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Posts Tagged ‘experience chart’

# of Sr, Jr, Soph, Frosh on a Roster

July 2nd, 2012 No comments

I have developed several pet peeves after covering college football for nearly three decades. Three of them concern coach speak. The first is when a new HC or a new OC or new DC is hired you always hear them say in the press conference that they are going to have a more attacking style on both sides of the ball. You never hear a HC say that the team is going to be more laid back, play more soft coverage, ease up on offense.

The 2nd coach speak comes on Signing Day. I don’t think I have ever heard a coach say that “this year we really missed the boat on several recruits and we have a disappointing class coming in.” I always hear “I really like my class” and “we addressed a lot of needs.”

My final coach speak is when I hear a coach say that we are young and inexperienced and have more underclassmen than upperclassmen. This bothers me for a couple of reasons. First, when you consider that most freshman end up red-shirting their freshman seasons, it is almost like having another class when you add them to the true incoming freshman class. This means you basically have five classes on a football roster (true frosh, rFr, Soph, Jr, Sr) and that means roughly 60% of your roster should be filled with underclassmen. Second, usually on signing day teams sign anywhere between 20-25 recruits on avg but after three years of injuries, transfers, early entries to the NFL draft, that class is usually down at least 5-10 players which means your senior class is smaller than your freshman class.

Today’s blog I decided to take the official rosters on all 124 teams and add up the total number of Seniors (incl 5th yr), Juniors, Sophomores and Freshman (including true and redshirts) to see if indeed there are far more underclassmen on a roster than upperclassmen.

Below is a chart of every team and naturally those numbers could be in flux due to transfers, suspensions, etc but I do think you get a reasonably accurate look at the number for each class and each team.

Read more…

Combined Experience Chart

June 21st, 2012 No comments

In the past several blogs I have been breaking down each factor that goes into my New and Improved Experience Chart and today I conclude the series by combining the five factors into my final ranking.

For more than 7 years I have listed an experience chart, which broke down the number of seniors, juniors, sophomores and freshmen each team had in the two deep and rated the teams experience level with a formula I devised. In ’09 I made the experience chart FIVE TIMES better.

We still do the exact same chart but now I just list the Senior starters, the rest of the seniors in the two deep and the points accumulated by using the system I used from 2002-‘08. In the chart listed below I have now included 4 other factors. The 2nd factor listed in the chart below is the % of lettermen returning. I devised a point system for this and explain it in depth on page 319 of this year’s magazine. Also added was the % of returning offensive yards. I took the total yards passing, rushing and receiving for each team and divided out the yardage of the returning players and the yards returning % listed below is that figure. I did the same with the total tackles from last year and the % of tackles returning. This gives us an idea of the defense’s experience. The final factor is the career starts returning for the offensive line. These players are not included in the stats but are a vital part of the offense.

I then devised a formula that factors all 5 into the total points equation and then turned the point total into a number from 100 to 0. A 100 would be a team with 25 seniors (NCAA scholarship limit) in the two deep and every yard and tackle returning and 120+ career starts on the offensive line. A 0 would be a team with no experience and 0 seniors in the two deep. Just as in years past the first number is where each team ranks in the NCAA.

If you have been following the past couple of experience blogs, it should come as no surprise that UTSA has the most experience points for 2012 with 81.1 as they have the most returning starters and finished among the tops in % of Lettermen returning and % of tackles returning. Tennessee also is one of the most experienced teams with 78.8 pts as they return at least 75% of their lettermen, yds and tackles while also boasting 105 career OL starts.

At the bottom of the chart is Colorado and Miami, Fl who both feature 2nd-Year HC’s who certainly have their work cut out for them. Remember though two years ago Oklahoma St was #120 in this chart and surprised EVERYONE.
Here is the complete New and Improved Experience Chart which is featured on page 321 in this year’s magazine.

