By Phil Steele
Happy New Year’s Eve! Two fantastic days of football start today when NC State travels to Nashville to take on Vanderbilt in the Music City Bowl. Georgia Tech and USC meet in the Sun Bowl. Iowa St faces Tulsa in the Liberty Bowl. And Clemson and LSU meet in Atlanta for the Chick-fil-A Bowl. Each day there is a bowl I will have a breakdown of the game here on my blog. But if you can’t wait for the actual writeup, make sure you download my FREE Bowl Guide which gives you a glimpse of each game being played this bowl season. The Bowl Guide includes Stat Leaders, Past Meetings, Bowl Records, Game By Game Stats and Previous Bowl Game Results. Everything you need for this post season at your fingertips! Here is the forecast for today’s bowls. Make sure you check back tomorrow for the first blog of 2013! Everyone have a safe and happy New Year!
Categories: Bowl Projections, College Football Forecasts Chick-Fil-A Bowl, Clemson, Georgia Tech, Iowa St, Liberty Bowl, LSU, music city bowl, NC State, Sun Bowl, Tulsa, USC, Vanderbilt
By Phil Steele
Akron gave Toledo a game. In fact, leading 3-0 they brought in backup QB Pole on the 3rd series and Pole led them 81/14pl and UA took a 10-0 lead with 14:03 left in the 2Q. The drive began when UT was SOD on 4&2 at their 19. UT went 75/6pl and 85/8pl. Austin Dantin hit a 55 yd td pass to Pasquale and finished 29-35-327 yds. UA answered with an 81/7pl drive for a td with 5:44 left, 17-14. UT punted on their next poss but then took the momentum going 77/5pl for a td with 1:37 left in the half. At the half UT had a 295-257 yd edge. The 3Q opened with 3 punts. UA then went 46/17pl but were SOD on 4&gl from the 16. UT went 51/7pl but was int’d at the UA19 but UT went 62/12pl for a td, 28-17 (9:56) then after an int drove 25/3pl for a td with 8:19 left to go up 18 pts, 35-17. UT fmbl’d a punt with 5:59 left and UA went 45/7pl for a td with 3:30 left but UT rec’d the onside kick, got a FD to the UA36 and took a knee.
Categories: News & Notes Air Force, Akron, Alabama, Apple Cup, Arizona, Arizona St, Arkansas, Auburn, Ball St, big east, Bowling Green, Bryn Renner, Buffalo, BYU, Central Mich, Cincinnati, Colorado, Connecticut, CUSA Title game, Derek Carr, Duke, East Carolina, Eastern Mich, Fresno St, Georgia, Georgia Tech, Giovani Bernard, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Iowa St, Iron Bowl, James Lark, Joker Phillips, Kent St, Kentucky, Louisville, LSU, Marshall, Maryland, Miami, Montee Ball, Nebraska, New Mexico St, North Carolina, North Texas, Northern Illinois, Northwestern, Ohio, Pat Hill, Penn St, Pittsburgh, Purdue, Quinshad Davis, rutgers, SMU, Syracuse, TCU, Temple, Tennessee, Texas, Texas A&M, Texas St, Thanksgiving, Toledo, Tulsa, UAB, UCF, UMass, USF, Utah, UTSA, Vanderbilt, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest, Washington, Washington St, West Virginia, wisconsin, WKU
By Phil Steele
Last week the Top 25 Forecasts went 17-4 81% and on the year they are now 197-42 82%! On the bottom of the forecasts, I have also listed some Upset Specials for this week which look to bounce back this week.
For projected box scores and the last 14 years matchups, click here.
