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Compass Bowl/FCS Champ/NFL Wildcard Forecasts!

January 7th, 2012 1 comment
FCS National Championship
Pizza Hut Park Frisco, TX
Saturday, January 7th @ 1:00 p.m.

#2 NORTH DAKOTA ST (13-1) VS #1 SAM HOUSTON ST (14-0)

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
NORTH DAKOTA ST 139
130
23
1.7
SAM HOUSTON ST
151
190
22
1.7
This is how the playoffs are supposed to work, with all 4 Top seeds playing in the semi-finals and the #1 & #2 seed playing for the Championship. This is just the third meeting between these teams. The series is tied with the home team winning both by 3. NDSU 41-38 in 2007 despite being outgained 495-414 and giving up a TD with :26 left as they scored their own TD with :07 left for the win. SHSU won 48-45 in 2009 with a 620-419 yd edge winning with a 24yd FG with :26 left. This meeting will be much closer to home for the Bearkats who are playing under 200 miles from home while the Bison must migrate over 1000 miles from the cold North and the comforts of the Fargo Dome, where they hosted all 3 of their playoff wins. Both teams defeated an FBS team this year with NDSU beating Minnesota 37-24 and SHSU beating New Mexico 48-45. Both teams faced Western Illinois. SHSU won 20-6 in the season opener with a 313-216 yd edge but that includes allowing a 92 yd TD pass late 4Q with a 20-0 lead. NDSU won 37-21 with a 363-292 yd edge but did lead 37-7 in the 3Q. The Bison are off a 35-7 win over Georgia Southern with a 451-333 yd edge as the Eagles were forced to abandon their running game after falling behind 20-7 and NDSU score their final TD with just :39 left. The Bearkats faced a Montana team that looked to be peaking in the playoffs with big wins over Central Arkansas (41-14) and Northern Iowa (48-10). SHSU won 31-28 with a 496-380 yd edge. They led 31-14 in the 3Q, before allowing Montana to make the comeback but after a stop, SHSU ran out the final 6 min driving to the UM 15 before taking a knee. NDSU is led by QB Brock Jenson, who is avg 172 ypg (68%) with a 13-3 ratio while rushing for 166 yds (2.5, 8 TD). They feature two RB’s in Sam Ojuri (1078, 6.1, 11 TD) and DJ McNorton (981, 5.1, 13 TD). While top WR Warren Holloway leads with 988 (13.2, 8 TD). NDSU defense is allowing just 13.2 ppg and 324 ypg including 3.6 ypc on the ground. SHSU is led by QB Brian Bell, who is avg 150 ypg (61.8%) with a 20-5 ratio while rushing for 274 (3.5, 6 TD). They also feature 2 RB’s in Tim Flanders (1560, 5.6, 22 TD) and Richard Sincere (965, 8.0, 9 TD). Sincere leads the team in rec yds with 449 (18.0, 4 TD), with Flanders adding 404 (14.4, 2 TD). While top WR Torrance Williams leads with 30 rec (397, 13.2, 3 TD) but also had 269 rush (14.9, 3 TD). SHSU defense is allowing 14.8 ppg and just 283 ypg including just 2.6 ypc on the ground.Both teams have had 3 weeks off and how well the Bison will enjoy the break from the cold in what should be almost 60 degree weather is yet to be seen. The Computer calls for NDSU to pull out a 1 pt despite being outgained 70+ yds. We will go with SHSU to remain the only undefeated team in the FCS.

PHIL’S FORECAST: SAM HOUSTON ST 24 NORTH DAKOTA ST 23

 

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Tonight’s FCS Playoff Forecast

December 9th, 2011 1 comment

#5 Northern Iowa at #4 Montana

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
NORTHERN IOWA 116
105
16
1.8
-
MONTANA
204
195
22
3.0
-
Montana is 4-0 vs UNI (3-0 at home) with the last 2 meetings coming in the playoffs in 1994 (23-20) and 2001 (38-0). All 5 seeded teams won last week so UNI’s #5 tag and $4.00 gets them a cup of coffee at Starbucks, but with a couple of upsets it could be useful next week. The Panthers were outgained 478-238 by Wofford LW but still had a 21-14 lead when they got a huge gift. Wofford’s KR stood in his own EZ with the ball but did not kneel and so UNI players hit him causing a fumble that was recovered for a TD and a 28-21 lead. Montana on the other hand had a 415-290 yd edge and after leading 31-0 at half over Central Arkansas cruised to a 41-14 win. They have defeated their last 3 FCS opp by a combined 118-30 (incl Montana St). We’ll take the Grizzlies on a 20 degree night in Missoula team over the Panthers who were at home in their dome last week.