2012 Combined Experience Chart

Total Senior Senior Senior % LTR % YDS % TKL OL CAR
Rank
Team Exp Pts Strs 2 Deep Exp Pts Return Return Return STRS
1
UTSA 81.1 3 1 51 85.5% 91.0% 89.0% 48
2
Tennessee 78.8 5 5 66 76.6% 79.5% 75.8% 105
3
Central Michigan 76.6 11 3 69 77.6% 86.4% 73.2% 94
4
Oklahoma 75.6 12 3 73 70.0% 83.9% 68.0% 102
5
Kent St 75.4 13 1 70 69.1% 71.2% 81.9% 101
6
Eastern Michigan 73.7 11 3 64 72.6% 95.3% 66.0% 95
7
West Virginia 73.2 10 6 66 66.7% 92.3% 60.2% 105
8
Duke 72.4 9 2 61 66.7% 81.5% 74.2% 90
9
Miami, Oh 72.2 13 1 70 73.1% 88.3% 55.5% 88
10
Rutgers 72.1 10 3 67 75.4% 78.0% 80.3% 76
11
Louisiana Tech 71.8 13 8 79 76.7% 82.2% 53.7% 92
12
Ohio 71.6 11 4 71 75.4% 63.2% 74.4% 98
13
NC State 71.6 11 3 72 59.6% 75.0% 65.3% 112
14
Utah 71.2 11 4 69 78.4% 95.8% 58.3% 65
15
Ball St 71.1 9 4 63 63.8% 83.7% 60.2% 115
16
WKU 70.8 9 3 64 82.8% 66.0% 71.4% 88
17
Texas Tech 70.8 12 1 61 67.1% 87.0% 76.6% 69
18
FIU 70.6 11 5 73 78.7% 42.6% 88.2% 103
19
Boston College 70.5 6 2 55 72.7% 98.4% 69.5% 66
20
Mississippi 70.3 6 5 67 78.9% 84.1% 74.0% 57
21
Army 70.3 9 4 75 71.3% 91.6% 74.8% 45
22
South Alabama 69.9 5 4 66 73.4% 89.9% 96.0% 30
23
Florida St 69.8 8 3 63 77.3% 87.8% 75.6% 50
24
Troy 69.6 13 4 78 67.1% 95.2% 58.2% 56
25
UCLA 69.3 11 3 62 73.9% 69.1% 84.6% 74
26
Kansas St 69.0 13 8 86 66.7% 95.8% 58.8% 43
27
USF 68.8 12 4 72 70.3% 85.5% 77.3% 46
28
Oregon St 68.8 9 4 68 70.3% 87.1% 77.6% 50
29
Texas St 68.7 8 3 64 72.7% 89.8% 79.5% 43
30
Georgia Tech 68.6 7 2 66 76.8% 65.7% 77.5% 83
31
Georgia 68.4 10 1 63 73.0% 89.4% 88.5% 31
32
Bowling Green 68.1 4 2 49 72.4% 66.6% 87.9% 78
33
UCF 67.5 10 6 64 66.7% 55.0% 76.8% 89
34
Michigan 66.8 10 3 63 67.6% 81.8% 77.4% 64
35
Tulane 66.5 8 1 48 77.8% 90.6% 86.0% 50
36
Louisville 66.5 5 3 53 77.0% 77.7% 70.8% 74
37
Purdue 66.4 10 4 71 65.8% 86.3% 66.7% 49
38
Iowa St 66.4 11 7 79 66.7% 84.9% 65.1% 53
39
BYU 66.3 9 8 70 73.0% 64.1% 66.4% 77
40
North Carolina 66.2 9 4 62 65.0% 77.3% 55.8% 93
41
Nebraska 66.0 9 7 74 66.7% 92.0% 62.1% 44
42
FAU 65.7 5 5 70 74.2% 63.3% 74.9% 57
43
Fresno St 65.6 10 6 73 66.0% 79.4% 68.9% 51
44
Missouri 65.1 10 3 66 62.7% 83.3% 67.8% 68
45
UMass 65.1 11 4 69 71.2% 42.1% 74.8% 85
46
Vanderbilt 64.6 11 2 62 67.2% 83.1% 62.8% 60
47
Wyoming 64.6 11 4 68 72.9% 77.5% 64.2% 64
48
Connecticut 64.3 11 3 66 63.3% 79.1% 75.9% 48
49
ULM 63.9 7 3 62 68.3% 94.6% 47.0% 69
50
Ohio St 63.7 9 2 60 66.7% 75.9% 81.9% 42
51
Florida 63.6 8 2 63 84.6% 36.5% 86.3% 79
52
Arkansas 63.6 9 6 71 71.0% 73.3% 56.4% 65
53
Clemson 63.2 8 2 51 66.7% 94.0% 71.7% 48
54
Texas 63.1 3 3 57 68.3% 83.9% 57.6% 63
55
USC 63.0 8 1 50 56.3% 85.3% 71.8% 60
56
Pittsburgh 62.4 10 0 61 74.6% 92.9% 47.7% 52
57
Illinois 61.8 10 4 57 71.9% 63.7% 68.2% 68
58
Indiana 61.5 3 1 51 69.4% 79.0% 64.8% 58
59
Virginia 61.4 7 4 57 62.7% 81.4% 56.0% 76
60
East Carolina 61.1 7 3 73 70.6% 46.8% 76.9% 68
61
UNLV 61.1 5 4 56 64.8% 76.7% 54.6% 82
62
Washington St 61.1 8 5 68 71.0% 55.5% 68.0% 57
63
Louisiana 61.0 11 0 58 70.0% 84.9% 42.9% 73
64
Colorado St 60.8 7 2 50 63.5% 79.1% 83.0% 56
65
Notre Dame 60.5 7 3 53 56.9% 75.4% 64.8% 65
66
Baylor 60.4 9 6 73 77.1% 30.9% 81.2% 77
67
Western Michigan 60.3 8 4 62 64.2% 63.3% 60.3% 68
68
UTEP 60.1 12 5 71 66.2% 63.8% 61.1% 53
69
Syracuse 59.9 7 5 60 65.6% 65.9% 68.4% 63
70
New Mexico 59.8 12 5 74 65.7% 51.5% 55.6% 65
71
South Carolina 59.4 10 5 61 69.8% 73.5% 59.3% 61
72
Kansas 59.4 12 3 76 69.9% 49.5% 60.6% 75
73
LSU 58.9 4 5 59 63.2% 52.3% 62.8% 104
74
Maryland 58.9 10 2 55 65.6% 71.3% 84.8% 46
75
Utah St 58.8 11 3 70 64.9% 54.4% 60.0% 66
76
Alabama 58.5 7 1 60 64.1% 56.7% 50.6% 95
77
Washington 58.1 3 6 54 64.6% 60.6% 70.3% 62
78
Memphis 58.0 7 2 63 74.5% 71.3% 70.4% 42
79
Tulsa 57.9 12 5 74 68.3% 52.3% 61.5% 70
80
Buffalo 57.7 7 3 64 73.3% 42.1% 70.7% 72
81
Akron 57.5 7 4 57 65.1% 87.9% 57.2% 34
82
California 57.1 8 4 56 67.6% 81.7% 45.8% 63
83
Marshall 56.9 4 1 53 72.7% 90.8% 43.3% 44
84
Middle Tennessee 56.7 7 3 61 61.2% 79.1% 57.4% 37
85
Navy 56.3 11 7 86 51.4% 59.2% 71.6% 34
86
Arkansas St 56.3 11 7 79 66.7% 77.9% 44.1% 33
87
North Texas 55.4 7 3 58 56.5% 64.0% 46.4% 67
88
Texas A&M 55.3 11 4 60 66.3% 39.3% 61.3% 95
89
Oklahoma St 54.9 10 2 67 71.4% 35.7% 78.7% 63
90
Kentucky 54.1 8 4 53 67.1% 84.7% 42.1% 50
91
Minnesota 54.0 7 1 57 71.2% 69.1% 53.5% 40
92
Michigan St 54.0 5 5 59 71.4% 21.0% 86.8% 74
93
TCU 53.7 7 2 51 65.6% 91.9% 53.7% 28
94
Auburn 53.7 8 1 51 70.6% 58.0% 81.8% 35
95
Southern Miss 53.3 11 3 74 64.6% 45.4% 50.9% 80
96
Wisconsin 52.8 7 1 65 64.1% 51.8% 74.3% 49
97
Oregon 52.1 9 1 57 79.2% 36.5% 72.8% 65
98
Penn St 52.1 9 4 71 60.3% 79.5% 52.1% 17
99
Mississippi St 52.0 7 7 65 76.1% 54.2% 60.4% 43
100
Iowa 51.9 6 5 58 64.5% 59.9% 55.2% 45
101
San Diego St 51.6 6 6 67 63.5% 38.9% 55.3% 75
102
Nevada 51.5 11 3 58 57.4% 38.6% 52.6% 75
103
Virginia Tech 51.4 8 3 58 65.2% 53.8% 76.5% 17
104
Houston 51.2 8 5 69 74.6% 16.5% 68.4% 71
105
San Jose St 51.2 6 6 66 62.3% 44.2% 60.9% 66
106
Wake Forest 50.4 6 2 50 72.4% 63.4% 68.8% 19
107
UAB 49.8 8 3 55 66.7% 78.8% 49.7% 17
108
Toledo 49.3 9 6 72 69.6% 59.2% 47.1% 26
109
Stanford 48.8 5 4 56 79.2% 41.1% 67.7% 37
110
Rice 47.9 6 1 58 64.7% 61.8% 60.0% 15
111
Northwestern 47.5 8 3 57 69.0% 41.7% 49.4% 73
112
Arizona 47.4 6 8 67 75.3% 22.7% 52.7% 61
113
Northern Illinois 46.5 11 2 65 71.6% 33.2% 71.8% 24
114
Idaho 46.1 14 3 81 68.3% 34.8% 52.3% 31
115
Cincinnati 45.7 8 6 69 67.2% 41.8% 57.7% 28
116
SMU 45.2 11 5 65 63.6% 39.8% 71.7% 24
117
Temple 44.7 11 1 71 70.0% 37.9% 44.2% 29
118
Boise St 43.6 9 7 67 70.6% 36.0% 39.9% 64
119
New Mexico St 43.5 9 6 73 64.2% 35.1% 41.1% 59
120
Arizona St 42.5 9 3 71 66.7% 30.2% 47.6% 47
121
Air Force 42.1 11 8 73 68.0% 37.4% 48.2% 39
122
Hawaii 41.4 7 3 61 69.2% 51.1% 45.6% 20
123
Miami, Fl 38.1 6 3 59 63.1% 23.7% 50.8% 36
124
Colorado 37.8 6 0 43 58.7% 22.3% 62.3% 51

