Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

170

16

2.6

-

170

145

30

2.3

•••

LAST 14 YEAR MATCHUPS

Georgia Dome, Atlanta. UGA leads the recent series 6-3 (L20Y). Both tms have been ranked in the Top 20 in each of the L/6 meetings. UGA is the only tm in the SEC that LSU HC Les Miles does not have a winning record against (1-2) but the Tigers did win the L/meeting in ‘09, 20-13 as #4 LSU benefitted from a controversial celebration pen on WR AJ Green which set up their GW TD (:46). This will be the 3rd meeting between these two tms in the SEC Champ gm as they split the prev 2 with LSU winning 34-13 in ‘03 and UGA winning 34-14 in ‘05. These two have six common opp’s TY and have had similar results with LSU going 6-0 outscoring foes on avg 38-7 (+192 ypg) while UGA is also 6-0 outscoring foes 27-12 (+184 ypg). LW LSU capped their best reg ssn in schl hist with a 41-17 win over #3 Ark as they finished SEC play 8-0 for the 1st time (trailed 14-0 w/6:00 left in 2Q). QB Jefferson has now played every meaningful snap for 3 str gms (155 ypg, 66%, 3-1 ratio L/3) and AA DB Mathieu was the star again with 8 tkls, 2 FF, 1 FR and a 92 yd PR TD in the 2Q that turned the momentum. The Bulldogs are also off a key win over rival GT, 31-17 and have now won 10 str gms for the first time S/’82 despite playing w/out their top 2 RB’s the last couple of wks. QB Murray is avg 225 ypg (61%, 32-10, TD schl rec’d) while super frosh RB Crowell, despite battling inj for most of the yr, leads with 832 (4.8) despite only 7 sts. The UGA D has been the story as they lead the SEC in sks (32) which is remarkable considering they had only 1 in the first 3 gms comb. off (LSU #13-15) and def (LSU #2-5) are basically even but LSU has the large ST’s edge (#19-81). This one could come down to the wire but it’s tough going against the Tigers who have met every challenge TY. LSU books their ticket to nearby New Orleans for the National Champ game.

PHIL’S FORECAST: LSU 27 GEORGIA 20

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

350

32

3.9

-

112

420

40

3.0

-

Bedlam for a 2nd str yr in Stillwater. OU has dominated the series winning 8 str and has outgained OSU in 7 of those meetings by an avg of 476-282! OSU’s Gundy is now 0-10 vs OU as both a QB (0-4 as st’r ‘86-’89) and HC. LY OU was an underdog for the 1st time in the series S/’98 but won a wild 47-41 gm as QB Jones matched an OU rec’d w/468 pass yds. The gm was tied at 24 at the end of the 3Q as 40 4Q pts were scored incl 4 TD’s in 92 secs. OSU left Ames thinking they blew their BCS shot but after a chaotic week realized that the dream still is a possibility with a win over their rivals. QB Weeden (374, 73%, 34-12) threw 3 picks incl the gm sealer in 2OT. RB Randle (1042, 5.8) and WR Blackmon (1241, 12.1, 15 TD) round out the triplets. OSU leads the FBS in TO’s forced (37) before getting a taste of their own medicine vs the Cyclones (5 OSU TO’s to 3 for ISU). The Sooners rebounded to beat ISU 26-6 in a misleading final. OU had FD (25-13) and yd (509-245) edges but threw int’s in the EZ, at the ISU12 and 21, fmbl’d at the ISU20 and ISU’s lone TD was set up by a bad P snap. OU played without #3 rec Reynolds (692, 17.7, susp) and B12 tfl leader DE Alexander (18, shldr) was inj’d in the 2H further depleting units missing future pros Broyles (1157, 13.9, 10 TD) and Ronnell Lewis (13 tfl). OU has had 7 TO’s the L/2 without Broyles. Cowboys are #15 pass eff D (267, 58%, 13-21) while Sooners are #30 (246, 53%, 16-13). OU would like nothing better than keep their rivals out of the BCS party and claim their 8th B12 Champ.

PHIL’S FORECAST: OKLAHOMA 42 OKLAHOMA ST 41

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

265

21

2.6

••

215

205

37

1.3

-

LAST 14 YEAR MATCHUPS

VT is looking for its 4th ACC title in the L5Y while Clem is making its 2nd appearance S/‘09, a 39-34 loss to GT. LY VT defeated FSU 44-33 here in Charlotte sending them to the Orange Bowl and TY may have Nat’l Title implications. These 2 have gone in diff directions since CU’s 23-3 win. CU QB Boyd was off of 2 HUGE wins (1st road start) over ranked FSU and Aub. VT’s D held CU’s off to 328 yds but QB Thomas struggled in his 1st gm on the big stage. VT has since won 7 straight rising to #5 in the polls while CU collapsed losing 3 of L/4 after rising to #6. CU limps in since clinching 3 wks ago needing a FG to beat Wake on the final play (down 28-14 4Q) then were crushed by NCSt. LW Clemson was dominated by SC losing 34-13 and was held to a ssn low 153 yds. SC sacked Boyd 5x holding him to just for 83 pass yds (prev low 204 vs VT). Boyd is avg 278 ypg (60%) with a 28-10 ratio. RB Ellington needs just 63 yds to top 1,000 and FPOY WR Watkins has 1,073 (14.9). After just 8 TO’s in the 1st 8 gms, CU has 12 in the L/4 incl Boyd’s 7 int’s. The D has all’d 384 ypg (28 ppg) incl 187 rush (4.5). VT played its best gm of the yr LW dominating rival UVa 38-0 to wrap up the Coastal. VT held UVa to 30 rush yd, 1.2 ypc (148 under ssn avg) and harassed QB Rocco (4 sks) into 3 TO’s. VT is the only team in the FBS to win 10 gms the L8Y. Thomas is avg 234 ypg (63%) with an 11-2 ratio in the L/7 and at 250 lb is a Clydesdale in the run gm (414, 3.3) to compliment RB Wilson who tied an ACC rec’d with his 10th 100 yd gm (1595 yds, 6.3). He rushed for 128 (5.6) vs CU TY. VT D is #12 in FBS all’g 302 ypg, #9 vs run (99 ypg, 3.1), #9 pass eff and has 37 sks (#8). You can bet VT will take notes from SC’s gameplan. VT met BC in the title gm in ‘07 and ‘08 and after losing to them in the earlier meeting won both, outscoring them by a 30-14 avg. Clemson has the edge on ST’s (#66-98) but VT has a huge edge on defense (#7-63) with exp in this situation and gets past the young Tigers for a BCS bowl.

PHIL’S FORECAST: VIRGINIA TECH 34 CLEMSON 24

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

200

25

2.6

-

137

455

50

1.9

-

LAST 14 YEAR MATCHUPS

This is the 7th CUSA Champ and UH is 1-1 tying UCF and Tulsa for the most title appearances. SM is 0-1. This will be a rematch of the ‘06 gm that UH won 34-20 at Robertson Stadium. Cougars had a 443-349 yd edge (+6 FD). In ‘09 #18 UH lost vs EC 38-32 in their last CUSA Champ gm. UH was outgained 557-413 (-10 FD) and QB Keenum was 56-75-527 with a 5-3 ratio. UH is just 3-8 vs SM but the home team is on a perfect 5-0 run. Interestingly Keenum and SM QB Davis have never squared off vs each other (both Sr’s). LY in SM’s 59-41 home win Davis was 24-31-293 with a 2-0 ratio with 111 rush yds (6.5) and 4 TD’s (Keenum DNP, out ssn). LTH in ‘09 UH won 50-43 at home as Keenum was 44-54-559 with a 5-1 ratio tossing the GW TD with :21 left (Davis DNP, out ssn). These two have had 7 common foes TY and UH is 7-0 outscoring them 53-23 and outgaining them 597-397. SM is 5-2 outscoring them 32-21 and outgaining them 449-327. Heisman hopeful Keenum is 19-0 as a st’r at Robertson Stadium. He is avg 394 ypg (73%) with a 43-3 ratio and is #3 FBS in pass eff. UH has a RB-by-committee approach as Sims and Hayes comb to avg 117 ypg (6.5). Edwards has 74 rec (20.2) with 18 TD’s and leads a talented WR corps. SM’s Davis is avg 254 ypg (63%) with a 24-10 ratio. The RB’s have been banged up all yr but D Johnson had a solid gm vs Mem (103, 9.4). The combo of Balentine/Bolden form an underrated WR duo with a comb 99 rec (13.7) with 13 TD. SM does have the NCAA’s #12 pass eff def all’g 221 ypg (58%) with a 12-16 ratio as UH comes in at #16 (209, 57%, 14-16). Both have solid ST units (UH slight #20-26 edge). UH is in the midst of its best ssn in schl history (12-0) while SM has matched theirs (‘52 and ‘88, 10-2) but with a win the Cougars will be the first CUSA school to crack the BCS and remember both of the Golden Eagles losses have come on the road against CUSA foes.

PHIL’S FORECAST: HOUSTON 51 SOUTHERN MISS 27

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

180

14

2.7

–

313

230

47

2.0

••••

LAST 14 YEAR MATCHUPS

1st ever P12 Champ gm as UCLA benefitted from a postssn-ineligible USC and a poor South Div to get in with a 6-6 record while the Ducks are battle tested in the tough P12 North. With the changes in the conf, the two haven’t played TY for the 1st time S/’05 with the Ducks winning LY 60-13 in Eugene (UO’s 1st gm ever as AP #1) where the Ducks outFD’d (32-19) and outgained (582-290) the Bruins. A wk after their 1st home loss under HC Kelly, the Ducks returned to dominating fashion at Autzen as they more than doubled up rival Oregon St in FD’s (38-15), yardage (670-315) and on the scoreboard (49-21). They did get a scare however with RB James (1427, 7.2) as he was inj’d in the 3Q and missed the remainder of the game (expected back here). Knowing they already had a trip to Eugene locked up after Utah’s loss the day prior, the Bruins suffered their worst loss S/’30 (2nd yr of series) to rival USC LW as they were blanked 50-0 giving up 572 ttl yds (1 yd short of their season worst). HC Neuheisel will be dismissed after the Champ gm win or lose and this will be his last game at his alma mater. Looking further into the matchup and you’ll see that the Ducks are averaging 569 ypg at home TY while the Bruins are all’g 454 ypg on the road (UCLA all’g just 370 at home). On the flip side, the Ducks are giving up a surprising 448 ypg in Eugene vs IA opponents while UCLA will look to control the clock behind the RB combo of Franklin (912, 6.1) and Coleman (643, 5.1) as the Bruins avg 175 ypg rushing away this year. UCLA has played my toughest schedule but Oreogn has the edges in off (#3-37), def (#17-54) and ST’s (#4-90). The home team in this series has had its struggles in the past but with UO outscoring their home opponents by a 48-22 avg, look for the Ducks to roll to Pasadena here.

PHIL’S FORECAST: OREGON 49 UCLA 14

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

130

4

3.0

–

248

325

57

1.4

•••••

These two haven’t played since ‘99 and ‘00 (Boise won both by 14 ppg). NM has lost 17 str MW away gms with the avg score 37-10. NM is off a bye while Boise beat WY 36-14. QB Moore (#4 FBS pass eff) was picked on his 1st att of the gm for a 29 yd IR TD (1st IR TD since Nov ‘09). It looked to be tied at 7 at HT when Moore threw a 46 yd Hail Mary which was deflected down to WR Miller, who was laying on his back on the goal line, 14-7. BSU finished with 26-11 FD and 479-191 yd edges. Moore is avg 290 ypg (73%) with a 38-7 ratio and NM is #120 pass eff D all’g 232 ypg (71%) with an 18-2 ratio. Boise has avg’d 55 ppg in their home finales the L/8Y and sends Moore off with a big win here..

PHIL’S FORECAST: BOISE ST 51 NEW MEXICO 6

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

200

34

2.0

-

115

190

26

2.0

••

LAST 14 YEAR MATCHUPS

Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis. A rematch of the B10’s most exciting 2011 gm as both tms rallied from a 14 pt deficit before Sparty won it on a 44 yd Hail Mary TD which barely found the EZ on the last play of regulation. The Badgers finished with 23-18 FD and 443-399 yd edges. Despite clinching the Legends Div with 1 gm left, MSU kept their foot on the gas with a 31-17 win over NW. Two key 2Q plays gave the Spartans the lead as NW fmbl’d at the MSU3 which Sparty converted into a 97 yd TD drive and MSU then added a 57 yd PR TD to take a 17-3 HT lead. MSU has their all-time TD pass leader in Cousins (228, 64%, 21-6 TY) and rec in Cunningham (1125, 16.8). Surprisingly the run gm is last in the B10 (139, 3.9) behind a reshuffled OL (only 15 sks all’d). Spartans rank #1 B10 in ttl D (267), rush D (103, 2.9) and sks (38). Keep in mind that 6’7” All-B10 DE Gholston (59 tkl, 11 tfl) DNP in the 1st gm due to a susp. After being burned by late long TD passes in B2B wks in losses to MSU and OSU Wisky regrouped in a dominating 4-0 Nov in which they outscored their foes 177-54 and outgained them by 274 ypg to take the Leaders title. After PSU’s early long TD strike UW scored the gm’s L/45 pts as the Badgers had 27-12 FD and 450-233 yd edges. FBS pass eff leader QB Wilson (224, 73%, 28-3) got the early Heisman love but FBS scoring leader RB Ball (#1 B10 w/1622, 6.5, 34 TD) could earn a trip to NY as he’s 5 away from tying Heisman winner Barry Sanders’ FBS TD record (39). Badgers D is #4 FBS in scoring (15 ppg). UW has the off edge (#8-39) while the Spartans have the stronger D (#10-23). MSU also has the ST edge (#61-95) with a 2Q blk’d P TD key in the Oct 22nd meeting. MSU was shut out of a BCS bowl despite finishing with 11 wins incl one over the Badgers LY and look for this one to go down to the wire yet again.

PHIL’S FORECAST: MICHIGAN ST 28 WISCONSIN 27

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

180

14

3.1

-

207

160

27

2.3

••

KSU is 17-4 in Manhattan finales with an avg win by 17 ppg. LY ISU held a 20-17 4Q lead but down by 7 saw a 4&6 pass from the KSU36 fall inc w/:13 left. LTH in ‘08 was Prince’s final gm and KSU was +3 TO’s and won 38-30 as they were outgained by 175 yds. ISU is 1-3 on the B12 road TY being outgained by 226 ypg in the losses. KSU is off a much needed bye after they completed their Texas ‘sweep’ by beating the Horns for the 4th str time. The Cats were outFD’d 15-8 and outgained 310-121 but 2 int’s set up scoring drives of 36 and 13 yds while the D held UT out of the EZ on their final drive. QB Klein (144 ypg, 58%, 11-5) leads B12 QB’s in rushing (1013, 3.8) and BCS QB’s rush TD (25) but needed the time off after being unable to practice the wk prior to gm the L/2 due to various aches. Cats allow 124 rush ypg (3.9). ISU had been outgained in 6 of their 1st 7 gms TY by 86 ypg prior to Barnett becoming the QB. In his 4 sts ISU is 3-1 and had outgained the 1st 3 by 126 ypg prior to LW’s misleading loss to OU. In wind gusts up to 40 mph the Cyclones were outFD’d 25-13 and outgained 509-245 and had their lone TD ‘drive’ of 10 yds set up by a bad P snap. OU was int’d in the EZ and at the ISU12 and 21, fmbl’d at the ISU20 and settled for 4 FG’s with 3 under 28 yds or it could’ve been much worse. Iowa St allows 195 rush ypg (4.6). KSU still has a BCS bowl shot and you know Snyder will add a few wrinkles with an extra week to practice.

PHIL’S FORECAST: KANSAS ST 34 IOWA ST 17

 

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

100

7

2.1

–

255

265

50

2.2

••

TCU has 7 str wins. The Frogs’ dominating numbers incl an avg score of 41-7, avg of +291 ypg and they’ve only all’d 4 TD’s in the last 6 gms. LTH UNLV was outgained by 418 yds (just 6 plays in TCU terr). LY TCU won 48-6 despite not getting any sacks and UNLV’s only score came on a gbg TD with :41 left. LV is off a 31-14 home loss to SDSt. The Rebs actually led 14-7 at HT before SDSt put it in RB Hillman’s hands and LV was outgained 391-261. QB Herring went down with a shldr inj and his bkp Reilly has been struggling with inj’s of his own, while the #3 QB Barnhill was playing TE up until a month ago. While RB Cornett did rush for 136 yds (9.1) vs SDSt, TCU all’s just 113 (3.2) ypg rush at home. TCU is off a bye while LV is playing for a 6th str wk, is on the road for a 3rd time in 4W and has lost by 30.8 ppg away from home TY.

PHIL’S FORECAST: TCU 51 UNLV 6

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

175

30

2.4

•••••

134

300

30

2.7

-

UT is 16-2 and last lost B2B to BU in ‘91-92. However LY BU came in ranked for the 1st time S/’93 and despite trailing 19-10 early 3Q scored 20 unanswered. The Horns had a 428-328 yd edge and in fact UT has outgained the Bears in each of the L/13 by an avg of 479-236 all’g only 300+ yds twice. UT (did win 47-14 in their L/trip to Waco holding BU to just 246 yds. Bears are 6-0 at home TY outgaining foes by 167 ypg and avg 48 ppg (low of 42) while the Horns are 3-2 outside of Austin TY being outgained by 31 ypg. LW Texas rallied from a 13-0 2Q deficit to upset SEC bound rival A&M. UT was outFD’d 22-12 and outgained 328-237 but used a trick play to get a 41 yd TD pass from returning WR Shipley (out L/3) and added a 58 yd IR TD early 3Q to make it a 2 pt gm. An 81 yd PR set up a 23 yd FG to give UT the lead which they added to moments later after an int set up a 24 yd TD drive. After the Ags hit a FG they drove 68/8pl for a TD with 1:48 left for a 25-24 lead (2ptng). QB McCoy, making his 1st start since Oct 1, aided by a PF pen, led a 48/7pl drive with a key 25 yd scramble which set up the GW 40 yd FG. Since returning from inj #1 rusher Brown (668, 4.7) has had 72 yd (2.6) the L/2. Horns are #8 pass eff D and the only FBS tm to not allow a TD pass of 20+ yds TY. RG3 has an FBS best 22 TD passes of 25 yds TY+. Griffin (concussion) DNP in the 2H of LW’s win over TT but the Bears burned Florence’s RS and he hit 9-12-151 and 2 TD in a 66-42 win. BU had 38-25 FD and 617-444 yd edges with the key play being a 90 IR TD in the 3Q. Bears allow 198 rush ypg (5.3). Horns have huge D (#3-86) and ST (#8-105) edges and have to be insulted to be an underdog for the 1st time in this series which they have dominated S/’94.

PHIL’S FORECAST: TEXAS 35 BAYLOR 31

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

340

28

2.4

-

187

230

30

2.3

-

The home team has won 4 straight incl LY when WV held the Bulls to their ssn low in ttl yds during a 20-6 victory. In their last meeting in Tampa, QB Daniels had 336 total yds off and 3 TD passes in a 30-19 win by USF. With extremely explosive offenses it’s surprising that this has been a low scoring series as the teams have combined for only 37 ppg. USF blew a 17-3 lead vs Louisville LW without Daniels (shldr inj). After a come from behind win in the “Backyard Brawl” (Mounatineers recorded 10 sks), WV is good shape for a bowl game with a chance remaining at a BCS berth (BE automatic bid) while USF still needs a win here to become eligible for the postseason.

