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Posts Tagged ‘selections’

Week 12 Pro Selections

November 26th, 2011 No comments

HERE ARE MY NFL SELECTIONS: 9-2 LW 87-46 65% TY

 

ARIZONA AT ST LOUIS

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
ARIZONA 108
188
18
1.7
#2
ST LOUIS 128
230
15
1.6
#29
The Cardinals were outplayed by the Rams in Bradford’s return from a high ankle sprain getting outgained 400-262 in the 1st matchup TY. Special teams blunders cost STL the game as they had a 42 yd FG blocked on the final play of reg and gave up a 99 yd PR for TD after the 1st drive of OT to lose. This is ARZ’s 4th road game in 5 Wks and they are off their rivalry game vs SF with DAL on deck. The Skelton offense caught up to ARZ LW as they were lucky to be down 9-0 at the half. SF had 12-2 FD and 249-52 yd edges but on 6 drives to the ARZ 31 settled for 3 FG’s missing another 3. This exposed ARZ’s 2 wins for what they were: defense and special teams victories. ARZ has been held to under 100 yds rushing in 5 of their L6 games while giving up an avg of 142 ypg (4.3) in their L6. STL was held to 185 yds LW as they played without both OT’s due to injury after benching their #1 Ctr the week before. SEA’s front 7 stacked up vs Jackson who was held to 42 yds (2.8) and 13 of their first 14 drives ended as a punt or TO. I’ll go with the home team vs an ARZ team that came back to earth LW.

PHIL’S FORECAST: ST LOUIS 23 ARIZONA 17 Read more…

Week 13 Selections for Every Game!

November 25th, 2011 No comments
Tuesday, November 22nd Phil Steele Weekly
Poll
Comp
PTS
Comp
Yds
 +/- Gm
Grade
Vegas
7:00 PM ET Miami (OH) at Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio
By 7 78% 24-21 394-288 By 2.50 By 7.88 By 9
Wednesday, November 24th Phil Steele Weekly
Poll
Comp
PTS
Comp
Yds
Gm
Grade
Vegas
8:00 PM ET Texas at Texas A&M Texas A&M A&M A&M A&M A&M A&M
By 1 78% 29-18 377-290 By 10.75 By 7.17 By 7.5
Friday, November 25th Phil Steele Weekly
Poll
Comp
PTS
Comp
Yds
 +/- Gm
Grade
Vegas
11:00 AM ET Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois NIU NIU NIU NIU NIU NIU NIU
By 10 94% 45-25 532-348 By 21 By 16.83 By 19.5
11:00 AM ET Louisville at South Florida USF USF USF USF USF USF USF
By 10 69% 21-13 412-263 By 8 By 13.41 By 3
12:00 PM ET Houston at Tulsa UH UH UH UH Tulsa UH UH
By 7 80% 43-42 558-539 By 0.75 By 6.62 By 3
12:00 PM ET Iowa at Nebraska NEB NEB NEB NEB NEB NEB NEB
By 3 90% 31-21 447-300 By 7.75 By 10.88 By 9.5
12:00 PM ET Kent State at Temple TU TU TU TU TU TU TU
By 14 93% 30-9 389-236 By 17 By 19.58 By 16.5
12:00 PM ET Bowling Green at Buffalo UB BGSU BGSU UB UB UB UB
By 6 53% 27-21 376-346 By 1.50 By 0.77 By 2
1:00 PM ET Akron at Western Michigan WMU WMU WMU WMU WMU WMU WMU
By 42 97% 50-12 564-341 By 37.25 By 25.15 By 27.5
2:00 PM ET Toledo at Ball State UT UT UT UT UT UT UT
By 14 87% 48-37 594-426 By 9.75 By 17.25 By 12.5
2:30 PM ET Arkansas at LSU LSU LSU LSU LSU LSU LSU LSU
By 7 86% 37-25 415-275 By 14 By 12.65 By 13
3:30 PM ET Colorado at Utah Utah Utah Utah Utah Utah Utah Utah
By 10 97% 35-11 387-270 By 24.75 By 16.73 By 20.5
3:30 PM ET Boston College at Miami (FL) M(FL) M(FL) M(FL) M(FL) M(FL) M(FL) M(FL)
By 17 97% 24-10 414-231 By 12.25 By 16.85 By 14.5
7:00 PM ET Pittsburgh at West Virginia WVU WVU WVU WVU WVU WVU WVU
By 3 91% 35-28 492-345 By 5.75 By 12.29 By 7
7:00 PM ET UTEP at UCF UCF UCF UCF UCF UCF UCF UCF
By 14 86% 32-19 462-313 By 11 By 16.25 By 10
10:15 PM ET California at Arizona State ASU ASU Tie Cal Cal ASU ASU
By 10 75% 23-23 398-392 By 0.75 By 2.15 By 5.5 Read more…

