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AFC/NFC Championship Game Forecasts!

January 22nd, 2012 No comments
NFL PLAYOFFS: 5-3
136-74 65% REGULAR SEASON

 

1 AFC CHAMPIONSHIP
SUNDAY, JANUARY 22nd
3:00 PM ET CBS
7

BALTIMORE (13-4) AT NEW ENGLAND (14-3)

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
A.O.R
BALTIMORE 130
215
19
1.8
#25
97.6
NEW ENGLAND
106
335
35
1.2
#6
98.6
Even though they avenged their loss in 2010, the 33-14 home loss in the 2009 Wildcard round still stings the Patriots. BAL was simply the more physical team that day as they dominated all phases. This led to NE altering their offensive package to be 2 TE heavy and more physical. Both teams took advantage of inexperienced QB’s LW’s to advance. NE exerted their will vs DEN (509-252 yd edge) while BAL capitalized on HOU’s mistakes. Seventeen of BAL’s 20 pts were off TO’s with only 2 drives over 40 yds on the day. NE is now 8-1 at home TY outgaining foes by 70 ypg (+7 TO’s) for a 32-18 avg score. BAL went 4-4 on the road w/a +14 ypg mark (-5 TO’s) for a 20-18 avg score. SD, NYJ, PIT, and IND are the common foes with BAL going 4-1 w/a 331-287 yd edge (+6 TO’s) for a 26-18 avg score. NE went 4-1 being outgained 393-384 but was +9 TO’s for a 30-21 avg score. The Patriots as a whole are on a mission and the playoff sked sets up perfectly being under the radar vs Tebowmania LW and they now get a rematch in front of the fans that booed them 2 years ago. “I’d have been booing us, too, the way we played,” Brady said. “Playing the way we played today, we weren’t going to beat anybody.” I know Brady can beat any def and while BAL’s stop unit looked solid it was vs a rookie QB playing on the road with a 17-3 1Q deficit. The Ravens off LW totaled just 227 yards and 11 FD’s getting TD’s on 2/3pl and 34/5pl “drives”. Don’t discount NE’s D as they’ve played bend but don’t break with their def ypp #2 in the NFL and they’ve had 16 sacks the last 4 games.

PHIL’S FORECAST: NEW ENGLAND 31 BALTIMORE 21

 

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Compass Bowl/FCS Champ/NFL Wildcard Forecasts!

January 7th, 2012 1 comment
FCS National Championship
Pizza Hut Park Frisco, TX
Saturday, January 7th @ 1:00 p.m.

#2 NORTH DAKOTA ST (13-1) VS #1 SAM HOUSTON ST (14-0)

