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Posts Tagged ‘turnovers’

Turnovers = Turnaround NFL/College!

August 17th, 2011 No comments

Turnovers can have a huge impact on games and on a team’s season. They can also lead to many misleading final scores. During the season I list all of the previous week’s misleading final scores on PhilSteele.com on my Monday Daily Blog. By reading about them each week you can uncover some underrated and overrated teams throughout the season.

Here are a couple of examples from last year. Iowa St benefitted in B2B weeks from a combined +8 in TO’s beating Northern Iowa and Texas Tech by a combined 79-38. The next week they were even in TO’s vs Utah and were pummeled at home losing 68-27.

West Virginia outgained Conn 414-278 and had a 24-16 FD edge but were -4 in TO’s and lost 16-13. The next week they hammered Cincinnati 37-10 as a small favorite.

Turnovers can not only make a difference in a game but can make the difference between a winning and losing season.
Two years ago there was another GREAT example. In 2008, Buffalo won the MAC Title thanks mostly to being +19 in turnovers. They were actually outgained by an avg of 408-370 during the season! Last year they had 13 returning starters and this time outgained foes 405-343. That means they went from -38 ypg to +62 ypg (100 ypg better) but their record dropped to 5-7 as the TO’s were -7. Read more…

Turnovers = Turnaround

June 14th, 2010 No comments

Turnovers can have a huge impact on games and on a team’s season. They can also lead to many misleading final scores. During the season I list all of the previous week’s misleading final scores on PhilSteele.com in my Monday Daily Blog. By reading about them each week you can uncover some underrated and overrated teams throughout the season.

Here are a couple of examples from last year. Iowa St benefitted from +8 in TO’s vs Nebraska and pulled out a 9-7 win. Nebraska turned it over 4 times inside the 5 yard line and lost despite a 362-239 yard edge. The next 2 weeks Iowa St was overrated and they lost by a combined 69-18 vs Texas A&M and Oklahoma St despite only being slight underdogs in each.

Florida St appeared to pummel BYU 54-28 on the road but they only had a 512-475 yard edge as they benefitted from +5 in TO’s. The next week FSU entered the Top 25 but lost to USF at home as a 2 TD favorite 17-7 and BYU bounced back with a 42-23 whipping of Colorado St.

Turnovers can not only make a difference in a game but can make the difference between a winning and losing season. Read more…

Turnovers Equal Turnaround

June 13th, 2009 No comments

Here it is Friday night and I am working on the FCS rankings for 2009. I am doing the MEAC conference and in particular Florida A&M. The Rattlers were 3-8 in 2007 and that year they were -12 in turnovers. Now if you have ever read one of my publications you know the first thing I think of is “Turnovers = Turnaround” and that they should have had an improved record in 2008. I check the standings and boom, they went 9-3 last year showing significant improvement. This is not a one time occurrence but one that happens roughly 80% of the time. I have noticed that the Turnovers = Turnaround factor does indeed work for the FCS (aka IAA). I do not have a complete study, but a quick check of last year saw an amazing 49 teams out of the 125 in the FCS (IAA) had double digit turnovers either positive or negative in ‘07 and only 14 (28.6%) of those went against my trend which I have noted in the magazine for all 15 years of its existence. Read more…