Categories: Top 25 Games Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, Clemson, Connecticut, Eastern Michigan, florida, Florida St, Georgia, Georgia Tech, Idaho, Iowa, Kent St, Louisville, LSU, Michigan, Mississippi St, Missouri, Nebraska, Northern Illinois, Notre Dame, Ohio, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St, Ole Miss, Oregon, Oregon St, Pittsburgh, rutgers, South Carolina, Stanford, TCU, Texas, Texas A&M, UCLA, USC, Utah St
By Phil Steele
It was Tom Osborne day for Nebraska and he led them out of the tunnel. Taylor Martinez threw for 308 yards and NU scored on 4 of their first 6 poss with Minnesota crossing midfield only once before the middle of the 3Q. NU ended the half with a 2&gl at the 1 and opted to go for the td and was stuffed and ran out of time. NU had a 306-60 yd edge at the half. It was 38-0 when UM scored a td with 7:39 left and the Gophers rec’d a fumble at the 6 with 2:49 left and got a Gary 6 yd td run for a somewhat misleading 38-14 final.
Categories: News & Notes Alabama A&M, Arizona, Auburn, Baylor, Buffalo, BYU, Clemson, East Carolina, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa St, Kansas, Kansas St, Kentucky, LA Tech, Louisiana, LSU, Minnesota, Missouri, NC State, Nebraska, North Texas, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St, Ole Miss, Oregon, Oregon St, Purdue, Samford, San Jose St, Southern Miss, Stanford, Syracuse, Tennessee, Texas Tech, Tulane, UCLA, ULM, UMass, UNLV, USC, Utah, Utah St, UTEP, UTSA, Vanderbilt, Washington, West Virginia, wisconsin, WKU, Wyoming
By Phil Steele
Three years ago I started a weekly blog that included my surprise fantasy picks for each week of the college football season. Each week I picked the players that were flying under the radar and I am pleased that I finished my first year at a very successful 83-29-7 (74%). In 2010 I had another successful year with a winning week every week and an overall 103-45-17 (70%) record. Last year I went 82-44-11 (65%). So far this year I am 92-32-8 74%.
This year I will again be giving you the surprise fantasy picks each and every week in my Thursday daily blog and here are my picks for Week 10. Keep in mind you will not find players like Denard Robinson, Matt Barkley or Montee Ball in my picks. These are strictly surprise picks of players who are flying under the radar.
Categories: Fantasy College Football Boise St, Central Mich, college football geek, CollegeFootballGeek.com, East Carolina, LSU, Nevada, Oklahoma St, Texas Tech, UCLA, Utah St, Vanderbilt, Washington
By Phil Steele
Last week the Top 25 Forecasts went 17-3 85% and on the year they are now 180-38 83%! On the bottom of the forecasts, I have also listed some Upset Specials for this week which look to bounce back this week.
For projected box scores and last 14 years matchups, click here.
#1 Oregon vs #14 Stanford
Stanford has lost 2 games during the regular season in ‘10 and ‘11 and they were both to Oregon as the Ducks are 9-1 in this series. Last year the grass was wet and muddy which favored the bigger Cardinal but the speedy Ducks still won 53-30. The last time here SU actually led 21-3 after 1Q and 31-24 at the half but UO would score the only points in the 2H in the 52-31 home win. Last week the Ducks withstood injuries to their entire DL and brief absences by QB Mariota and Barner to win their 13th straight game overall 59-17 over Cal. Mariota threw 6 td’s and UO scored the game’s final 35 points after Cal cut it to 24-17 in the 3Q. SU is off a 27-23 win over OSU in a topsy-turvey game that saw Stanford race out to a 14-0 lead before OSU scored 23 straight points, then the Cardinal closed it out with 2 td’s. QB Hogan got his first start and completed 22-29-254-3-2 and they overcame a -3 TO deficit. UO has the Civil War on deck but after being crowned the AP’s new #1 team with GameDay on hand, look for the Ducks to keep their foot on the gas here as this is a terrible matchup for the slower Cardinal.