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
NORTH DAKOTA ST 139
130
23
1.7
SAM HOUSTON ST
151
190
22
1.7
This is how the playoffs are supposed to work, with all 4 Top seeds playing in the semi-finals and the #1 & #2 seed playing for the Championship. This is just the third meeting between these teams. The series is tied with the home team winning both by 3. NDSU 41-38 in 2007 despite being outgained 495-414 and giving up a TD with :26 left as they scored their own TD with :07 left for the win. SHSU won 48-45 in 2009 with a 620-419 yd edge winning with a 24yd FG with :26 left. This meeting will be much closer to home for the Bearkats who are playing under 200 miles from home while the Bison must migrate over 1000 miles from the cold North and the comforts of the Fargo Dome, where they hosted all 3 of their playoff wins. Both teams defeated an FBS team this year with NDSU beating Minnesota 37-24 and SHSU beating New Mexico 48-45. Both teams faced Western Illinois. SHSU won 20-6 in the season opener with a 313-216 yd edge but that includes allowing a 92 yd TD pass late 4Q with a 20-0 lead. NDSU won 37-21 with a 363-292 yd edge but did lead 37-7 in the 3Q. The Bison are off a 35-7 win over Georgia Southern with a 451-333 yd edge as the Eagles were forced to abandon their running game after falling behind 20-7 and NDSU score their final TD with just :39 left. The Bearkats faced a Montana team that looked to be peaking in the playoffs with big wins over Central Arkansas (41-14) and Northern Iowa (48-10). SHSU won 31-28 with a 496-380 yd edge. They led 31-14 in the 3Q, before allowing Montana to make the comeback but after a stop, SHSU ran out the final 6 min driving to the UM 15 before taking a knee. NDSU is led by QB Brock Jenson, who is avg 172 ypg (68%) with a 13-3 ratio while rushing for 166 yds (2.5, 8 TD). They feature two RB’s in Sam Ojuri (1078, 6.1, 11 TD) and DJ McNorton (981, 5.1, 13 TD). While top WR Warren Holloway leads with 988 (13.2, 8 TD). NDSU defense is allowing just 13.2 ppg and 324 ypg including 3.6 ypc on the ground. SHSU is led by QB Brian Bell, who is avg 150 ypg (61.8%) with a 20-5 ratio while rushing for 274 (3.5, 6 TD). They also feature 2 RB’s in Tim Flanders (1560, 5.6, 22 TD) and Richard Sincere (965, 8.0, 9 TD). Sincere leads the team in rec yds with 449 (18.0, 4 TD), with Flanders adding 404 (14.4, 2 TD). While top WR Torrance Williams leads with 30 rec (397, 13.2, 3 TD) but also had 269 rush (14.9, 3 TD). SHSU defense is allowing 14.8 ppg and just 283 ypg including just 2.6 ypc on the ground.Both teams have had 3 weeks off and how well the Bison will enjoy the break from the cold in what should be almost 60 degree weather is yet to be seen. The Computer calls for NDSU to pull out a 1 pt despite being outgained 70+ yds. We will go with SHSU to remain the only undefeated team in the FCS.

PHIL’S FORECAST: SAM HOUSTON ST 24 NORTH DAKOTA ST 23

 

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Today’s Hunger Bowl/NFL Wildcard Forecasts

January 9th, 2011 No comments
KRAFT KRAFT FIGHT HUNGER BOWL
9:00 PM ESPN
Click on the bowl logo for MORE info!!!!
KRAFT

BOSTON COLLEGE (7-5) VS NEVADA (12-1)

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
A.O.R
BOSTON COLLEGE 140
178
20
2.1
99.8
NEVADA
236
238
31
1.9
-
94.5
These two are both on hot streaks as Nevada (6) and BC (5) are two of 13 teams in the nation riding win streaks of 5 or more games. The Eagles are 13-8 in bowl gms and are making their 12th consec appearance (Nevada making their 6th str). Nevada is thrilled with their season as they pulled the upset of Cal earlier TY then got the OT win which KO’d Boise from the BCS. BC is disappointed with this season as they struggled at the QB spot, were quickly eliminated from the ACC Atlantic race, and needed to win out to get to the postseason. They relied heavily on a D which was the NCAA’s #1 vs the run and featured the ACC’s best LB corps. UN fans can easily make this trek as San Fran is just over 200 miles away from Reno, while BC fans are notoriously bad travelers. Read more…

Advanced Odds To Win Super Bowl XLV

February 10th, 2010 No comments

A couple of weeks ago I gave you the odds to win the 2010 National Championship courtesy of the Hilton. In today’s blog I will give you their updated odds plus the Hilton has just released their odds to win next year’s AFC/NFC championship plus Super Bowl XLV.

If you are in Las Vegas at anytime in the next couple of months make sure to stay at the Hilton to get advanced odds on the 2010 college football season and advanced odds on the NFL.

Don’t forget to check out our Spring Central section to get 2010 schedules, coaching changes, who’s back/who’s not and all the NFL Draft early entrants.