PHIL’S FORECAST: USF 31 WEST VIRGINIA 28

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

210

25

2.3

•

245

170

37

1.6

-

SEC West/Nat’l Title Implications in the Battle for the Golden Boot. Ark has outgained LSU 5 str and won 3 of 4 outright. LY Ark had a 464-294 yd edge with a pair of 80 yd TD passes. LSU did win the last time here as they kicked a 41-yd FG w/:04 to force OT (Ark missed 35 yd FG in OT). This tightly contested series has been decided by 8 or less the L6Y with the cumulative score Ark 185-184. LW both tms took care of business as LSU dispatched Ole Miss 52-3 as they outgained the Rebels 458-195 but did have 2 Def TD’s. The Tigers matched their best start S/’58 as QB Jefferson got his 2nd str st (4-0 ratio). LW the Razorbacks had a 44-17 easy win over Miss St. QB Wilson had a school record 32 comp and leads the SEC avg 292 ypg (63%) with a 21-5 ratio. LSU is 10-2 in home finales. Ark does have slight off (#10-15) and ST’s (#2-25) edges while LSU has the def edge (#2-25). With the recent series history, this one comes down to the wire once again but it’s tough going against the Tigers at home in a big game under Miles.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

193

33

1.5

-

144

108

12

2.4

•

The winner has won the Nat’l Champ the L2Y. LY was the 1st time both were in Top 10 S/’94. Bama led 24-0 mid-2Q completely dominating Aub but missed 2 key 1H scoring chances (fmbl into EZ and at Aub12). The Tide had just 58 yds in the 2H and the 24 pt comeback was the largest in Aub history. LW both tms struggled vs FCS foes as Aub led only 21-16 in the 4Q before reeling off 2 TD’s in the 35-16 win over Samford (HC Sullivan Heisman Winner at Aub). After a weekend of upsets, the #2 Tide find themselves back in the National Title picture but their 45-21 win over Ga Southern was uninspiring as their “disinterested” D gave up 302 rush (7.7) to the option and keep in mind the Tide had given up just 519 total rush yds (1.8) in the prev 10 gms combined! RB Richardson continues his march to NY for the Heisman and now has 1,702 ttl yds and 22 TD’s. The Tigers have a solid RB of their own in Dyer (1194, 5.2) but HC Saban will be in the D’s ear after LW. The “28-27” score hung in Bama locker room in the off-season and Bama S Barron said after LY’s gm, “As a defense, we didn’t finish in that game. Never again will we go out and not finish like we did in that Aub gm.” Since then they have all’d an avg of 8 ppg and no FBS opponent has topped 14 pts and it’s highly unlikely the Tigers exceed that here. The Tide take back state bragging rights.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

235

25

2.2

-

167

295

35

1.4

-

Stanford has knocked off ND in B2B games for the first time in the series’ 25 game history incl LY on the road when the Cardinal dominated the LOS with QB Crist under heavy pressure throughout and ND lost at home 37-14 (ND gained 141 of their 351 yds on the L/2 drives). LTH the Cardinal won 45-38. In that game ND led 14-7 after 1Q, 24-20 at HT and 31-27 into the 4Q. After a bubble bursting loss to Oreg, Stanford struggled LW en route to a 3 pt victory over Cal. Despite a 419-262 yd edge the Irish recovered a late onside kick to hold onto a 2 pt win over BC and were dealt a blow when RB Gray (791, 6.9, 12 TD) went down with inj (OFY). The tms are close on off (SU #5-13) but sked edge goes to Stanford who is playing its 3rd str at home while the Irish are playing their 3rd away from home in 4W but the Irish D (#11-22) keeps it close.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

203

19

1.8

-

141

243

20

2.3

•

Commonwealth Cup and most importantly the battle for the Coastal title. VT has won 7 straight by 20 ppg. LY VT led 37-0 before all’g a late TD. VT held off a late rally after leading 24-7 mid 4Q for the 24-21 win over NC giving Beamer his 250th win and VT its 8th consecutive 10 win ssn (most FBS). RB Wilson is the FBS’s #3 rusher with 1,442 (6.2) while 250 lb QB Thomas is avg 212 ypg (60%) with a 16-7 ratio and has 337 yd rush (3.3). VA is off a thrilling 14-13 win over FSU setting up this much anticipated showdown. QB Rocco drove VA 75/5pl for a TD with 1:27 left 4Q. On FSU’s final drive VA held on 4D but were flagged for a face mask then held on 3&5 as FSU’s pass was ruled complete inbounds which would run out the clock and VA headed for the locker room. Replay officials reviewed it for several agonizing minutes and called the play inc giving FSU a FG opp which they missed. VA is avg 188 rush ypg (4.5) but were held to a ssn low 89 (3.2) vs #4 def and now face VT all’g 105 (3.3. QB Rocco has a 10-2 ratio the L/4. LTH UVA only trailed 14-13 at HT but was outscored 28-0 in the 2H. VT has the edge on off #29-50, def #13-37 and exp as Beamer/Foster are 18-4 down the stretch since ‘04.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

160

19

2.2

-

253

315

45

2.3

••

BS has won all 5 meetings. LY BS was off a bye after beating VT while WY was off a trip to Texas playing its 2nd str Top 5 foe. QB Moore methodically led BS to a 52-35 win over SDSt LW throwing for 366 with a 4-1 ratio as he is #4 FBS pass eff. In the L/6 he has avg 305 ypg (74%) with a 21-2 ratio. His top target is Shoemaker (800, 16.7, 7 TD) and RB Martin ret’d LW (only 1 series vs TCU) and leads with 885 (4.8, 11 TD). WY became bowl elig with a 31-10 win (-24) over NM and we went against the Pokes with a 2H winner on these pages. QB Smith is 2nd in the MW only to Moore in ttl off as he avg 223 pass ypg (61%, 15-5 ratio) and is the #2 rusher (518, 5.1, 10 TD). BS has the off (#11-71), D (#20-99) and ST’s (#24-70) edges.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

418

43

2.0

••

271

268

42

2.7

-

This determines the CUSA West Champ. While UH has won 4 of 6 the tms have split the L4. In those 6 gms no tm has been a fav by over 4 pts yet 3 have been decided by 17+ and 2 by 40+. Also 5 of the 6 have had a tm with at least a 140 yd edge. LY UH was without QB Keenum and lost at home by 3. Cougars are on their 3rd road game in 4W and continue their journey in uncharted waters at 11-0. In their L/6 gms they are outscoring foes on avg by 43 ppg (+288 ypg). TU had no look ahead problems taking care of UTEP LW and are playing just as well as anyone in the country. Hurricane are winners of 7 str and during that streak are outscoring foes 42-19 (+132 ypg). UT has won a rec 12 str CUSA gms and the last time they dropped a conf HG was in ‘09. This by far is the best tm UH has faced TY as TU played OK, OKSt and Boise but went 0-3 SU being outscored 49-23 and outgained 555-391.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

260

14

3.7

-

338

185

45

2.2

•

Oregon has won 3 straight (tms combined for 77 ppg and 949 ypg L/3Y). Bubble burst potential here for UO after dropping a heartbreaker LW against the Trojans, a game in which they trailed 38-14 in the 3Q before missing the game-tying FG with seconds remaining. Despite being limited in the WR corps (missing #2 and #3 WR’s for most of the game) the Beavers defense benefited from Wash using a 1st time starter at QB in hostile Corvallis LW in the 38-21 win (outgained UW 484-325). LY UO was down 7-0 but after taking a 9-7 lead never trailed again turning 4 OSU int’s into 17 pts. LTH there were 7 lead changes and OSU was forced to kick 4 FG’s (40, 28, 29 and 45) as the Ducks came away with a 3 pt win. OSU is also on its 4th road game in 6 weeks and are clearly overmatched against a UO team that needs a victory here for the P12 Championship Game.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

173

15

2.0

-

254

263

40

1.8

-

USC is 11-1 in this rivalry winning the last 4 by an avg of 16 ppg (27-9) with no win by less than 14. LY the Trojans admitted this was their “bowl” as UCLA gained 53% of its FD’s (9) and 39% of its yds (141) on the L/2 poss after the gm had been decided. LTH USC led 21-7 when they kneeled down to end the game. UCLA decided to call a timeout so instead on kneeling again, USC threw a 48 yd TD pass and nearly caused a brawl with celebrating. The Trojans could be 11-0 here after their win in Eugene but they dropped a 3OT loss to Stanford and fell apart late vs ASU. With USC unable to play in the postseason, UCLA controls its own destiny in the P12 South after a convincing win vs Colo LW, a game in which they nearly topped their ssn high in ttl yds with 553 (1 yd short). It will be interesting to see how the Trojans deal coming off the upset win while UCLA has plenty to play for. USC finishes their season an impressive 10-2.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

245

30

1.6

-

114

280

21

2.6

-

MSU has won 3 str incl LY which was also here at NW. LY NW jumped out to a 17-0 lead but later MSU was successful on a fake P and it propelled them to the win. MSU took a 1 pt lead w/2:00 left and tacked on another TD :53 later for the misleading final. LW Legends winner Sparty booked their trip to Indianapolis with a 55-3 demolition of Indy. MSU scored on 8 of their 1st 10 poss and finished with 22-12 FD and 470-236 yd edges as 60% of the Hoosiers yds came on 3 drives with 2 after trailing 34-3 at the half. MSU QB Cousins (229, 64%, 19-5) is #3 B10 pass eff. Spartans are #5 pass eff D (156, 50%, 13-16). The Cats won their 4th straight to become bowl elig with their win 28-13 win over Minny in which they led 21-3 after their 1st 3 poss. FBS comp % leader Persa (240, 75%, 15-7) teams with jack of all trades Colter (571 rush, 410 rec, 11 TD) to form the B10’s best QB duo. After allowing 39 ppg in 1st 5 gms of B10 play, the Cats have all’d 15 ppg in L/3. This gm is meaningless for MSU with their BCS shot on deck while NW can ensure themselves a bowl invite with a 7th win (10 B10 tms could be elig for 8 spots).

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

180

11

2.8

-

183

405

39

2.8

•

OU has won 12 straight in this series. LY’s mauling was also at Norman as OU finished with a 672-184 yd edge in the 52-0 shutout. The Cyclones stunningly outFD’d (33-24) and outgained (568-536) the mighty OSU offense and treated the Cowboys to a bit of their own medicine by forcing 5 TO’s incl an int in 2OT for the big upset. ISU is now 3-0 with QB Barnett under C. Cyclones are #60 pass eff D (243, 58%, 15-8). OU’s national title aspirations were snuffed out by Baylor as the Bears used big plays and TO’s to stop the Sooners. RG3 hit the gm winning 34 yd TD pass with :08 left for their 1st ever W over OU (0-20). QB Jones (380, 65%, 28-10) threw a crucial pick at the BU26 in his 1st start minus FBS’s all-time rec leader Broyles whose replacement Franks fmbl’d at the BU31. DE Lewis (#3 B12 tfl) may be OFY (knee). The Sooners have won 8 straight home finales by an avg of 32 ppg. Even with Bedlam on deck, OU needs momentum for the de facto B12 title gm.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

190

30

2.2

-

242

105

22

2.8

-

Scheduled as the reg ssn finale for the L59 years. LY UGA scored a TD and led 35-28 w/ 9:35 left. GT scored but missed the PAT to trail by 1. After getting the ball back deep in GT terr UGA was all’d to score a TD to preserve the clock. GT got to the 46 but threw an int. UGA has all’d 342 ypg rush (5.6) to Johnson’s option (34 ppg) the L/3Y but are a much improved D TY all’g just 81 rush ypg (2.8) compared to 147 ypg (3.7) LY. LW the Bulldogs despite a sluggish performance were able to beat UK 19-10 and clinch the SEC East title (did have 317-165 yd edge). QB Murray is avg 222 ypg (61%) with a 28-9 ratio but leading rusher Crowell 832 (4.8) left the gm in the 1Q with an ankle inj. GT recovered from the loss to VT and was able to hang on for a 38-31 win over Duke LW as they rolled up a 549-351 yd edge. QB Washington had 185 pass/136 rush and is avg 201 total yds (48%, 10-6).The Bulldogs have now won 9 str gms and while they have the SEC Champ on deck, in the L/3 gms in that situation vs GT they are 3-0 with an avg score of 33-10 and continue their winning ways here.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

198

23

3.2

•

199

193

36

2.5

-

SC has now won B2B games (1st time S/’69 &’70). LY SC won despite having the SEC Champ on deck and TY they are only off The Citadel while CU is on the 2nd of B2B away and has the ACC Champ gm on deck. LW SC faced option-oriented Citadel and they only won 41-20. The win did earn SC B2B ssns with at least 9 wins for the 1st time in 118 years. QB Shaw is avg 126 ypg (65%) with a 9-6 ratio and has avg 89 rush ypg (6.6) L/2 wks while RB Wilds has 3 100 yd gms replacing Lattimore. LW CU in a flat spot was sloppy committing 4 TO’s (11 TO’s L/3W after just 2 first 8 gms) in the 37-13 loss to NCSt. They had been avg 37 ppg and 478 ypg but didn’t reach the EZ until the final :90 and didn’t crack the 200 yd mark until late in the 3Q. The Tigers did play w/out all-purp star Watkins (shld’r) while QB Boyd is avg 296 ypg (62%) with a 27-9 ratio. CU is 9-2 in Columbia S/’89 but lost the LTH when they had the ACC Title gm on deck and mailed it in. The L3Y have all been decided by 17+ each (3Y prior just 9 ttl pts) but look for this one to be tighter as CU should be motivated after LW and has the off edge (#17-52) and ST’s edge (#55-80). However SC is at home, has the D edge (#10-61) and will be looking to win 10 gms for the 1st time S/’84.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

95

14

2.2

•••

225

210

34

1.9

-

PSU has dominated in B2B gms. LW using healthy doses of the wildcat to keep OSU honest the Lions jumped out to a 20-14 HT lead and before shutting out the Bucks in the 2H to win a share of the Leaders title. With #1 rusher Redd (1122, 5.2) banged up (8-63), Green ran for 93 yd and 2 TD while the D forced 2 crucial 2H TO’s in the win. QB McGloin (134, 54%, 7-4) went the distance for the 2nd straight gm after alternating in the 1st 9. Lions are #8 FBS ttl D and have forced a B10 best 25 TO’s. Wisky trailed IL 14-0 before rallying for a 28-17 win. UW was held to a ssn low 285 yds and were helped out by IL errors which set up scoring drives of 44, 39, 30 and 2 yds. B10’s #1 rusher Ball (1466, 6.6) was the star with 224 yds. Badgers allow 162 rush ypg (4.2) in conf play. This is the last of a tough, emotional 3 gm stretch for the Lions but the winner takes all here for a trip to Indianapolis. The Badgers book their trip for a rematch against the Spartans.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

75

14

2.0

•••••

217

215

32

2.4

-

A historic 7 straight wins for OSU. The Bucks have won 3 straight in Ann Arbor and won LTH 21-10 as they only outgained UM by 9 yds but were +4 in TO’s. LY OSU won 37-7 as Herron rushed for 175 yds (OSU 478-351 yd edge). Since they played in ‘06 as #1 vs #2 OSU has not won by less than 11. UM’s Hoke calls OSU “Ohio”, refuses to wear red even though it’s the color of his alma mater Ball St and installed countdown clocks to this gm as soon as he became HC. OSU is 1-3 on the road TY being outgained by 86 ypg. UM is 7-0 at home TY outgaining foes by 166 ypg. Huge ST edge for OSU (#6-100). LW UM turned a 17-10 HT lead into a blowout thanks to Huskers mistakes (fmbl’d 3Q KO and blk’d P) to stay in the hunt for an at large BCS bid by mauling NU 45-17. UM continues to get the ball to Toussaint (811, 5.7) who has outrushed QB D-Rob in conf play 698 to 441 (5.9-4.0). Wolves allow a B10 best 113 rush ypg (3.6) in conf play. OSU was eliminated from the B10 title gm after falling behind 10-0 for the 3rd straight gm in a 20-14 home loss to PSU. The Bucks (327-289 outgained) were burned by the Lions wildcat formation in the 1H before clamping down in the 2H including a goal line stand on 4&goal from the 1 but the gm’s turning point came on the next series when OSU fmbl’d it back to the Lions. Minus the service academies the Bucks are last in the FBS in pass off with QB Miller’s (76 ypg, 49%, 9-3, #1 rush 595) 4 completions to now elig Posey LW a ssn high for an OSU WR. Bucks have struggled vs mobile QB’s allowing 148 rush ypg (3.8). LY at this time it was OSU fighting for a BCS bid while Mich had just finished being investigated by the NCAA and the cch staff fought rumors that they’d be unemployed soon. The Wolves turn the tables.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

340

45

2.3

-

188

340

34

1.8

••

† Cowboys Stadium. TT has won and outgained Baylor 15 str. This is TT’s finale while BU hosts Texas next wk. Briles is a TT grad, ex-RB cch (‘02-05) and was contacted for the Raiders HC job in ‘09. LY Griffin had career highs in att (42), comp (31) and yds (384) vs TT in a gm that saw 4 lead changes and 3 ties as BU ran out of time at the Raiders 31. The Bears did return an onside K for a TD and had another fake P set up a TD as TT had the FD (35-22) and yd (635-507) edges. BU is 1-3 on the road TY. TT blew 2 DD leads as MO rallied for a 31-27 win without susp’d HC Pinkel. After the Tigers went ahead with 2:22 left the Raiders drove 68/10pl but were int’d at the 4 with :37 left. TT is #111 pass eff D (224, 60%, 21-5) and #113 in scoring D (37 ppg). The Bears beat OU for the 1st time ending a 20 gm skid and got their 1st win over a Top 5 foe S/’85 in a 45-38 stunner. Sooners TO’s ended drives at the BU31 and 26 and they were also SOD at the Bears 25 as RG3 hit the 34 yd GW TD pass with :08 left. RG3 (357, 73%, 33-5, 550 rush) may have catapulted himself back into the Heisman race. BU is #94 pass eff D (259, 62%, 25-10). TT needs 1 more win to prolong the B12’s longest bowl streak and this is their last chance.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

168

21

2.1

-

224

223

31

2.1

••

The schools dubbed this “The Heroes Game” when NU joined the B10 and they’ll play for the Corn Bowl trophy. NU has won the L/6 home finales by 20 ppg. The last meeting was in ‘00 and Iowa lost 42-13. This is Iowa’s 2nd straight road gm where they are 3-6 the L/2Y although they ended their 6 gm road losing streak by beating Purdue 31-21 LW. UI outgained the Boilers 408-282 but also were aided by PU TO’s at the Hawks 41, 1, 29 and out of the EZ for a TB. Hawks have B10’s #2 rusher Coker (1297, 5.0) and #1 rec McNutt (1240, 16.8). Hawks allow 166 rush ypg (4.0) in B10 play. NU blew their last shot at a trip to Indy in a 41-17 loss at Mich where they were outFD’d (24-11) and outgained (418-260). RB Burkhead (1108, 5.0) was held to a ssn low 36 yd vs the Wolves and trailing just 17-10 at HT the normally stout Huskers ST imploded fmbl away the 3Q KO and a blk’d P which set up TD drives of 33 and 50 yds. Huskers allow 188 rush ypg (4.1) in B10 play. This one goes to the wire.

*Means Garbage Yards/Pts Were Subtracted (Includes all OT Yds/Pts)

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

19

21

22

23

24

25

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

75

0

3.2

-

195

245

48

1.0

-

It’s obvious that one of these tms is in line for a huge letdown after enormous emotional victories by each LW. LSU won the “Game of the Century” over Bama 9-6 in OT. LSU has faced non-BCS tms the L/4Y’s after playing Bama and when they are off a win over the Tide, are 2-0 the next wk winning by a comb score of 109-10! These tms both played Kentucky TY and while LSU held the Cats to 13 FD’s and 155 ttl yds, WKU all’d just 11 FD’s and 190 ttl yds. WKU has now won 5 str as they also won on a FG on the final play besting FIU 10-9. RB Rainey is #4 FBS rushing avg 130 ypg but will find running difficult as LSU is #2 all’g only 79 rush ypg (2.6). The Hilltoppers goal here is to escape without any serious inj’s as they are very much in the SBC hunt, and LSU is 35-0 all time vs the SBC.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

328

56

1.9

••

169

393

32

3.3

-

The home team is now 8-1 after OSU pulled the upset LY getting their 1st win in Lubbock S/’44. OSU is 10-0 outside of Stillwater the L2Y butTT is 23-3 in home finales. TT has lost 3 straight HG’s for the 1st time S/’91 and they are 1-5 in B12 HG’s. Wildly inconsistent Raiders have fallen behind the B12’s worst (ISU and KU) by a combined 41-0 yet have outFD’d (by 10 per gm) and outgained (by 136 ypg) the B12’s ranked tms (KSU, A&M and OU). Since their historic upset of OU TT has been dominated the L/2 getting outrushed by 339 ypg!! QB Doege (351, 69%, 24-6) and the off have become one dimensional without #1 rusher Stephens (OFY). Raiders are #72 pass eff D (204, 56%, 14-5) as tms have elected to move it on the ground (#118-249, 5.3). Despite 4 TO’s OSU held off the pesky Cats who had 3 shots at the Cowboys 5 with :12 left to tie or take the lead but came up empty. OSU QB Weeden (357, 72%, 26-9) and WR Blackmon (87, 1039, 12 TD) had TO’s which cost the Cowboys pts (61 IR TD, 2 Blackmon fmbl’s which set up a FG and into EZ for a TB). OSU remains #1 FBS in TO margin at +17 and are #12 pass eff D (266, 60%, 10-18). OSU barely keeps pace.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

175

27

1.8

•

227

285

36

1.9

-

Premier game of the P12 ssn with potential Nat’l Title implications. Both Oregon and Stanford appeared to be looking ahead LW but pulled away in the 2H as both even ended up with relatively easy wins. Stanford could be without some key off weapons here as TE Ertz has already been ruled out while TE Toilolo and WR Owusu (out for TW’s gm) left the OSU gm. The Ducks are on an 8-1 run vs the Cardinal winning the yardage battle in each by 180 ypg although Stanford did win the LTH. LY SU led 21-3 after 1Q thanks in part to 2 UO TO’s (SU was outgained 131-126). After a 7 pt HT edge SU was shutout in the 2H all’g 264 yds w/3 TO’s as UO won 52-31 with a 626-518 yd edge. Scheduling edge for the Cardinal here at home while the Ducks are on the road for the 3rd time in 4 wks and playing the conf underdog away from home role for the 1st time under 3rd yr HC Kelly. Until the P12’s “top dog” is officially knocked off their perch, I’ll go with the Ducks. Quack! Quack!

