By Phil Steele
Troy had a 23-10 FD edge and 472-328 yd edge but Middle Tenn at home came away with a fortunate victory and Troy clinched a losing season. Troy was int’d on their 2nd poss and ret’d 22 yds to their 25 and MT got a 37 yd FG on a 20 yd drive. Troy went 60/9pl but fmbl’d at the 2 and on the next play, Parker got a 98 yd td run for MT, 10-0. Troy went 80/11pl for a td. Troy fmbl’d at the MT6 after a 42/5pl drive. MT got a 66 yd pass to Parker to the 28 but had a 43 yd FG blk’d. Troy had a punt blk’d 4pl later and MT got a 26 yd FG, 13-7 (6:26 2Q). At half MT had a 251-223 yd edge. Troy opened the 3Q with a 78/10pl drive and a 4 yd td pass put them up 14-13. 5 punts. Troy went 45/7pl but on FD from the MT33 fmbl’d and it was ret’d 59 yds to the 8. MT got a 21 yd FG on a 4 yd drive to lead 16-14. MT fmbl’d at the Troy44 on its next drive and Troy went 56/8pl for a td with 9:06 left for a 21-16 lead. MT was int’d on a deep pass and ret’d 43 yds to their 47. Troy got 1 FD and was int’ and ret’d 77 yds for a td with 5:48 left, the 2 pt conversion made it 24-21. Troy got 2 FD and on 4&4 fired incomplete at the MT27 with 2:46 left and MT got 1 FD and ran the clock. Read more…
Categories: News & Notes Baylor, Boston College, Civil War, Clemson, Colorado St, FIU, florida, Florida St, Hawaiii, Houston, Idaho, Louisiana, Louisiana Tech, Memphis, Michigan, Michigan St, Middle Tennessee, Minnesota, Mississippi St, Missouri, NC State, New Mexico, Notre Dame, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St, Ole Miss, Oregon, Oregon St, rice, San Diego St, San Jose St, South Alabama, South Carolina, Southern Miss, Texas A&M, Texas Tech, Troy, Tulane, ULM, UNLV, USC, Utah St, UTEP, Wyoming
By Phil Steele
Ball St solidified its bowl standing and Ohio’s banged up team kept sliding. The Bobcats missed as many as 10 players due to injury but did only trail 21-17 at the half. Ball St lost their starting QB Keith Wenning who hit 16-20-172. Veteran Kelly Page came in and ran 7 yards for a td on his only play of the 1H and OU did get to the BSU12 with :12 left in the half but was sacked on the final play and did not score. OU got a 58 yd td run by Blankenship on the first drive of the 2H to take a 24-21 lead but Ball got a 68 yd Edwards run keying a 71/2pl drive for a td and OU missed a 27 yd FG. After 2 punts, BSU went 59/10pl for a 38 yd FG and OU went on an 11pl drive for a 34 yd FG, 31-27. Ball, after a 46 yard KR and a 15 yd penalty on a personal foul, drove 38/1pl for a td then after a punt went 65/6pl for a td and after OU went 3&out again, went 77/8pl for a td and turned it into a 52-27 rout with 2:18 left. Page hit just 5-7-41 rushing 4x’s for 34 yards.
Categories: News & Notes Air Force, Alabama, Arizona St, Arkansas, Arkansas St, army, Ball St, Boise St, Boston College, Bowling Green, Central Michigan, Cincinnati, Colorado, Colorado St, Duke, Eastern Mich, FAU, FIU, florida, Florida St, Georgia, Georgia Southern, Georgia Tech, Hawaii, Houston, Indiana, Iowa, Jacksonville St, Kent St, Marshall, Maryland, Memphis, Miami, Michigan, Michigan St, Middle Tenn, Mississippi St, Montel Harris, Navy, Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina, Northern Illinois, Northwestern, Notre Dame, Ohio, Penn St, rice, rutgers, Sam Houston St, Shula Bowl, SMU, South Alabama, South Carolina, Temple, Texas A&M, Texas St, Toledo, Troy, Tulsa, UAB, UCF, USF, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest, Washington, Washington St, Western Carolina, Western Mich, Wofford
By Phil Steele
Toledo had a 526-446 yd edge and benefited from a 3-1 TO edge but still lost to Ball St at home. Toledo had entered the AP Poll for the first time since 2001 and as you see many times, teams that enter the AP for the first time in a long time, usually struggle with the attention that next week. Ball St took their opening 2 drives 82/11 and 87/7pl for td’s to lead 14-0 but UT battled back to 17-17 at the half and had a 350-220 yd edge at the half. UT had settled for a 29 yd FG. BS got a 61/10pl drive for a td to open the 3Q then missed a 35 yd FG and UT went 75/14pl. They settled for a 22 yd FG to make it 24-20. UT went 25/4pl and on 4&1 got a 16 yd td run to lead 27-24. BS tied it on a 30 yd FG with 9:41 left. UT went 68/7pl. After the game, Campbell was questioned for going for it on 4&1 on their next drive as they went 68/7pl and based on them settling for 2 short FG’s and the fact they had a td on the last 4&1, he probably made the right decision but UT was stuffed with 6:02 left. BS then went 86/11pl and got a 13 yd td run with 1:43 left to take the lead 34-27. UT on 4&7 from its own 27 fired incomplete.
