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Posts Tagged ‘Georgia Tech’

New Year’s Eve Bowl Forecasts

December 31st, 2011 No comments
MEINEKE CAR CARE BOWL
Saturday, December 31st @ 12:00 p.m.
Click on the bowl logo for MORE info!!!!

TEXAS A&M (6-6) VS NORTHWESTERN (6-6)

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
A.O.R
TEXAS A&M 205
290
37
2.5
•••
100.6
NORTHWESTERN
102
270
26
2.1
-
96.9
In the 1st meeting between these programs one long postssn losing streak will end as A&M has lost their L/5 with their lone win S/’95 (1-9) coming in the defunct Galleryfurniture.com Bowl which was played in the Astrodome. The Ags are 1-4 vs B10 tms in bowls. NW is in its 4th str bowl under Fitzgerald where they are 0-3 but all have been by a TD or less. He has made it a primary goal to get the program’s 2nd ever bowl win as they’ve lost their L/8 S/’48. The Ags are cch’d here by DC DeRuyter after HC Sherman got the ax. College Station is less than a 2 hr drive from Houston so Maroon should flood the stands but Fitzgerald is familiar with the terrain making an estimated 100 recruiting trips over the yrs to the area as 5 Cats are from Houston. A&M was 1-4 on the road TY but were only outscored by 1 ppg while outgaining foes 498-386. NW was 3-3 on the road outscoring foes 32-30 and outgaining them 440-433. A&M went 3-6 vs bowl tms outscoring them 37-32 and outgaining them 509-414. NW was 1-5 vs bowl squads getting outscored 35-27 and outgained 429-418. The Aggies have 7 Sr st’r among 17 upperclassmen while the Cats have 10 Sr’s and 16. At first glance clearly the Aggies have the better personnel on offense, defense and ST’s but I do think NW’s QB Persa will make things interesting in what should be a high scoring and entertaining bowl.

PHIL’S FORECAST: TEXAS A&M 40 NORTHWESTERN 31

  Read more…

Indpendence Bowl Forecast!

December 27th, 2010 No comments
INDEPENDENCE BOWL
5:00 PM ESPN2
Click on the bowl logo for MORE info!!!!

GEORGIA TECH (6-6) VS AIR FORCE (8-4)

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
A.O.R
GEORGIA TECH 347
60
27
2.4
-
99.2
AIR FORCE
308
120
27
2.3
••••
96.4
If you are wanting to watch this bowl game tonight make sure you tune in right at 5:00 PM as this bowl matches up two option offenses and it could be the shortest bowl game in actual time length this season. A couple of interesting notes in this game will be GT HC Johnson facing his former rival (Johnson former Navy HC) as he won his final 5 games against the Falcons from ’03-’07. Another important recent development is that Johnson suspended 3 defensive players for the 1H for violating curfew as well.

While GT is likely disappointed with the season as a whole, as after winning the ACC Title LY, they’ve fallen to 6-6. AF, however is thrilled, after going 8-4 TY beating BYU and winning the CIC Trophy for the 1st time since 2002. The Jackets have taken on the tougher sked (#58-81) but remember that AF travelled to Oklahoma and gave them a scare, only losing by 3. This is a long distance from both schools but AF has the edge with military bases located nearby and the Bowl offering up a Military Ticket Initiative to donate to local bases. While AF ended its season earlier (11/18, GT done 11/27), this is the offense each team takes on daily, so extra prep time weighs no benefit to either.

GT comes in with my #51 offense but there is a question at QB. Against VA Tech, st’r Nesbitt broke his arm while trying to make a tkl. He was aiming to return here, but currently is doubtful. His bkup Washington has thrown for 97 ypg (63%) with a 2-1 ratio while adding 289 rush (4.4) in his 3 starts. HC Johnson called out RB Allen at times throughout the season and he responded by earning 1st Tm ACC and finished #2 in the conference in rushing. Johnson had some issues with the OL and was forced to alter the rotation due to injuries throughout the season (5 different starting combos used). Their #65 defense has not had the same inj issues as they’ve missed 1 start due to inj this entire year. The special teams come in with just my #105 ranking and this could be a problem area for the Jackets tonight.