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

203

27

1.4

•••

101

163

5

2.1

-

Bama has won and covered 3 str outgaining Miss St by 192 ypg (avg win 31-7). Bama is 12-2 away vs the SEC. The Tide have to be “kicking” themselves after LW’s 9-6 OT loss at home vs #2 LSU. Incl OT, Bama had 7 trips inside LSU35 but came away with just 6 ttl pts as they missed 3 FG’s, had another blk’d (ret’d 26 yds) and on the gm’s biggest play, WR Maze out of the Wildcat at the LSU28 underthrew a sure TD pass to a wide-open TE and while both players had their hands on the ball, the LSU DB was awarded the int at the LSU1. Bama did have a 295-239 yd edge and Heisman hopeful Richardson had another great outing with 169 ttl yds and now leads with 1,078 rush (7.3) and 17 TD. QB McCarron (207 ypg, 66%, 10-4) did throw for 199 yds but had a costly int. Miss St is off a 55-17 win over UT-Martin as they racked up 570 yds and never trailed (all’d 454 yds). HC Mullen has used both Russell (better passer) and Relf (runner) at QB the L2W taking advantage of their strengths but it will tough vs the #1 D all’g just 187 ypg and 7.1 ppg. While this is an obvious bubble burst for Bama, MSU is just 0-8 vs Top 4 tms S/’05 and has failed to score a TD in 5 of those gms. Bama only fell to #3 in the BCS rankings and still have national title aspirations and get a nice road win here.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

115

24

2.9

-

138

290

35

2.1

•

The 3 bowl meetings have been decided 11 ttl pts. Boise St has the sked edge as they are off a bye and trip to LV while TCU is on the 2nd of B2B long trips (WY LW). This was orig scheduled at TCU but the MW moved it here after TCU left the conf. LW Boise St was caught looking ahead and only led 21-14 at HT (LV 198-161 yd edge) before pulling away in the 2H, 48-21, which made Moore the NCAA’s career leader for QB wins. Top rusher Martin (756, 5.1, 9) left early 2Q, but Harper ran for 109 (8.4) in relief. TCU, while improved over earlier TY, ranks #65 pass eff D (225 ypg, 57%, 18-7). Moore avg 279 ypg (74%) with a 29-5 ratio (#4 FBS pass eff). LW TCU finished with 28-15 FD and 617-353 yd edges but all’d WY to hang around as the Frogs committed 5 TO’s incl 3 in the redzone in a 31-20 win. QB Pachall (216 ypg, 69%, 19-5 ratio) hit 17-27-227. TCU did rush for 390 yds led by their 3-headed monster of James (181), Wesley (120, 2 TD) and Tucker (90, 2 TD) who comb for 84% of TCU’s rush yds TY. A surprising stat is that Kellen Moore has never thrown a TD pass vs TCU, but that ends here.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

203

17

2.0

-

144

303

34

1.7

••

LTH (‘06) both tms came in ranked but UT trailed 14-0 and 31-7 prior to a late garbage TD drive w/:30 left (31-14). UT is 6-2 SU in the series and is off MT while the Hogs just faced #9 SC. Tenn frosh QB Worley’s 2nd start was much smoother than his 1st. After throwing for just 105 yds (38%, 0-2 ratio) in a loss to SC, Worley nearly had that doubled at HT LW and finished with 291 yds (72%, 1-0) as Tenn 24-0 win. With Ark’s 44-28 win over SC LW and LSU’s win over Bama, the Hogs now have a shot at a BCS gm and the SEC West Title if they win out. QB Wilson is avg 292 ypg (62%) with a 15-4 ratio. Tenn has the def edge (#23-37) but Ark has the off (#14-68) and ST edge (#21-51) and it’s tough to see a true frosh QB making his 1st road start have much success vs an Arkansas tm playing with renewed confidence after LW’s results.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

188

26

2.5

-

204

328

45

1.8

•

CU has won 5 str at home winning their L/2 here by 35 ppg. CU is now off a late ssn bye while WF is traveling for the 3rd time in 4W. The Tigers are off a disappointing loss to GT, 31-17, knocking them out of the Nat’l Title talk. CU QB Boyd is #17 FBS pass eff avg 295 ypg (61%) with a 25-5 ratio. RB Ellington DNP LY in this gm and missed 2W ago (inj, CS) while Fr bkps rushed for 93 yds (3.9) and had 2 costly fmbl’s. LW WF gave ND all it could handle and actually led 17-10 at HT but was shutout in the 2H losing 24-17. The Deacs fmbl’d inside the ND10 and missed a 42 yd FG with 5:24 left on their final drive. QB Price is avg 239 ypg (62%) with a 15-6 ratio and ACC leading WR Givens has 985 (17.0). With RB Harris battling inj L/4, Grobe said, “If I could put a run gm together (105 ypg, 3.0) I will have died and gone to heaven.” Heaven will have to wait another week coach Grobe as Clemson rolls in this one.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

160

16

1.8

•

267

105

21

2.4

-

The winner has gone to the ACC Title game the L6Y. The L/2 in Atlanta have produced an upset (1 by each). LY on Thurs night GT led 14-0 and lost QB Nesbitt (2Q) as Washington made his debut. They were tied at 21 but GT all’d a 90 yd KR TD by Wilson w/2:23 left and was int’d in the EZ from the VT16 w/:08 left.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

415

62

1.6

•••

166

215

20

2.9

-

UH is 9-0 (best start in school history) and LW’s hammering of UAB was the Cougars most complete AG TY but now are on a short wk with West Div foe SMU on deck (also home finale) and the West title gm at Tulsa. Tulane lost again LW but did run into a desperate SMU squad off B2B loses. Interim HC Mark Hutson is 0-3 being outscored 37-18 and outgained 401-332. After opening 2-1 the Green Wave have dropped 7 str. UH has a large edge on off (#4-109) and ST (#41-109). UH is better at home but Sumlin has addressed the road struggles also talking about perfection coming at a price and look to spoil the Tulane home finale while Wave just playing out the season. Houston rolls in this one!

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

120

16

2.5

••

170

165

16

2.5

-

Joe Paterno’s final home game after being a HC for 46 yrs here and naturally will be a very emotional stadium with all that has happened during the last week. PSU is fresh off a bye while the Huskers make their first trip here S/’02 when the unranked Lions thrashed #8 NU, 40-7. The Rodney Dangerfield 8-1 Lions only need to win 2 of their L/3 to earn the trip to the 1st ever B10 Champ gm but there are no gimmes left with trips to Columbus (where PSU is 1-8) and Madison left. Suspect PSU off’s 251 yds is still the most Bama’s #1 D has all’d in ‘11 with Redd’s 5 straight 100 yd gms (1006, 5.2) the 1st in the program S/’97. QB McGloin (133, 56%, 7-3) hasn’t exactly been Aaron Rodgers as the Lions are #106 pass eff. The Lions have been tough up front all 112 rush ypg (3.1) with 7 TD’s all’d in 6 HG’s (3 to Bama). The Huskers lost to an unranked tm at home for the 5th straight ssn as NW beat NU. Despite losing QB Persa in the 1H to a shoulder inj the Cats never trailed as they had a 207-122 rush yd edge. Neb did fmbl inside the NW5 and at the NW20 but the Blackshirts also got a sk/fmbl at the NU36, flipped the field with a 55 yd IR and a missed 45 yd FG. Burkhead (951, 5.1) and Martinez (172, 59%, 10-7, 712 rush) were both held in check by the Cats D. Blackshirts are thin up front allowing 183 rush ypg (4.3) in B10 play. Don’t know how anyone can pick against Joe Paterno in his final home game as the Lions get the win.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

230

21

2.0

-

120

200

21

1.7

••

LY also at home Iowa beat #5 MSU 37-6 (led 31-0 at HT). The L3Y MSU’s rush attack has been held to 69 ypg (2.4) but UI’s DL featured 3 NFL DC while that may not be the case TY (181 rush ypg, 4.3 in B10 play). MSU struggled to get past the scrappy Gophers 31-24 as they trailed 24-21 going into the 4Q and were outgained 415-402 as they relied on an int at the MSU23 with :14 left to seal the deal. LY’s #1 rusher Baker (492, 4.2) lost another fmbl and was benched for Bell (528, 5.2). MSU is avg just 8.7 ppg and 289 ypg on the road TY. MSU allows 104 rush ypg (2.9). Iowa led 24-9 early 4Q but had to hang on to pull the upset of Mich. UM had a long TD run called back, dropped a TD pass and had 1 ruled OOB on their final drive as they threw inc on 4 passes at the UI3 with no time left. Coker (1101, 5.2) is the B10’s #1 rusher. UI has home, series and ST (#44-81) edges to pull yet another stunner and take the Leaders lead.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

123

17

2.9

••••

189

273

35

1.6

-

Deep South’s Oldest Rivalry. LY snapped a 4 gm series win streak by UGA as they jumped out to a 21-7 lead but was outscored 42-10 the L/3Q. LTH GA won 31-24. LY’s gm ended in a fight after NT Fairley speared QB Murray and there could still be some bad blood here. Both tms should have their “A” gms as UGA did have just NMSt and hosts UK next while Aub is off a bye and hosts Samford. LW the Bulldogs exploded for 42 2Q pts (most in a single qtr by any team TY) as they rolled to a 63-16 win over NMSt with a 627-402 yd edge (most pts S/’94 and most yds S/’93). Former walk-on WR Harton ran for 98 yds (6.5) replacing the 3 susp’d RB’s and Murray threw for a career-high 5 TD’s all in the 2Q and is now avg 229 (60%) with a 23-8 ratio. Aub will stick with QB Moseley who is avg 153 ypg (69%, 4-1) in his 2 sts. WR Blake despite missing 3 gms still leads with 24 rec (16.8) and should finally be 100% here while RB Dyer has 989 (5.3). UGA has the off (#15-44) and def (#8-44) edges and should get back their 3 susp’d RB’s incl super frosh Crowell. After their 0-2 start UGA has won 7 str and with SC’s loss to Ark LW, they now control their own destiny in the SEC East and will take one more step towards Atlanta with a win here.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

138

15

3.3

••••

139

208

26

2.4

-

UF has won 17 of 19 but SC pulled the upset in the Swamp LY holding UF to 67 yds thru 3Q (395-226 gm) claiming the SEC East. SC lost control of their SEC East destiny LW in the 44-28 loss to Ark (outgained 435-207). QB Shaw has struggled since the UK gm and has avg just 123 ypg (65%, 2-4 ratio in his L/3 starts) and left the gm late in the 4Q w/an apparent concussion and DNR but should play here. SC also clearly missed the services of RB Lattimore (OFY) rushing for only 79 yds (2.4) their lowest total of the ssn vs an Ark D that was all’g 249 rush ypg (5.3) in its L/5! UF finally got its ground gm going (46 ypg L/4) in the 26-21 win over Vandy. Despite Rainey being out the Gators had 197 rush yd (4.3) as Demps ran for a career-high 158 (6.9) as they ran several plays out of the Pistol. QB Brantley got the start again despite not being 100% and is avg 194 ypg (59%, 6-3) but left the gm in the 4Q with an arm inj but should start here. UF has a huge ST’s edge (#3-83) but with so many key players banged up I’ll call for the Gamecocks by 1.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

240

52

0.8

-

154

170

20

2.2

•••

UW has won 7 str in this series and LY UW only led 14-9 at HT but the Badgers scored TD’s on their 1st 4 2H poss. After B2B heartbreaking last minute losses to MSU and OSU UW mauled PU, 62-17 with 30-14 FD and 605-284 yd edges. #1 FBS pass eff QB Wilson (249, 72%, 21-3) and FBS’s #1 scorer Ball (1076, 6.6, 24 TD) got back on track. Thin Badgers D still all’g an uncharacteristic 176 rush ypg (4.2) in conf play. Minny stuck with MSU actually outFD (22-19) and outgaining (415-402) the Legends leader before throwing an int at the MSU23 to end all hopes. QB Gray may’ve turned the corner avg 244 ypg (61%) with a 4-2 ratio and 133 rush yds the L/2. UM is still being overwhelmed at the LOS all’g 260 rush ypg (5.9) in B10 play. This is UW’s 3rd B10 night AG but this one won’t come down to the final play.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

320

32

2.8

-

197

160

33

0.8

•

KSU has won 2 str and in their last game in ‘09 KSU was off a 66-14 loss to TT and came away with a shocking 62-14 win which they led 59-0! TY A&M is on their 2nd str AG and 3rd in 4W after LW’s 41-25 loss at OU in which they were done in by mistakes as they missed FG’s from 38 and 41, had a 14 yd P which set up a 31 yd TD pass, an int which set up a 28 yd TD drive and an int which set up a 39 yd TD pass. Ags’ #1 rusher Michael (899, 6.0) and WR Swope (874, 14.6) were KO’d in the 4Q and Michael is OFY. A&M allows 110 rush ypg (3.0). KSU took advantage of 4 TO’s and traded big play blows with #3 OSU but couldn’t cash it in the EZ on 3 pass plays from the OSU5 with :12 left in a 52-45 loss. Tough guy Klein leads FBS QB’s in rushing (906, 4.4) with more att on the ground than thru the air (136, 58%, 9-4). KSU is #96 pass eff D (303, 66%, 19-14). The Cats are +11 in TO margin while the Ags are -10. This one will be very close but A&M is desperate for a win and has more talent.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

223

25

2.8

•••

199

323

40

2.0

-

iEx-USC cch Sarkisian has pulled upsets in his 1st 2Y here (both decided on final play). UW was done in LW by an offense that was sk’d 6x’s, turned the ball over 3x’s (led to 14 Oreg pts) and was held to under 400 yds for just the 2nd time TY. A week after a heartbreaking 3OT loss to Stanford, USC won on a rare Fri night game vs Colo as QB Barkley threw a school rec’d 6 TD’s (3rd time TY with at least 5 TD passes) en route to a 42-17 win. LY USC missed a FG that would have put them up 5 and then all’d UW to get a 32 yd FG on the last play and lost 32-31 in a gm that featured 8 lead changes. USC hasn’t lost 3 consec to UW since the early ‘90’s and it is hard for me to see that happening here.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

163

28

2.3

••

189

238

27

2.4

-

UT has won 6 str incl the L/3 in dominating fashion outgaining the Tigers by 242 ypg. Despite playing without #1 rusher Brown (toe) and #1 rec Shipley (knee), UT rolled TT, taking a 31-6 HT lead and physically dominated the Raiders with a 439-30 rush yd edge. QB Ash threw just 3 1H passes vs TT and is avg 134 (60%) with a 3-5 ratio in B12 play. Burly Fr Bergeron had 87 yd in the 1st 6 gms but has had 100 yd in B2B gms (327, 7.8). UT is #9 FBS rush D (95, 3.5). Tigers led Baylor 14-13 at HT but couldn’t contain the Bears in the 2H who had a school rec’d 697 yds in a 42-39 loss. MO scored 25 4Q pts but BU rec’d an onside K with 1:59 and finished the gm at the Tiger 8. QB Franklin (244, 63%, 16-7, 599 rush) and B12’s #1 rusher Josey (1149, 8.6) have been a big play duo. UT has the D (#4-40) and ST (#12-45) edges and knows how to win in Columbia.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

148

23

2.4

•

186

198

17

2.7

–

LY’s record setting 67-65 3OT UM win was the highest scoring gm in B10 hist. In the L/3Y IL has topped 500 yds and the LTH pulled the 38-13 upset although UM is 9-1 in Champaign. IL is off a much needed bye after losing 3 str after a 6-0 start (ranked #15). The off has produced only 1 TD prior to the 4Q and just 26 overall pts (worst 3 gm stretch S/’05). QB Scheelhaase (187, 64%, 12-5, 501 rush) hasn’t hit the B10’s #1 rec Jenkins (1030, 15.1) with a TD pass in the L/3. IL D has all’d 103 rush ypg (2.7) with a B10 best 31 sks incl DE Mercilus’ 11.5 (#1 FBS) and you can bet DC Koenning had this one circled after LY. IL has my #120 ST with the P being tkl’d the L/2 and the Illini botching 2 FG’s in a 10-7 loss to PSU including the usually reliable K Dimke (7-8) missing the gm tying 42 yd FG att on the last play. LW Iowa upset the Wolves 24-16. The Hawks dodged several bullets on UM’s last drive incl having an 82 yd TD run called back as it was ruled that the RB’s elbow was down, a 1 handed TD catch was ruled OOB and a pass was dropped in the EZ as the Wolves were SOD from the Iowa3. After running for 100+ in 4 of the 1st 5, D-Rob’s carries have been curtailed and he’s thrown the most int in the B10 (180, 53%, 13-12, 880 rush, 6.0). UM has all’d just 123 rush ypg (4.0) in B10 play. Zook’s tm thrives when there are no expectations and the Illini pull the home upset.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

370

34

2.9

-

192

290

43

2.5

•••

This marks the Bearcats’ 2nd game at Paul Brown Stadium TY (25-16 win over Louisville). UC is now fully in the BE’s driver’s seat after escaping with a win LW at Pitt, a gm in which they were outgained 397-366 and needed a missed FG at the end of regulation to avoid OT. WV has now dropped 2 of their L/3 in conf play incl a home defeat vs L’ville LW, a gm in which they actually outgained UL 533-351 as a blk’d FG ret’d by UL for a TD early 4Q was the momentum changer. WV won 37-10 LY as Cincy had a ssn low 15 FD’s and all’d a ssn high 29 FD’s. Sked edge to Cincy here as they had a bye 2 wks ago and this is WV’s 3rd road gm in 4W.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

180

16

1.9

202

225

34

1.9

•••

SM has won 3 str and 5 of 6. LY #25 UCF after they jumped out to a 14-0 lead, SM scored the next 31. UCF is off a rare home loss (led at HT and in 4Q) vs Tulsa. QB Godfrey has played well the L2W (569 ttl yds, 64% of off) but losses have mounted due to TO’s and not making plays. SM has reeled off 7 str wins with the avg MOV by 24 ppg. LW vs EC they were outgained by 121 yds and scored 4 non-off TD’s. SM has the off (#31-61) and ST (#39-101) edges. Red-hot SM most likely locks up the CUSA East with a win here (UAB and Mem on deck). HC Fedora is 9-3 during the L/4 gms of the reg ssn here and has stressed winning at “The Rock” and SM is on a 16-2 run incl 2-0 in CUSA play TY winning each by 24 pts with a 554-280 yd edge.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