2 Deep Class Breakdown!

June 21st, 2012 No comments

hart just took into account the overall experience from the 2 deep for each squad. A couple years ago I revised the Experience Chart and created a New and Improved version. The new chart uses 20% of the experience grade from the old chart, 20% from the % of lettermen returning, 20% from the % of tackles returning, 20% from the % of yards returning and 20% from the career starts of the offensive line.

The most experienced teams when using the old chart were usually the service academies which play a lot of seniors and juniors. Using the old method (which is listed below) the top 5 most experienced teams in terms of upperclassmen in the two deep are: 1. Kansas St 1. Navy 3. Idaho 4. Iowa St 4. Louisiana Tech 4. Arkansas St.

The least experienced teams using this method are: 124. Colorado 123. Tulane and 122. Bowling Green. The next paragraph is an explanation of how the chart works and below that is the old version of the Experience Chart.

Experience can be a big thing in college football. A player gains valuable experience for every year he plays and becomes a better player because of it. Players also mature physically while they are in college and there is a big difference between a raw 17 or 18 year old true freshman and a mature and physically stronger 22 year old senior. Some teams that send their players away on missions, like BYU, routinely have Seniors up to 25 years old. There is also a coaching adage that for every freshman starter you have, you lose one game. With that in mind, we compiled the following chart. It lists the total amount of senior starters on the team as well as seniors in the two deep. It also shows all of the juniors, sophomores and freshmen starters and the total amount in the two deep.

To formulate a point system, I awarded 3 points for every senior starter (2.5 for every additional senior in the two deep) 2 points for every junior starter (1.5 for every additional junior in the two deep) 1 point for a sophomore starter (0.5 for every additional soph in the 2 deep then subtracted 1 point for every frosh starter and .5 for every frosh in the two deep. The total points column uses that formula to figure out the points awarded to a team. The number before the team is where they came up in my overall ranking of all the teams in the NCAA. This list was compiled during magazine season and there have been some changes to the 2 deep since it went to press, which may not be accounted for. This chart will give you an idea of the most experienced and least experienced teams in the NCAA this year.