PHIL’S FORECAST: MONTANA 24 NORTHERN IOWA 17

FCS Playoff Forecasts!

December 3rd, 2011 No comments

Stony Brook at #1 Sam Houston St

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
STONY BROOK 181
115
25
2.1
-
SAM HOUSTON ST
204
215
39
1.6
-
First meeting. Stony Brook won their first ever playoff game becoming the first Big South Conf team to win a playoff game with a come from behind win over Albany. They trailed 28-10 early 3Q but scored 21 unanswered pts ending with a 422-348 yd edge. While SB did not face a playoff tm in the regular ssn but did play 2 FBS tms incl a previous trip to Texas in their opener as they lost 31-24 in OT to UTEP despite a 410-401 yd edge. A week later they lost 35-7 to Buffalo (outgained 342-298). After losing their starting QB Michael Coulter to ssn ending surgery after 4 starts, SB was led by Kyle Essington. In 6 of his 7 reg ssn starts (4 pass att vs CCU in snowstorm) he avg’d 229 ypg (66%) with a 15-1 ratio. Essington threw for 258 yds (50%) with a 2-1 ratio vs Albany LW. The Seawolves strong running game is led by the duo of Miguel Maysonet (1560, 6.6, 15 TD) and Brock Jackolski (1332, 6.6, 15TD). However Albany did hold SB to a ssn low 164 yds rushing (3.2). Sam Houston St is returning to the playoffs for the first time since 2004. They come in as the #1 seed as they are the only undefeated team in the FCS. They only faced 1 playoff team TY beating Central Arkansas 31-10 with a 415-271 yd edge (UCA QB Dick knocked out of gm). However they also beat FBS New Mexico 48-45 with a 547-528 yd edge which was the last straw costing NM HC Mike Locksley his job. The Bearkats are led by QB Brian Bell who is avg 161 ypg (63%) with a 14-3 ratio with 147 yds (2.5)rushing. RB Tim Flanders is a Big reason for SHSU’s success leading the team with 1095 yds (5.0, 20 TD) rushing and is the #1 receiver with 27 rec (15.0). Unfortunately for Stony Brook they not only face the #1 seed but also the #1 rush D and scoring D in the FCS as SHSU is allowing just 59 ypg (2.3) rushing and 12.6 ppg. While SB is #4 in the FCS in TO Margin (+17) SHSU is #2 (+24). Look for the Bearkats to win their 14th straight.

PHIL’S FORECAST: SAM HOUSTON ST 38 STONY BROOK 24

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FBS vs FCS Forecasts for Every Game Week One!!!

August 31st, 2011 3 comments

MURRAY ST AT LOUISVILLE

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
MURRAY ST 95
233
21
1.1
-
LOUISVILLE 251
273
1
2.6
-
Louisville is 11-6 vs Murray St winning the last 3 meetings including their last in 2007, 73-10. Louisville is 7-0 vs FCS teams but LY only got by Eastern Kentucky 23-13, Murray St is 0-15 vs FBS teams since 1998 losing by a avg 50-10 but have never been held scoreless in that time. The Cardinals are in the 2nd year under HC Charlie Strong and return just 10 starters and must replace their top 2 QB’s, their top RB and their top 2 receivers. Murray St is led by 2nd year HC Chris Hatcher who led the Racers to their first winning season since 2004. They return 17 starters including QB Casey Brockman (2442 pass yds) and their top 3 rushers. Louisville just made a bowl last year at 6-6 and should give their full attention to in-state MSU. However, the Racers have the talent to make this game interesting.

