By Phil Steele
Happy New Year’s Eve! Two fantastic days of football start today when NC State travels to Nashville to take on Vanderbilt in the Music City Bowl. Georgia Tech and USC meet in the Sun Bowl. Iowa St faces Tulsa in the Liberty Bowl. And Clemson and LSU meet in Atlanta for the Chick-fil-A Bowl. Each day there is a bowl I will have a breakdown of the game here on my blog. But if you can’t wait for the actual writeup, make sure you download my FREE Bowl Guide which gives you a glimpse of each game being played this bowl season. The Bowl Guide includes Stat Leaders, Past Meetings, Bowl Records, Game By Game Stats and Previous Bowl Game Results. Everything you need for this post season at your fingertips! Here is the forecast for today’s bowls. Make sure you check back tomorrow for the first blog of 2013! Everyone have a safe and happy New Year!
Categories: Bowl Projections, College Football Forecasts Chick-Fil-A Bowl, Clemson, Georgia Tech, Iowa St, Liberty Bowl, LSU, music city bowl, NC State, Sun Bowl, Tulsa, USC, Vanderbilt
By Phil Steele
Troy had a 23-10 FD edge and 472-328 yd edge but Middle Tenn at home came away with a fortunate victory and Troy clinched a losing season. Troy was int’d on their 2nd poss and ret’d 22 yds to their 25 and MT got a 37 yd FG on a 20 yd drive. Troy went 60/9pl but fmbl’d at the 2 and on the next play, Parker got a 98 yd td run for MT, 10-0. Troy went 80/11pl for a td. Troy fmbl’d at the MT6 after a 42/5pl drive. MT got a 66 yd pass to Parker to the 28 but had a 43 yd FG blk’d. Troy had a punt blk’d 4pl later and MT got a 26 yd FG, 13-7 (6:26 2Q). At half MT had a 251-223 yd edge. Troy opened the 3Q with a 78/10pl drive and a 4 yd td pass put them up 14-13. 5 punts. Troy went 45/7pl but on FD from the MT33 fmbl’d and it was ret’d 59 yds to the 8. MT got a 21 yd FG on a 4 yd drive to lead 16-14. MT fmbl’d at the Troy44 on its next drive and Troy went 56/8pl for a td with 9:06 left for a 21-16 lead. MT was int’d on a deep pass and ret’d 43 yds to their 47. Troy got 1 FD and was int’ and ret’d 77 yds for a td with 5:48 left, the 2 pt conversion made it 24-21. Troy got 2 FD and on 4&4 fired incomplete at the MT27 with 2:46 left and MT got 1 FD and ran the clock. Read more…
Categories: News & Notes Baylor, Boston College, Civil War, Clemson, Colorado St, FIU, florida, Florida St, Hawaiii, Houston, Idaho, Louisiana, Louisiana Tech, Memphis, Michigan, Michigan St, Middle Tennessee, Minnesota, Mississippi St, Missouri, NC State, New Mexico, Notre Dame, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St, Ole Miss, Oregon, Oregon St, rice, San Diego St, San Jose St, South Alabama, South Carolina, Southern Miss, Texas A&M, Texas Tech, Troy, Tulane, ULM, UNLV, USC, Utah St, UTEP, Wyoming
By Phil Steele
It was Tom Osborne day for Nebraska and he led them out of the tunnel. Taylor Martinez threw for 308 yards and NU scored on 4 of their first 6 poss with Minnesota crossing midfield only once before the middle of the 3Q. NU ended the half with a 2&gl at the 1 and opted to go for the td and was stuffed and ran out of time. NU had a 306-60 yd edge at the half. It was 38-0 when UM scored a td with 7:39 left and the Gophers rec’d a fumble at the 6 with 2:49 left and got a Gary 6 yd td run for a somewhat misleading 38-14 final.
Categories: News & Notes Alabama A&M, Arizona, Auburn, Baylor, Buffalo, BYU, Clemson, East Carolina, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa St, Kansas, Kansas St, Kentucky, LA Tech, Louisiana, LSU, Minnesota, Missouri, NC State, Nebraska, North Texas, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St, Ole Miss, Oregon, Oregon St, Purdue, Samford, San Jose St, Southern Miss, Stanford, Syracuse, Tennessee, Texas Tech, Tulane, UCLA, ULM, UMass, UNLV, USC, Utah, Utah St, UTEP, UTSA, Vanderbilt, Washington, West Virginia, wisconsin, WKU, Wyoming
By Phil Steele
Last week the Top 25 Forecasts went 17-3 85% and on the year they are now 180-38 83%! On the bottom of the forecasts, I have also listed some Upset Specials for this week which look to bounce back this week.