265

32

3.7

-

207

440

56

1.5

•••

OSU has dominated winning 14 of 15. LY OSU had a schl record 725 yds in a 55-28 blowout (led 27-0 half) in what was supposed to be a B12 South showdown. Since their 3-0 Top 15 non-conf start the Bears have lost 2 of 3 in B12 play with the D allowing 39 ppg and 487 ypg in conf play. Two of the FBS’s best pitch-catch combos are on display in BU’s Griffin (#7 pass eff w/325, 78%, 22-2, 295 rush) to Wright (#5 FBS w/55, 13.8, 9 TD) and OSU’s Weeden (#17 pass eff with 348, 72%, 19-7) to Blackmon (61 rec, 10.9). BU is #78 pass eff D (240, 57%, 18-6). OSU won their 10th straight outside of Stillwater 45-24 over Missouri. HC Gundy said OSU could’ve had 40 by HT if not for the many dropped balls but the Cowboys feasted on 4 2H TO’s from MU QB Franklin which set up 3 TD’s for the win despite missing WR’s Blackmon (concussion) and Anyiam (OFY foot) in the 2H but RB Randle (690, 5.7, 12 TD) has continued to shine. The Cowboys have forced 22 TO in the L/5 gms. OSU has big edges on D (#39-88) and ST (#23-92). OSU is now my pick at this point to play Bama in the national title gm and since BU upset them in ‘05, OSU has won by 42, 31, 28, 27 and 27 and that trend continues here.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

253

37

2.2

•

164

283

25

2.2

-

Stanford’s nation’s longest win streak (15) is still intact after their 65-21 win over Wash, a gm in which they rolled up a schl record 446 rush yds. USC is off a nice win of their own at ND, but was aided by some crucial Irish TO’s in the 2H incl a 14 pt swing when ND fmbl’d near the Trojan goaline which was picked up by USC and taken for a TD. Stanford has pulled an upset in 4 of the 6 trips to the Coliseum. USC played SU tough LY as they converted on 4&1 and 3&8 and got a 3 yd TD run with 1:08 left to take a 35-34 lead (1:08) but SU drove and got a 30 yd FG on the final play. In Kiffin’s 1st year USC did not play well at home going 3-3 but they are 4-0 this year. Stanford however has had a tendency to keep teams (SJSt, Duke, AZ, UCLA, WSU) in games early on TY and break away in the 2H. USC has much better talent than the previously mentioned group and a slip up by Stanford early could very well cost them in the end.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

210

39

1.6

•••••

282

125

31

2.6

-

A couple of weeks ago this game was circled as the showdown in the ACC. LY CU snapped a 4 gm GT series win streak. CU was seeing GT’s option for the 3rd time in 2Y and held the Jackets to 242 yds rushing, almost 100 yds fewer than their avg and their season low. Clemson dominated NC 59-38 LW. The Tigers showed they had more than one weapon (Watkins) as QB Boyd threw TD’s to 5 diff receivers with RB Ellington banged up. UM fans chanted “overrated” in the 4Q as GT lost to Miami LW 24-7. GT is off 4 unimpressive ACC gms dropping the L/2. The Jackets pass threat has disappeared and the ST’s play has been awful. Clemson has a huge ST’s edge (#11-102) and has played the tougher sked (#42-96). Both are playing a 9th straight week and both have a bye on deck. The GT defense has played very well but Clemson has too many weapons for the Jackets to defend. Tigers are 8-0 for the 1st time in 11 yrs and continue their winning ways.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

250

16

2.3

-

358

250

54

1.9

•••

Oregon has won the L/4 by 40 ppg with a 262 ypg edge. In the last trip to Eugene, WSU was hammered 52-6 being outFD’d 31-4. Despite being w/o QB Thomas and RB James, the Ducks destroyed Colorado (led 35-0 at HT w/a 359-144 yd edge). The Cougs on the other hand may have seen their realistic shot at a bowl game go up in flames LW when they lost to the Beavers 44-21 (outgained 551-315) and potentially lost QB Tuel in the process for a 2nd time TY w/inj. Despite a crucial road trip on deck that features Wash and Stanford, the Ducks (QB Thomas should return, James ?) have enough focus to light up the scoreboard here.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

308

32

2.2

••

218

163

24

2.5

-

LY VU did build a 14-6 lead after 1Q w/7 of 8 FD’s (88%) and 140 of their 153 yds (92%) gained. Ark scored 43 unanswered dominating the rest of the way. This is only Ark’s 2nd B2B SEC road trip since ‘09 (lost 2nd 30-17) while Vandy is home for their 3rd straight. Ark LW fell behind 17-0 early to Ole Miss but came back and pulled out 29-24 win as they had a 438-370 yd edge. QB Wilson is avg 287 ypg (63%) with a 12-3 ratio while the ground gm has come to life the past 2 weeks avg 191 ypg (6.4). Vandy made the switch to Rodgers LW (Aaron’s little bro) and while he had just 186 (37%) with a 1-2 ratio he has displayed surprising mobility running for 96 yds (5.3) in Vandy’s 44-21 win over Army and RB Stacy had a career high 198 yds (9.4). While the D’s are even, Ark has big off (#17-79) and ST’s (#20-65) edges and should be more focused than usual here after LW’s scare and Vandy sitting with a 4-3 record.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

198

27

1.9

-

204

158

25

1.8

••••

NU is 5-0 and Pelini is 1-0 vs MSU as he was the interim HC for the ‘03 Alamo Bowl beating the Spartans 17-3. In ‘96 (last visit from MSU) NU won 55-14 rolling up 666 yds (331 yd edge). Under Dantonio MSU is 1-6 on the road/neutral sites vs ranked tms. The Spartans got a 44 yd Hail Mary TD on the gm’s last play to upset #4 Wisconsin. After falling behind 14-0 early 2Q MSU’s ST set up a safety (P inside 5), blk’d a 30 yd FG and rec’d a blk’d P for a TD which made it 23-14 at HT. Wisky had 23-18 FD and 443-399 yd edges in the thriller as they tied the gm with 1:26 before MSU’s gm winning drive. With a reshuffled OL the Spartans are last in the B10 in rushing (138, 3.7) but QB Cousins (230, 67%, 11-4) has stepped up along with WR Cunningham (48, 15.1). Spartans are #8 FBS rush D (89, 2.8) and get back DE Gholston after LW’s susp. A crowd stocked 2/3 in Red watched NU demolish hapless Minn 41-14 with 27-11 FD and 515-254 yd edges. RB Burkhead (752, 5.8) has had 96+ in the L/5 gms which has taken the pressure off of QB Martinez (168, 55%, 7-6, 636 rush). NU still hasn’t been awarded Blackshirts allowing 163 rush ypg (4.3). Huge ST (#4-90) and situational edges to NU as MSU is off emotional B2B wins over Mich and Wisky while Neb is off a bye and a trip to Minny.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

355

31

2.5

-

167

155

26

2.0

-

OU has won 4 straight in the series but LW OU’s BCS dreams got a rude awakening from TT who ended the Sooners’ 39 gm home win streak in a 41-38 loss (trailed 31-7 3Q). OU missed 2 FG’s and fmbl’d at the TT27 but were outFD’d (27-24) and outgained (572-536) as they were without 3 D st’rs who were called out by LB Lewis after the gm. QB Jones’ Heisman campaign took a major hit but he’s still #18 pass eff (370, 72%, 19-7) with the NCAA’s all time rec leader Broyles (67, 13.4) at his disposal. Sooners allow 117 rush ypg (3.1). KSU KO’d their rival Kansas LW to move to 7-0. The Cats all’d a TD with :01 left to finish with a 466-286 yd edge. Tough guy QB Klein doesn’t have pretty numbers (133, 59%, 8-3, 670 rush) but he’s the heart and soul of the offense. Improved Cats are #49 pass eff D (243, 61%, 10-10). KSU has the ST edge (#27-37) with KR TD’s from Lockett in B2B wks. Stoops usually has his Sooners extremely focused after a loss but Kansas St naturally has plenty to play for here as well. This should be a great game!

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

168

27

1.7

-

222

1443

21

2.0

••

LY UW led 21-0 but OSU cut it to 21-18 (4Q) before a 73/10pl clinching TD drive as Wisc knocked off the #1 Bucks. OSU had been 3-0 in the previous 3. LTH (‘09) OSU won 31-13 despite being outFD’d 22-8 and outgained 368-184 thanks to 3 D/ST TD’s. From ‘05-’10 OSU lost 5 B10 gms and the next ssn they’ve gotten revenge all 4 times. Prior to the bye OSU turned 3 Illini TO’s into 12/1pl and 22/3pl TD drives in a 17-7 win in which they were outgained 285-228 and outFD’d 18-14. OSU had their 1st W S/’61 with just 1 completion as they stayed on the ground while welcoming back susp’d RB Herron (114, 5.0) with Fr QB Miller getting his 2nd road start. The D also got back susp/inj’d DE Thomas vs IL which freed Simon and Hankins to make plays. Bucks allow 117 rush ypg (3.5). Huge schedule edge to OSU off a bye while Wisky is off a draining Hail Mary TD loss to MSU. After an early 14-0 deficit the Spartans used their ST’s (P which set up a safety, blk’d FG and blk’d P TD) to take a 23-14 HT lead. QB WIlson tied the gm at 31 with 1:39 left which set up the final play heroics. Wilson is #2 FBS pass eff (254, 73%, 16-3) with support from the B10’s all purpose leader RB Ball (768, 6.1). UW allows 121 rush ypg (3.5). OSU has D (#11-28), ST (#7-38) and sked (#33-86) edges and gets revenge.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

198

24

2.0

-

104

228

20

2.9

-

Interesting series as Tenn has covered 2 straight and won 15 of 18 BUT they’ve been outgained 8 straight times. LY’s gm was tied 24-24 early 4Q before UT allowed a 70 yd TD pass and a 92/8pl TD drive. Brutal Tenn schedule as this is the final game of 4 str vs my top 4 SEC teams while SC is off a bye. Tenn LY at home vs Oreg, Florida and Bama at HT were tied, down 4 and down 3 but a lack of 2H depth led to them getting overrun in the 2H. The same thing has held true TY as they were tied 6-6 at HT to UGA ( lost 20-12) and were down just 17-7 to LSU 2 wks ago but were outscored 21-0 in the 2H. LW was no different as a spirited Vols squad was tied 6-6 at HT to Bama on the road but were outgained 280-41 in the 2H being outscored 31-0. Matt Simms is avg just 93 ypg (38%) and an 0-3 ratio in his 2 sts filling in for Bray but that was vs my #1 and 2 D’s (LSU/Bama). The Vols run gm which avg’d -15 ypg (-0.7) vs UF/UGA has avg’d a respectable 101 (3.2) vs those two elite D’s. SC still has the tie-breaker edge in the SEC East over UGA but lost their MVP in RB Lattimore (OFY knee) before the bye and will use a RB-by-committee to try and replace his 818 (5.0) production. QB Shaw will also carry more on his shoulders but after throwing for 311 yds (67%) with a 4-0 ratio vs UK he had just 155 yds (71%) with a 1-2 ratio in his 1st road start at Miss St. South Carolina has survived with 3 wins by 3 pts or less and while both teams have lost key ply’rs, no player in the SEC may be more important than RB Lattimore. The Vols pull the upset!

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

235

30

1.0

-

76

280

18

2.0

-

VT is 7-0 vs Duke outgaining them by 234 ypg (all’g 10 ppg). LTH VT led only 20-16 early 4Q. Duke scored w/:25 left but the onside K failed and they lost 34-26. LW Duke trailed 17-0 1H, before taking the lead but couldn’t hold on losing 24-23 to Wake. Duke is avg just 100 rush ypg (3.0) with inj’s to the RB’s and OL but LW used mobile QB Boone (2 TD) to take the pressure off QB Renfree (256 ypg, 68%, 6-4). VT started slowly for the 2nd str wk trailing BC 7-3 in the 1H. Wilson (6 carries 1H) found the RB coach at HT and told him they had to run the ball more and VT defeated BC 30-14. QB Logan has avg 286 ypg (56%) with a 6-0 ratio since the Clem gm. Wilson leads the ACC w/1,037 yds (6.3). VT has a huge def edge (#13-89) incl the #17 pass eff defense and is #10 FBS w/25 sks. Beamer will have VT focused as they need to run the table to return to the ACC Title gm.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

273

25

1.6

-

209

308

35

2.0

•

MO is 4-1 in series. LY A&M was at home and MO won 30-9. MO’s Wes Kemp said, “In our offense, we say, ‘Pray for Cover 2.’” LW after pulling out to a 30-7 3Q lead A&M all’d 2 scoring drives but stopped the Cyclones’ last gasp drive at the Ags6 with 4:02 left. Ags QB Tannehill (286, 65%, 15-6) has the B12’s best backfield tandem in Michael (707, 6.4) and Gray (646, 4.8). A&M is #5 FBS rush D (80, 2.4). All 4 of MO’s losses TY have come vs ranked tms as the Tigers lost 45-24 to then-#6 OSU. OSU never trailed and had a 533-463 yd edge but was greatly aided by QB Franklin’s 4 2H TO’s which set up 3 TD drives. Franklin (239, 60%, 11-7, 445 rush) and Josey (855, 8.6) lead the B12’s #1 rush off. MU is #43 pass eff D (241, 64%, 10-7). The Ags have too many weapons and get their revenge after LY’s embarrassment.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

135

17

2.2

•••••

232

255

33

2.1

-

PU pulled upsets in ‘08 and ‘09 (only win at Ann Arbor in 19 gms). LY UM was without 2 top D players but held PU without a TD and had a 395-256 yd edge on the road (27-16). UM is off a bye and after their 1st loss of the yr to rival MSU. In the L/3 ssns UM has had a record of 15-0 going into the Spartans gm and 3-13 after and are looking to avoid a similar slump. QB D-Rob (193 ypg, 52%, 11-10) leads the B10 in rushing (716, 6.4) but after leaving the previous 2 gms with inj’s there are renewed ?’s about his durability and passing ability (B10’s most int’s). 6’4” Gardner has seen increased duty and the staff has said that he’s a better passer. Improved Wolves D is allowing 145 rush ypg (4.6). The Boilers upset IL as they led 21-0 at the half with a 224-138 yd edge. IL rallied for 2 4Q TD’s to gain the yd (366-304) and FD (21-15) edges. Boilers stuck with QB TerBush (161, 62%, 8-4) after rotating with Marve the previous 4. Boilers are allowing 315 ypg and 18 ppg in B10 play. The Boilers have a huge ST edge (#14-111) although the Wolves have the off (#15-75), D (#33-48) and sked (#53-92) edges.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

455

52

1.3

-

183

205

23

3.0

••

Played for the Bayou Bucket. The home team has won 4 straight despite the fact they are just 6 miles apart (same city). Rice has pulled the upset 3 times incl LY but LTH UH won 73-14 (only 4th highest ydpg total for ssn, 684). UH did have a bye 2 wks ago and is playing with legit revenge as with a bkp QB they had a 28-19 FD edge but lost 34-31 LY. LW Rice lost to Tulsa but after 3 TO’s QB McHargue was benched in favor of Fanuzzi (may have have concussion 2W ago) UH is 17-0 at home with Keenum (LW became NCAA’s all-time career leader in ttl off yds) starting, avg win 52-20. Rice has dropped 10 str CUSA road gms being outgained 495-355 and outscored 47-24 (allowed 40+ 8x’s). Rice has not beat a ranked foe since 1997 (‘91 on the road) and are on a 0-19 run with a avg loss by 32 ppg. Cougars have a huge edge with their #5 off vs the Rice #100 def and look to match their best start in school history at 8-0 (‘79 and ‘90) while the Owls are in danger of a 3rd str losing season under HC Bailiff (4 of 5).

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

383

45

2.3

•

162

173

24

2.6

-

Rhoads was the DC at Auburn in ‘08 when Tuberville was the HC. The home team is 5-1 with TT 3-0 at home. TT has outgained ISU in all 7 B12 gms by 165 ypg. LY TT trailed 24-0 but tied it at 24 late 3Q but Iowa St pulled the upset 52-38 so TT is playing with legit revenge. TT has never dropped B2B gms in this series. The Raiders are off of their biggest win in the Tuberville era knocking off the cch’s #1 OU 41-38 handing the Sooners their 1st home loss S/’05. OU missed 2 FG’s and fmbl’d at the TT27 but also trailed 31-7 mid-3Q before rallying with late 2 TD’s. TT QB Doege (373, 70%, 22-4) is having a solid ssn (#21 pass eff) despite being overshadowed by bigger names. The Raiders are #105 rush D (205, 4.8). ISU hung in vs A&M 33-17 despite being outFD’d (30-17) and outgained (510-305). Rhoads benched QB Jantz after 3 series (int’d on 1st pass) and Barnett (16-36-180) QB’d the rest of the way and is exp to get his 1st start here. Cyclones are #53 pass eff D (234, 57%, 12-3). TT is in a large Okla/Texas sandwich but Iowa St is on their 3rd road gm in 4 wks.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

180

19

1.7

•••

125

170

12

2.8

-

IL’s Scheelhaase became the first Fr starting QB in B10 history to win in Happy Valley. Prior to LY’s win the Illini had never been within double digits of the Lions at PSU going 0-6. Multiple Lions defenders either missed or left the game due to inj’s. PSU has only 6 home losses in 6Y but is just 1-3 the yr after (this 1st time that B2B are at home). PSU trailed NW 24-20 late 2Q before shutting down the Cats 34-24 in Paterno’s record tying 408th win. QB McGloin went the distance in his 1st start of the yr hitting 17-26-192 and 2 TD. RB Redd (869, 5.3) now has 4 straight 100 yd gms in B10 play. Lions D are #5 FBS in scoring (13 ppg) and #8 (282) in ttl D. After a 6-0 start the Illini lost their 2nd straight 21-14 to Purdue. IL trailed 21-0 at HT before getting 2 4Q scores including 1 with :54 left to have the yd (366-304) and FD (21-15) edges. QB Scheelhaase (203, 65%, 11-5, 412 rush) has been cooled the L/2 (193, 56%, 1-2, 65 rush). Boilers became 1st FBS tm to shut down NCAA’s top sacker DE Mercilus (10). This is the Illini’s 2nd straight away and 3rd in 4W while PSU is playing with legit revenge and has a bye next week.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

195

26

1.5

-

130

190

24

2.9

••

Jacksonville. UF has won 3 str and 18 of 21. LY UGA trailed 21-7 at HT and 21-10 into the 4Q. UGA forced OT with a 21 pt 4Q. In OT, UGA was int’d at the UF7 and lost on a 37 yd FG. LY was the 1st time S/’79 in which both tms were unranked. FL had a bye prior (and the tm with the bye advantage is 12-2 in the series S/’95) and TY both are off byes. Muschamp is a ‘94 grad of UGA playing safety from ‘91-’94. Both tms should be as healthy as they have been since the start of the ssn with UF probably getting QB Brantley (188 ypg, 65%, 5-3) and RB Demps (324, 8.3) back and UGA getting back LB Ogletree. UGA will be playing w/out NG Geathers and S Williams for the 1H serving a susp for their actions vs Vandy two wks ago but they have solid ply’rs to fill their spots incl NG Jenkins. The Bulldogs have won 5 straight since their 0-2 start and they are led by QB Murray who is avg 236 (61%) with a 16-7 ratio while true frosh RB Crowell leads with 608 (4.8). The Bulldogs in several gms have beaten tms far worse than what the final score indicates but breakdowns in ST’s have kept their opp in it. UF’s off has taken a nose dive w/out Brantley avg just 210 ypg and 9 ppg in their L/3 gms (albeit all vs ranked tms) and big physical tms (which UGA is) have worn down their front 7 as Bama/LSU each ran for 225+ yds. With SC (beat UGA earlier TY) losing their all-star RB Lattimore for the yr, the Bulldogs have their sights firmly squared on the SEC Title gm and with a slight edge on off (#19-37) and a vastly more exp’d HC they take a big step towards Atlanta here.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

310

43

1.5

•••

73

192

12

2.5

-

These two met in ‘06 and ‘07 with ASU dominating both. Colo is now on the road for the 3rd time in 4 wks and still riding their 21 consec AG losing streak (outgained 407-289 away TY). The Buffs were overmatched LW vs the Ducks as they continue to be plagued by numerous inj’s at key positions on the off and def (could be missing their starting QB, RB and top WR here). ASU is fresh off a bye, getting healthier on defense (‘10 P10 Frosh DPY Onyeali returns here from inj) and LY in a similar situation vs WSU shutout the Cougs 42-0). Expect this to be a statement game for the Sun Devils as they push forward for the P12 South Title, especially if the Buffs are forced to insert a QB making his 1st career start in the desert (Hirschman 8-18-71 LW vs Oregon).

