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Week 10 NFL Selections

November 10th, 2013 No comments

By Phil Steele

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Week 9 NFL Selections

November 3rd, 2013 No comments

By Phil Steele

Please note: With the release of the NFL Inside the Pressbox starting 11/7, this will be the last week this information is released. If you would like to subscribe to NFL Inside the Pressbox call 1-866-918-7711 and sign up for just $29!

ATLANTA AT CAROLINA
Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
ATLANTA 45
232
18
-7
#8
CAROLINA 200
179
31
+6
#27

The Panthers are above .500 for the first time in 71 games. They also have extra rest, are at home vs at team off a bad loss across the country, and own the #3 defense. CAR has won the yardage battle in 4 of the last 5 games and are +6 FD, +85 ypg, and 16 ppg in that span albeit all vs losing teams. ATL may not have WR White who has averaged 8 rec’s (15.4) the last 3 vs CAR and RB Jackson was woeful last week vs ARZ with 6 yards (0.5). The Falcons have allowed 23 pts or more in each game this year, have allowed 141 ypg rush (5.1) the last 4 weeks and Newton rushed for 86 (9.6) and 116 (12.9) vs a better defense last year. Add in the fact that the Falcons’ #20 pass defense is allowing a 115.0 def QBR over the last 4 weeks with a 9-1 ratio and the Panthers cruise to their 4th straight win vs a foe ranked 23rd or lower in my NFL Power Ratings.

PHIL’S FORECAST: CAROLINA 24 ATLANTA 14
MINNESOTA AT DALLAS
Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
MINNESOTA 93
223
16
-2
#1
DALLAS 101
254
37
+10
#2

DAL is happy to return home after losing in the last seconds at DET. They now host a Vikings team travelling off back-to-back prime time games with a Thursday Night home game vs WAS on deck. Add in the Vikings fielding a different QB each of the last 3 weeks Read more…

Week 8 NFL Selections

October 27th, 2013 No comments

By Phil Steele

SAN FRANCISCO AT JACKSONVILLE
Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
SAN FRANCISCO 201
180
35
+4
#12
JACKSONVILLE 64
236
9
-7
#6

London. SF now returns to London 3 years after beating DEN 24-16 in 2010. The overseas trip has been an equalizer as only 2 games have been decided by over 8 points, but both times is was when New England – first against an 0-6 TB squad and then against a 3-4 STL team off a 2-14 season. The uniqueness of the situation will keep JAX interested despite its 0-7 record. The Jaguars will be playing home games here the next 3 years as well but the UK would probably he happier watching Khan’s other investment in Fulham F.C. Read more…

Week 7 NFL Selections

October 20th, 2013 No comments

By Phil Steele

NEW ENGLAND AT NY JETS
Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
NEW ENGLAND 89
193
22
+5
#16
NY JETS 164
190
13
-11
#11

NE came into the season having averaged 28 FD/gm while topping 23 or more in every game last year. They opened up with 26 FD’s vs BUF and then Ryan and the Jets held Brady to NINE FD’s although NE came away win the win (13-10) in poor weather. Both teams have injury issues with NE expected to be without Amendola (conc) and CB Talib (hip) while the Jets are minus WR Holmes (hamstring) and CB Cromartie (knee) was limited last week. The Jets actually have the stat edge with the #19 and #4 units vs NE’s #15 and #15 units, but the Patriots simply hold onto the ball better (+5 TO’s vs -11 TO’s). Brady should fare much better with NE finally expected to debut Gronkowski.

PHIL’S FORECAST: NEW ENGLAND 23 NY JETS 17

Week 5 NFL Selections

October 6th, 2013 No comments

By Phil Steele

KANSAS CITY AT TENNESSEE
Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
KANSAS CITY 103
172
17
+9
#22
TENNESSEE 175
186
18
+9
#5

Dick Vermeil was the HC the last time KC started 4-0 (2003). It wouldn’t be a surprise to see KC flat to start this week after 3 straight former HC Reid rivals but the players and fans are re-energized with this start. Alex Smith finished with 2 interceptions, but behind a D that only allowed 11 FD’s they could afford to extend the playbook and throw deep. Tennessee is home for a third straight with back-to-back wins but did lose QB Locker. When Fitzgerald took over early in the 3Q the Titans had a 24-6 lead thanks to three 1H Jets TO’s and while he completed a 77 yd td he was 2-7 for 31 yds the rest of the way. The Titans’ D, however, has been extremely aggressive with 14 sacks already this season and 11 qbh last week. One way to stop the pass rush is by running the ball and that is the reason I’ll lean KC. The Chiefs have topped 100+ yds rushing all 4 games (121 ypg, 4.1) allowing for a successful play-action package while the D has only allowed a league leading 22% on third down conversions now facing a QB making his first start for this franchise.