PHIL’S FORECAST: LOUISVILLE 44 MURRAY ST 20

SOUTH CAROLINA ST AT CENTRAL MICHIGAN

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
SOUTH CAROLINA ST 90
123
19
2.5
-
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 136
288
30
3.0
-
CMU is 10-1 vs FCS foes since 1998 with a shutout in each of the last 2 years including beating MEAC member Hampton 33-0 last year. SCSU has played a total of 6 FBS opponents the last 4 years being shutout twice and losing by an avg 37-5. Last year they lost 41-10 to Geogia Tech but were only outgained 384-272. The Chippewas are off their first losing season since 2004. They return 14 starters and are in the 2nd year under HC Dan Enos. With a game at Kentucky on deck look for CMU to not look past SCSU especially since a 44-14 loss to North Dakota St in 2007 is still in recent memory. SCSU returns just 11 starters and has a big MEAC game on deck vs Bethune-Cookman and may be looking to get out of this game as healthy as possible.

PHIL’S FORECAST: CENTRAL MICHIGAN 38 SOUTH CAROLINA ST 14

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Brand New FCS Team Pages!!!

August 24th, 2011 No comments

For the last couple of years I have had team pages for all 120 FBS teams complete with notes, schedules, results, statistical leaders, game-by-game stats and start charts. With this being the first year of having a stand-alone FCS magazine I have also decided to do team pages on all 126 FCS schools complete with the same amount of info!

I can guarantee you that you will not find any other site on the internet today with as much dedicated to every single FCS school in one place and remember there are 38 matchups opening weekend involving FBS vs FCS teams.

Below is an example of what our William & Mary Page looks like. Read more…

The 2011 FCS Magazine is Here and Ready to Ship!

August 1st, 2011 No comments

Early this morning the FCS magazines were delivered to our offices and all of you who have Pre-Ordered your FCS magazine I can promise that your magazine will be shipped out of our offices today! For those of you who have not ordered my first stand only FCS Preview here’s a brief history of my FCS coverage over the years:

In 2007, I made the commitment to provide quality in-depth FCS information and I provided a ¼ page on each FCS team in my Pac-10 Regional. There was moderate interest and I increased the coverage to 1/2 page per team in 2008.

In 2009 I moved the coverage to my ACC & Big East Regional giving the FCS even more exposure. Last year I increased the coverage on each team to a FULL PAGE and the interest increased. This season I am very proud to produce a magazine that gives each and every school equal FCS coverage!

The FCS continues to provide fans with quality football and with 96 games this season against FBS foes interest will continue to grow. TV contracts are also becoming bigger, which will continue to expand the viewing audience while more and more upsets seem to occur each season. The NFL draft also brings to light the quality of players that come from the FCS. It is time the Nation realizes that many of these quality FCS programs can compete day in and day out with many FBS conferences. Read more…

FCS Magazine and Top 40 Countdown!

July 19th, 2011 No comments

 

In 2007 I made the commitment to provide quality in-depth FCS information and I provided a ¼ page on each FCS team in my Pac-10 Regional. There was moderate interest and I increased the coverage to 1/2 page per team in 2008. In 2009 I moved the coverage to my ACC & Big East Regional giving the FCS even more exposure. Last year I increased the coverage on each team to a FULL PAGE and the interest increased. This season I am very proud to produce a magazine that gives each and every school equal FCS coverage! I am counting on you the FCS fans, alumni, school leaders and athletic departments to help spread the word and make this magazine a success allowing me to continue publishing it.

The FCS continues to provide fans with quality football and with 96 games this season against FBS foes interest will continue to grow. TV contracts are also becoming bigger, which will continue to expand the viewing audience while more and more upsets seem to occur each season. The NFL draft also brings to light the quality of players that come from the FCS. It is time the Nation realizes that many of these quality FCS programs can compete day in and day out with many FBS conferences.

As you probably know I spend 7 days a week and 365 days a year working on nothing but football. It has made my FBS Magazine the “Most Accurate Preseason Magazine The Last 13 Years” and that same type of hard work and dedication goes into this FCS Preview as well as my NFL Magazine.

