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Posts Tagged ‘Louisville’

Little Caesars/Belk Bowl Forecasts!

December 27th, 2011 No comments
LITTLE CASESARS BOWL
Tuesday, December 27th @ 4:30 p.m.
Click on the bowl logo for MORE info!!!!

WESTERN MICHIGAN (7-5) VS PURDUE (6-6)

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
A.O.R
WESTERN MICHIGAN 115
340
36
2.6
87.0
PURDUE
225
220
32
2.4
-
99.0
PU leads the series 2-0 winning both at home incl a 28-24 win in the last meeting in ‘02. WM is 6-31 all-time vs B10 tms but has 2 of those wins (Iowa ‘07 and Ill ‘08) under HC Cubit and came up just short vs UI earlier this ssn (23-20). Purdue is 38-9-1 vs MAC tms but lost to Tol 31-20. This is WM’s 5th all-time bowl, but their 3rd under Cubit (0-2). They are 0-4 incl a 38-14 loss to Rice in the ‘08 Texas Bowl. PU is in the postssn for the 1st time S/’07 and this is their 1st time bowling under HC Hope. Under ex-HC Tiller, who Hope served under as an asst in 2 diff stints, the Boilers went 4-6 in bowls usually spotting tms the lead (fell behind 98-0 in L/7). Of the 70 bowl tms, WM is last being outgained by an avg 168 ypg vs the 4 bowl tms they faced but went 1-3 in those gms losing 2 by 3 pts each. PU and bowl officials are hoping for a decent contingent in Black and Gold but keep in mind that PU avg’d just 45,225 fans per home gm TY (72% of stadium capacity) and failed to sell out any of its 7 gms in Ross-Ade Stadium. When you match a B10 vs a MAC team you expect significant edges to the BCS conference. This doesn’t hold true as Western has many players that actually rate higher than Purdue and it’s very obvious by looking at the offensive skill position players. Western showed they can clearly matchup with BCS teams as they were 17-17 FD’s at Michigan, only lost at Illinois 23-20 and beat Conn 38-31. Purdue meanwhile has had losses to MAC teams Toledo and Northern Illinois in recent years.

PHIL’S FORECAST: WESTERN MICHIGAN 34 PURDUE 31

  Read more…

Beef ‘O’ Brady’s Forecast Plus NCAA Stats for Players in Bowls

December 21st, 2010 No comments

Each and every day at PhilSteele.com I will be giving you more information and stats on all 35 bowl games so you can become an expert on each bowl matchup. Today’s blog will break down NCAA Statistics for Players participating in bowls.

Also each day during bowl season in my daily blog, I will give you my forecasts on the bowl games taking place that day. My forecasts will include a detailed write-up with my computer’s projected box score including rushing and passing yards, points and turnovers along with a detailed write-up on each game.

Please make sure to check PhilSteele.com everyday for complete information and coverage on all the bowl matchups. On the homepage click on the Bowl matchups link, where you will find all 35 bowl games. Click on the bowl logo for each game to get all the information you need to become an expert!

BEEF ‘O’ BRADY’S BOWL
(Click the Logo For More Info)

LOUISVILLE (6-6) vs SOUTHERN MISS (8-4)

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
LOUISVILLE 155
205
30
1.9
••
SOUTHERN MISSS
170
200
26
1.7
-

Louisville should be excited to play in this game as it is their first bowl trip S/’06 Orange Bowl. These two were former Ex-CUSA rivals and Southern Miss holds an 18-9-1 edge in the series. UL HC Strong will coach his 2nd bowl as he was the interim coach of Florida for their 27-10 loss to Miami (FL) in the ‘04 Peach Bowl while Southern Miss HC Fedora is 1-1 in bowls but has faced 2 Sun Belt foes and now jumps up to a BCS foe. Strong (DC) and Fedora (OC) did coach together at FL from ‘03-’04. Offensively, I have to give the edge to Southern Miss as they have avg 47 ppg the L/5 contests but the Cards do feature All-American RB Powell who ran for 1,330 yds (6.3) despite missing a couple of games to due to injury. He should be healthier here and UL has the defensive edge thanks in large part to Strong as they field one of the most improved D’s in the country this year including my #31 pass eff D. UL has won the L/4 vs SM with the most recent meeting being a 25-23 contest LY and makes it a 5th straight here in what should be an entertaining game. Read more…

