Today’s blog will start a series, which will analyze the most/least improved units over the last 20 years. Each day this week I will have a new offensive or defensive statistical category to examine and today I will start with offensive rush yards.
There are many factors that contribute to a significant change in rush yards. First, a new coach may come in and prefer a more run-oriented attack than the previous coach. Naturally a lot more rushing carries will usually equal a lot more yards. Similarly you may see a significant drop in rush yards if the new coach features a pass-happy offense than the previous coach. Read more…
Categories: Offseason Notes Tags: appalachian st, Arkansas, army, blog, Buffalo, college football, Last 20 Years, Least Improved, Memphis, Michigan St, most improved, Navy, Nebraska, phil steele, Rush yards, Rush YPG, TCU
Many of you have asked me for an updated Bowl Projections listing since USC was eliminated from bowl contention recently. In the magazine which went to press before the NCAA’s ruling I projected the Trojans to go to the Rose Bowl. Naturally most of my Pac-10 selections for bowls have changed with the ineligibility of USC. Oregon now gets my pick to go to the Rose Bowl and a lot of the other Pac-10 teams get bumped up. Here are my current projections for all 35 of this year’s bowl games which includes the BCS Championship game. Read more…
Categories: Offseason Notes Tags: Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, bcs, Bog, Bowl Projections, Capital One Bowl, college football, Cotton Bowl, fiesta bowl, florida, Gator Bowl, Georgia, Iowa, LSU, Miami Fl, Michigan, National Title, Nebraska, Ohio St, Oklahoma, orange bowl, Oregon, Outback Bowl, Penn St, phil steele, Pittsburgh, rose bowl, Sugar Bowl, TCU, Texas, wisconsin
For the next two weeks, I will be taking a look at the conference teams of the decade for 2000-2009. Factored into my analysis will be conference win %, conference and division titles, bowl games and bowl wins. I will also include BCS bowl wins, final AP rankings and number of national championships for the major conferences. There have been several teams who have changed conferences during that time and I will include them in the analysis for any season(s) they were affiliated with that certain conference. I will also be doing a breakdown of how the conference did in bowl games during the decade and I will emphasis the overall win/loss record, the number of BCS bowl wins, and the records against Non-BCS and ranked bowl teams.
While some conferences may have no-brainers as the top team, other conferences were very competitive over the past decade. Here is the schedule for the upcoming week with the conferences I will be analyzing on each date. Read more…
Categories: Team of the Decade Tags: Air Force, BYU, college football, Colorado St, Eastern Illinois, mwc, New Mexico, phil steele, TCU, Team of the Decade, Utah
For the next two weeks, I will be taking a look at the conference teams of the decade for 2000-2009. Factored into my analysis will be conference win %, conference and division titles, bowl games and bowl wins. I will also include BCS bowl wins, final AP rankings and number of national championships for the major conferences. There have been several teams who have changed conferences during that time and I will include them in the analysis for any season(s) they were affiliated with that certain conference. I will also be doing a breakdown of how the conference did in bowl games during the decade and I will emphasis the overall win/loss record, the number of BCS bowl wins, and the records against Non-BCS and ranked bowl teams.
While some conferences may have no-brainers as the top team, other conferences were very competitive over the past decade. Here is the schedule for the upcoming week with the conferences I will be analyzing on each date. Read more…
Categories: Team of the Decade Tags: Cincinnati, college football, CUSA, East Carolina, Houston, Louisville, Montana St, phil steele, Southern Miss, TCU, Team of the Decade, Tulsa, UCF
At the end of the 2008 season we devised a formula which plugged in the stats from the just completed season and then factored in the opponents and the site the game was played at and came up with an individual team power rating for each game. I was very pleased that the formula did indeed assign a true power rating for each game and it was highly accurate.
In the weekend blog, I gave you the top 15 individual “game grade” performances from 2009. Today I will give you the teams with the highest game grade averages from last year, which make up my computer’s final Top Ten and compare it to the AP Final Top Ten.
First here is the final AP Top Ten from last year. Read more…
Categories: Offseason Notes Tags: Alabama, ap poll, Avg, Boise St, Cincinnati, college football, Computer Poll, florida, Game Grade, Georgia, Iowa, Louisville, LSU, Michigan, Nebraska, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Oregon, Penn St, phil steele, TCU, Texas, Texas Tech, Virginia Tech
Expansion Thoughts
The conference expansion/re-alignment situation to me is very similar to all the talk earlier this year of the NCAA Basketball tournament expanding. While I do not follow college basketball, it seemed like every day I turned on SportsCenter I would hear the rumors and possibilities of the tournament expanding to 96 teams but when it was all said and done only three teams were added.