This year I am also pleased to have The Sports Network provide a special featured section with FCS articles and information. We just sent the final pages off to press and today we will begin our FCS Top 40 Countdown giving you a sneak peak of what the magazine pages look like and remember those pages will only be available to download for 24 hours!

If you’re an FCS fan I can promise you there is no other preview like it on the market today with 240 pages dedicated to the FCS! You can order it through our offices by calling us at 1-866-918-7711 or by going to PhilSteele.com and it is just $8.95 (S&H not included). You will become an instant expert on EVERY FCS team and remember every year there are more and more matchups between FCS and FBS schools. So get a leg up on one of your favorite team’s possible FCS opponent this year by purchasing the Phil Steele 2011 FCS Preview today!

Below is an example of what one of our pages look like. Read more…

FCS Semi-Final Forecasts

December 17th, 2010 1 comment

Reminder: Join Phil Steele’s 2010 Bowl Confidence Contest

Pick the Winners of all 35 Bowl Games and rank them in order of 1-35 with 35 being your most confident pick and 1 being your least confident pick.

FREE to ENTER with Cash Prizes!!!

1st Place: $250 and a complete set of 2011 Phil Steele Preview Magazines

2nd Place: $100 and a complete set of 2011 Phil Steele Preview Magazines

3rd Place: $50 and a complete set of 2011 Phil Steele Preview Magazines

One Picksheet Per Person!

Deadline: All picks must be fully completed by December 18th at 2:00 PM EST

Click here to JOIN for FREE! Read more…

Complete FCS Updates

August 27th, 2010 2 comments

Today we look at the FCS preseason polls, introduce a great website that follows FCS and other small schools, and much more in our blog! Written by Josh Buchanan.

FCS Coaches Preseason Top 25

The Sports Network/Fathead.com FCS Top-25 College Football Poll

Team (No. 1 Votes)
1. Villanova (22)
2. Montana (2)
3. Appalachian State (4)
4. William & Mary
5. Southern Illinois
6. Richmond
7. Elon
8. Stephen F. Austin
9. New Hampshire
10. South Dakota State
11. McNeese State
12. South Carolina State
13. Northern Iowa
14. Eastern Washington
15. James Madison
16. Eastern Illinois
17. Jacksonville State
18. Weber State
19. Delaware
20. Liberty
21. Prairie View A&M
22. Colgate
23. Northern Arizona
24. Montana State
T25. Cal-Poly
T25. Holy Cross
Team (First-place votes)
1. Villanova Wildcats (104)
2. Montana Grizzlies (9)
3. Appalachian State Mountaineers (8)
4. William & Mary Tribe (3)
5. Southern Illinois Salukis (1)
6. Richmond Spiders (1)
7. Elon Phoenix
8. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
9. South Dakota State Jackrabbits
10. New Hampshire Wildcats
11. South Carolina State Bulldogs
12. McNeese State Cowboys
13. Eastern Washington Eagles
14. Northern Iowa Panthers
15. James Madison Dukes
16. Delaware Blue Hens
17. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
18. Eastern Illinois Panthers
19. Weber State Wildcats
20. Prairie View A&M Panthers
21. Liberty Flames
22. Colgate Raiders
23. Penn Quakers
24. Montana State Bobcats
25. Holy Cross Crusaders

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FCS Regional Magazine

August 10th, 2010 No comments

When comparing the amount of coverage the FCS gets in preview magazines it pales in comparison to the FBS. This year, Lindy’s has 4 pages in their national magazine devoted to the FCS. Athlon devoted none and The Sporting News who merged with Street and Smiths in ’08 had 18 pages devoted to 1AA or FCS teams last year.

Last year we devoted 136 pages of FCS coverage in our ACC/Big East regional. We went to a half-page on each FCS school and this year we have expanded our coverage again. I am pleased to announce that we now have devoted a full page each on all of the 124 teams in the FCS and expanded our coverage to 175 pages strictly on the FCS! Every team has a full page with the last 6 years results, 2009 statistical leaders that are bold and un-bold showing which players are coming back, the last 6 years statistics, this year’s schedule and a complete position-by-position breakdown which we expanded this year (roughly 1000 to 1500 words on each team)! Read more…