PHIL’S FORECAST: KANSAS CITY 21 TENNESSEE 17

Week 4 NFL Selections

September 29th, 2013 No comments

By Phil Steele

† PITTSBURGH VS MINNESOTA (LONDON)
Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
PITTSBURGH 59
282
22
-9
#19
MINNESOTA 169
183
27
0
#5

This is a brutal spot for Pittsburgh off back-to-back primetime games (both losses) and then having to travel to the UK. The Steelers’ offense was nonexistent once C Pouncey went down in the opener (8.5 ppg & 237 ypg). Last week against Chicago the offense showed some life in a 2H comeback, pulling within 27-23 with 10:43 to go. However, they were done in by a -5 TO margin so despite 21-15 FD and 459-258 yard edges, they fell 40-23 and are off to their worst start since 2000. Minnesota also fell to 0-3 last week but nothing fluky about their loss as they were outgained 409-329 as the under performing OL only opened holes for 4.2 ypc (AP 88, 3.5) allowing 6 sacks, 5 tfl and 8 qbh with the sacks being the most allowed in over 5 years. The forecast calls for another wet, soggy Wembley Stadium field and I’ll take the Steelers by 3.

PHIL’S FORECAST: PITTSBURGH 23 MINNESOTA 20
BALTIMORE AT BUFFALO Read more…

Week 3 NFL Selections

September 22nd, 2013 No comments

By Phil Steele

SAN DIEGO AT TENNESSEE

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
SAN DIEGO 84
240
21
-1
#15
TENNESSEE 109
312
28
+4
#8

Very good situation for TEN at home off a short road trip vs SD off a brutal MNF loss, and Back-to-back long road trips. Philip Rivers took advantage of the Eagles missing their starting CB and shook off the media beating he took after their Monday Night opening loss throwing for 419 yards (77%, 3-0) in the upset of Philly. Eddie Royal caught 23 passes with 1 td last year and was never 100% but he is clearly the new go to guy with 3 td rec last week and 5 on the year. The Titans will surely be disappointed blowing a 24-16 lead with 2:00 to go but starting the season 1-1 after playing back-to-back road games vs last year’s #1 and #7 D’s shows their toughness. Locker did struggle last week (148 yards, 57%) but still had a 2-0 ratio and now gets some home cooking versus a D that allowed 480 ypg and 70% completions as well as a combined 5-1 ratio.

PHIL’S FORECAST: TENNESSEE 24 SAN DIEGO 20

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Week 2 NFL Selections

September 15th, 2013 No comments

In an effort to get these to you before kickoff, we’re going to re-direct you to the regular Phil Steele non-interactive blog today.

 

Check out Phil’s Week 2 NFL Selections HERE.

Super Bowl

February 3rd, 2013 No comments

By Phil Steele

SUPER BOWL XLVII

@philsteele042 • #SuperBowl

BALTIMORE (13-6)

 

vs

 

SAN FRANCISCO (13-4-1)

 

6:30 pm • CBS • Mercedes-Benz Superdome • New Orleans, LA

GAME OVERVIEW
The dominant theme for this year’s Super Bowl has been about family, with the brothers Jim and John Harbaugh facing off. Last year, both teams advanced to their respective championships only to lose in heartbreaking fashion. This will be only the 3rd time since 1970 that both road teams won their championship games. Both teams also made bold moves on the offensive sides of the ball which broke tendencies that opposing DC’s were unable to decipher. Kaepernick’s mobility and arm strength made the 49ers more aggressive while installing Jim Caldwell as OC had the Ravens use a more up-tempo style of play calling. Both teams represent more of the old school style of the NFL emphasizing a power run game that is backed by brutal defensive play. However, both coaches aren’t afraid to innovate with SF using the Pistol offense and Baltimore having 72 plays of 20+ yards on offense. The 49ers success the last two years has seen a shift towards younger front offices (CEO Jed York is only 32, GM Trent Baalke 46), mobile QB’s, and teams that are open to the concept of bringing in hot college coaching prospects (Chip Kelly/Doug Marrone) or young coordinators. This game also features QB’s from non-marquee schools with Kaepernick from Nevada and Flacco hailing from Delaware. With a win, San Francisco would be the 5th city to win the World Series and the Super Bowl in the same sports season. The bye week will be a huge benefit for both defenses as San Fran has one of the older 3-4 DL’s and Baltimore is one of the oldest teams in the NFL overall. The media has been all over Ray Lewis’ final game much like they were with Jerome Bettis. The Ravens also have Matt Birk, who has been one of the top tier centers in his career, along with FS Ed Reed whose contract expires, in what could be their final games as Ravens as well. The 49ers will be putting their perfect 5-0 Super Bowl record on the line while the Ravens will be compared to their 2000 season built around one of the best defenses in the modern era.

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Sunday’s Divisional Forecasts

January 13th, 2013 No comments

By Phil Steele

NFC DIVISIONAL

@philsteele042 • #NFCDivisional

Seattle (12-5)

 

vs

 

Atlanta (13-3)

 

1:00 pm ET • FOX Read more…