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

333

29

3.3

-

131

228

30

2.4

•

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

75

7

2.9

-

210

200

36

1.4

-

HT has won 10 of the L/11 games and Six of the L/7 gms (excluding ‘09) have been decided by a ttl of 26 pts and LSU hasn’t dropped B2B gms in this series S/’99-‘00. LY in the battle of Top 10 tms LSU tied it 17-17 early 4Q but all’d a 70 yd TD run w/5:05 left. LSU was SOD at its 32 and Aub ran out the L/3:20, 24-17. Aub did have a commanding 526-243 yd edge. LSU had outgained Auburn the previous 4 by 146 ypg and LTH won 31-10. This will be another day home gm for the LSU and while they are 9-4 in those gms under Miles, they are just 50% in those gms since 1960. LW LSU beat Tenn 38-7 as they outgained UT 383-289 and the 31 pt margin was the largest ever vs the Vols. While QB Jefferson continues to see more and more action Lee is still getting most of the snaps avg 155 ypg (62%) and a superb 11-1 ratio. LW Aub took adv of the young inexp UF QB’s by holding them to just 194 yds in the 17-6 win. With reg st’r Trotter struggling as of late, 3 diff Tiger QB’s got action incl Moseley who threw for 90 yds. RB Dyer is still the workhorse with 752 rush yd (5.1) and 8 TD’s. This is AU’s 3rd away game in 4 weeks and with a bye on deck for LSU, this will be the final time to make a statement before the showdown with Bama in two weeks vs a QB making his first start.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

185

6

2.3

-

270

225

40

0.8

••

LY UT was outscored 28-0 in the 2H after trailing by 3 at half (UA 41-10). UA’s streak of 41 gms w/o allowing a 100 yd rusher did end (Poole 117) and you have to think that will be mentioned during Bama’s prep this week. Last time here UA had to blk 2 FG’s to preserve a 12-10 win. LW the Tide gave up an early TD drive to trail Miss 7-0 but then scored the gm’s final 52 pts. UA outgained UM 615-141 thanks to another outstanding performance by Heisman cand Richardson (career high 183 yd, 4 TD) as the Tide’s 52 pts were their most in an SEC gm S/’90. QB McCarron has now thrown 151 passes without an int (last int in opener) and is avg 197 ypg (67%) with a 9-2 ratio. The Vols meanwhile, without their 2 best off players LW (QB Bray out 4-6W, WR Hunter OFY), lost 38-7 to LSU. QB Simms threw for just 128 yds (30%) with an 0-2 ratio and the Vols were outgained 383-239. The Tide have the edges across the board (off #7-44, def #1-36, ST’s #15-73) and are coming off Vandy and Ole Miss with a bye on deck while Tenn is coming off UGA, LSU and has SC on deck. Roll Tide!

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

255

20

3.0

•

243

395

54

2.2

-

Second B12 HG for OU and they have won 31 str. LY’s gm was tied 7-7 early 1Q but then the OU D locked down TT all’g 0 pts and 259 yds (3.6 ypp). The Sooners have won the L/3 here vs TT by an avg of 48-17 (+207 ypg). In ‘08 they took on an unbeaten #2 tm and whipped them 65-21. Despite 29-9 FD and 610-252 yd edges OU was unimpressive in a 47-17 win over Kansas as they settled for 4 short FG’s and AA WR Broyles had an unforced fmbl out of the EZ for a TB. Heisman cand QB Jones (363, 68%, 16-6) is #3 FBS passing. RB Whaley (627, 5.6) is the B12’s #3 rusher. Sooners are #3 pass eff D (201, 51%, 5-9). Raiders dominated the stat sheet (32-16 FD and 580-339 yd edges) but lost 4 TO’s and all’d an IR, KR TD’s and a blk’d FG (3 in L/2W) which set up a 46 yd KSU TD drive in a 41-34 loss. QB Doege (361, 71%, 18-4) may now have to shoulder most of the load without RB Stephens (OFY). Raiders are #70 in pass eff D (188, 56%, 7-4). TT is 4-8 after facing the pillow soft D’s of NM (#120) and Kansas (#116) in their 1st 2 AG’s take on my #3 unit.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

353

38

2.3

•

249

283

35

3.0

-

MU is 1-3 in the series. In the L/gm (‘09) MU only trailed 24-17 at HT but was held scoreless with just 80 yds in the 2H (2.9 ypp) and lost 33-17. LTH (‘08) OSU upset #3 MU. OSU FBS’s #6 passer Weeden (350, 73%, 16-6) remains undefeated as a starter outside of Stillwater (9-0) after LW’s 38-26 win at #22 Texas. OSU was actually outFD’d 24-21 but RB Smith ran 30 yd and 74 yds untouched for TD’s. OSU is T-#3 FBS with 20 TO’s forced. MU destroyed ISU 52-17 (33-17 FD, 294-157 rush yd edges) as they scored TD’s on their 1st 4 poss and ISU’s lone non-garbage time TD came on a 78 yd IR. QB Franklin (248, 61%, 10-4, 390 rush) accounted for 6 TD’s in the blowout. B12’s #1 rusher Josey (717) has the FBS’s best ypc (9.7). MO has the D edge (#25-43) and the tricky Tigers could make this one close.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

40

14

3.0

•

243

335

52

1.5

-

1st meeting. BSU’s 1st MWC HG (bye on deck) and the 1st time they will be facing the option. BSU is off a 63-13 blowout of Colo St behind RB Martin (20-200, 3 TD), “The Surgeon” Moore (26-30-338, 4 TD) and WR Shoemaker (9-180). CSU was only able to score on trick plays and BSU finished with a schl rec’d 742 yds (2nd time ever over 700) outgaining CSU by 511 yds. Moore now avg 288 ypg (76%, #4 pass eff) with a 21-4 ratio. Shoemaker (401, 16.7) is the top rec and Martin has 622 rush yds (5.1). LW a 20-20 late 3Q tie quickly mushroomed as AF all’d SDSt to score on 28/1pl (after fmbl), 77/11pl and 57/1pl on their next 3 drives and AF fell 41-27. QB Jefferson is avg 142 ypg (63%) with an 8-5 ratio and is the #2 rusher (259, 3.5, 5) behind Clark (556, 8.2, 3). This is AF’s 3rd AG in 4W and they’ve all’d 122 pts the L/9Q’s. BSU has avg’d 60 ppg the L/2 gms but this week will be a little closer.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

120

29

1.2

•

182

220

22

2.4

-

Rare night gm in Spartan Stadium (11th, beat ND in OT LY) with the GameDay crew on hand. The HT has won 6 str by 15 ppg. MSU is avg 319 ypg pass (56%) the L4Y vs the UW secondary. LY the gm was also here and MSU had a 444-292 yd edge and won 34-24 under ex-OC Treadwell as Dantonio was out (heart attack complications). MSU is now 4-0 under Dantonio in the gm foll Mich and Sparty won their 4th str win over rival Mich LW. MSU contained UM’s Robinson (165 ttl yd) and finished with a 213-82 rush yd edge capping the gm with 4:53 left when S Lewis had a 39 yd pick six. QB Cousins (220, 66%, 8-4) has the B10’s #2 rec in Cunningham (42, 14.8). MSU is #2 FBS in ttl (186) and #4 in scoring (10.8). Wisky took adv of 3 TO’s and breezed by Indy 59-7 with a 524-287 yd edge. Heisman cand QB Wilson (260, 74%, 14-1) is #1 FBS pass eff and caught a TD pass LW with #1 WR Toon (447, 17.9) out. Underrated UW is #3 FBS in scoring D (9.7). The marquee matchup will be MSU’s stout DL which is #3 FBS in rush D (67, 2.3) vs Wisky’s ground gm (#7 258, 5.9) led by Ball (653, 6.1) and the Spartans already shut down one Heisman cand LW.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

193

23

2.2

-

164

318

36

1.8

••

LY CU never led but went 86/5pl (2ptng) cutting the deficit to 5. NC gained 3 FD’s running out all but :13 and won 21-16. TY Clemson has trailed in 1H vs Troy and Wofford, was down 21-7 to Aub, faced a FSU team w/o QB Manuel, then held a VT team to 3 pts (w/inexp QB in 1st big gm) and then defeated a bad BC team. LW Clem trailed 35-17 in 3Q but escaped the upset with their thrilling 56-45 win over MD. QB Boyd looked out of rhythm early and several times threw directly at MD DB’s (2 drops, 1 TD) but finished with 270 yds and 4 TD while RB Ellington had a car high 212 rush yds (8.8). NC rallied from 24 down and recovered the onside kick but fell short losing to Miami 30-24 LW. NC’s defense played physical vs UM (all’d just 48 2H yds) and their strong DL held RB Miller to just 29 yds (1.8). NC has the defensive edge (#26-45) while Clemson has the offense edge (#12-48) and big ST’s edge (#19-89) featuring their game changer Watkins who broke CJ Spiller’s all-purp rec’d LW with 345 KR yds after an 89 yd KR TD. Last time here (‘06) NC suffered its worst loss in the series’ 54 gm history, 52-7. After their scare last week you have to think Clemson will be more focused this week and they get yet another win.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

170

21

1.8

-

172

345

41

2.0

-

Stanford comes with the nation’s longest winning streak (14, schl rec’d). After another slow start (led WSU just 10-7 at HT), SU took over again in the 2H outscoring WSU 34-7 in the 2H led by QB Luck’s 336 pass yds (64%) and 4 TD’s. After LW’s win over Colo, UW has now reached 30+ pts in their 1st 6 gms led by QB Price (244 ypg, 69%, 21-4 ratio) which is also a schl rec’d (scored 50+ pts LW for 1st time S/’01 vs CU). LY SU’s 41-0 hammering of UW marked the biggest MOV for either tm in this series (81 gms). SU all’d just 107 yds which was the 2nd fewest in schl hist. SU has simply dominated the LOS the L/2Y avg 300 rush ypg (6.2) to just 59 rush ypg all’d (2.2) and it will be interesting to see how UW’s inexp LB’s handle the massive presence of SU’s TE’s. SU has outscored its opp by 31 ppg at home the L2Y while UW should be delivering their “A” game after a bye and a home meeting with the Buffs. This is the best team Stanford has faced all year and it will show on the scoreboard as this game will be tight throughout.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

308

38

2.2

-

196

178

24

2.4

•••

LY Miss did have the FD and yd edges but trailed 21-0 never recovering from a fmbl which led to a TD and 97-yd PR TD. RB Davis rushed for 176 yds. Ark is coming off a bye while Ole Miss is off Bama where after getting a 72/5pl TD drive on their opening drive were held to just 69 total yds the rest of the game (outgained 615-141) in the 52-7 loss. QB Mackey has started the L/2 gms and is avg 164 ypg (46%) with a 1-1 ratio. LW HC Nutt susp’d 4 players before the gm incl 2 st’rs and also lost two def st’rs for the year in DL Dorsey and DB Temple which is not a good sign vs the SEC’s #1 off. Ark is much healthier coming off the bye after two big wins vs A&M and Aub. QB Wilson is avg 297 ypg (65%) with a 12-3 ratio. The Rebs are dangerous vs ranked tms and Nutt is 2-1 vs his former tm. Ark has big edges on off (#16-82) and def (#37-78) but Miss has the ST’s edge (#5-21). Nutt is on the hot seat and could use a respectable showing vs his former tm to silent the critics.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

195

49

1.7

••

137

280

23

1.9

-

The L/3 meetings have all come in bowls (CU 2-1) incl the most recent in the ‘01 Fiesta with both tms coming into the gm declaring that they should be in the Nat’l Title gm (#3 CU lost 38-16 to #2 UO and was outgained 500-328). In a potential preview to the P12 Title gm, UO overcame an early deficit vs Ariz St to pull out the 41-27 victory as UO rushed for 269 of their 327 yds in the 2H led by bkp RB Barner’s 171 who was filling in for the inj’d James (852, 9.0). The Ducks also lost QB Thomas (250 ttl ypg, 61%, 17-3 ratio) in the ASU gm with an apparent leg inj and he probably will not play here. After an expected loss at Wash LW (outgained 562-269, down 3 TD’s most of gm, 21st consec road loss), the Buffs return home but with the inj’s (RB Stewart out and WR Richardson ??), susp and attrition, another Duck victory, despite the potential absence of their stars, can be expected as they have now won 15 consec P12 gms.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

173

39

1.1

•

141

238

23

2.2

-

Sunflower Showdown. The Cats are 13-4 and LY after being held to a punt and FG on their 1st 2 poss, KSU had 6 str TD drives and an 85 yd FR TD to lead 52-0. LY’s win was their first since ‘02 in Lawrence. Snyder has always placed extra emphasis on the Kan gm (15-4, MOV by 29 ppg) while Gill’s emphasis is on beating Missouri. KSU pulled their 4th str upset 41-34 of TT in Lubbock LW. The Cats had just 94 1H yds but trailed just 28-20 as they had IR and KR TD’s and also ret’d a blk’d FG 30 yds to set up a 46/9pl TD drive. The Raiders outFD’d (32-16) and outgained KSU (580-339) but also lost 4 TO’s (0 for KSU). Gritty Klein (123, 59%, 7-3) is the B12’s #4 rusher (578, 4.2). The Cats have the nation’s MIP run D all’g 97 rush ypg (3.2) after all’g 231 (5.9) LY! KU’s 2H struggles continued as after trailing just 27-17 at the half they lost to Okla 47-17 as OU had 29-9 FD and 610-252 yd edges. QB Webb is #16 FBS pass eff (206, 66%, 11-5). The problem has been on D where KU is dead last in FBS in ttl (565 ypg) and scoring (49 ppg). Snyder knows when to put the hammer down on his rival.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

153

9

2.1

-

187

273

29

1.6

-

BC is coming off a bye while VT is playing for the 8th str wk. VT is 3-0 winning by 24 ppg. LY VT won 19-0 but the gm was misleading as BC blew 3 easy scoring opportunities in the 1H incl a drive to the 1 yd line as time ran out. BC was hammered 48-14 their last visit to Blacksburg as they trailed 31-0 not getting their initial FD until 12:00 left in the 3Q. BC lost to Clemson on the road 36-14 2 wks ago and the score could have been worse but CU QB Boyd was KO’d of the gm. Take out the UMass win and BC has been outscored 137-72 all’g 441 ypg TY. BC has battled inj’s across the board and looks like they will prepare for next year snapping 12 str bowl appearances. After a slow start LW QB Thomas threw for 2 TD and rushed for 2 in their 38-17 win over WF. RB Wilson has 907 yds (6.1) and the D is all’g 298 ypg. VT has huge edges on off (#37-96) and def (#13-53). The L/2 times BC has been shutout was vs VT (‘98 and LY).

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

180

43

1.4

••

139

180

21

2.5

-

NU may have saved their ssn prior to the bye with their biggest comeback in history trailing OSU 27-6 in the 3Q before rallying for a 34-27 win. NU changed their off schemes and ran for 195 yds in the 2H after totalling just 37 at HT while the turning point came when LB David’s 3Q FF set up NU’s 1st TD drive of just 23/2pl. OSU’s Miller was KO’d on the next series and NU had a 297-51 yd edge the rest of the way. Beleaguered QB Martinez avg 169 ypg (54%) with a 6-6 ratio and 584 rush yds (5.8). RB Burkhead is B10’s #2 rusher (635, 5.9) underachieving Blackshirts are #75 FBS in rush D (168, 4.5) and now must make do without future NFLer DT Crick (OFY). With a 1-5 start and being outscored 103-17 in B10 play, UM is focused on the future playing a league high 18 true frosh. Gophers QB Gray (125 ypg, 49%, 3-4, #1 rusher 371) should be healthier after the bye (turf toe). UM allows 167 rush ypg (4.8) and are #109 FBS scoring D (35 ppg). NU does have Legends leader Mich St on deck. Expect lots of Red in the TCF crowd.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

400

39

2.3

-

129

205

22

2.1

–

Both come in off byes with WV 8-1 in the series. LY’s win over WV snapped a series high 8 gm losing streak for the Orange as Syracuse trailed 14-10 but w/:37 left 1Q int’d WV in the EZ (prevented DD lead) and from that point on held WV to just 118 yds and ZERO pts! Syracuse will attempt to repeat that feat here while WV attempts to achieve bowl eligibility.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

278

43

2.4

•

111

278

19

2.1

-

A&M may feel insulted in being ISU’s HC opp. In the L/meeting (‘09), A&M won 35-10 w/a 501-324 yd edge at home. A&M beat Baylor for the 10th str time at Kyle Field 55-28 with 35-24 FD and 681-480 yd edges (266-50 rush). QB Tannehill (290 ypg, 67%, 13-6) threw a schl rec’d 6 TD’s incl 4 to #1 rec Swope (619, 15.5). A&M is the B12’s most balanced off thanks to RB’s Michael (565, 6.1) and Gray (521, 4.6). The Ags’ D ranks #1 FBS in sks (26) but dead last in pass D (361 ypg, 67%, 12-3) with 3 QB’s setting schl passing records vs them TY. ISU lost its 3rd str 52-17 to Missouri as the Tigers who dominated the LOS with 33-17 FD and 583-343 yd edges. The Cyclones only TD’s came on a 78 yd IR and a 4Q garbage drive 52-10. QB Jantz (220 ypg, 55%, 10-8) is the B12’s lowest rated full-time QB st’r (#91 FBS pass eff) and he’s been sk’d 12x in B12 play behind a banged up OL. The Cyclones have been outmanned up front all’g 218 rush ypg (4.5). ISU is 0-3 in B12 play TY being outscored by 27 ppg and the last time they were at home Texas led them 34-0 at the half.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

170

15

2.3

-

162

420

41

2.1

••

UH is off a bye while MU is playing for an 8th str wk. LW. MU got a spark from QB Graham is his first career start (led 17-6 at HT) but needed a Rice fmbl to score late for the win despite being outgained (2 of 3 wins have been outgained). QB Cato did play late and may start TW. MU is 1-6 on the CUSA road but the win was a huge upset. UH has a large off edge (#5-109) as QB Keenum is 16-0 at home as a st’r (avg win 51-20) while MU is on their 3rd road gm in 4W, has dropped 13 str vs ranked foes and is 0-6 in trips to TX losing by 19 ppg.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

230

23

2.2

-

119

265

21

2.3

•

HC and only HG for NW in 4 gm stretch. PSU has won 4 in a row and has outgained NW by 142 ypg. LY NU led 21-0 late 1H but was outgained 400-119 all’g 35 unanswered in Paterno’s 400th career win. Thanks to ST’s PSU beat Purdue 23-18 as the Boilers missed a FG, an xp and also all’d a 92 yd KR which the Lions turned into 1 of their 3 FG’s. McGloin saw the majority of the action at QB for a 2nd str wk even though Bolden continues to be the st’r. The net result is a pass off which is ranked #81 (208, 51%, 6-6) and will be without their top target WR Moye (485, 17.3) for a 2nd straight wk. RB Redd (705, 4.8) has picked up the slack with 3 str 100 yd gms in B10 play. PSU is #19 pass eff D (161, 51%, 4-11). NW had 29-17 FD and 495-379 yd edges in the 41-31 loss to Iowa but was done in by mistakes incl a 98 yd IR TD in the 1Q. QB combo of Persa and Kolter have been dynamic (224, 70%, 10-3) but the D has been nonexistent in the 4 gm slide allowing 36 ppg and 445 ypg. The Lions have a huge D edge (#9-83) and get the win.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

110

28

1.8

-

239

210

35

1.7

••

UM 4-4 vs GT but has won the L/2. LY the Canes won 35-10 with the series largest MOV S/’67. LTH GT was outgained 454-228 being held to a ssn low 2.4 ypc and 95 rush yds (lowest in Johnson era vs FBS team). LTH Miami won 33-17 as they motivated by all’g 472 rush yds in their ‘08 meeting. LW, with 8 in the box, QB Harris looked flawless as Miami gained 263 yds in the 1H and led NC 27-10. In the 2H Mia struggled with just 48 ttl yds but escaped Chapel Hill with a win. GT is off a very disappointing 24-21 loss to VA, where poor offensive play and penalties finally did them in. MD and VA forced QB Washington to beat them taking away his options and vs better DB’s the pass game has been exposed. GT is all’g 177 rush ypg (4.7) incl ssn highs the L/2 wks and the task gets tougher vs Mia’s big OL. This is Golden’s 1st look at the GT option. He faced Johnson twice (Temple vs Navy) and all’d 420 (7.5) and 359 (6.0) rush in those two but fared better vs the option in his last 3 yrs.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

