe Riggins

    Phil,

    Have you explained what the Off Foe and Vs Def mean?  I can’t figure it out.

  • Terry Conlisk

    Phil,

    Have bought the magazine the last 10 years. Great job! How many teams (not on probation (USC, OSU) ) are near the 85 scholy limit? I assume the sec schools are but my sense is not many more are above 80.

    Also I read in the 2012 mag of how close the #1 OSU-#2 UM game was 42-39. Actually I was there and it really wasnt close. UM scored 2TDs in the 4th qtr to make it close but they had no shot to win. OSU was up 42-31 with under 1 min to play. Um scored with ~30sec to go. Game really wasnt close.

    Terry

  • http://theinnercircle64.blogspot.com/ Michael

    Sometimes losing a lot of players during a time of a coaching change isn’t a bad thing…out with a culture of losing and in with a infusion of fresh talent.

  • Cowboy76

    I am trying to figure out how you plan to use this information. Obviously, quality of returning lettermen is more important than quantity. USC is next to last in quantity but will be one of the top ranked teams in the country. UTSA, on the other hand, will not sniff the top 60. I looked for various correlations to use but there are really not very many.

    David Sturgeon