For projected box scores and last 14 years matchups, click here.
#1 Oregon vs #14 Stanford
Stanford has lost 2 games during the regular season in ‘10 and ‘11 and they were both to Oregon as the Ducks are 9-1 in this series. Last year the grass was wet and muddy which favored the bigger Cardinal but the speedy Ducks still won 53-30. The last time here SU actually led 21-3 after 1Q and 31-24 at the half but UO would score the only points in the 2H in the 52-31 home win. Last week the Ducks withstood injuries to their entire DL and brief absences by QB Mariota and Barner to win their 13th straight game overall 59-17 over Cal. Mariota threw 6 td’s and UO scored the game’s final 35 points after Cal cut it to 24-17 in the 3Q. SU is off a 27-23 win over OSU in a topsy-turvey game that saw Stanford race out to a 14-0 lead before OSU scored 23 straight points, then the Cardinal closed it out with 2 td’s. QB Hogan got his first start and completed 22-29-254-3-2 and they overcame a -3 TO deficit. UO has the Civil War on deck but after being crowned the AP’s new #1 team with GameDay on hand, look for the Ducks to keep their foot on the gas here as this is a terrible matchup for the slower Cardinal.
Categories: Uncategorized Alabama, Baylor, Bowling Green, cal, Cincinnati, Clemson, florida, Florida St, Georgia, Georgia Southern, Iowa, Jacksonville St, Kansas St, Kent St, LA Tech, LSU, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, NC State, Nebraska, Notre Dame, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St, Ole Miss, Oregon, Oregon St, rutgers, Sam Houston St, South Carolina, Stanford, Texas A&M, Texas Tech, UCLA, USC, Utah St, Wake Forest, West Virginia, Western Carolina, wisconsin, Wofford
By Phil Steele
Ka’Deem Carey had 366 yards and had 5 td’s. The old Pac-12 record was set by Washington St’s Rueben Mayes on Oct 27, 1984. Arizona was without QB Matt Scott and QB BJ Denker hit 12-14-136 and rushed for 44 on 9 carries vs Colorado. Decker fumbled the snap on the first play at his own 7 and CU got a td on the next play, 7-0. UA went 80/9pl and 64/8pl, 49/2pl for td’s on the next 3 poss with CU settling for an 18 yd FG, 21-10. CU still got a 73/13pl drive for a td with 2:44 left 1H to get to 21-17 and then Denker hit a 21 yd td pass with 1:11 left capping a 79/6pl drive. UA led 28-17 at the half with a 272-228 yd edge and UA again went 73/6pl, 49/7pl, 81/2pl for 3 td’s on 3 straight drives, 49-17. CU, trailing 56-31, was SOD on 4&gl at the UA9 with 2:54 left.
Categories: News & Notes Air Force, Akron, Alabama, Arizona, Baylor, BYU, cal, Clemson, Colorado, FAU, Fresno, Georgia Tech, Idaho, IIllinois, Maryland, Minnesota, NC State, Nevada, New Mexico, New Mexico St, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St, Oregon, Oregon St, San Diego St, San Jose St, Stanford, Texas A&M, UCLA, UMass, Utah, Wake Forest, Washington, Washington St, West Virginia, WKU, Wyoming
Ohio was coming off its first loss of the year and rolled up Eastern Michigan with a 555-305 yard edge. It was just 17-14 when OU took over with :55 left in the half and went 65/7pl and on 2&10 got a 19 yd td pass with :11 left to lead 24-14. EMU in the 3Q went on a 14pl drive but punted and OU got a 3&5, def pass interference for a FD and on the next play a 79 yd td pass, 31-14. OU drove 44/5 for a td after a 38 yd PR with 5:03 left and got a 29 yd td run with 1:33 left.
Middle Tennessee and WKU played on a Thursday and MT pulled the first upset of the weekend. MT settled for a 19 yd FG on a 73/13pl drive to open and after a punt the teams would score td’s on 4 straight poss. WKU settled for a 29 yd FG, MT on 4&1 was SOD at the WKU32 with :32 left in the half and WKU missed a 47 yd FG on the final play of the half and it was 17-17. The game was tied 27-27 after a 27 yd WKU FG with 6:17 left but MT had a 96 yd KR for a 7 pt lead. WKU went 57/10pl but from the 21 yard line on FD was int’d at the 2. MT on 4&9 ran the ball into the back of the EZ for a safety on the last play of the game. WKU finished with a 438-342 yd edge.