183

26

2.2

-

181

158

25

2.0

•

LY UI won the matchup of Fr QB’s as Scheelhaase had 313 ttl yds (PU’s Robinson 76 ttl yds) as UI led 37-0 into the 4Q. IL threw 4 passes on its final drive capped by a TD pass with 1:36 left. PU HC Hope wasn’t pleased: “I probably wouldn’t have done that. I’m not going to cry about it.” The Illini haven’t won here S/’01 dropping 3 str trips (avg loss by 26 ppg) but did snap their 5 gm losing streak to the Boilers LY. Mistakes doomed the Illini as they dropped their 1st gm of the ssn 17-7 to OSU as they lost 3 TO incl 2 which set up 12/1pl and 22/3pl TD “drives”. IL had 18-14 FD and 285-228 yd edges vs an extremely conservative Bucks off (just 1 comp). Scheelhaase is #15 FBS pass eff (201, 65%, 11-5, #1 rusher w/396). Jenkins (895, 16.6) is #5 FBS rec ypg. Illini are #5 FBS in sks (26) and #18 in rush D (98 ypg, 2.7). The pesky Boilers also had their share of mistakes vs PSU as they missed a 44 yd FG and an xp, had an int with :25 left 1H which set up a Lions FG, were int’d at the PSU27 and all’d a 92 yd KR which set up a FG in a 23-18 loss. QB TerBush (158, 61%, 6-4) hasn’t thrown for over 200 yds since the opener as they’ve relied on the RB tandem of Bolden (370, 5.3) and Shavers (296, 5.2). Boilers are #47 pass eff D (200 ypg, 54%, 7-4). Illini have edges on both sides (#46-69 off, #20-58 D) but the Boilers have an enormous ST edge (#13-117) and pull the upset.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

158

29

1.2

•••

49

268

18

2.5

-

The past 4 and 6 of the L7 have been decided by 8 or less. LSU has won 3 straight and has outgained the Vols by 189 ypg . LY LSU had a 434-217 yd edge but 4 TO’s had Tenn up late and they “won” the gm but had too many men on the field which gave LSU one more chance and they got a TD to escape 16-14 at home. Tenn’s young tm (8 ret st’rs) went 0-3 LY at home vs ranked teams but in all 3 losses they were competitive early and were worn out in the 2H (13-13 Oreg, 3-7 Fla, 10-13 Bama). The same thing happened LW as the Vols were tied w/UGA 6-6 at HT but wore down in the 2H in a 20-12 loss as they were outgained 366-270. On UT’s TD drive late in the 4Q, QB Bray (316 ypg, 66%, 14-2 ratio) hurt the thumb on his throwing hand (out 4W) and was replaced by Simms. The UT rush off continues to struggle avg just 85 ypg (2.5) and will find it tough sledding vs an LSU run D all’g just 69 ypg (2.3). LW the Tigers took advantage of the Gators starting their 3rd string QB and rolled to a 41-11 win with 20-9 FD and 453-213 yd edges. QB Lee continued his efficient play and is now avg 158 ypg (60%) but most importantly an 8-1 ratio. Jefferson, back from susp the L/2W, has been used on occasion to take advantage of his running ability. LSU has the edges on off (#22-37), D (#2-25) and ST’s (#16-87) but they have a big gm vs Bama looming in the distance and Aub on deck.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

203

34

1.7

-

76

138

8

2.6

•

Alabama has won 7 str in this series but 4 of those have been decided by 4 pts or less. LY Bama was off a loss to SC dropping from #1 but only finished with a 15-13 FD edge (23-10). The Tide continues to take care of business on the road going 13-2. LW QB McCarron threw for a career-high 237 yds and 4 TD’s (has not thrown an int since opener) while Heisman candidate Richardson had his 5th str 100 yd gm as the Tide won 34-0. Their D continued to live up to their lofty #1 ranking getting their 2nd shutout of the ssn. Before the bye week, the Rebels had their most complete game of the ssn as they beat Fresno 38-28. QB Mackey got his 1st start and threw for 214 yds and RB Scott now leads with 350 (5.1). Bama’s #1 D is facing a Ole Miss off that ranks just #81 and a QB making just his 2nd start. Roll Tide!

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

408

59

1.1

••

116

208

17

3.4

–

OU has won 6 straight by 22 ppg incl the last gm in ‘09. OU has stayed focused after the RRR winning 12 straight. LW the Sooners scored a school record 3 D TD’s for their biggest win (55-17) over rival Texas S/’03. UT’s 5 TO’s were turned into 31 Sooners pts and the Horns scored their only off TD with 3:06 left. QB Jones is avg 363 ypg (69%, 13-5) despite not having his full compliment of WR’s TY until the RRR. Sooners are #1 pass eff D (220, 51%, 5-9). LW’s the Jayhawks were drubbed 70-28 at OSU in which the Cowboys scored TD’s on their 1st 8 poss to jump out to a 56-7 HT lead while the Hawks helped matters with 4 1H TO’s. QB Webb is #8 FBS pass eff (226 ypg, 68%, 11-5) but lacks playmakers in the WR corps. The Hawks D is last in the FBS in scoring (49.4), ttl (556) and pass eff (333, 73%, 16-1!). OU continues to pad their BCS resume.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

205

11

2.7

-

295

295

50

1.4

•

In the L5Y Wisc is 5-0 avg 51 ppg vs Indy with a 25 ppg MOV and an avg of +227 ypg. LY Indy lost their QB down 24-10 and lost 83-20 here in Madison amid running up the score charges. TY Wisky is off a bye after demolishing #8 Neb 48-17. The Huskers actually led 14-13 before the Badgers turned 3 int into 3 TD’s which blew the gm open. Heisman contender QB Wilson (278 ypg, 75%, 13-1) has been the “free agent pickup” of the year as he’s #1 FBS pass eff which has perfectly complimented the rugged gm led by RB duo of Ball (511, 5.5) and White (329, 5.9). Unheralded Badgers D have all’d 3 meaningful TD’s in 5 gms (and 3 in garbage time). IU meanwhile is playing for a 7th straight week and this is their 1st B10 road game. Thanks to an opening KR TD IU jumped out to 10-0 lead over undefeated IL before crashing back to earth in a 41-20 home loss in which they were outgained 518-302. With the starting QB for the 1st 4 gms (Wright-Baker) out for the 2nd gm in a row (ankle), IU turned to true Fr Roberson (11-17-148, 1 int) after st’r Kiel (6-19-71) suffered an ankle inj. IU had 7 P, 2 TO and 2 FG on their first 11 drives for 165 yds before gaining 137 on their final 2 after IL took a 21 pt lead. UW is running for 5.5 ypc TY while IU allows 4.6 ypc which spells trouble.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

280

40

1.9

-

44

170

5

3.3

-

1st meeting. Boise is off a Fri Night Marquee win over Fresno, 57-7, leaving a lasting impression on pollsters in their final gm on ESPN. BSU built a 30-0 lead before FSU even crossed midfield (FSU’s only TD on 79 yd PR). Moore, coming off a subpar gm 2W ago, hit 23-31-254 with 3 TD and is now avg 278 ypg (74%) with a 17-4 ratio. CSU is off a bye after losing to SJSt on HC 2W ago. QB Thomas is avg 218 ypg (67%) with a 6-5 ratio (BSU #5 pass eff D). RB’s Carter (260, 4.9, 2 TD) and Nwoke (231, 3.7, 4) handle the bulk of the action while WR Greenwood (257, 17.1, 2) and TE Gillmore (222, 10.6, 3) pace the rec gm. BSU has taken on my 6th toughest sked (CSU #118) and takes on AF’s option next wk (may sneak in some prep work). CSU is 6-14 in MW HG’s (avg loss by 16 ppg) and could stay closer than what many will expect..

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

348

38

2.6

••

199

278

34

3.4

-

OSU dominated LY leading 33-3 into the 4Q before they allowed 2 gbg TD’s. Prior to LY’s loss the Horns had won TWELVE in a row in the series by 17.5 ppg incl a 41-14 win in Stillwater over a #13 OSU team. Have to believe this game is special to the Horns as their conf home opener after going 0-4 at home in B12 play LY! LY UT allowed a ssn high 532 yds incl 409 passing. OSU does have a schedule edge off a bye and home game vs Kansas while Texas is off an embarrassing 55-17 RRR loss to rival to OU in which the Sooners ret’d 3 of the Horns 5 TO’s for TD’s. The FD’s were actually even (22) but OU had a 453-259 yd edge and UT scored its only offensive TD with 3:06 left. Frosh QB’s McCoy and Ash supplied 4 of the TO’s and the Horns all’d 8 sks (just 4 in 1st 4 gms). UT is #4 pass eff D (216, 54%, 5-6). OSU feasted on 4 Kansas 1H TO’s to score TD’s on their 1st 8 poss of the gm in a 70-28 win. QB Weeden is the FBS’s #2 passer (376, 76%, 15-6) and it helps to have targets like Blackmon (46, 11.6). OSU allows 166 rush ypg (4.4). This game comes down to the wire unlike LW’s RRR game.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

275

41

1.8

••

66

320

18

2.1

-

The margin on Stanford’s L/3 wins has decreased from 58 to 26 to 10 LY although it was somewhat misleading as the Cougs trailed 31-7 into the 4Q amassing 9 FD’s (47%) and 245 yds (63%) in the final quarter. For the 2nd time in 3 gms WSU blew a 2H lead, this time coming into the 4Q (8 pt lead vs UCLA, WSU had 3 FG’s of 26 yds or less) and now moves to 3-2 where they very well could be undefeated (28-15 FD and 389-371 yd edges vs Bruins). QB Luck and the SU offense put up 553 yds en route to a 41 pt win over Colorado. SU’s offense outgained 6 of 7 opponents away from home (not Oregon) LY by 185 ypg and have been just as impressive on the road TY outgaining Duke and Arizona by 202 ypg. They have however kept opponents in games longer than they would like (led CU just 13-7 in 2Q). The Cardinal have the nation’s longest win streak, but it must be noted that the only team they’ve faced with a winning record TY has been Duke (3-2).

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

278

29

1.8

•••

146

188

19

2.3

-

This series has seen 4 upsets in the L6Y. LTH CU blew an early 10-0 lead. In the 4Q CU missed 47 and 48 yd FG’s but had a FD at the M32 driving for a tie/win but 3pl later was sk’d and fmbl’d and lost 24-21. LY was very misleading as MD had FD and yd edges (+137) but after a 7-3 lead, all’d an 87 yd KR TD and a 61 yd IR TD while also missing a 33 yd FG, SOD at C29, int at C21 and CU won 31-7. LW CU put up 17 quick pts in the 1Q but lost QB Boyd in the 3Q in their 36-14 win over BC but Boyd should be back. CU is now avg over 450 yds in 5 of the L/6 gms (323 vs VT) and the defense has all’d 260 ypg the L/2W. MD mounted a comeback led by a bkp QB (trailed 21-3 3Q) but fell short 21-16 to GT. There is a QB controversy in MD as Edsall pulled LY’s ACC FOY O’Brien after a 1 for 6 start for unproven soph CJ Brown. Despite playing w/o several key players on D MD held GT’s #2 scoring O to a ssn low 386 yds. Clemson has all the edges here incl off (#17-73) and ST’s (#33-110) and is rolling.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

265

30

2.0

-

298

245

42

3.1

-

This could very well be the preview to the inaugural P12 Title Game. The Ducks come into this home matchup with a few extra days rest after their Thurs night win over Cal (trailed by 1 at HT, won by 28) while the Sun Devils travel North for a 2nd straight week after LW’s win over Utah, a game in which ASU scored the final 25 pts. In LY’s meeting the Ducks were very fortunate to escape the desert with a win as they were outFD’d 31-20 and outgained 597-385 but a -5 TO margin did in the Sun Devils. Oregon has now won 19 straight HG’s dating back to ‘08 incl a 6-0 run LY in which they outgained foes by an amazing 305 ypg. While UO will likely be w/o RB James for a bit (inj vs Cal), the Ducks have plenty of depth at the position to maintain their success.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

135

24

2.6

-

152

285

21

2.5

•

MSU has had 3 straight wins since Mike Hart’s infamous “little brother” comment (+182 ypg). LY UM led 10-7 mid-2Q LY before allowing 24 unanswered. QB Robinson was handcuffed for most of the gm accounting for 3 TO’s including 2 int inside the MSU5 (1 in EZ). UM is off their 42-24 win at NW in their 1st road trip of the yr. UM trailed 24-14 at the half but scored 4 TD on 5 2H poss (1 missed FG) while NW had TO’s on 2 straight poss as the Wolves pulled away. QB D-Rob (206, 56%, 10-9, B10’s #1 rusher 674, 7.2) shook off 3 1H int which set the Cats up for 10 pts. Improved UM D allows 13 ppg (#9 FBS). MSU is off a bye after their misleading 10-7 manhandling of OSU, their 1st win over the Bucks S/‘99. MSU had 9 sks and a 321-178 yd edge and held OSU to 77 yds until their final 2 drives allowing a TD pass with :10 left to lose the shutout. Spartans top weapon is WR Cunningham (38, 15.3) while a banged up OL should be closer to 100% which could help kick start a stagnant run gm (50 ypg, 1.9 vs 2 BCS foes). Spartans are #1 FBS in ttl D (173 ypg), #3 scoring (10.2) with 64 rush ypg (2.2) and keep in mind they only all’d 275 yds in their loss at ND. MSU looks to win their 4th straight over their rival for the 1st time S/’62.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

93

33

1.7

-

196

223

23

2.7

••

GT has now won B2B gms and DC Al Groh who was the HC here for 9 ssns returns “home”. UVA’s rush D is the obvious concern as they allowed 477 (6.4) to GT LY and on the season allowed 5.1 ypc. UVA is more prepared under London in his 2nd ssn all’g 116 (3.5) so far. They are off a bye to prep for the unique offense and hosted Idaho the week prior while the Jackets are playing their 4th straight ACC game. GT held off MD LW 21-16 a game they led 21-3 in 3Q. GT should have been up big in the 1H but were plagued by penalties, miscues and 7 dropped passes incl 4 huge pass plays for possible TD’s. HC Johnson went conservative in the 2H and took the pitch/pass out of QB Washington’s hands which made his triple option (avg 578 ypg) 1 dimensional (1 drive over 5pl). GT defense was w/o 3 of their starting LB’s incl their star Attouchou but all should return here. UVA also let ID hang around needing OT for the win 2 wks ago. The Cavs had some QB issues in their last game and also were w/o their top RB and NFL caliber DE. The visitor is just 3-13 but GT won LTH, 34-9 w/a 447-198 yd edge. Johnson warned GT players not to read their own press clippings prior to MD and the Cavs should be prepared for the option.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

188

21

2.9

–

146

183

16

3.1

-

They’ve not met S/‘07 but it’s been decade of domination by SC (5-0) and they have won the L/3 by 24,15 and 17 pts avg +130 ypg. Both tms may be playing relatively “green” QB’s in this one as LW SC QB Shaw replaced the struggling Garcia as the starter and he threw for 311 yds (67%) with a 4-0 ratio (Garcia only 4-9 ratio thru 1st 5 gms comb) as the Gamecocks racked up a dominating 639-96 yd edge in their 54-3 win over KY. It was their biggest MOV in an SEC gm since joining the league in ‘92 and the most yds under Spurrier in his tenure here. WR Jeffery finally had a big gm with 6 rec (15.8) and 2 TD’s while the dependable RB Lattimore leads with 779 yds (5.3) and 9 TD. MSU found themselves down 3-0 at HT LW at UAB and QB Russell replaced the ineffective Relf (beating he took early ssn taking its toll) in the 2H while leading the Bulldogs to 3 2H TD’s in their 21-3 win. Russell threw for 166 yds (85%) with a 3-0 ratio while RB Ballard topped the 100 yd mark and he leads with 531 (6.2). LY Miss St beat GA at home and outFD’d Ark 32-21 in an OT loss, have a bye on deck and this will be Shaw’s first true away start as the Bulldogs grab a key conf win.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

128

19

1.8

••••

166

193

25

2.6

-

The Bucks bring out the best in the Illini. In the L5Y OSU had a rec of 56-9 while IL had a record of 26-36 BUT the ttl ydg diff was JUST 13 yds. LY OSU only led 14-10 into the 4Q and after QB Pryor was inj’d ran on 24 of 28 plays. Scheelhaase made his 1st B10 start going 12-22 (55%) for 109 yds. OSU is 7-1 vs the B10 after a loss incl LW as they blew a 27-6 3Q lead in the biggest comeback in Neb history. OSU had more yds in their 1st 3 poss (195) vs NU than they had in the entire gm vs MSU (178) but the tide turned when Huskers LB David stole the ball on a scramble by OSU QB Miller which set up a 23/2pl TD drive to cut it to 27-13. Despite the fmbl Miller was on his way to the best gm of his career (5-8-95, 1 TD, 91 rush yd) before being KO’d (ankle) on the next series. In a steady rain bkp Bauserman came in to hit 1-10-13 with 1 int while the lead slipped away and OSU has their first losing streak S/’04. Miller should play but if he can’t go keep in mind Bauserman is a combined 3-24-26 with 1 int in 2 road gms TY. IL shrugged off a 10-0 deficit to Indy in their first road trip of the yr to win 41-20 with a 518-302 yd edge. IL has had the B10’s best pass-catch combo of Scheelhaase (206 ypg, 67%, 10-3, 347 rush) to FBS’s rec yd leader Jenkins (815, 17.7). IL is #6 FBS in sks (22). My, how things have changed as IL is favored to win this game and should take care of business.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

108

29

1.9

-

109

318

30

2.1

•

Five straight wins, 5 straight covers and TT has avg 669 yds and outgained KSU by 374 ypg the L/3 but Leach was the HC for each (last met ‘09). KSU hasn’t won in Lubbock S’97 as they have dropped 3 str visits by an avg 37 ppg. In ‘09 KSU fell behind 38-0 at HT and finished allowing 739 yds. Despite 34-23 FD and 523-393 yd edges TT lost 45-40 to bitter rival A&M as the gm’s turning point came in the 3Q when clinging to a 31-23 lead, the Aggies ret’d a blk’d FG 64 yds for a TD. B12’s #2 rusher Stephens (570, 5.2) was also seriously inj’d late 3Q. QB Doege is #21 FBS pass eff (341 ypg, 71%, 17-1). TT is #115 FBS in rush D (224, 4.9). LW KSU scored their 3rd straight upset pulling out to a 24-3 early 4Q lead over Missouri. The Tigers then got 2 TD drives in which they had nearly half of their total yds for the gm but after pulling to within 24-17 with 5:25 couldn’t stop the Cats who ran out the clock. Unflashy KSU QB Klein (119, 57%, 6-3, 468 rush) and RB Hubert (469, 5.5) are getting the job done. It’s the D that’s been the difference however leading the B12 in ttl (299) D and they are #38 pass eff D (206, 56%, 7-7). Could it be 4 straight upsets for HC Snyder?

