At the end of the 2008 season we devised a formula which plugged in the stats from the just completed season and then factored in the opponents and the site the game was played at and came up with an individual team power rating for each game. I was very pleased that the formula did indeed assign a true power rating for each game and it was highly accurate.
In the weekend blog, I gave you the top 15 individual “game grade” performances from 2009. Today I will give you the teams with the highest game grade averages from last year, which make up my computer’s final Top Ten and compare it to the AP Final Top Ten.
First here is the final AP Top Ten from last year. Read more…
Categories: Offseason Notes Tags: Alabama, ap poll, Avg, Boise St, Cincinnati, college football, Computer Poll, florida, Game Grade, Georgia, Iowa, Louisville, LSU, Michigan, Nebraska, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Oregon, Penn St, phil steele, TCU, Texas, Texas Tech, Virginia Tech
Every week we will post my Forecasts of all the games involving Top 25 teams. As usual, it includes my computer’s projected box score for each game.
So far this year the Top 25 Forecasts have gone 144-36 80% picking the winners of each game. That record may sound great, but do keep in mind most games have involved teams that were big favorites so the majority of people will have a solid record on these games as well. On the bottom of the forecast, I have listed some Upset Specials which have pulled the upset 11 out of 22 times with Rutgers getting the upset last week over Connecticut. Combined the first nine weeks record is 155-47 77%!!
Categories: Top 25 Games Tags: acc, ap poll, big 10, big 12, big east, college football, conference usa, fbs, mac, MAC confererence, mwc, pac 10, phil steele, polls, SEC, top 25, upsets, wac
Every week we will post my Forecasts of all the games involving Top 25 teams. As usual, it includes my computer’s projected box score for each game.
So far this year the Top 25 Forecasts have gone 111-28 80% picking the winners of each game. That record may sound great, but do keep in mind most games have involved teams that were big favorites so the majority of people will have a solid record on these games as well. On the bottom of the forecast, I have listed some Upset Specials which have pulled the upset 8 out of 19 times. Combined the first seven weeks record is 122-42 74%!!
Let’s get to my Top 25 Forecasts!
Categories: Top 25 Games Tags: acc, ap poll, big 10, big 12, big east, college football, conference usa, Fantasy College Football, fbs, mac, MAC confererence, mwc, pac 10, phil steele, SEC, top 25, upsets, wac
Every week we will post my Forecasts of all the games involving Top 25 teams. As usual, it includes my computer’s projected box score for each game.
So far this year the Top 25 Forecasts have gone 84-20 81% picking the winners of each game. That record may sound great, but do keep in mind most games have involved teams that were big favorites so the majority of people will have a solid record on these games as well. On the bottom of the forecast, I have listed some Upset Specials which have pulled the upset 8 out of 14 times. Combined the first five weeks record is 95-29 77%!!
Let’s get to my Top 25 Forecasts!
Categories: Top 25 Games Tags: acc, ap poll, big 10, big 12, big east, college football, conference usa, Fantasy College Football, fbs, FCS, mac, MAC confererence, mwc, pac 10, phil steele, polls, SEC, top 25, wac
Every week we will post my Forecasts of all the games involving Top 25 teams. As usual, it includes my computer’s projected box score for each game.
So far this year the Top 25 Forecasts have gone 71-16 82% picking the winners of each game. That record may sound great, but do keep in mind most games have involved teams that were big favorites so the majority of people will have a solid record on these games as well. On the bottom of the forecast, I have listed some Upset Specials which have pulled the upset 5 out of 11 times including Marshall last week. Combined the first four weeks record is 76-22 78%!!
Read more…
Categories: Top 25 Games Tags: acc, ap poll, big 10, big 12, big east, college football, conference usa, fbs, mac, mwc, pac 10, SEC, top 25, upsets, wac
In some of my daily blogs this summer I have gone over the top team team individual game efforts for 2008, 2007, 2006, 2005 and 2004.
I then went over the Top Ten in the AP poll and the Top Ten of my computers average of the season individual games rating. The results basicially showed that if a team was in the Top Ten of the AP but not in my computers Top Ten at the end of the year, they were overrated and almost everytime finished lower in the polls than they began the season with most teams opening the year ranked and finished outside the rankings.
Read more…