Categories: News & Notes Arizona St, Arkansas, Arkansas St, army, Ball St, Boston College, Bowling Green, Buffalo, Central Mich, Cincinnati, Colorado St, Connecticut, Eastern Mich, Florida St, Georgia, Indiana, Iowa, Iowa St, Kansas, Kansas St, Kent St, Kentucky, LA Tech, Louisville, LSU, Marshall, McNeese, Memphis, Miami, Michigan, Mississippi St, Missouri, Nebraska, North Texas, Northwestern, Notre Dame, Ohio, Ole Miss, Penn St, Pittsburgh, Purue, rutgers, SMU, South Alabama, South Carolina, Southern Miss, Syracuse, TCU, Temple, Tennessee, Texas, Texas St, Texas Tech, Toledo, Tulane, UAB, UCF, ULM, UNLV, USC, UTEP, UTSA, Vanderbilt, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Western Mich, wisconsin
#23 Toledo takes on Ball St today. For the Top 25 Forecast and the projections you would normally see on Friday – head on over to PhilSteele.com today!
Nine of the 15 teams that made my Most Improved List featured in this year’s magazine have already clinched bowl bids and there is still a month left!!
Jordan Lynch only accounted for 3 td’s for Northern Illinois despite the final being 63-0 vs overmatched Massachusetts. NI played 2 backup QB’s leaving Lynch in for just the first series of the 3Q and he left with them up 42-0. UMass went for it on 4th down 4 times in the 1H on 4&2 at the NI47, 4&9 at the NI50, 4&2 at the NI27 and 4&8 at the NI7 and all 4 times, failed. They fumbled on their first two 3Q poss and were SOD on 4&6 at the NI46.
Categories: News & Notes Akron, Alabama, Arizona, Arizona St, Arkansas, Arkansas St, Baylor, Boise St, Boston College, Clemson, Colorado St, Connecticut, Duke, Fresno St, Georgia Tech, Hawaii, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Iowa St, Kansas, Kansas St, Kent St, LSU, Marshall, Maryland, Memphis, New Mexico, North Texas, Northern Illinois, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St, Oregon, Oregon St, pitt, San Diego St, San Jose St, SMU, Southern Miss, Tennessee, Texas, Texas St, Texas Tech, Troy, Tulsa, UAB, UCF, UCLA, UMass, UNLV, USC, USF, Utah St, Wake Forest, Wyoming
Any time the weather gets cold for Miami, they tend not to show up so Notre Dame had a large edge in the unusually chilly temps in Chicago. UM was also off two wire-to-wire gut wrenching ACC conf games and now travelling in a non-conf game. As you would expect, ND had a 34-13 FD edge, 587-285 yd edge and held the ball for 39:08 to UM’s 20:52. Both teams were ranked in the top 10 when they met in four consecutive years from ‘87-’90 with the winner going on to win the National Title 3 straight years. UM WR Dorsett did have 2 open td passes that he dropped and he was also wearing gloves and full long sleeves while most Irish players were in short sleeves. ND went 88/10pl for a td then after each team drove for a short FG, the Irish made a 32 yd FG and missed a 34 yd FG and only led 13-3 at the half. ND went 81/6pl for a td, then 86/12 for a td as it got chillier as the night went on in the 2H. ND went 66/3pl for a td and after UM was SOD at the ND7, the Irish took over with 9:51 left and went on an 8:45 drive adding a 1 yd td run with 1:06 left for the dominating win. Read more…
Categories: News & Notes Antwaan Randle El, Ball St, Berkstresser, Braxton Miller, cal, Carter Finley Stadium, Central Michigan, Charles Sims, Chris Thompson, Cincinnati, Cody Fajardo, Colorado St, Connor Halliday, David Piland, Denard Robinson, Derek Carr, Dominique Blackman, Eric Mathews, Florida St, Fresno St, Hawaii, Houston, Hugh Freeze, Idaho, Jacob Karam, James Franklin, Jeff Tuel, Louisiana, Louisiana Tech, Memphis, Miami, Michigan, Misleading Finals, Missouri, NC State, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, New Mexico St, North Texas, Northern Illinois, Notre Dame, Ohio St, Ole Miss, Oregon, Oregon St, Phillip Thomas, Purdue, rice, San Diego St, Sean Mannion, SMU, Terrance Broadway, Texas A&M, Texas St, Toledo, Tulane, UCLA, UNLV, UTEP, Vanderbilt, Washington, Washington St, Wyoming
Here are my projections for games being played on Saturday, October 6th.