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

203

26

1.7

-

121

253

26

1.6

-

VT won and covered 3 ACC meetings and LY had a ssn high 605 yds (VT led at HT, 49-14). After taking all of the criticism for their loss to Clem, Hokies QB Thomas rebounded with a near perfect 23-25-310 with 3 pass and 2 rush TD’s incl a 19 yd TD run on 4&1 with :56 left to defeat Mia 38-35 (VT led 21-7 3Q). VT came into the gm all’g 58 rush ypg (2.0) but played w/o DT Hopkins (300 lbs) and a big UM OL opened holes for 236 yds as the 2 teams comb for over 1,000 yds. Wake held off a late rally (led 32-17 4Q) defeating FSU 35-30. Wake is off to its best start in ACC play (3-0) in school history. QB Price (270, 62%, 10-2) has improved TY but was just 3-16-92 vs VT LY while Harris (411 yds, 4.5) had 241 of the team’s 346 LY. The surprising story is the rush defense with an undersized DL all’g 102 ypg (3.6). They now face one of the best RB in the ACC Wilson with 771 yd (5.8) and a 260 lb QB who showed his legs LW. VT has the defense edge (#12-66) and has played the stronger sked (#63-100). VT has only given up 30+ pts in ACC play 5 times since joining and their frustrated DC Foster will correct the miscues that has plagued the team the L2W.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

283

33

1.8

-

239

323

44

1.7

••••••

A&M is 5-1 vs the Bears and has won its L/4 at home by 31 ppg. LY Baylor at home led 30-14 in the 2Q with a 367-230 yd edge at half but lost 42-30 as K Jones missed an xp, had a 41 yd FG blk’d and missed 2 2H kicks (27 and 39 yd’rs). There is bad blood between these 2 administrations and fan bases as after the Bears sued in an attempt to keep the Ags in the B12, A&M had a press release detailing that the Bears had sold just 830 of their allotted 3,850 to this gm and returned the rest. After a slow start in which they fmbl’d at the ISU11, 31 and missed a 48 yd FG in the 1H the Bears used a 14 pt swing (86 yd FR TD) and muscle (391-181 rush yd edge) to beat ISU 49-26. Griffin fell to #2 FBS pass eff (304, 80%, 19-1) with big play dynamo WR Wright (48, 14.4) leading the FBS in rec ypg (690 ttl) and TD rec’s (8). BU is #54 pass eff D (205, 55%, 12-5) but this is the biggest test of their secondary YTD. Despite being outgained 523-393 A&M (-9’) rebounded from B2B losses to beat their nemesis TT 45-40 in Lubbock. The gm’s turning point came in the 3Q as trailing 31-23, TT settled for a FG which A&M blk’d and ret’d for a TD. Ags QB Tannehill (265, 67%, 7-5) has 2 solid backs in Gray (479, 4.7) and Michael (460, 6.4). The Ags are #1 FBS in sacks (21) but last in pass D (348) and have forced just 1 TO since the opener while being outscored in the 2H of their L/3 by a combined 82-26. The offenses are even in our rankings while A&M has huge sked (#7-79), D (#21-82) and ST (#39-119) edges.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

193

30

2.3

-

204

178

24

2.7

-

Muschamp earned his Masters at Aub in ‘96 and later was the DC (‘06-’07) prior to Texas. These 2 haven’t met since ‘07 but Auburn has pulled the upset 3 times. Florida is off B2B losses to Bama and LSU for a 2nd str yr and LY lost at home to Miss St in that spot. The Gators are beat-up at QB and RB as true frosh QB Brissett (8-14-94 with an 0-2 ratio) had to play for inj’d Brantley and Driskel LW and RB Demps has seen little action since the 1H of the Bama game. UF has lost consec gms by DD’s for the 1st time S/’92 and has lost consec gms by 28+ for first time S/‘71. Aub is also off a DD loss as after taking a 14-7 1Q lead over Ark they all’d 31 unanswered pts in the 38-14 loss. QB Trotter had his worst gm of the season completing just 6-19 passes and true frosh Frazier (run threat) was inserted to provide a spark as they were playing w/out their top 2 rec’s. RB Dyer leads the way with 679 (5.5) and 8 TD’s and will be facing a UF D which after all’g just 31 rush ypg (1.2) the first 4 gms has all’d 232 rush (5.0) the L/2. These two have one common opp in FAU. Aub struggled to a 30-14 win with only a 315-307 yd edge while UF dominated with a 41-3 win (468-137 yd edge). Auburn is at home (11-0) but they aren’t on the same level as Bama/LSU and UF has the edge on off (#24-44) and def (#15-62) and they could get Driskel/Demps back here.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

165

19

2.9

•

145

190

29

1.8

-

LY when LSU faked a 53 yd FG w/:35 left down 3. The holder tossed the ball over his head and K Jasper caught it after it hit the turf (review upheld) and ran 5 yds for a FD. Four plays later LSU scored the GW TD w/:06 left. Despite needing that lucky play for the win LY LSU did have a 385-243 yd edge in the Swamp. Will Muschamp spent 2001-’04 as the DC/LB cch at LSU. Gators are off a big HG vs Bama in which they were dominated after their first play from scrimmage (65 yd TD pass). The key play happened late in the 1H with the Gators trailing 24-10 and driving when QB Brantley was hurt (knee). Bkp Driskel came in but the UF off did not cross midfield from that point forward. The duo of Rainey/Demps who came in avg 275 all-purpose ypg were held to 8 yds rush (0.6 combined). LSU dominated UK and all’d only 55 yds until the Wildcats final two drives. QB Lee continues his efficient play avg 159 ypg (59%) with a 7-1 ratio. LSU S/’60 is 220-60-4 in night gms (28-1 under Miles) and just 25-25-3 in day games (9-4 UM). With UF’s uncertainty at QB and the possibility of a true frosh making his first career start, the Tigers get the win.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

35

0

2.5

-

235

235

34

2.1

•

The Tide has dominated this series going 43-2 S/’60 w/20 str wins by 16 ppg. In the last gm (‘07) UA won 24-10 (in Nashville) w/a 371-232 yd and 22-13 FD edge (Saban’s 1st yr). Bama is coming off a road trip to the Swamp where they dominated the LOS with a 226-15 rush yd edge and had overall 21-9 FD and 366-222 yd edges in the 38-10 win. RB Richardson is now firmly in the Heisman race after running for a career high 181 yards (6.2) and 2 TD’s and now ranks #9 in the NCAA with 622 (6.5) and 10 TD’s. QB McCarron continues to be a “game-manager” avg 184 ypg (63%) with a 4-2 ratio while the Bama D has all’d just 192 ypg. Vandy used the bye week to heal up QB Smith (neck) who is avg just 103 ypg (58%) with a 3-3 ratio. RB Stacy has filled in nicely for the inj’d Norman and leads with 280 (7.8). The Vandy D does lead the NCAA w/14 int’s in 4 gms and has ret’d 3 of them for TD’s. This is the Tide’s “C” game for October however, Vandy was held to just 77 yds in their L/gm vs SC (#14 D) and now must face easily the best D in the country as the Tide pitch their 2nd shutout of the season.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

325

32

2.6

••

145

215

23

2.5

-

Cotton Bowl in Dallas, TX. In the L/6Y UT has held OU to 88 rush ypg (2.5) and in the L12Y the tm with the rush yd edge has won the gm. LY OU blew some big leads and held on for a 28-20 win with a late Horns fmbl on a punt. UT KO’d target #2 ISU on their revenge tour as they took advantage of Cyclone mistakes (3 TO’s and blk’d P ret’d for a TD) to race out to a 34-0 HT lead before coasting. QB McCoy (7-12 for 110 yd) got his 2nd start but Ash played the majority of the gm hitting 7-12 for 145 yd and 2 TD. Frosh RB Brown (327, 4.9) and WR Shipley (16, 17.5) have been difference makers. Young Horns secondary are #4 pass eff D (178, 52%, 2-6) but this is their 1st big test. Sooners capitalized on three 2Q int’s to balloon a 10-6 early 2Q lead over Ball St to a 38-6 HT advantage. OU had 655-214 yd and 28-10 FD edges in a 62-6 win. QB Jones (362 ypg, 72%, 10-5 ratio) is #14 FBS pass eff and Broyles is #5 rec (38, 12.5). OU allows 129 rush ypg (3.9). The D’s are even but OU has the off (#3-28), ST (#25-78) and exp edges.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

285

41

1.1

-

77

195

19

3.0

-

Boise is 9-1 vs Fresno. Last time here Boise jumped out to a 24-3 lead mid-3Q then Fresno RB Matthews had 69, 60 and 68 yd runs for TD’s getting to within 41-34 but Boise won 51-34. LY Pat Hill said, “they totally dominated us in every way” and BSU won at home 51-0. Fresno is taking on the highest ranked tm ever to play in Bulldog Stadium but that won’t be enough here.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

150

22

2.9

-

222

480

58

1.7

•••

LY OSU trailed 14-10 into the 2Q but scored the gm’s final 38 pts holding KU to just 109 yds and 8 FD’s. LTH (‘07) OSU lost 43-28 vs a #5 ranked Jayhawks tm. The Pokes do have a big game at Texas on deck but are off a bye. Prior to the bye OSU rallied from a 20-3 HT deficit scoring 3 straight TD drives to open the 2H in their win vs A&M. QB Weeden is #1 FBS passing (398 ypg, 74%, 10-6) spreading the ball around more than LY but his top target is still LY’s Biletnikoff winner Blackmon (38, 11.8). The Cowboys have forced 13 TO’s (#7 FBS). KU avg just 208 ypg on the road LY. KU had 191 yd and 3 TD on their 1st 15 plays to roar out to a 20-0 lead over TT but the Raiders answered with 3 straight TD drives in both late 1Q/early 2Q and to open the 3Q to take a 45-27 lead. QB Webb (204 ypg, 68%, 9-3) is #4 FBS pass eff but threw his 1st 3 int of the ssn vs the Raiders which led to 3 TD’s. KU is #119 pass eff (293, 72%, 9-1) and that does not bode well going up against Weeden and Co.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

220

12

1.9

-

197

295

45

1.3

••

Last game was played here in ‘93 (41-37 Stanford win over #7 Colorado). The Buffs have dropped 13 straight conf AG’s (this is their 1st in the P12) by 18 ppg and haven’t won on the road at all since the 2007 season (19 gms). CU was primed for a win a wk ago vs WSU before they all’d 2 TD’s in the final 3:00 to give the Cougars the come from behind win. The Cardinal are tough at home and last week won 45-19 over UCLA as Heisman hopeful QB Luck padded his stats (227 yds, 85%, 3-0 ratio). Luck should have no problem against a young and inexperienced CU secondary that is hampered by numerous inj’s (7 CB’s missed LW, all’g 11-2 ratio TY). To make matters worse, the Cardinal have solid edges in off (#5-71), def (#14-51) and ST’s (#20-89) while CU has dropped 13 of its L/14 vs Top 10 tms being outscored 38-12.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

163

11

2.3

-

184

318

33

2.0

••

LY CU led 10-3 into the 2Q gaining only 193 yds thereafter but only 1 of their L/8 poss ended in a punt (3 TO, 2 missed FG, SOD and end of gm). LTH here (‘09) Clemson and the gm took nearly 5 hours due to lightning delays and BC’s only TD was set up by a TO. BC had MINUS 5 yds at the half! BC is off a loss to Wake LW 27-19. RB Montel Harris (BC car rush leader) made his 1st start (inj’d) rushing for 108 yds (4.9) but behind QB Rettig (210 ypg, 52%, 5-4) and a patchwork OL the offense has struggled to score. CU HC Swinney said it best when he said, “we played just enough offense and a lot of defense” (easily vs VT’s young QB) as the Tigers downed VT 23-3 LW. The D held VT without a TD at home for the 1st time S/’95. CU became the 1st ACC school to defeat 3 consec ranked opponents in Aub, FSU and VT. Coming into LW CU was avg 38 ppg and 506 ypg. Clemson has all the edges here (off #18-90, def #34-49 and ST #29-88). Clemson is a hot team as they return to Death Valley and take care of the Eagles.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

215

24

2.2

-

258

255

47

2.0

•

Five of the L/8 in this series have been decided by a TD or less incl LY when UO was held to ssn lows in FD’s (20) and yds (317, next lowest 447) in the 2 pt victory (Cal missed a late 4Q FG). Cal is playing its 5th game of the ssn in the 5th different location and is still steaming after an 8 pt loss to Wash prior to the bye (inside 5 yd line on final drive). The Ducks are also off a bye and have returned to their rapid offensive pace avg 600 ypg since the ssn opening loss to LSU.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

163

25

2.5

•

159

383

40

1.9

-

LY Ark led 43-37 w/14:09 left but imploded all’g 28 unanswered (L/3 TD’s on a 47 yd FR and 2 int’s). Ark QB Mallett was knocked out of the gm in the 2Q with a concussion and bkp QB Wilson threw for 332 yds and 4 TD. LY’s 108 total pts was the highest scoring non-OT SEC game ever. Aub has won 3 of its L/4 trips to Fayetteville but LTH lost 44-23 as they trailed 34-3 mid-3Q. LW Ark rallied after trailing 35-17 at HT to beat A&M for a 3rd str year, 42-38. The Hogs pass gm was firing on all cylinders as QB Wilson threw for a school record 510 yds (303 ypg, 65%, 10-3) and WR Wright had a school record 281 rec yds (21.6). Aub also had a key win away from home LW beating SC, 16-13. The Tigers ran 40 more plays than SC and had a 358-289 yd edge. RB Dyer leads with 567 (5.5) and 7 TD’s while QB Trotter is avg 179 ypg (60%) with a 9-5 ratio. Aub’s much-maligned D did have their best performance LW but still are all’g 440 ypg. Aub’s young tm is gaining experience weekly but the Hogs have a bye on deck while they are just part of a brutal Oct schedule for Auburn.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

220

35

2.6

-

184

240

21

2.2

•

Mich’s travels after 5 str. NW is 4-27 vs UM with the 4 wins by just 4 ppg. NW did win the last meeting 21-14 in ‘08 despite a ssn low 257 yds and 14 FD’s as UM was in the midst of a 3-9 ssn. In his 1st action since LY QB Persa staked NW to a 28-10 3Q lead with a career high 4 TD passes before a foot inj KO’d him for the final 2 series as the Cats completed their meltdown 38-35 to rival IL. The Cats are allowing 175 rush ypg (4.1) and though they contained mobile QB Scheelhaase on the ground LW (35, 1.8), he threw for a career high 391 yd and 3 TD. The Wolves dominated the downtrodden Gophers 58-0 with 580-177 yd and 32-8 FD edges. B10’s #1 rusher QB Robinson (557, 8.1) had his best passing gm (15-19-169 and 2 TD) and his fewest carries (6-51) of the ssn as RB’s Toussaint (108, 9.8) and Smith (1st FBS RB with TD rush, pass, rec S/’09) handled the ground duties. Wolves have all’d just 5 TD in 4 gms but are taking on better competition herethan what they faced in 4 of their 5 gms and are on the road for the first time.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

165

22

2.1

-

342

185

39

2.1

-

First road gm for MD. GT is 7-3 vs MD and did lose the last gm in ‘07, 28-26. GT had a 3&10 at the MD25 (potential 42 yd FG) but holding was called and the 52 yd att sailed wide right w/:54 left. GT is 5-0 for the 1st time S/’90 (Nat’l Champ) after defeating NCSt LW, 45-35 (led 42-14 4Q). Misleading final as NCSt scored 14 pts in the final :34. Since MD defeated Mia (8 susp) in the opener they have had 2 tough losses to WV and Temple. LW, despite being outgained 378-335, MD defeated Towson 28-3 (7-3 1H). MD’s defense is banged up incl losing its top tkl’r. GT has outgained MD in 9 of the L/10 by an avg of 423-300. Edsall was the DC at GT in ‘98 but the last time he took on Johnson’s offense was in ‘06 and Navy beat Conn 41-17! UC had the #10 D but was shredded for 606 yds (464 rush, 8.3). After the Temple loss Edsall said MD is in transition. Johnson is 18-4 at home and GT will continue to show off their more balanced triple option.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

133

19

2.0

-

189

173

25

2.4

•

Last met in ‘56. First B10 HG ever for Neb. The Bucks were 21-3 the L/6Y with the avg win by 20 ppg but that was under Tressel. NU HC Pelini is an OSU grad. Both teams come in after humbling results as OSU scored with just :19 left to avoid their 1st home shutout S/’82. MSU dominated the LOS holding the Bucks to just 110 yds until their final drive while piling up 9 sks. The Spartans were SOD at the OSU36, fmbl’d at the OSU25, int’d at the OSU6 and 20 and also missed a 51 yd FG in a misleading final. HC Fickell said after the gm the QB competition will be open in practice TW to all 4 schlrshp QB’s after true Fr Miller struggled (5-10-56 with 1 int) while Bauserman hit 7-14-87 and 1 TD while QB’ing the entire 4Q. OSU allows 94 rush ypg (3.2). After NU took a 14-7 early 2Q lead the Badgers scored 6 TD on their final 8 poss to roll to a 48-17 win in which they had a 486-335 yd edge. NU QB Martinez was contained by UW throwing 3 int although he’s still #4 B10 in rush (482, 5.8), he’s fallen to #11 pass eff (165, 50%, 4-5 ratio). NU had their D’s Big 3 (DT Crick, LB David and CB Dennard) on the field for the 1st time TY but the Blackshirts are allowing an alarming 27 ppg. OSU will put forth a better effort on offense this week but it won’t be enough here.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

158

19

2.5

•••

114

413

40

2.5

-

WV is 6-1 vs Conn but lost LY. The Mountaineers led 10-0 into the 2Q and never trailed until the Huskies hit a 27 yd GW FG in OT that was set up by 1 of 4 WV fumbles which in turn cost WV a trip to the Fiesta Bowl. After going with a QB-by-committee approach for the 1st 4 gms, McEntee was given the job LW vs WM and played well with 299 yds (4 TD). The problem for Conn in the 7 pt loss to the Broncos was a pass defense which all’d 479 yds. WV has legitimate revenge and should be focused after a rout of BG where they finally found a run game (RB Garrison 291 rush yds, 233 of it came in the 1H) and have a bye on the horizon. Their large edge in offense (#14-99) should be too much for the visiting Huskies.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

118

11

3.4

•

199

193

31

2.5

-

Revenge. LY SC was off its huge upset of Bama and the situation greatly favored UK as the loss snapped SC’s 10 gm series win streak. SC blew leads of 14-0 and 28-10 as UK went on a 68/12pl GW TD drive w/1:15 (SC was int in EZ w/:04). It was the first time ever that a UK squad beat a Spurrier cch’d team (1-17). RB Lattimore was injured and missed the 2H (212 ttl yds in 1H). The Gamecocks had been living on the edge all year and LW their bubble burst as they were upset 16-13 at home to Auburn. QB Garcia is avg just 169 ypg (52%) and leads the FBS in int’s thrown (9) and QB Shaw will start here. RB Lattimore has been one of the few bright spots on an off that is avg just 372 ypg as he leads with 677 (5.5) and 9 TD’s. As bad as SC’s off has been UK’s has been worse avg just 256 ypg and LW vs LSU gained 100 (65%) of their 155 yds on their final two drives. QB Newton (129 ypg, 50%, 6-6) has been pulled several times and the Wildcat run gm has been non-existent avg 116 ypg (3.3). This is SC’s 4th straight HG while UK is off Fla and a road gm at LSU but does have a bye on deck. UK has not won SU here since ‘99 and you have to believe SC will want to atone not only for LY’s loss but also LW’s disappointing performance.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

235

33

2.4

-

94

240

20

2.4

-

Misleading final LY as IL was outgained by 99 yds but took advantage of 5 Indy TO’s resulting in 24 pts incl 2 IR TD. Illini are just 2-7 in true road openers. IL had to rally from a 28-10 3Q deficit to beat their rival 38-35 LW as QB Scheelhaase had a 1 yd TD run with :18 left and have OSU on deck. Despite being banged up Scheelhaase’s passing has been the difference TY as he’s #8 FBS pass eff (206, 69%, 7-3) incl a career high 391 yd vs the Cats. WR Jenkins is #6 FBS in rec ypg (633, 40, 5 TD) incl a school rec’d 268 yds and 3 TD’s vs NW. Thanks to PSU mistakes (2 TO inside the Hoosiers 2) Indy actually went down to the wire and had a Hail Mary knocked away at the 5 with no time left. PSU had a 464-256 yd edge as QB Kiel, in his 1st career start for an inj’d Wright-Baker, went the distance (22-45-184 and 1-1 ratio). IU was missing 3 off st’rs altogether incl RB Roberts (concussion) and WR Wilson (back). Indy has all’d 13 sks TY which is more than they all’d all of LY (12) while IL leads the conf in sks (17). Hoosiers allow 190 rush ypg (4.3) and that does not bode well going up against Ill’s rush off.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