On the other side Air Force’s #43 offense is led by QB Jefferson. While AF is definitely a run first offense (699 rush att, 145 pass TY), Jefferson went over 100 yds pass 7x’s incl a ssn high 201 vs Utah. Three of AF’s top 5 rushers are underclassmen led by Jr Clark. AF was thin at FB after losing Tew vs SDSt but Walker stepped up and rushed for 264 (5.0) in the L/3. Tew is expected to return and that should bolster AF’s run offense that ranks #2 in the NCAA and the Falcons are 20-4 when a player goes over 100 rush yds in a gm. AF’s D has been known for TO’s under HC Calhoun as into TY they were +46 in his tenure! While they’ve forced 20 fmbl’s TY, they’ve only recovered 7 and on the season they’re just +1 TO. LY the run D all’d zero 200 yd rush gm, but TY 6 have gone over that number (incl 377 all’d to TCU). They do rank #21 in my pass eff D all’g 157 ypg (56%) with a 10-11 ratio. The #12 ST’s unit is led by KR Warzeka who had a 100 yd KR TD. The unit has blk’d at least 1 kick every year since ‘90 and has 3 TY.

Air Force, as all service academies do, prepares well for the bowls and this year they see a new venue after having been to the Armed Forces Bowl three straight years. Georgia Tech, with 6 wins, is disappointed at being here but, of course, does not have to spend the time most teams do prepping for this opponent. The Yellow Jackets have dropped 4 of their last 5 gms, all by a TD plus and I feel that it’ll be tough for them to be motivated plus Johnson’s bowl performances the past two years have left a lot to be desired. Read more…

AP Poll: Overrated/Underrated Teams

August 24th, 2010 10 comments

The AP Poll was released over the weekend and today I can officially come up with Overrated and Underrated teams for the upcoming year.

First, here is the Preseason AP Top 25. Read more…

2009′s Top Team Performances

June 18th, 2010 3 comments

 

After the 2008 season was completed I devised a power ratings system, which lets me analyze at what level each team played during an individual game. This “game grade” takes into account the yards rushing, yards passing, points scored, rushing yards allowed, passing yards allowed and points allowed and factors them in against the opponent played and even factors in the site the game was played at.

With all these factors taken into consideration you will see teams that lost the game having a better individual game grade than teams that beat them simply because the team they played was superior and much less was expected of them.

The ratings on each game can vary significantly. For example last year’s highest “game grade” went to the Florida Gators in their dominating performance over Cincinnati in the Sugar Bowl. The Gators received a 123.2 rating for the game. Meanwhile at the bottom of the ratings is Tulane who received only a 25.0 rating for their 49-0 loss to UCF in which the Green Wave were outgained 504-50! Read more…

Thoughts On Expansion and USC’s Probation

June 11th, 2010 3 comments

When it comes to college football, I am a traditionalist.  The one thing I love about college football is of all the sports, college or pro, the regular season in college football is the one that means the most. I also love the rivalries and the tradition of the bowls. While I have been calling for a system that pits the #1 vs #4 and #2 vs #3 teams in the Jan 1 bowls for nearly a decade, I am vehemently against an 8 or 16 team playoff which would destroy the bowls and make the regular season meaningless.

In 1995 I was actually sad to see the SWC fold as I really enjoyed the great tradition and history of that conference.

From the recent news of Nebraska joining the Big Ten and Colorado heading to the Pac-10, it looks like college football re-alignment and expansion is going forward and I think it will move quickly. However, unlike some of the past radical changes to college football, I actually look forward to seeing which programs end up where and I salivate at the possibility of there being multiple super conferences. Read more…

Draft Day Party Hangover

June 9th, 2010 No comments

The official on sale date for my 2010 College Football Preview was yesterday and if you do not already have a copy, head out to the bookstores and newsstands today. The magazine is available nationwide at Wal-Mart, Barnes & Noble, Waldenbooks, Borders, Hastings, Media Play, Target, Books-A-Million, K-Mart and Circle K. There are other locations where we shipped to, so check the magazine section at stores near you. The cost is just $8.95 in the stores but they tend to fly off the shelves. If you’re having trouble finding a copy visit our store or call 1-866-918-7711 and order your copy thru the office (plus shipping). 