I list the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week.
Categories: College Football Picks Air Force, Akron, Arizona, Arkansas, army, Auburn, Ball St, Boise St, Boston College, Bowling Green, Buffalo, California, Central Mich, Cincinnati, Clemson, Colorado St, Connecticut, Duke, Eastern Mich, florida, Florida St, Fresno St, Georgia, Georgia Tech, Hawaii, Houston, Idaho, Illinois, Indian, Iowa St, Kansas, Kansas St, Kent St, Louisiana, Louisiana Tech, LSU, Marshall, Maryland, Memphis, Miami Fl, Miami Oh, Michigan, Michigan St, Middle Tennessee, Missouri, Navy, NC Staate, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, New Mexico St, North Carolina, North Texas, Northern Illinois, Northwestern, Notre Dame, Ohio, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Ole Miss, Oregon, Oregon St, Penn St, Purdue, rice, rutgers, San Diego St, SE Louisiana, SMU, South Carolina, Southern Miss, Stanford, TCU, Temple, Texas, Texas A&M, Texas St, Texas Tech, Toledo, Tulane, Tulsa, UAB, UCLA, ULM, UMass, UNLV, USF, UTEP, Vanderbilt, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest, Washington, Washington St, West Virginia, Western Mich, wisconsin, Wyoming
From 2005-’08 I published an article titled Coaching Changes in my College Football Preview magazine. Each year I try to make the magazine a little bit bigger and a little bit better but we’re capped out at 328 pages so Coaching Changes does not appear in my 2010 magazine. We have had a lot of requests for this article and since the website has an unlimited amount of room, PhilSteele.com is a great vehicle to continue publishing this article and I will do so each year. Read more…
Categories: Offseason Notes 2010, Akron, blog, Bobby Hauck, Brian Kelly, Buffalo, Butch Jones, Central Michigan, Charlie Strong, Cincinnati, Coaching Changes, college football, Dan Enos, Derek Dooley, Doc Holliday, East Carolina, Florida St, Jeff Quinn, Jimbo Fisher, Joker Phillips, Kansas, Kentucky, Lane Kiffin, Larry Porter, Louisiana Tech, Louisville, Marshall, Memphis, Mike London, Mike MacIntyre, Notre Dame, phil steele, Rob Ianello, Robbie Caldwell, Ruffin McNeill, San Jose St, Skip Holtz, Sonny Dykes, Tennessee, Texas Tech, Todd Berry, Tommy Tuberville, Turner Gill, ULM, UNLV, USC, USF, Vanderbilt, Virginia, Willie Taggart, WKU
Today’s blog will continue with my series of analyzing the most/leas improved units over the last 20 years. Each day this week I will have a new offensive or defensive statistical category to examine and today I will breakdown total defensive yards.
There are many factors that contribute to a significant change in pass defense. First, a team may see significant improvement if they return a bunch of experienced starters especially in the defensive backfield. Naturally a team that loses a bunch of starters especially their cornerbacks and safeties could see a significant drop in pass defense. Read more…
Categories: Offseason Notes blog, college football, Least Improved, LSU, Memphis, Mississippi St, most improved, NC State, Pass Defense, phil steele, UNLV, Wyoming
Today’s blog will start a series, which will analyze the most/least improved units over the last 20 years. Each day this week I will have a new offensive or defensive statistical category to examine and today I will start with offensive rush yards.
There are many factors that contribute to a significant change in rush yards. First, a new coach may come in and prefer a more run-oriented attack than the previous coach. Naturally a lot more rushing carries will usually equal a lot more yards. Similarly you may see a significant drop in rush yards if the new coach features a pass-happy offense than the previous coach. Read more…
Categories: Offseason Notes appalachian st, Arkansas, army, blog, Buffalo, college football, Last 20 Years, Least Improved, Memphis, Michigan St, most improved, Navy, Nebraska, phil steele, Rush yards, Rush YPG, TCU
We are only 40 days away from the official on sale date of my 2010 COLLEGE PREVIEW!!! It goes on sale Tuesday, June 8th and there is a possibility you could see it earlier than that at your local bookstore.
Today I want to look at the % of yards returning for the offenses. I took all of the yards each QB threw for as well as all of the individual rushing yards and receiving yards for each team. I then took all of the returning yards from ’09 for the percentage. Read more…
Categories: Offseason Notes %, Boise St, Bowling Green, college football, Kansas, Memphis, Ohio St, phil steele, Returning, Virginia Tech, Washington, Yards