ST-Starter
2D=2 Deep

2 Deep Class Breakdown

Rank
Team
SR ST
SR 2D
JR ST
JR 2D
SO ST
SO 2D
FR ST
FR 2D
Pts
1
Kansas St
13
8
8
5
1
7
0
2
86
1
Navy
11
7
5
12
6
3
0
0
86
3
Idaho
14
3
5
12
3
4
0
3
81
4
Iowa St
11
7
6
6
5
7
0
2
79
4
Arkansas St
11
7
6
8
5
3
0
4
79
4
Louisiana Tech
13
8
6
3
2
8
1
3
79
7
Troy
13
4
5
10
3
6
1
2
78
8
Kansas
12
3
10
6
0
10
0
3
76
9
Army
9
4
7
9
6
9
0
0
75
10
Nebraska
9
7
8
6
4
6
1
3
74
10
Tulsa
12
5
6
7
2
8
2
2
74
10
New Mexico
12
5
5
6
5
7
0
4
74
10
Southern Miss
11
3
10
8
1
6
0
5
74
14
Oklahoma
12
3
8
9
1
5
1
5
73
14
Baylor
9
6
9
7
3
5
1
4
73
14
Fresno St
10
6
8
5
4
6
0
5
73
14
Air Force
11
8
8
3
2
4
1
7
73
14
East Carolina
7
3
12
11
3
5
0
3
73
14
New Mexico St
9
6
9
8
3
3
1
5
73
14
FIU
11
5
8
7
2
5
1
5
73
21
NC State
11
3
7
8
4
7
0
4
72
21
Toledo
9
6
8
4
5
9
0
3
72
21
USF
12
4
7
6
3
6
0
6
72
24
Penn St
9
4
9
9
3
5
1
4
71
24
Purdue
10
4
10
6
2
6
0
6
71
24
Temple
11
1
9
11
1
6
1
4
71
24
Arizona St
9
3
11
9
1
6
1
4
71
24
Arkansas
9
6
7
8
5
3
1
5
71
24
UTEP
12
5
5
5
4
8
1
4
71
24
Ohio
11
4
8
5
3
8
0
5
71
31
BYU
9
8
7
4
4
6
2
4
70
31
Miami, Oh
13
1
5
9
4
7
0
5
70
31
Kent
13
1
6
8
3
8
0
5
70
31
Utah St
11
3
8
7
3
6
0
6
70
31
FAU
5
5
12
9
4
6
1
2
70
36
Utah
11
4
6
8
4
4
1
6
69
36
Cincinnati
8
6
7
5
7
7
0
4
69
36
Houston
8
5
8
8
5
5
1
4
69
36
Central Michigan
11
3
3
7
8
10
0
2
69
36
Umass
11
4
10
5
1
4
0
9
69
41
Washington St
8
5
7
10
3
7
4
0
68
41
Oregon St
9
4
6
6
7
9
0
3
68
41
Wyoming
11
4
4
7
6
7
1
4
68
44
Oklahoma St
10
2
10
8
1
6
1
6
67
44
Rutgers
10
3
6
8
5
7
1
4
67
44
Arizona
6
8
7
3
8
9
1
2
67
44
Mississippi
6
5
8
8
8
5
0
4
67
44
San Diego St
6
6
9
5
7
7
0
4
67
44
Boise St
9
7
7
4
5
4
1
7
67
50
Missouri
10
3
7
8
4
5
1
6
66
50
West Virginia
10
6
8
2
3
7
1
7
66
50
Georgia Tech
7
2
11
7
4
10
0
3
66
50
Tennessee
5
5
11
7
6
5
0
5
66
50
San Jose St
6
6
11
5
5
4
0
7
66
50
Connecticut
11
3
4
6
7
8
0
5
66
50
South Alabama
5
4
10
8
7
7
0
3
66
57
Wisconsin
7
1
13
9
1
8
1
4
65
57
Mississippi St
7
7
6
4
7
9
2
2
65
57
SMU
11
5
7
3
2
8
2
6
65
57
Northern Illinois
11
2
6
7
4
8
1
5
65
61
Buffalo
7
3
9
6
5
11
1
2
64
61
Eastern Michigan
11
3
4
5
7
8
0
6
64
61
UCF
10
6
3
4
9
4
0
8
64
61
WKU
9
3
8
6
4
8
1
5
64
61
Texas St
8
3
10
10
2
2
2
7
64
66
Michigan
10
3
6
7
5
5
1
7
63
66
Florida St
8
3
7
6
7
8
0
5
63
66
Florida
8
2
10
6
3
10
1
4
63
66
Georgia
10
1
8
5
4
11
0
5
63
66
Memphis
7
2
8
9
7
6
0
5
63
66
Ball St
9
4
8
5
4
6
1
7
63
72
UCLA
11
3
4
9
5
2
2
8
62
72
North Carolina
9
4
5
5
8
6
0
7
62
72
Vanderbilt
11
2
8
5
3
5
0
10
62
72
Western Michigan
8
4
9
6
4
4
1
8
62
72
ULM
7
3
9
6
5
9
1
4
62
77
Texas Tech
12
1
5
7
3
8
2
6
61
77
Pittsburgh
10
0
6
7
6
10
0
5
61
77
Duke
9
2
7
7
6
5
0
8
61
77
South Carolina
10
5
4
3
6
9
2
5
61
77
Hawaii
7
3
8
8
4
9
3
2
61
77
Middle Tennessee
7
3
11
5
3
8
1
6
61
83
Ohio St
9
2
9
3
4
10
0
7
60
83
Texas A&M
11
4
5
6
3
4
3
8
60
83
Syracuse
7
5
11
2
3
7
1
8
60
83
Alabama
7
1
11
6
4
9
0
6
60
87
Michigan St
5
5
12
3
5
5
0
9
59
87
Miami, Fl
6
3
8
8
7
5
1
6
59
87
LSU
4
5
14
3
4
5
0
9
59
90
Iowa
6
5
10
3
4
8
2
6
58
90
Virginia Tech
8
3
9
3
3
11
2
5
58
90
Rice
6
1
10
9
4
8
2
4
58
90
Nevada
11
3
4
4
6
6
1
9
58
90
North Texas
7
3
8
6
6
6
1
7
58
90
Louisiana
11
0
7
5
3
10
1
7
58
96
Illinois
10
4
7
1
4
7
1
10
57
96
Minnesota
7
1
9
4
6
12
0
5
57
96
Northwestern
8
3
7
5
6
6
1
8
57
96
Texas
3
3
11
6
8
8
0
5
57
96
Oregon
9
1
5
8
6
8
2
5
57
96
Virginia
7
4
6
2
8
12
1
4
57
96
Akron
7
4
6
7
6
6
3
5
57
103
Stanford
5
4
10
6
6
3
1
9
56
103
California
8
4
3
8
7
6
4
4
56
103
UNLV
5
4
8
8
7
3
2
7
56
106
Boston College
6
2
9
3
7
11
0
6
55
106
Maryland
10
2
5
5
4
9
3
6
55
106
UAB
8
3
8
4
4
7
2
8
55
109
Washington
3
6
8
4
10
5
1
7
54
110
Notre Dame
7
3
9
4
5
4
1
11
53
110
Kentucky
8
4
4
3
8
8
2
7
53
110
Louisville
5
3
5
7
11
6
1
6
53
110
Marshall
4
1
10
9
6
7
2
5
53
114
Indiana
3
1
11
3
8
14
0
4
51
114
Clemson
8
2
5
2
9
9
0
9
51
114
Auburn
8
1
7
3
5
12
2
6
51
114
TCU
7
2
6
4
7
10
2
6
51
114
UTSA
3
1
5
6
14
14
0
1
51
119
USC
8
1
4
6
9
6
1
9
50
119
Wake Forest
6
2
8
6
5
7
3
7
50
119
Colorado St
7
2
7
4
5
10
3
6
50
122
Bowling Green
4
2
9
5
7
9
2
6
49
123
Tulane
8
1
6
4
6
8
2
9
48
124
Colorado
6
0
7
3
8
9
1
10
43