The past few weeks I have been giving you some advanced articles from the magazine to wet your appetite for the upcoming year. Today I will give you the results of the Draft Day Party Hangover, which is on page 308.

After several years of research I have found that almost 7 out of every 10 teams that rank among the top in the NCAA in players drafted struggle the next year and have a weaker record. I call it the Draft Day Party Hangover Effect. Read more…

NFL Draft: Which Teams Will Lose the Most?

March 8th, 2010 No comments

After several years of research I have found that almost 7 out of every 10 teams that rank among the top in the NCAA in players drafted struggle the next year and have a weaker record. I call it the Draft Day Party Hangover Effect.

Today’s blog will give you the first look at which teams will be losing the most players to this year’s draft and which teams might suffer from the Draft Day Party Hangover Effect that appears in my magazine every year.

While the draft is not until April and several players could move up or down on draft boards, I think this early edition will give you a first look to see which teams will be losing the most players to the draft and it maybe a precursor for trouble for many college programs.

For the system I have created, 7 points are awarded if a player was picked in the 1st round. A 2nd round pick garners 5 points, a 3 round pick four, 4th round three and a 5th round two.  In the NFL there’s not much difference between a 6th or 7th round pick and a high quality undrafted free agent signee so I award 1 point to a 6th or 7th round pick. If you need more information please refer to pg 308 in last year’s College Preview magazine. 

Here are the teams that could lose the most possible points in this years draft and again these numbers could change over the next 6 weeks. The numbers in each column represent the number of players being projected right now in each round. Read more…

Phil’s Projected Preseason AP Top 10

February 2nd, 2010 31 comments

Well here it is, my projected AP Top 10 for next year as of February 1, 2010! I will mention it now and I will mention it numerous times throughout today’s blog but this is not MY preseason Top 10 for next year, it is where I project the AP Top 10 to come out at the start of the season.

Last year my projected Top 10 for the AP Poll was #1 Florida, #2 Texas, #3 USC, #4 Oklahoma, #5 Alabama, #6 Virginia Tech, #7 LSU, #8 Oklahoma St, #9 Ohio St and #10 Mississippi. The actual AP Top 25 was #1 Florida, #2 Texas, #3 Oklahoma, #4 USC, #5 Alabama, #6 Ohio St, #7 Virginia Tech, #8 Mississippi and#9 was a tie between Oklahoma St/Penn St.

nailed nine of the ten teams that appeared in the Preseason Top 10 with the only exception being LSU/Penn St and I may have had something to do with that. It’s interesting to note that of the main preseason magazines, only two had Penn St ranked in the Top 10 and I had them my #1 surprise team and ranked #5. Most had Penn St out of the Top 10. Perhaps since I had them rated so high in my magazine, it influenced a few voters across the country, bumping them into the Top 10.

Now let’s take a look at this year’s projected Preseason AP Top 10: Read more…

NFL Draft Early Entries: Good Move/Bad Move for Each Player

January 20th, 2010 No comments

Last Friday was the final date that underclassmen could declare for the 2010 NFL Draft. Although a record-tying 53 players declared for early entry for this year’s NFL draft, that number released yesterday by the NFL was short of most projections. Read more…

NFL Draft Early Entries

January 18th, 2010 No comments

Last Friday was the final date that underclassmen could declare for the 2010 NFL Draft. In total 51 players declared early and while some teams were hit hard by the early entries others were more lucky with several players deciding to return for another year. Today I will break which teams were hit hardest and which teams have the best returnees that turned down the NFL.

In Wednesday’s Blog I will give my analysis of whether or not it was a good move/bad move for each player. Read more…