Categories: News & Notes Air Fore, army, Auburn, Buffalo, cal, Central Mich, Cincinnati, Colorado, East Carolina, Eastern Mich, FAU, FIU, florida, Georgia, Houston, Illinois, Joke Phillips, Kentucky, Louisiana, Louisiana Tech, Louisville, Miami, Michigan, Middle Tenn, Minnesota, Mississippi St, Missouri, Navy, NC State, New Mexico St, Ohio, Ohio St, Ole Miss, Penn St, Purdue, rice, South Alabama, Stanford, Syracuse, TCU, Temple, Texas A&M, Texas St, Tulane, ULM, Utah, Vanderbilt, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Washington, Washington St, West Virginia, Western Mich, WKU
Every week I will post my forecasts of all the games involving Top 25 teams. As usual, it includes my computer’s projected box score for each game.
Last week the Top 25 forecasts went 15-3 83% and on the year they are 118-21 85%!! On the bottom of the forecasts, I have also listed some Upset Specials for this week which are 5-1 the last 4 weeks!! To get projected box scores for theses Top 25 games, click here.
#1 Alabama at Tennessee
Finally this game returns to The Third Sat in October. It may surprise some to know that from ‘95-’06 UT was 10-2 in this series. Since Bama lost at UT 16-13 in ‘06, they are 5-0 and have won their last 2 trips here 29-9 in ‘08 (+193 yards) and 41-10 in ‘10 (+221 yards). Last year’s game was surprisingly tied 6-6 at the half with Bama only having a 157-114 yard edge but Saban let them know about his unhappiness and Bama did not allow a FD in the 2H and had a 280-41 yard edge winning 37-6. The #1 Tide again have the nation’s #1 D and last week the only td allowed came on a 98 yard KR as they rolled Mizzou 42-10 racking up a 355-37 rush yard edge! Bama is on its second straight away which didn’t occur last year. After last week’s loss to Miss St 41-31, UT has lost 14 straight vs ranked opponents with the avg loss by 19 points per game. Despite huge improvements in the run game (avg 185 ypg), the Vols are 3-3 and Dooley is on one of the hottest seats in America. While Bama is well rested off a bye and blowout, they may be peeking ahead to games against Mississippi St and LSU on deck. Read more…
Categories: Top 25 Games Alabama, Arizona St, Boise St, BYU, California, Cincinnati, Clemson, Colorado, florida, Florida St, Georgia, Kansas, Kansas St, Kentucky, Louisville, LSU, Maryland, Miami Fl, Michigan, Michigan St, Middle Tenn, Mississippi St, NC State, Notre Dame, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Oregon, Oregon St, Purdue, rutgers, South Carolina, Stanford, TCU, Temple, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Texas Tech, Toledo, UNLV, USC, USF, Utah, Virginia Tech, West Virginia
Any time the weather gets cold for Miami, they tend not to show up so Notre Dame had a large edge in the unusually chilly temps in Chicago. UM was also off two wire-to-wire gut wrenching ACC conf games and now travelling in a non-conf game. As you would expect, ND had a 34-13 FD edge, 587-285 yd edge and held the ball for 39:08 to UM’s 20:52. Both teams were ranked in the top 10 when they met in four consecutive years from ‘87-’90 with the winner going on to win the National Title 3 straight years. UM WR Dorsett did have 2 open td passes that he dropped and he was also wearing gloves and full long sleeves while most Irish players were in short sleeves. ND went 88/10pl for a td then after each team drove for a short FG, the Irish made a 32 yd FG and missed a 34 yd FG and only led 13-3 at the half. ND went 81/6pl for a td, then 86/12 for a td as it got chillier as the night went on in the 2H. ND went 66/3pl for a td and after UM was SOD at the ND7, the Irish took over with 9:51 left and went on an 8:45 drive adding a 1 yd td run with 1:06 left for the dominating win. Read more…
Categories: News & Notes Antwaan Randle El, Ball St, Berkstresser, Braxton Miller, cal, Carter Finley Stadium, Central Michigan, Charles Sims, Chris Thompson, Cincinnati, Cody Fajardo, Colorado St, Connor Halliday, David Piland, Denard Robinson, Derek Carr, Dominique Blackman, Eric Mathews, Florida St, Fresno St, Hawaii, Houston, Hugh Freeze, Idaho, Jacob Karam, James Franklin, Jeff Tuel, Louisiana, Louisiana Tech, Memphis, Miami, Michigan, Misleading Finals, Missouri, NC State, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, New Mexico St, North Texas, Northern Illinois, Notre Dame, Ohio St, Ole Miss, Oregon, Oregon St, Phillip Thomas, Purdue, rice, San Diego St, Sean Mannion, SMU, Terrance Broadway, Texas A&M, Texas St, Toledo, Tulane, UCLA, UNLV, UTEP, Vanderbilt, Washington, Washington St, Wyoming
Every week I will post my forecasts of all the games involving Top 25 teams.