Also on PhilSteele.com around June 15th, we will be posting the players who are no longer with each team since the magazine went to press more than a month ago. What I do in my personal magazine is circle the players and that way you can tell at a glance which teams suffer the most attrition and those that do not lose anybody. Remember when Oklahoma won their National Title in 2000, not a single starter missed a single start due to injury. This list will be updated DAILY so check it often. Also during the season we will provide an updated starts lost list for each school so you can see which schools are banged up and which fall into the zero starts lost category. This section will also update late additions.

% of Tackles Returning

June 21st, 2012 No comments

Today’s blog continues my in-depth look at my New and Improved Experience Chart. For 7 years I had listed an experience chart, which broke down the number of seniors, juniors, sophomores and freshmen each team had in the two deep and rated the teams experience level with a formula I devised. In 2009, I made the experience chart FIVE TIMES better.

Today I will look at the % of tackles returning. I took all of the tackles made by the team a year ago and then took all of the returning tackles from ’11 for the percentage.

% of Tackles Returning

% TKL
Rank Team Return
1
South Alabama 96.05%
2
UTSA 89.00%
3
Georgia 88.47%
4
FIU 88.17%
5
Bowling Green 87.94%
6
Michigan St 86.85%
7
Florida 86.34%
8
Tulane 85.97%
9
Maryland 84.78%
10
UCLA 84.57%
11
Colorado St 82.97%
12
Ohio St 81.95%
13
Kent St 81.86%
14
Auburn 81.81%
15
Baylor 81.24%
16
Rutgers 80.27%
17
Texas St 79.51%
18
Oklahoma St 78.70%
19
Oregon St 77.57%
20
Georgia Tech 77.51%
21
Michigan 77.35%
22
USF 77.27%
23
East Carolina 76.92%
24
UCF 76.79%
25
Texas  Tech 76.57%
26
Virginia Tech 76.46%
27
Connecticut 75.95%
28
Tennessee 75.77%
29
Florida St 75.62%
30
FAU 74.94%
31
UMass 74.85%
32
Army 74.76%
33
Ohio 74.38%
34
Wisconsin 74.33%
35
Duke 74.18%
36
Mississippi 74.02%
37
Central Michigan 73.19%
38
Oregon 72.76%
39
USC 71.82%
40
Northern Illinois 71.75%
41
SMU 71.75%
42
Clemson 71.71%
43
Navy 71.60%
44
WKU 71.43%
45
Louisville 70.76%
46
Buffalo 70.71%
47
Memphis 70.36%
48
Washington 70.27%
49
Boston College 69.45%
50
Fresno  St 68.85%
51
Wake Forest 68.76%
52
Houston 68.42%
53
Syracuse 68.41%
54
Illinois 68.25%
55
Oklahoma 68.05%
56
Washington St 68.04%
57
Missouri 67.77%
58
Stanford 67.67%
59
Purdue 66.70%
60
BYU 66.36%
61
Eastern Michigan 66.04%
62
NC State 65.33%
63
Iowa St 65.15%
64
Notre Dame 64.81%
65
Indiana 64.79%
66
Wyoming 64.20%
67
LSU 62.78%
68
Vanderbilt 62.77%
69
Colorado 62.31%
70
Nebraska 62.11%
71
Tulsa 61.48%
72
Texas A&M 61.25%
73
UTEP 61.14%
74
San Jose St 60.87%
75
Kansas 60.62%
76
Miss St 60.40%
77
Western Michigan 60.29%
78
Ball St 60.23%
79
West Virginia 60.22%
80
Rice 59.98%
81
Utah St 59.96%
82
South Carolina 59.31%
83
Kansas St 58.76%
84
Utah 58.25%
85
Troy 58.22%
86
Cincinnati 57.65%
87
Texas 57.62%
88
Middle Tennessee 57.45%
89
Akron 57.22%
90
Arkansas 56.40%
91
Virginia 56.04%
92
North Carolina 55.80%
93
New Mexico 55.56%
94
Miami, Oh 55.53%
95
San Diego St 55.25%
96
Iowa 55.18%
97
UNLV 54.56%
98
Louisiana Tech 53.75%
99
TCU 53.66%
100
Minnesota 53.48%
101
Arizona 52.65%
102
Nevada 52.60%
103
Idaho 52.35%
104
Penn St 52.07%
105
Southern Miss 50.91%
106
Miami, Fl 50.76%
107
Alabama 50.56%
108
UAB 49.67%
109
Northwestern 49.41%
110
Air Force 48.16%
111
Pittsburgh 47.67%
112
Arizona St 47.57%
113
Toledo 47.11%
114
ULM 47.01%
115
North Texas 46.41%
116
California 45.84%
117
Hawaii 45.55%
118
Temple 44.16%
119
Arkansas St 44.15%
120
Marshall 43.25%
121
Louisiana 42.90%
122
Kentucky 42.08%
123
New Mexico St 41.05%
124
Boise St 39.92%

Not surprising, recent start-up programs South Alabama and UTSA topped the list as both teams enter FBS play this year with several starters back. Georgia comes in at #3 with 9 returning starters on D including 12 of their top 13 tacklers back from a year ago! At the bottom of the list is Boise St who returns just 2 starters on D this year and lost 9 of their top 10 tacklers!