Categories: Uncategorized Alabama, Baylor, Bowling Green, cal, Cincinnati, Clemson, florida, Florida St, Georgia, Georgia Southern, Iowa, Jacksonville St, Kansas St, Kent St, LA Tech, LSU, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, NC State, Nebraska, Notre Dame, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St, Ole Miss, Oregon, Oregon St, rutgers, Sam Houston St, South Carolina, Stanford, Texas A&M, Texas Tech, UCLA, USC, Utah St, Wake Forest, West Virginia, Western Carolina, wisconsin, Wofford
By Phil Steele
Toledo had a 526-446 yd edge and benefited from a 3-1 TO edge but still lost to Ball St at home. Toledo had entered the AP Poll for the first time since 2001 and as you see many times, teams that enter the AP for the first time in a long time, usually struggle with the attention that next week. Ball St took their opening 2 drives 82/11 and 87/7pl for td’s to lead 14-0 but UT battled back to 17-17 at the half and had a 350-220 yd edge at the half. UT had settled for a 29 yd FG. BS got a 61/10pl drive for a td to open the 3Q then missed a 35 yd FG and UT went 75/14pl. They settled for a 22 yd FG to make it 24-20. UT went 25/4pl and on 4&1 got a 16 yd td run to lead 27-24. BS tied it on a 30 yd FG with 9:41 left. UT went 68/7pl. After the game, Campbell was questioned for going for it on 4&1 on their next drive as they went 68/7pl and based on them settling for 2 short FG’s and the fact they had a td on the last 4&1, he probably made the right decision but UT was stuffed with 6:02 left. BS then went 86/11pl and got a 13 yd td run with 1:43 left to take the lead 34-27. UT on 4&7 from its own 27 fired incomplete.
Categories: News & Notes Arizona St, Arkansas, Arkansas St, army, Ball St, Boston College, Bowling Green, Buffalo, Central Mich, Cincinnati, Colorado St, Connecticut, Eastern Mich, Florida St, Georgia, Indiana, Iowa, Iowa St, Kansas, Kansas St, Kent St, Kentucky, LA Tech, Louisville, LSU, Marshall, McNeese, Memphis, Miami, Michigan, Mississippi St, Missouri, Nebraska, North Texas, Northwestern, Notre Dame, Ohio, Ole Miss, Penn St, Pittsburgh, Purue, rutgers, SMU, South Alabama, South Carolina, Southern Miss, Syracuse, TCU, Temple, Tennessee, Texas, Texas St, Texas Tech, Toledo, Tulane, UAB, UCF, ULM, UNLV, USC, UTEP, UTSA, Vanderbilt, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Western Mich, wisconsin
Last week the Top 25 Forecasts went 15-4 79% and on the year they are now 163-35 82%! On the bottom of the forecasts, I have also listed some Upset Specials for this week which added another winner last week when East Carolina upset Houston.
For projected box scores and Last 14 Years Matchups for all of these games, please click here.
#1 Alabama vs #15 Texas A&M
Bama is, of course, coming off the huge game vs LSU although they do only have Western Carolina on deck. A&M, meanwhile, is on its third straight away game and playing for the 10th straight week. Last week the Tide jumped out to a 14-3 halftime lead at #5 LSU but found themselves down 17-14 late in the game as McCarron completed just 1-7 passes for 0 yards in the 2H prior to the final drive. LSU blew some opportunities to put the game away including 3 failed FG attempts. McCarron led Bama 72/5pl in a drive that culminated with a td pass with just :51 left as the #1 Tide won 21-17. McCarron has still not thrown an int this year but the #1 Tide D did give up 435 yards and they will have their hands full again this week vs ‘Johnny Football’ who tore through Miss St’s D to the tune of 440 total yards (30-36 passing!) as the Aggies rolled to a 38-13 win at MSU. A&M outgained MSU 693-310 and had a 36-15 FD edge. Keep in mind, the last 2 times Bama has lost a game it came at the hands of mobile QB’s in Cam Newton and Jordan Jefferson. Still I can’t step in front of the elephant here as A&M’s offense has been sluggish in the 2H of games vs the other two elite D’s it faced earlier this year in UF/LSU.