2010 Coaching Changes

August 20th, 2010 No comments

From 2005-’08 I published an article titled Coaching Changes in my College Football Preview magazine. Each year I try to make the magazine a little bit bigger and a little bit better but we’re capped out at 328 pages so Coaching Changes does not appear in my 2010 magazine. We have had a lot of requests for this article and since the website has an unlimited amount of room, PhilSteele.com is a great vehicle to continue publishing this article and I will do so each year. Read more…

Most/Least Improved Total Defenses of the L/20 years

July 27th, 2010 No comments

Today’s blog will continue with my series of analyzing the most/least improved units over the last 20 years. Each day this week I will have a new offensive or defensive statistical category to examine and today I will breakdown total defensive yards.

There are many factors that contribute to a significant change in total defense. First, a team may see a significant improvement if they return a bunch of experienced starters from a team that was relatively inexperienced the year before. Naturally a team that loses a bunch of starters especially their star players from an experienced team will usually see a drop off in total defense. Read more…

CUSA Team of the Decade

July 1st, 2010 No comments

For the next two weeks, I will be taking a look at the conference teams of the decade for 2000-2009. Factored into my analysis will be conference win %, conference and division titles, bowl games and bowl wins. I will also include BCS bowl wins, final AP rankings and number of national championships for the major conferences. There have been several teams who have changed conferences during that time and I will include them in the analysis for any season(s) they were affiliated with that certain conference. I will also be doing a breakdown of how the conference did in bowl games during the decade and I will emphasis the overall win/loss record, the number of BCS bowl wins, and the records against Non-BCS and ranked bowl teams.

While some conferences may have no-brainers as the top team, other conferences were very competitive over the past decade. Here is the schedule for the upcoming week with the conferences I will be analyzing on each date. Read more…

2009′s Final Computer Poll vs AP Poll

June 21st, 2010 3 comments

At the end of the 2008 season we devised a formula which plugged in the stats from the just completed season and then factored in the opponents and the site the game was played at and came up with an individual team power rating for each game. I was very pleased that the formula did indeed assign a true power rating for each game and it was highly accurate.

In the weekend blog, I gave you the top 15 individual “game grade” performances from 2009. Today I will give you the teams with the highest game grade averages from last year, which make up my computer’s final Top Ten and compare it to the AP Final Top Ten.

First here is the final AP Top Ten from last year. Read more…

Week 8 Gameday News & Notes

October 24th, 2009 2 comments

Navy QB Dobbs has a small crack in his kneecap from a prior inj in HS that will have to be repaired, but he is hoping to play thru the injury and have it fixed after the season….

Michigan’s Rich Brooks isn’t hiding his quarterback decision this week.  He’s said true frosh Morgan Newton will start….

S Carolina is looking to avenge last year’s loss to Vanderbilt. Vanderbilt is coming off a 34-10 loss to Georgia and South Carolina’s 20-6 loss at Alabama….

Read more…

What a Weekend! (Week 5)

October 4th, 2009 No comments

The BCS Busters are down to two as Houston lost to UTEP, so only Boise St and TCU have a shot at being a BCS Buster this year. Boise’s toughest foe appears to be Tulsa who they have to play on the road and TCU has to play BYU on the road.

Let’s take a look at this week’s top performances:

USC’s demolition of California on the road got them the top grade for this week at 103.4 per my computer. USC is a prime contender for the National Title and should they end up with just one loss, would probably get my vote if they continue to play this impressively. They have been in the Top 25 Performances of the Week every week this year.

Read more…