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Posts Tagged ‘slipping and sliding’

Slipping and Sliding: 2-Year Net Loss!

June 24th, 2011 No comments

Yesterday I blogged about a 2 year net win differential on teams that improved their record after having a record much weaker one season than they had the previous 2 years. I went in depth as to how I came upon that chart and the results. Today I will take a look at the 2 year net loss indicator. For a deeper explanation on how this chart was achieved, go to the blog posted on June 23rd.

When I reviewed the numbers since 1990, it was surprising that team’s with a -4.5 net loss indicator or higher, which was a great sampling than the -7.5 net or higher actually achieved a better percentage. While two teams managed to improve their record at the very top of the chart, none did in 6.5 or 6.0. In fact of teams that had a -6.0 net loss indicator or higher, only 2 managed to improve their record. In 2003 Navy which went from 8-5 to 10-2 and 2000 South Carolina which went from 8-4 to 9-3. The biggest drop offs were 1998 Tulane which had a -7.5 net loss indicator and went from 12-0 to 3-8. Interestingly in 1998 I called for Washington St to go from a Rose Bowl to last place in the Pac-10 – which they did and in the 2 year net loss indicator they were -6.0 and went from 10-2 to 3-8. Others that achieved large drop offs were 2008 Ball St which went from 12-2 to 2-10 with a -6 net loss indicator and 1996 Army which went from 10-2 to 4-7 with a -5.5 net loss indicator. Read more…

Slipping and Sliding College Football

June 23rd, 2011 No comments

2 Year Net Win Differential Success Rates

W
L
T
%
W
L
T
%
+7.5 or higher
1
0
0
100%
or higher
1
0
0
100%
+7
2
0
0
100%
or higher
3
0
0
100%
+6.5
4
0
0
100%
or higher
7
0
0
100%
+6
7
0
0
100%
or higher
14
0
0
100%
+5.5
10
2
2
86%
or higher
24
2
2
93%
+5
22
4
1
81%
or higher
46
6
3
89%
+4.5
24
10
3
73%
or higher
70
16
6
83%
+4
34
8
4
83%
or higher
104
24
10
83%
+3.5
38
14
8
77%
or higher
142
38
18
81%
+3
57
19
2
76%
or higher
199
57
20
79%
+2.5
44
22
2
68%
or higher
243
79
22
77%
+2
60
21
11
77%
or higher
303
100
33
75%
+1.5
75
46
13
66%
or higher
378
146
46
74%

Read more…

NFL Slipping and Sliding

June 29th, 2009 No comments

The NFL magazine deadline is quickly approaching. This year the Pro Preview is expanding to SIX FULL PAGES on each NFL team jampacked with the “Phil Steele” quality information you’re used to seeing in my College Preview. Today I wanted to give you an article that I will be including in this year’s Preview called “Slipping and Sliding”. Read more…

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