Hilton Odds to Win Super Bowl XLV
Cowboys Stadium-Arlington, Texas
Sunday, February 6, 2011

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2010 Pro Bowl

January 31st, 2010 No comments

This year’s Pro Bowl has undergone several changes. For the first time since 1979, the game will not be played in Honolulu as this year it moves to Miami where a Pro Bowl record crowd of 70,000+ is expected. Also for the first time the game will not be played after the Super Bowl therefore all the Indianapolis and New Orleans players cannot participate in the game. The game will move back to Honolulu in two years and the NFL is meeting this week to decide the where the game will be played from there out.

This year Dallas and Philadelphia have the most participants with 9 followed by Minnesota with 8. Super Bowl teams Indianapolis and New Orleans each had 7 players named but again cannot participate in tonight’s game.

The NFC leads the all-time series 20-19 after winning the last two.

Today’s blog gives you all the past Pro Bowl results since 1971 and I’ve included the latest Pro Bowl rosters including the original starters and the replacements for the Super Bowl/injured players.

Make sure to check tomorrow’s blog with some recruiting information and then don’t forget this Wednesday I will release my projection of what the Preseason AP Top 10 will be for 2010! Read more…

Categories: nfl Tags: , , ,

NFL Championship Forecasts

January 24th, 2010 No comments

AFC Championship • 3:00 ET • CBS

NY Jets vs Indianapolis

Team Rush Pass Points TO’s ST A.O.R.
NY Jets 173 140 21 1 #14 100.3
Indianapolis 64 198 18 2 #31 100.4

The AFC comes full circle here. Having already dispatched Cincinnati in the Wildcard Round the Jets have the opportunity to take out the other team that essentially gifted them a playoff spot. Indianapolis had a 15-10 lead after the 1st drive of the 2H in the 1st meeting when they pulled Manning & the rest of the starters. At that point Indy had 16-7 FD & 254-115 yd edges & the Jets TD came when Brad Smith returned the 2H’s opening KO 106 yards for a TD. However the combo of Jones & Greene had 68 yds (4.5) rushing in the 1H. The Jets #1D sacked Indy QB Painter on his 2nd series forcing a fumble which they returned to take the lead & the run defense took over. Last week was a story of 2 halves for the Jets as while they were outgained 212-99 in the 1H they allowed just 1 TD as San Diego missed 2 FG’s. In the 2H the Jets had a 163-132 yd edge & held San Diego to just 9 yds on their 1st 4 drives of the 2H. Indianapolis quieted doubters about how ready they would be after shutting it down for the final 2 games. The Colts #18 defense used their impressive team speed to hold Rice to just 67 yds (5.2). Manning is 4-1 vs a Rex Ryan defense avg 227 ypg (62%) with a 9-2 ratio.

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NFL Divisional Playoff Sunday Picks

January 16th, 2010 No comments
Don’t forget – I still need updated  stadium pictures for many of the NFL teams including the new Cowboys stadium. Inside panoramic views with most of the stadium in view are recommended. The best pictures will get a chance to be included in the magazine with your credentials. Just email ron@ncsports.com.
In tomorrow’s blog I will have the teams hit hardest by players leaving early and also the teams that have the best returners that turned down the NFL.

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NFL Divisional Playoff Saturday Picks

January 16th, 2010 No comments
Want your name included in the 2010 NFL Preview Magazine? I need updated stadium pictures for many of the NFL teams including the new Cowboys stadium. Inside panoramic views with most of the stadium in view are recommended. The best pictures will get a chance to be included in the magazine with your credentials. Just email ron@ncsports.com.

Tomorrow’s Blog will have the forecasts for the remaining two NFL Divisional games. Coming up on Monday I will have the teams hit hardest by players leaving early and also the teams that have the best returners that turned down the NFL.

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NFL Sunday Wildcard Picks

January 9th, 2010 No comments

AFC WILDCARD • Sunday 1:00 ET • CBS

Team Rush Pass Points TO’s ST
Baltimore 145 173 20 2 #6
New England 113 255 23 2 #28

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