% of Yards Returning

June 21st, 2012 No comments

Today’s blog continues my in-depth look at my New and Improved Experience Chart. For 7 years I had listed an experience chart, which broke down the number of seniors, juniors, sophomores and freshmen each team had in the two deep and rated the teams experience level with a formula I devised. In 2009, I made the experience chart FIVE TIMES better.

Today I will look at the % of yards returning. I took all of the yards each QB threw for as well as all of the individual rushing yards and receiving yards for each team. I then took all of the returning yards from ’11 for the percentage.

% of Yards Returning

NCAA
% YDS
Rank
Team
Return
1
Boston College 98.45%
2
Kansas St 95.83%
3
Utah 95.82%
4
Eastern Michigan 95.28%
5
Troy 95.23%
6
ULM 94.60%
7
Clemson 94.03%
8
Pittsburgh 92.86%
9
West Virginia 92.35%
10
Nebraska 91.98%
11
TCU 91.87%
12
Army 91.65%
13
Marshall 90.84%
14
UTSA 90.73%
15
Tulane 90.62%
16
South Alabama 89.90%
17
Texas St 89.77%
18
Georgia 89.36%
19
Miami Oh 88.32%
20
Akron 87.89%
21
Florida St 87.75%
22
Oregon St 87.15%
23
Texas  Tech 86.98%
24
Central Michigan 86.36%
25
Purdue 86.34%
26
USF 85.51%
27
USC 85.25%
28
Louisiana 84.92%
29
Iowa St 84.91%
30
Kentucky 84.74%
31
Mississippi 84.11%
32
Oklahoma 83.95%
33
Texas 83.89%
34
Ball St 83.65%
35
Missouri 83.29%
36
Vanderbilt 83.11%
37
Louisiana Tech 82.23%
38
Michigan 81.80%
39
California 81.74%
40
Duke 81.52%
41
Virginia 81.37%
42
Tennessee 79.53%
43
Penn St 79.51%
44
Fresno  St 79.38%
45
Middle Tennessee 79.11%
46
Connecticut 79.09%
47
Colorado St 79.06%
48
Indiana 79.00%
49
UAB 78.81%
50
Rutgers 78.03%
51
Arkansas St 77.94%
52
Louisville 77.75%
53
Wyoming 77.49%
54
North Carolina 77.34%
55
UNLV 76.71%
56
Ohio St 75.89%
57
Notre Dame 75.37%
58
NC State 75.04%
59
South Carolina 73.50%
60
Arkansas 73.28%
61
Memphis 71.29%
62
Maryland 71.29%
63
Kent St 71.16%
64
Minnesota 69.07%
65
UCLA 69.05%
66
Bowling Green 66.59%
67
WKU 65.96%
68
Syracuse 65.87%
69
Georgia Tech 65.69%
70
BYU 64.11%
71
North Texas 64.04%
72
UTEP 63.83%
73
Illinois 63.74%
74
Wake Forest 63.44%
75
Western Michigan 63.28%
76
FAU 63.27%
77
Ohio 63.16%
78
Rice 61.84%
79
Washington 60.65%
80
Iowa 59.94%
81
Navy 59.25%
82
Toledo 59.21%
83
Auburn 57.97%
84
Alabama 56.72%
85
Washington St 55.53%
86
UCF 55.03%
87
Utah St 54.44%
88
Miss St 54.17%
89
Virginia Tech 53.81%
90
Tulsa 52.34%
91
LSU 52.29%
92
Wisconsin 51.77%
93
New Mexico 51.55%
94
Hawaii 51.07%
95
Kansas 49.47%
96
East Carolina 46.82%
97
Southern Miss 45.43%
98
San Jose St 44.23%
99
FIU 42.63%
100
Buffalo 42.12%
101
UMass 42.10%
102
Cincinnati 41.84%
103
Northwestern 41.74%
104
Stanford 41.06%
105
SMU 39.76%
106
Texas A&M 39.33%
107
San Diego St 38.90%
108
Nevada 38.64%
109
Temple 37.93%
110
Air Force 37.35%
111
Oregon 36.55%
112
Florida 36.55%
113
Boise St 35.96%
114
Oklahoma St 35.69%
115
New Mexico St 35.11%
116
Idaho 34.85%
117
Northern Illinois 33.25%
118
Baylor 30.95%
119
Arizona St 30.22%
120
Miami Fl 23.74%
121
Arizona 22.69%
122
Colorado 22.34%
123
Michigan St 20.96%
124
Houston 16.54%

At the top of the chart is Boston College. They return 10 starters from last years offense (only lost 1 OL) including 6 of their top 7 rushers and top 4 receivers. The Eagles only lose RB Montel Harris who had 135 yds rushing and WR Ifeanyi Momah who had 171 yds receiving. They are followed closely by Kansas St who returns 8 starters on offense (only lost 3 OL) and returns their all-everything QB in Collin Klein (1,918 pass, 1,141 rush) along with RB John Hubert who had 970 rush yds. Other schools at the top of the list include: Utah (95.82%), Eastern Michigan (95.28%) and Troy (95.23%).

At the bottom of the list are five teams that lost OVER 75% of their yards gained from last year. Houston loses record-setting QB Case Keenum who threw for 5,631 yds last year along with RB’s Michael Hayes and Bryce Beall who combined for 1,068 rush along with their Top 3 WR’s in Patrick Edwards, Justin Johnson and Tyron Carrier who combined for an incredible 3,939 rec yds last year! Michigan St loses QB Kirk Cousins (3,316 yds pass) RB Baker (665 yds rush) along with their top 4 WR’s who combined for 2,799 yds last year! Colorado, Arizona and Miami, Fl were the other three teams to lose more than 75% of their yards from last year.