Thanksgiving Texas/Texas A&M Selections!

November 24th, 2011 No comments
Thursday, November 17th PHIL
STEELE
Weekly Poll Computer PTS Computer Yds  +/- Gm Grade Vegas
8:00 PM ET Texas at Texas A&M Texas A&M A&M A&M A&M A&M A&M
By 1 78% 29-18 377-290 By 10.75 By 7.17 By 7.5

Week 13 Top 25 Forecasts

November 23rd, 2011 No comments

Every week I will post my forecasts of all the games involving Top 25 teams. As usual, it includes my computer’s projected box score for each game. Last week the Top 25 Forecasts went 14-8 (64%) and so far this season I am 190-47 (80%).

Last year the Top 25 forecasts went 205-60 (77%)! On the bottom of the forecasts, I have also listed some Upset Specials for this week.

# 1 LSU vs #3 ARKANSAS

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
ARKANSAS 65
210
25
2.3
LSU
245
170
37
1.6
-
SEC West/Nat’l Title Implications in the Battle for the Golden Boot. Ark has outgained LSU 5 str and won 3 of 4 outright. LY Ark had a 464-294 yd edge with a pair of 80 yd TD passes. LSU did win the last time here as they kicked a 41-yd FG w/:04 to force OT (Ark missed 35 yd FG in OT). This tightly contested series has been decided by 8 or less the L6Y with the cumulative score Ark 185-184. LW both tms took care of business as LSU dispatched Ole Miss 52-3 as they outgained the Rebels 458-195 but did have 2 Def TD’s. The Tigers matched their best start S/’58 as QB Jefferson got his 2nd str st (4-0 ratio). LW the Razorbacks had a 44-17 easy win over Miss St. QB Wilson had a school record 32 comp and leads the SEC avg 292 ypg (63%) with a 21-5 ratio. LSU is 10-2 in home finales. Ark does have slight off (#10-15) and ST’s (#2-25) edges while LSU has the def edge (#2-25). With the recent series history, this one comes down to the wire once again but it’s tough going against the Tigers at home in a big game under Miles.

PHIL’S FORECAST: LSU 31 ARKANSAS 24 Read more…

Week 11 Pro Selections

November 19th, 2011 3 comments

HERE ARE MY NFL SELECTIONS: 8-5 LW 78-44 64% TY

 

TENNESSEE AT ALTANATA

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
TENNESSEE 82
193
14
1.0
#15
ATLANTA 149
238
21
0.6
#20
This is the 2nd of 3 straight NFC South games for the Titans. TEN is off a big win vs a young CAR team off a bye and ATL off a home loss to NO in OT. ATL has good stat edges here with the #7 and #7 units (+2 TO’s) the last 4 weeks and have held foes to 271 yds and 16 ppg in their L3 games. TEN has the #26 and #27 units (0 TO’s) L4W and have allowed 362 ypg on the road. TEN has been outgained in 3 of 4 games and are taking the #19 pass rush on the road (19 sks). While ATL may only have 16 sks they’ve forced enough pressure for a respectable 12-10 ratio and have held foes to 91 ypg rushing (3.9). QB Ryan (22-4 at home) admitted the offense started off slow due to forcing 1st RD DC Julio Jones into the system resulting in his missing 2 games w/a hamstring injury. ATL has avg’d 149 ypg rushing (4.3) and 27.0 ppg the L4W going back to a power run scheme. TEN has a beat up defense that’s started 7 different LB’s TY and ATL is strong off a loss.