Last week the Top 25 forecasts went 15-1 (94%) and on the year they are 91-12 88%! On the bottom of the forecasts, I have also listed some Upset Specials for this week which are 3-0 the last 2 weeks as both New Mexico and San Jose St pulled the upsets two weeks ago and Duke beat WF LW. To get projected box scores for all of the Top 25 games this week, click here.
#2 Oregon vs #23 Washington
Oregon has now won eight in a row in this series by an avg of 42-17. Last year UO had a huge game vs Stanford on deck and on the road only had a 381-278 yard edge. In fact, in the 1H UW had 11-6 FD and 23:54-6:06 TOP edges. The last time here UW only trailed 18-6 at the half. “In the 1H, when we were fresh and they were fresh, we outplayed them, but they wore us down,” Sarkisian said. This year UW had a bye and a Thursday game while UO is playing its 6th straight. The Huskies are off a 17-13 upset of Stanford as they came back from a 13-3 3Q deficit and held the Cardinal without an offensive td. Last week the Ducks led just 23-19 vs Wash St at the half but exploded for three 3Q td’s to blow the game open. No way can I go against the Ducks here at home as they get a 9th straight win over their rival. Read more…
Categories: College Football Picks, Top 25 Games Arizona, California, Clemson, Connecticut, FL, florida, Florida St, Georgia, Georgia Tech, Iowa St, Kansas, Kansas St, Kentucky, LSU, Miami, Mississippi St, NC State, Nebraska, Northwestern, Notre Dame, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Oregon, Oregon St, Penn St, rutgers, South Carolina, Stanford, TCU, Texas, Texas Tech, UCLA, uconn, USC, Utah, Washington, Washington St, West Virginia
SECOND HIGHEST SCORING WEEKEND IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL HISTORY
This past weekend was the 2nd highest scoring weekend in college football history, with the teams combining to average 60.8 points. West Virginia and Baylor set a ton of records as WV had an 807-700 yd edge. Stedman Bailey would have set the Big 12 record with 303 yds receiving but he was actually topped by BU WR Terrance Williams who had 314. BU’s 9 game win streak came to an end as the teams combined for 1,507 yds offense and 6 rec’s had 100+ rec’s in WV’s first Big 12 game. The most previous points in a game involving a team in the AP poll was 124 set back in 1980 when Oklahoma beat Colorado 82-42. The 19 td’s combined just tied an NCAA mark which was set when Navy beat NT 74-62 in 2007. BU led 21-14 but trailed 70-56 when they got the last td with 3:08 left. WV got to the KO deep and WV got 2 FD and was able to run off the clock
Naturally a couple of SEC defenses like Tennessee and Georgia wouldn’t have had that type of game but they did. UGA had a 560-478 yd edge and Tenn a 26-20 FD edge. Tenn had a few missed opportunities as at the end of the 3Q they missed a 28 yd FG and with 5:55 left, UT at midfield was int’d at the UGA26. UT’s next poss got them to the UGA27 trailing by 7 pts but Bray was sk’d and fumbled with 1:22 left and UT’s final play was an int’d pass at the UGA48. UGA has topped over 40 pts in each of its first 5 games for the first time in school history
Categories: News & Notes 5:10 am, ACC record, Akron, Alabama, Arizona, Arizona St, Arkansas St, Baylor, Boise St, cal, Charles Sims, Chuckie Keeton, Colorado, East Carolina, End of the half momentum, ESPN Insider, FAU, FIU, FL, Florida Atlantic, Florida St, Fresno St, Game Notes, Georgia, Houston, Illinois, Insight, Iowa St, Jack Trudeau, Jake Medlock, Kentucky, Louisiana, Louisville, LSU, Miami, Michigan St, Mike Leach, Mike Riley, Mississippi, NC State, Nebraska, New Mexico, New Mexico St, North Texas, OH, Ohio, Ohio St, Oklahoma St, Ole Miss, Oregon, Oregon St, Purdue, rice, San Diego St, SMU, South Carolina, Southern Miss, Steele Jantz, Stephen Morris, TCU, Tennessee, Texas, Texas Tech, Toledo, Towson, UCF, UCLA, UMass, UNLV, USF, Utah St, UTEP, UTSA, Van Tubbergen, Washington St, Weater, Weather, West Virginia, Western Michigan, WKU