2012 Lettermen Returning/Lost

May 28th, 2012 5 comments

Today’s blog starts my in-depth look at my New and Improved Experience Chart. For 7 years I had listed an experience chart, which broke down the number of seniors, juniors, sophomores and freshmen each team had in the two deep and rated the teams experience level with a formula I devised. In 2009, I made the experience chart FIVE TIMES better.

Today I will look at the returning letterman/lost percentages.

Last year I went back and looked at percentages of lettermen returning and lost. Using percentages is more reliable than the amount of returning or lost lettermen because schools give out letters in different manners. Some schools hand out a lot of letters and others far fewer. Getting a letter at Syracuse under Paul Pasqualoni was tough, as he handed out just 38 total letters in 2004 and 40 in 2003. This year the low’s went to Ball St with 46 while Connecticut under Pasqualoni had 49. Nebraska in 2001 handed out 82 letters or over double what Syracuse was giving out. It was also the most given out by any school in the previous 6 years. In 2007, Ohio broke all records with an amazing 91 letters given out while Hawaii had 90! Last year BYU was number one with 89 total letters given out while Florida St was #2 with 88.

Returning Letterman/Lost %

Rank
Team Returning Lost % Total
1
UTSA 53 9 85.48% 62
2
Florida 55 10 84.62% 65
3
WKU 48 10 82.76% 58
4
Stanford 61 16 79.22% 77
4
Oregon 61 16 79.22% 77
6
Mississippi 60 16 78.95% 76
7
FIU 48 13 78.69% 61
8
Utah 58 16 78.38% 74
9
Tulane 56 16 77.78% 72
10
Central Michigan 45 13 77.59% 58
11
Florida St 68 20 77.27% 88
12
Baylor 54 16 77.14% 70
13
Louisville 47 14 77.05% 61
14
Georgia Tech 53 16 76.81% 69
15
Louisiana Tech 46 14 76.67% 60
16
Tennessee 49 15 76.56% 64
17
Mississippi St 54 17 76.06% 71
18
Rutgers 43 14 75.44% 57
19
Ohio 49 16 75.38% 65
20
Arizona 55 18 75.34% 73
21
Pittsburgh 53 18 74.65% 71
21
Houston 53 18 74.65% 71
23
Memphis 41 14 74.55% 55
24
FAU 46 16 74.19% 62
25
UCLA 51 18 73.91% 69
26
South Alabama 47 17 73.44% 64
27
Buffalo 55 20 73.33% 75
28
Miami (Oh) 49 18 73.13% 67
29
BYU 65 24 73.03% 89
30
Georgia 54 20 72.97% 74
31
Wyoming 43 16 72.88% 59
32
Marshall 48 18 72.73% 66
32
Texas St 48 18 72.73% 66
32
Boston Coll 40 15 72.73% 55
35
Eastern Michigan 45 17 72.58% 62
36
Bowling Green 42 16 72.41% 58
37
Wake Forest 55 21 72.37% 76
38
Illinois 41 16 71.93% 57
39
Northern Illinois 53 21 71.62% 74
40
Michigan St 50 20 71.43% 70
40
Oklahoma St 50 20 71.43% 70
42
Army 57 23 71.25% 80
43
Minnesota 52 21 71.23% 73
44
Umass 42 17 71.19% 59
45
Arkansas 49 20 71.01% 69
46
Washington St 44 18 70.97% 62
47
Auburn 48 20 70.59% 68
47
East Carolina 48 20 70.59% 68
47
Boise St 48 20 70.59% 68
50
USF 45 19 70.31% 64
51
Oregon St 52 22 70.27% 74
52
Oklahoma 49 21 70.00% 70
52
Temple 49 21 70.00% 70
52
Louisiana 49 21 70.00% 70
55
Kansas 51 22 69.86% 73
56
South Carolina 44 19 69.84% 63
57
Toledo 48 21 69.57% 69
58
Indiana 50 22 69.44% 72
59
Hawaii 54 24 69.23% 78
60
Kent St 38 17 69.09% 55
61
Northwestern 58 26 69.05% 84
62
Tulsa 41 19 68.33% 60
62
ULM 41 19 68.33% 60
64
Texas 43 20 68.25% 63
64
Idaho 43 20 68.25% 63
66
Air Force 51 24 68.00% 75
67
Michigan 50 24 67.57% 74
67
California 50 24 67.57% 74
69
Vanderbilt 43 21 67.19% 64
69
Cincinnati 43 21 67.19% 64
71
Troy 47 23 67.14% 70
72
Texas Tech 49 24 67.12% 73
72
Kentucky 49 24 67.12% 73
74
Nebraska 56 28 66.67% 84
74
Arizona St 52 26 66.67% 78
74
Arkansas St 52 26 66.67% 78
74
Ohio St 48 24 66.67% 72
74
Clemson 48 24 66.67% 72
74
Iowa St 44 22 66.67% 66
74
Kansas St 44 22 66.67% 66
74
Duke 44 22 66.67% 66
74
UAB 44 22 66.67% 66
74
UCF 42 21 66.67% 63
74
West Virginia 36 18 66.67% 54
85
Texas A&M 53 27 66.25% 80
86
UTEP 45 23 66.18% 68
87
Fresno St 35 18 66.04% 53
88
Purdue 50 26 65.79% 76
89
New Mexico 46 24 65.71% 70
90
Syracuse 42 22 65.63% 64
90
Maryland 42 22 65.63% 64
90
TCU 42 22 65.63% 64
93
Virginia Tech 43 23 65.15% 66
94
Akron 41 22 65.08% 63
95
North Carolina 39 21 65.00% 60
96
Utah St 50 27 64.94% 77
97
UNLV 46 25 64.79% 71
98
Rice 44 24 64.71% 68
99
Washington 42 23 64.62% 65
99
Southern Miss 42 23 64.62% 65
101
Iowa 40 22 64.52% 62
102
Western Michigan 34 19 64.15% 53
102
New Mexico St 34 19 64.15% 53
104
Wisconsin 41 23 64.06% 64
104
Alabama 41 23 64.06% 64
106
Ball St 30 17 63.83% 47
107
SMU 35 20 63.64% 55
108
Colorado St 40 23 63.49% 63
108
San Diego St 40 23 63.49% 63
110
Connecticut 31 18 63.27% 49
111
LSU 43 25 63.24% 68
112
Miami (Fla) 41 24 63.08% 65
113
Missouri 37 22 62.71% 59
114
Virginia 42 25 62.69% 67
115
San Jose St 38 23 62.30% 61
116
Middle Tennessee 41 26 61.19% 67
117
Penn St 35 23 60.34% 58
118
NC State 31 21 59.62% 52
119
Colorado 44 31 58.67% 75
120
Nevada 31 23 57.41% 54
121
Notre Dame 41 31 56.94% 72
122
North Texas 35 27 56.45% 62
123
USC 36 28 56.25% 64
124
Navy 38 36 51.35% 74