PHIL’S FORECAST: ATLANTA 27  TENNESSEE 17 Read more…

Week 12 Selections For Every Game!

November 18th, 2011 1 comment

Now Available in iTunes!  Steele Stats iPhone App!

Phil’s Daily Blog!
FBS College Football – 12 Conferences and 120 College Football Teams!

Live scores, box scores, team schedules, week-by-week schedule, 2011 team and individual game statistics including FBS Power Ratings for the 2011 season!  At your fingertips!

Learn about at www.app-plicable.com/support.html
Or in the iTunes Store under “Steele Stats”

For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on every game that involves a FBS team.

I list the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games.

Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them!

Here are the selections!

Week 11 Selections For Every Game!!!

November 11th, 2011 1 comment

Now Available in iTunes!  Steele Stats iPhone App!

Phil’s Daily Blog!
FBS College Football – 12 Conferences and 120 College Football Teams!

Live scores, box scores, team schedules, week-by-week schedule, 2011 team and individual game statistics including FBS Power Ratings for the 2011 season!  At your fingertips!

Learn about at www.app-plicable.com/support.html
Or in the iTunes Store under “Steele Stats”

For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on every game that involves a FBS team.

I list the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games.

Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them! Here are the selections……. Read more…

Week 9 Pro Selections

November 5th, 2011 No comments

HERE ARE MY NFL SELECTIONS: 6-4 LW 64-33 66% TY

ATLANTA AT INDIANAPOLIS

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
ATLANTA 151
190
29
0.0
#21
INDIANAPOLIS 124
150
11
1.8
#31
The Falcons are off their bye and have a huge home game vs NO on deck. ATL has played the #13 sked to this point in the year which accounts for the perception they’ve underachieved TY with the #17 and #20 units (+1 TO’s). Defenses have managed to slow WR White (39 rec 10.9) who has been bothered by a knee injury and 1st RD DC Jones (25 rec 14.3) has missed 2 games w/a hamstring injury. The good news is that they face an IND team giving up 261 ypg (77%) with an 11-0 ratio the L4W with just 1 QB held to under a 95 QBR so far TY. Bill Polian placed the blame firmly on the defense as the DL is missing its 2 best DT’s (Foster, Nevis) on IR. While Mathis/Freeney have 8 sacks combined the Colts have 12 as a team (18th). While Painter is not the big problem (just 4 ints TY) the Colts lack the quick strike capability here to help a defense that can’t get off the field on 3rd Dns (#32, 49.1%). IND is simply overmatched here.

PHIL’S FORECAST: ATLANTA 31 INDIANAPOLIS 20 Read more…

Week 10 Selections for Every Game!

November 4th, 2011 No comments

Now Available in iTunes!  Steele Stats iPhone App!

Phil’s Daily Blog!
FBS College Football – 12 Conferences and 120 College Football Teams!

Live scores, box scores, team schedules, week-by-week schedule, 2011 team and individual game statistics including FBS Power Ratings for the 2011 season!  At your fingertips!

Learn about at www.app-plicable.com/support.html
Or in the iTunes Store under “Steele Stats”

For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on every game that involves a FBS team.

I list the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games.

Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them! Here are the selections……. Read more…

Selections for Tonight’s Game!

November 1st, 2011 No comments
Tuesday,  November 1st PHIL STEELE Weekly Poll Computer PTS Computer Yds + / - Gm Grade Vegas
8:00 PM ET Northern Illinois at Toledo UT UT UT UT UT UT UT
By 10 78% 43-34 504-401 By 9.25 By 14.2 By 8.5