Categories: Top 25 Games Alabama, AP Top 25, Arizona St, Arkansas, army, Auburn, Baylor, Boston College, California, Clemson, florida, Florida St, Georgia, Houston, Iowa St, Kansas, Kansas St, Louisiana, Louisiana Tech, Louisville, LSU, Maryland, Mississippi St, Nebraska, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, Oregon, Oregon St, Penn St, rutgers, South Carolina, Stanford, Syracuse, TCU, Texas, Texas A&M, Texas St, Texas Tech, Tulsa, UCLA, USC, Virginia Tech, Washington St
#23 Toledo takes on Ball St today. For the Top 25 Forecast and the projections you would normally see on Friday – head on over to PhilSteele.com today!
Nine of the 15 teams that made my Most Improved List featured in this year’s magazine have already clinched bowl bids and there is still a month left!!
Jordan Lynch only accounted for 3 td’s for Northern Illinois despite the final being 63-0 vs overmatched Massachusetts. NI played 2 backup QB’s leaving Lynch in for just the first series of the 3Q and he left with them up 42-0. UMass went for it on 4th down 4 times in the 1H on 4&2 at the NI47, 4&9 at the NI50, 4&2 at the NI27 and 4&8 at the NI7 and all 4 times, failed. They fumbled on their first two 3Q poss and were SOD on 4&6 at the NI46.
Categories: News & Notes Akron, Alabama, Arizona, Arizona St, Arkansas, Arkansas St, Baylor, Boise St, Boston College, Clemson, Colorado St, Connecticut, Duke, Fresno St, Georgia Tech, Hawaii, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Iowa St, Kansas, Kansas St, Kent St, LSU, Marshall, Maryland, Memphis, New Mexico, North Texas, Northern Illinois, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St, Oregon, Oregon St, pitt, San Diego St, San Jose St, SMU, Southern Miss, Tennessee, Texas, Texas St, Texas Tech, Troy, Tulsa, UAB, UCF, UCLA, UMass, UNLV, USC, USF, Utah St, Wake Forest, Wyoming
Every week I will post my forecasts of all the games involving Top 25 teams. As usual, it includes my computer’s projected box score for each game.
Last week the Top 25 forecasts went 15-3 83% and on the year they are 118-21 85%!! On the bottom of the forecasts, I have also listed some Upset Specials for this week which are 5-1 the last 4 weeks!! To get projected box scores for theses Top 25 games, click here.
#1 Alabama at Tennessee
Finally this game returns to The Third Sat in October. It may surprise some to know that from ‘95-’06 UT was 10-2 in this series. Since Bama lost at UT 16-13 in ‘06, they are 5-0 and have won their last 2 trips here 29-9 in ‘08 (+193 yards) and 41-10 in ‘10 (+221 yards). Last year’s game was surprisingly tied 6-6 at the half with Bama only having a 157-114 yard edge but Saban let them know about his unhappiness and Bama did not allow a FD in the 2H and had a 280-41 yard edge winning 37-6. The #1 Tide again have the nation’s #1 D and last week the only td allowed came on a 98 yard KR as they rolled Mizzou 42-10 racking up a 355-37 rush yard edge! Bama is on its second straight away which didn’t occur last year. After last week’s loss to Miss St 41-31, UT has lost 14 straight vs ranked opponents with the avg loss by 19 points per game. Despite huge improvements in the run game (avg 185 ypg), the Vols are 3-3 and Dooley is on one of the hottest seats in America. While Bama is well rested off a bye and blowout, they may be peeking ahead to games against Mississippi St and LSU on deck. Read more…
Categories: Top 25 Games Alabama, Arizona St, Boise St, BYU, California, Cincinnati, Clemson, Colorado, florida, Florida St, Georgia, Kansas, Kansas St, Kentucky, Louisville, LSU, Maryland, Miami Fl, Michigan, Michigan St, Middle Tenn, Mississippi St, NC State, Notre Dame, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Oregon, Oregon St, Purdue, rutgers, South Carolina, Stanford, TCU, Temple, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Texas Tech, Toledo, UNLV, USC, USF, Utah, Virginia Tech, West Virginia