UTSA is #1 here in % of lettermen returning with 53 of 62 players back (85.48%). This should come as no surprise as they are just a 2nd-year program. I expect big things out of Florida this year and the Gators are #2 with 55 out of 65 lettermen returning (84.62%). At the bottom of the rankings is Navy which returns only 51.35% of their lettermen. This should not come as a concern though to Midshipmen fans as typically the Service Academies are among the lowest when it comes to returning experience. What is surprising is that probable preseason AP #1 USC sits at #123 as they lose 26 lettermen (56.25%) from last year and Notre Dame is #121 losing an incredible 31 lettermen.

Please check PhilSteele.com everyday to get my Top 40 Countdown which continued today with #18 Stanford and #17 Nebraska. Every day now thru June 12th, I will post both magazine pages on each team that day and you can get an early look on how I breakdown your favorite team. Remember I will make those magazine pages available for only 24 hours for you to download.

2011 Combined Experience Chart

June 8th, 2011 No comments

In the past several blogs I have been breaking down each factor that goes into my New and Improved Experience Chart and today I conclude the series by combining the five factors into my final ranking.

For more than 7 years I have listed an experience chart, which broke down the number of seniors, juniors, sophomores and freshmen each team had in the two deep and rated the teams experience level with a formula I devised. In ’09 I made the experience chart FIVE TIMES better.

We still do the exact same chart but now I just list the Senior starters, the rest of the seniors in the two deep and the points accumulated by using the system I used from 2002-‘08. In the chart listed below I have now included 4 other factors. The 2nd factor listed in the chart below is the % of lettermen returning. I devised a point system for this and explain it in depth on page 319 of this year’s magazine. Also added was the % of returning offensive yards. I took the total yards passing, rushing and receiving for each team and divided out the yardage of the returning players and the yards returning % listed below is that figure. I did the same with the total tackles from last year and the % of tackles returning. This gives us an idea of the defense’s experience. The final factor is the career starts returning for the offensive line. These players are not included in the stats but are a vital part of the offense. Read more…

2011 Starters Broken Down By Class

June 7th, 2011 No comments

The “official” start of the College Football season is when you have your Phil Steele College Football Preview Magazine in your hands and TODAY the 2011 Preview hits newsstands and bookstores nationwide!

The magazine is packed cover to cover with two full pages on all 120 FBS schools and is the most complete college football preview magazine on the market! Pick up a copy today at your local bookstore or newsstand for just $8.95 or order it online for $13.70 (includes shipping) at the PhilSteele.com Store and choose from 11 different covers! You can also order it thru our offices by calling us at 1-866-918-7711. Read more…

% of Tackles Returning

June 6th, 2011 3 comments

Today’s blog continues my in-depth look at my new and improved experience chart. For 7 years I had listed an experience chart, which broke down the number of Seniors, Juniors, Sophomores and Freshmen each team had in the two deep and rated the teams experience level with a formula I devised. In 2009, I made the experience chart FIVE TIMES better. I am just listing the Senior starters, and the seniors in the two deep and the points accumulated by using the system in the magazine (pg 311). In a future blog, I will break down each number of starters for the Junior, Sophomore and Freshman classes. The 2nd factor that goes into my overall chart is the % of yards returning which I featured in the June 4th blog. Another factor listed is the % of lettermen returning and Career OL Starts which I broke down last week. Today I will discuss the % of tackles returning.

% of Tackles Returning Read more…

% of Yards Returning

June 4th, 2011 1 comment

Yesterday I started my in-depth look at my Experience Chart with number of career starts returning for offensive lineman and the % of lettermen returning. For 7 years I had listed an experience chart, which broke down the number of seniors, juniors, sophomores and freshmen each team had in the two deep and rated the teams experience level with a formula I devised. In 2009, I made the experience chart FIVE TIMES better. Today I will look at the % of yards returning. I took all of the yards each QB threw for as well as all of the individual rushing yards and receiving yards for each team. I then took all of the returning yards from ’10 for the percentage.

At the top of the chart is Toledo. They return 9 starters from last years offense (only lost 2 OL) including their top 6 rushers and top 7 receivers. The Rockets only lose RB Johnnie Bush who had 9 yds rushing and QB Alex Pettee who threw for 8 yds and ran for 1. They are followed closely by UCLA who like the Rockets return 9 starters on offense (only lost 2 OL) and only loses 22 rec yds from last year. Other schools at the top of the list include: Clemson (96.65%), Boston College (96.5%) and Mississippi St (95.68%).

At the bottom of the list are four teams that lost OVER 75% of their yards gained from last year. Iowa loses QB Ricky Stanzi who threw for more than 3,000 yds last year and RB Adam Robinson (941 rush) and Derrell J-Koulianos (745 rec yds). Kansas St loses RB Daniel Thomas who ran for nearly 1,600 yds and they also lose their top passer and reciever! Kentucky lost their QB Mike Hartline and their do-everything player Randall Cobb (nearly 1,500 rush/rec yds) and RB Derrick Locke who ran for 887 yds. North Carolina lost QB TJ Yates who threw for nearly 3,500 yds plus RB’s Shaun Draughn and Johnny White who combined for 1,357 rush yds. Read more…