255

29

1.8

-

177

170

23

1.9

-

KSU has lost the L/5 (avg by 18 ppg). LY KSU trailed 38-14 early 4Q before 2 late TD’s but the Cats had 4 TO’s incl a fmbl at the MU1 and 53 yd FR TD. Mizz is off a bye after the loss at OU which dropped them to 2-2 for the 1st time S/’05. They’ve had plenty of firepower in their losses (517 ypg vs ASU and OU) but their D couldn’t get off the field (542 ypg with just 1 sk). QB Franklin’s numbers (246 ypg, 61%, 7-1 ratio, 260 rush) are better than #1 DC Gabbert’s were at this time LY. RB Josey leads the FBS in ypc (533, 12.4!). Tigers allow 87 rush ypg (2.5). KSU upset #15 Baylor LW. KSU got the 1st int of Heisman hopeful QB Griffin of the ssn and turned it into a GW FG before stopping the Bears on downs on their final series. QB Klein (120 ypg, 55%, 6-2, B12’s #4 rusher 423) has stepped up with B2B big gms as the Cats have pulled 2 straight upsets outright. KSU’s imp’d D ranks in the FBS’s top 20 in scoring (16.5), rush (88, 2.9) and total (292) D. Tigers have a big edge on off (#16-79) but KSU has the D edge (#24-27) and is on a roll.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

158

17

2.5

-

212

203

21

1.7

•

The Hokies have owned the Canes (11-5) and the Canes have topped 17 pts just once S/’03. In UM’s last visit to Blacksburg they came in ranked #9 (VT #11) and had ssn lows in pts (7), FD (12) and yds (209). QB Harris DNP LY and in ‘09 was just 9-25-150 with an 0-1 ratio (-28 rush yds). TY VT’s sked offered time for QB Thomas to mature as the Hokies relied on defense and rode the back of one of the best RB’s in the ACC Wilson (128 ypg, 5.9). While both did their part (CU avg’d 38 ppg) LW Thomas was exposed as an inexp’d QB (125, 56%, 0-1) and along with an un-Beamer-like ST unit and penalties (12.0 KR, 29.4 punt) proved too costly losing 23-3 to Clemson. The loss snapped a 14 gm ACC win streak and the 3 pts were the 2nd lowest at home under Beamer. UM defeated Bethune-Cookman 45-14 despite being outgained 422-335 and outFD’d 24-15. B-CU dominated UM on both sides in the 1Q (139-39 yd edge) and had a 7-0 lead (trailed 14-7 1H). The Canes have struggled against the run giving up 174 to OSU, 265 to K-St and 219 LW. This is a gut check for both teams and I’ll go with the better coach in Blacksburg.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

248

26

3.1

–

119

263

23

2.9

•

Sun Devils last visit to Salt Lake City was in ‘77, a 47-19 win (ASU has won 7 straight vs Utah). Utah was blasted in its 1st P12 HG vs Wash and will come into this matchup w/o starting QB Wynn (182 ypg, 57%, 6-2 ratio) who was inj’d in the 2H, which gives Hays his 1st career start (10-16-156 LW). ASU was able to overcome three 1Q TO’s (trailed 13-0) to outscore OSU 35-7 down the stretch as the Beavers (388-367 yd edge) had 5 TO’s of their own. Utah is home for a 3rd straight wk heightening their altitude edge. The Sun Devils do have a solid edge in off (#25-78) while the Utes’ 2-2 record doesn’t necessarily reflect their level of play as they narrowly outgained Mont St 292-258, lost at USC (outgained 416-319), were aided by 7 TO’s in the win over BYU and coughed up 5 TO’s of their own against the Huskies LW.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

283

31

1.4

•••

101

208

24

1.8

-

LY FSU and they had a 485-185 yd edge and delivered a 31-0 win. WF has been shutout two other times S/’96 and got revenge w/18 and 10 pt wins. LTH QB Manuel made his 1st career start (265 ttl yds) as FSU went up 31-7 late 2Q never relinquishing the lead. FSU should be much healthier off a bye as Manuel DNP in their 35-30 loss to Clemson. LW Wake snapped a 4 gm losing streak to BC holding on for a 27-19 win (led 24-9 4Q). QB Price is much improved TY avg 280 ypg (63%) with a 7-2 ratio but now faces an FSU D which held OU’s Landry Jones to 199 yds. Wake’s undersized DL (247 lbs) has all’d just 100 rush ypg (2.5) but has just 3 sks and now faces an FSU OL weighing in at 314 lbs with a mobile QB. FSU has huge edges across the board (off #39-64, def #9-67 and ST’s #2-77) with a much tougher sked (#47-117). The Noles are on a mission to regain ACC dominance.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

278

36

2.7

-

124

338

29

1.7

-

LTH A&M snapped a 7 gm road series losing streak winning 52-30. RB’s Gray and Michael each topped 120+ rush yds. LY A&M QB Tannehill had a school rec’d 449 pass yds (1st career QB st) as A&M won 45-27. TT did fmbl into the EZ twice or it would have been a lot closer (the 1st would have put TT up 14-0). After a Top 10 start to the ssn A&M has blown 17+ pt HT leads in 2 straight gms becoming the 1st FBS to do so since 2005. The Ags have been outscored 52-12 in the 2H vs OSU and Ark and many have questioned their conditioning. A&M could not stop QB Wilson (510 pass yd) or WR Wright whose 281 rec yds were #2 all-time in SEC play. A&M still has the B12’s top backfield duo of RB’s Michael (408, 7.2) and Gray (363, 4.5). A&M is #120 FBS pass D (337, 66%, 6-2). TT spotted Kansas a 20-0 lead after their 1st 3 series before roaring back for a 45-34 win. QB Doege (329 ypg, 73%, 14-1) is #12 FBS pass eff despite throwing his first int LW. Young TT D is allowing 229 rush ypg (5.0) and that’s not good news going up against a powerful A&M rush off.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

210

25

2.2

•

199

350

42

2.6

•

BU is 2-5 vs ISU and lost 24-10 in ‘09 (L/meeting) as BU QB Griffin DNP (inj). ISU dropped its L/trip to Waco (‘08), 38-10 (Griffin was QB). After undefeated starts both tms ret’d to earth in the B12 opener as KSU kicked a 31 yd FG with 3:10 to beat the Bears who were SOD at their own 35 on their final series. Heisman hopeful Griffin (#1 FBS pass eff 327 ypg, 82%, 18-1) has 18 TD vs 20 incompletions on the ssn but his 1st int set up KSU’s GW kick. WR Wright is #1 FBS rec ypg (40, 621, 15.5). Young Bears D allows 29 ppg and 167 rush ypg (4.4). After 3 comeback wins to open the ssn ISU finally found a hole they couldn’t dig themselves out of as UT took advantage of several Cyclone mistakes (3 TO’s, missed 29 yd FG and blk’d P ret’d for a TD) to blaze out to a 34-0 HT lead and won 37-14. Despite his late gm heroics QB Jantz is #100 FBS pass eff (229, 57%, 7-7). ISU is #37 pass eff D (219, 50%, 6-1) but top cover CB Johnson (CS) was carted off the field after a scary collision vs Texas and the Cyclones haven’t seen a pass gm in the same stratosphere as the Bears.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

125

6

3.5

-

245

195

41

1.5

-

LSU is off its 3rd AG in 4W and 3rd game vs a ranked opp already. The key to this game might be when it was announced LW that the game will kickoff at 11:21 am locally and keep in mind under Miles, at home, LSU is 28-1 in night gms while they are just 8-4 in day gms. UK has been shutout in its L/2 trips to Death Valley (‘00 and ‘06, avg score 42-0, -131 ypg). In the last gm (‘07) #1 LSU had a 4 gm series win streak snapped losing in 3OT on the road. LW LSU finished up their impressive month of Sept with a 47-21 win over WV as they scored the final 20 pts but did get outgained 533-366. QB Lee has made everyone forget about Jefferson avg 156 ypg (64%) with a 6-1 ratio. UK is off to a poor 2-2 start being outgained by an avg of 366-281. QB Newton is avg 148 ypg (54%) with a 5-6 ratio and the big problem has been the run gm avg just 123 (3.6). LSU has a big game vs Florida on deck but it will be tough seeing the Cats offense moving vs our #2 defense.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

155

9

2.3

-

248

415

48

1.6

••

1st meeting and it doesn’t look pretty. OU has won 11 str vs non-BCS opp’s at home (avg win 46-10) and Ball St 1-38 on the road vs BCS schools (avg loss 39-15). It’s easy to say that OU has the RRR on deck but they are 10-1 prior. BSU is off to a 3-1 start under new HC Lembo but they do have a conf HG on deck (LY lost 45-0 at Iowa gm prior to conf). While BSU did upset an Indy squad led by LY’s OU OC Wilson, 27-20 in the opener, they were blown out 37-7 at USF the next wk. Naturally every position is a mismatch and OU can name the score and at home it is usually a large blowout.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

160

22

2.1

-

140

165

22

2.7

•

LY AL ended FL’s streak of 24 reg ssn wins and handed Urban Meyer the 2nd most lopsided loss in his tenure at FL. They had met in the SEC Title gm the prev 2 yrs and Bama led 24-3 at HT thanks to a couple of key plays but relaxed a little in the 2H and ended up being outgained 281-273. LW Bama rolled #12 Ark 38-14 as they outgained the Hogs 397-226. RB Richardson is right back in the Heisman race after totaling 211 yds (126 rush, 85 rec) LW. Tide QB McCarron had another efficient outing and is avg 195 ypg (66%) with a 4-2 ratio. The Gators tandem of Demps/Rainey have been the key to the offense all season and LW was no different as they comb for 277 all-purp yds (avg 275 all-purp ypg) in the 48-10 win over Kentucky. QB Brantley and OC Weis will face their biggest test to date vs the #1 D in the country. While the off and def are nearly even, UF does have a slight edge on ST’s (#5-20). Saban is a big gm veteran while this is Muschamp’s 1st go-round vs a ranked foe as HC.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

140

13

2.9

-

218

330

43

1.2

•

UN snapped a series high 10 gm losing streak in what was arguably the biggest win in school hist LY knocking BSU out of Nat’l Title talk. UN has lost 6 str on the Blue by 30 ppg. This is only the 3rd time under Petersen that BSU has had the opportunity to avenge a loss from the prev ssn (‘08 beat Hawaii 27-7, in ‘09 beat TCU in 2nd str bowl). UN, with a brutal sked, is on a 4th str AG incl trips to Oreg and TT. In the gauntlet, QB Lantrip avg 174 ypg (58%, 2-4). The top rusher is Ball (362, 5.2) and Matthews (284, 14.2) leads the rec’s. UN stood toe-to-toe vs TT LW, falling 35-34 with a 562-441 yd edge. They had built a 21-7 early 3Q lead but all’d TT to battle back and drive 56/9pl for the GW TD w/:36 left. BSU is off a 41-21 win over Tulsa. QB Moore (#3 pass eff) avg 332 ypg (79%!) with a 12-2 ratio. RB Martin (202, 3.2, 2 TD) should be able to pad his stats vs FBS’s #108 run D (all’g 210 ypg, 5.7). UN is much weaker than LY’s tm (13-1, #11 AP) and BSU retaliates.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

185

15

2.2

•

237

275

43

1.7

-

The Bruins are hell bent on revenge from their 1st home shutout S/’99 but the sked makers didn’t do them any favors off a Texas tm bent on revenge, a road trip facing a revenging Oreg St tm (outgained 376-357 in the 8 pt win, +2 TO edge) and a 3rd AG in 5W while the Cardinal are fresh off a bye but do need to break in a new st’r at LB after LY’s leading tkl’r, Skov was lost for the yr vs AZ. UCLA all’d 64% comp on the road LY (68% TY) and if they can’t get Luck off the field (262 ypg, 67%, 8-1 ratio), they have little hope of keeping this one close as SU continues to roll.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

120

22

1.8

•••

220

240

36

1.5

-

The Badgers get the honor of being the official B10 welcoming committee in a night gm at Camp Randall with the GameDay crew on hand. Neb was 13-2 in B12 openers. NU did knock off OKSt on the road LY and UW is 1-3 at home vs ranked tms but did knock off #1 Ohio St LY. The 4-0 Badgers have faced little resistance thus far outscoring foes by 40 ppg incl LW’s 59-10 whipping of SD with 25-9 FD and 612-173 yd edges. Difference maker QB Wilson is #2 FBS pass eff (284 ypg, 76%, 11-1). The Huskers didn’t fall prey to look ahead and won the biggest home game in Wyoming history 38-14 with a 490-305 yd edge. QB Martinez (421, 6.7) and RB Burkhead (420, 6.7) are #2 and 3 in B10 rushing although the pass gm has been inconsistent in the new off. Blackshirts were without potential #1DC DT Crick (concussion) and CB Dennard (leg) saw action for the 1st time TY LW and NU has all’d 390 ypg to FBS foes TY. NU has the D (#15-29) and ST (#4-78) edges while UW has the off (#11-30) and home crowd although NU received a record number of ticket requests for this gm and have instructed their fans to wear black.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

153

21

3.0

••

194

283

37

2.1

-

Aub has won 6 str vs SC incl 2 wins LY. LY in the SEC Title gm, SC cut the deficit to 21-14 w/:16 left 2Q but gave up a 51 yd Hail Mary on the 1H’s final play (35-3 Aub run to end gm). In the reg ssn gm SC led 27-21 into the 4Q prior to Aub’s 14 pt 4Q (4 TO’s by SC in 4Q). The only recent time the winner of the SEC Title gm traveled to face the loser the next yr was in ‘04 when GA, off a 21 pt loss, was at home and rolled #13 LSU 45-16. SC is off to its 1st 4-0 start under Spurrier and despite the Ol’ Ball Coach apologizing for a “putrid offensive performance” LW, the Gamecocks dominated Vandy 21-3 with a 367-77 yd edge. The 77 yds all’d were the fewest all’d by SC S/’87. While QB Garcia has struggled (1-4 ratio LW), RB Lattimore is #2 in the FBS with 611 (5.7) and takes on an Aub rush D that is all’g 227 ypg (4.5). Aub was underwhelming LW in their 30-14 win over FAU with only a 315-307 yd edge. QB Trotter is avg 196 (62%) with an 8-3 ratio while RB Dyer has 426 (6.9). SC is stronger than LY’s version while Auburn has just 6 st’rs back and this is the first conf road gm for their new QB going up against my #12 D.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

213

2.1

2.3

-

197

248

30

1.7

-

VT has pulled the upset in both ACC meetings. Clemson is off B2B HG’s having beaten LY’s Nat’l Champs and the Atl fav Fla St while VT is playing its 1st BCS tm. VT is off a 30-10 win over Marshall. DC Foster’s defense is coming off one of his worst ssns ever and TY has all’d 231 ypg to a soft sked. CU is coming off a 35-30 win over a Fla St tm that was missing QB Manuel. OC Morris’ offense requires spd and he now has plenty of it while QB Boyd (314 ypg, 66%, 13-2) has matured under his tutelage. Fr WR Watkins has won 2 POW honors and most likely will get a 3rd after 141 yds (17.6) and 2 TD vs FSU. VT has won the L/5 in the series by 23 ppg (no win by less than 17). The VT D and RB Wilson (130 ypg, 5.8) have all’d QB Thomas a chance to grow and now face a CU tm that has trailed Troy, Woff and Aub while all’g 398 ypg. This is a tough spot for QB Boyd making his 1st road start and how much can CU have left in the tank after two huge HG’s?

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

305

31

2.3

-

125

290

26

2.0

-

Arlington, TX. Dallas Cowboys Stadium. In ‘09 Ark alum Jerry Jones brought this gm to TX. In the 1st meeting Ark and they rolled to a 47-19 win. LY Ark again won, 24-17. LW the Hogs were thoroughly dominated by Bama, 38-14. Ark has been hit hard by inj TY, 1st losing RB Davis in the offssn while LW they played w/o DE Bequette and their other DE Wright was hurt on the 1st drive and is out 4-6 weeks with a broken arm. QB Wilson did put forth a gutsy effort LW repeatedly taking shots and is avg 252 ypg (67%) with a 7-3 ratio. The rush gm has struggled w/o Davis avg 132 (3.9). A&M, again, blew a DD HT lead vs OKSt and again TO’s were the key as they had 3 in the 2H blowing a 20-3 lead in the 30-29 loss. QB Tannehill is avg 297 ypg (67%) but with only a 6-4 ratio while the RB duo of Gray/Michael is avg 149 (5.1). Both tms are off big gm losses and in a conf sandwich and both like to throw it but A&M has the more veteran QB with the stronger pass D and has been healthier.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

255

31

2.2

-

227

195

32

1.4

•••

LY Baylor beat 1 tm with a winning record in ‘10 and it was KSU 47-42. BU’s Finley ran for a schl rec’d 250 yds and Griffin threw for a career high 404 as BU became bowl elig for the 1st time S/’94. It was misleading as KSU trailed 47-28 early 4Q scoring their final TD w/:07 left. BU (5-54 B12 AG) will be a conf away fav for the 1st time S/’97. BU scored TD’s on 5 str drives to take a 35-7 early 2Q lead in a 56-31 win over Rice in which the Bears had 33-24 FD and 673-416 yd edges. After 3 gms the FBS’s #1 pass eff leader RG3 has had more TD passes (13) than incomp’s (12) and has led the Bears to 40+ in 3 gms for the 1st time in schl hist. Miami QB Harris’ knee was ruled down and overturned via replay on a 4&gl run with :49 left which preserved KSU’s upset. KSU led 14-3 at HT and had a 265-139 yd rush edge. After 3 gms QB Klein has nearly as many pass (335) as rush (310) yds and John Hubert (286, 6.5) may have solidified his grasp on the #1 TB job over Bryce Brown with 166 vs Miami. KSU has huge D (#37-90) and ST edges (#13-115).

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

250

33

1.7

•

162

230

28

2.4

-

Pitt has won 3 straight in the series incl LY when they broke a 10-10 tie w/a 22 yd TD run on the 1st play of the 4Q. USF has to travel on short week but should be fresher after facing 3 lightweight foes while Pitt is off of physical gms vs Iowa and ND in which they blew 4Q leads in both.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

253

32

2.5

-

81

143

13

3.1

•

LY ISU came to Texas after giving up 120 pts in its prev 2 gms. “Historic” said HC Rhoads LY after ISU’s 1st ever win vs UT and 1st win over a ranked opp on the road S/’90. ISU led 28-6 early 4Q as 43% (187) of UT’s yds came after. It was LY’s gm vs the Cyclones which convinced HC Brown that the Horns players and staff had become entitled and complacent and changes needed to be made. Prior to the bye the Horns used 3 int in the 1Q to jump out to a 14-0 lead over another revenge target UCLA in QB McCoy (12-15 168 yds and 2 TD) and RB Brown’s (110) starting debuts. For the 1st time in ISU history the Cyclones have won their 1st 3 gms by 4 or fewer pts. QB Jantz (222 ypg, 58%, 6-6, 112 rush) has overcome slow starts to lead ISU to gm winning drives in the 4Q or OT in all 3! LTH, without the revenge motivation, UT rolled to a 56-3 win. Okla is on deck for UT but they are off a bye and ready to start handing out some B12 payback in my Revenge Pick of the Week.

Rushing

Passing

Points

TO’s

ST

175

14

2.5

•

222

260

36

2.6

-

Michigan is 19-1 in the series. The Wolves pressed the D-Rob button early racing out to a 21-0 HT lead thanks to his 3 TD runs vs HC Hoke’s former team SDSt in a sloppy 28-7 win in which UM had just a 413-376 yd edge and was outFD’d 20-18 while losing 4 TO’s. QB Robinson is #4 FBS rushing (506, 8.0) but last in the B10 in comp % (44%). Improved Wolves D still is all’g 176 rush ypg (4.9). In front of an estimated 12,000 NDSt fans, Minny lost to the FCS’s #12 tm at home 37-24. The Bison drove 65, 83 and 71 yd for TD’s in the 1H but the gm’s turning point came when Gray was int’d on a desperation pass with :05 left 2Q and the int was ret’d 52 yd after a lateral for a TD. NDSt also added a 40 yd IR TD with 2:58 left as Minny had an 18-17 FD edge. Kill used both QB’s Gray (130 ypg, 51%, 3-3, #1 rush 351) and Shortell (4-8 for 71 yd w/1-1 ratio vs NDSt) and he said he wasn’t sure who’ll get the call going forward. Gophers allow just 105 rush ypg (3.7). Gophers have a ST edge (#58-94) but the Wolves have the rest of the edges (#14-85 off, #46-69 D).

Rushing