With the news of Texas deciding to stay with the Big 12 (or is it now the new Big Ten?), I think all the expansion talk of there being four 16 super conferences will probably go by the wayside. All the talk about the Big East and ACC being in danger seems moot and I think Utah going to the Pac-10 should probably close all the moves as I do not feel the Big 12 will expand as they will not want to divide the TV pie up among two more teams.
Naturally the Big Ten is now a stronger conference with the addition of Nebraska and are clearly the #2 conference behind the SEC now. The WAC was dealt a severe blow with the loss of Boise to the MWC.
What I do not understand in this whole mess is how the Big 12 can lose two teams with one of them being Nebraska and go from a 70 million dollar TV contract to a 200 million dollar deal. Obviously Big 12 commissioner Dan Beebe did a great job of convincing Texas to stay and I am sure Kansas, Kansas St, Baylor and Iowa St fans are glad he did. Read more…
Categories: Offseason Notes Tags: Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, Boise St, Boston College, college football, Connecitcut, Expansion, Houston, Miami Fl, Middle Tennessee, Nebraska, Northern Illinois, Notre Dame, Ohio St, Oklahoma, Oregon, phil steele, Power Ratings, Stanford, TCU, Texas Tech, Virginia Tech. Florida
The official on sale date for my 2010 College Football Preview was yesterday and if you do not already have a copy, head out to the bookstores and newsstands today. The magazine is available nationwide at Wal-Mart, Barnes & Noble, Waldenbooks, Borders, Hastings, Media Play, Target, Books-A-Million, K-Mart and Circle K. There are other locations where we shipped to, so check the magazine section at stores near you. The cost is just $8.95 in the stores but they tend to fly off the shelves. If you’re having trouble finding a copy visit our store or call 1-866-918-7711 and order your copy thru the office (plus shipping).
The past few weeks I have been giving you some advanced articles from the magazine to wet your appetite for the upcoming year. Today I will give you the results of the Draft Day Party Hangover, which is on page 308.
After several years of research I have found that almost 7 out of every 10 teams that rank among the top in the NCAA in players drafted struggle the next year and have a weaker record. I call it the Draft Day Party Hangover Effect. Read more…
Categories: Offseason Notes Tags: Alabama, California, Clemson, college football, Draft Day Party Hangover, florida, Georgia Tech, Iowa, LSU, Nebraska, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, Oklahoma St, Penn St, phil steele, rutgers, TCU, Tennessee, Texas, USF, Utah
In Today’s blog, I will continue releasing my Preseason All-Conference teams with the All-Big East and All-MWC teams.
In the Big East, West Virginia leads the way with seven 1st Team selections led by Noel Devine who rushed for 1,465 yds (6.1) last year. Connecticut returns 16 starters from last year’s 8-5 team and placed six guys on my 1st Team led by Lawrence Wilson who led the Big East last year with 140 tackles (#10 NCAA).
The two best teams from last year, Pittsburgh and 2-time defending champ Cincinnati each placed five players on my 1st Team. The Panthers are led by All-American candidates RB Dion Lewis (1,799, 5.5), WR Jon Baldwin (1,111, 19.5) and DE Greg Romeus (Co-BE DPOY) while the Bearcats return many of their top receivers from a year ago led by Armon Binns who had 888 yds (14.6) and 11 TD’s last year. Read more…
Categories: Phil Steele News Tags: All Conference, Andy Dalton, Art Forst, big east, Cincinnati, college football, Connecticut, Dion Lewis, Greg Romeus, Harvey Unga, Houston, Jeremy Kerley, Jon Baldwin, Lawrence Wilson, mwc, Noel Devine, phil steele, Pittsburgh, Rob Long, Ross Evans, TCU, Utah, West Virginia, wisconsin
Today’s blog includes all of my Magazine Covers with the exception of the National Cover.
Making a magazine cover has always been a big deal for college players all the way back to the old Street & Smith days which featured the top players without their face masks. Every year I have 10 different covers that I ship out to different parts of the United States so you can pick up a mag with your favorite player in that region on it.
While most magazines break down their covers by conference, I feel my covers separate themselves as I produce special Florida, Texas and Alabama/Auburn covers. Also I am the only magazine that has a Armed Forces cover which this year features all the quarterbacks.
Some highlights on covers this year are two non-BCS players making the desired spot: Boise St’s QB Kellen Moore is featured on the Pac-10 cover while TCU’s QB Andy Dalton makes the Texas cover. Also Georgia WR AJ Green, West Virginia RB Noel Devine and Florida St QB Christian Ponder made a cover for the second year in a row. Check out all the covers below and download the PDF version if you would like a print out.
Read more…
Categories: Phil Steele News Tags: 2010 Preview, AJ Green, Alabama/Auburn, Andy Dalton, Armed Forces, big 10, Boise St, Christian Ponder, college football, East Coast, florida, Florida St, Georgia, Kellen Moore, Magazine, Noel Devine, pac 10, phil steele, SEC, TCU, Texas, Utah, West Virginia