Archive

Posts Tagged ‘week 4’

Week 4 Pro Selections

October 2nd, 2011 1 comment
HERE ARE MY NFL SELECTIONS: 9-5 LW: 26-14 65% TY

DETROIT AT DALLAS

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
DETROIT 50
285
31
1.7
#15
DALLAS 91
335
27
2.4
#20

DAL beat DET 35-19 with both teams using backup QB’s. DET had a 12-7 lead in the 3Q and held the Cowboys to 0 FD’s and -9 yds on 5 straight drives after their opening drive. DET gave up a 97 yd PR for a TD, fumbled on their 19 to set up a 19/4 TD drive and gave up 71 and 80 yd TD drives in the 4Q. DAL is off LW’s MNF game vs the Redskins and got another win. LW DET rallied from 20-0 down vs MIN to win in OT. After being held to 40 yds net passing in the 1H Stafford led DET to a 20-3 scoring surge in the 2H with 15-5 FD and 308-108 yd edges. Megatron (C Johnson) finished with 108 yds (15.4) after being held to 7 yds (7.0) in the 1H as the defense held Peterson to just 5 yds (1.0). DET will be dealing with the media touting their first 3-0 start since 1980, their first win at the Metrodome in 15 years and it’s now on them to handle success. While beat up DAL is the more potent than what the Lions have faced so far and I’ll call for them by 7.

PHIL’S FORECAST: DALLAS 34 DETROIT 27

Read more…

Week 4 Top 25 Team Performances Plus News and Notes Part 1

September 26th, 2011 1 comment

During the offseason I had just one weekend blog but each week during the season I will take a look at the Top 25 performances from the just completed week with a little analysis as well as a quick review of the past weekend. On Monday I will give you my News & Notes where I delve deeper into every game that was played this past weekend, breaking down individual drives and giving you misleading finals and other interesting tidbits.

As far as my game grades go after the 2008 season was completed I devised a power ratings system, which lets me analyze at what level each team played during an individual game. This “game grade” takes into account the yards rushing, yards passing, points scored, rushing yards allowed, passing yards allowed and points allowed and factors them in against the opponent played and even factors in the site the game was played at.

With all these factors taken into consideration you will see teams that lost the game having a better individual game grade than teams that beat them simply because the team they played was superior and much less was expected of them. Read more…

Week 4 Selections for Every Game

September 23rd, 2011 2 comments

For the last couple of years I have picked the games involving the Top 25 teams and thrown in a couple of upset picks. This year I thought you might be interested in who I think will win EACH FBS game this weekend. Every Friday I will give you my personal forecast on every game that involves a FBS team.

I list the projected scores from my computers forecast. Another column shows you the computers yardage forecast for each game. I think it will be interesting to see who the computer picks to win the yardage battle and see if they win the game. In my College Football magazine I have the plus and minus ratings. I update them weekly and then factor in the home edge and I will show you who the Plus Minus ratings forecast. I will also list who Vegas has favored to win each week and we can see how they do picking the actual winners of games. There is also a WEEKLY POLL which you can enter for free each week. What I will do is on Friday morning I will tabulate the vote on each game and list who the fans are picking to win the games.

Listed below are each of these category picks for this week and I will then have a running total for the season for them! Here are the selections……. Read more…

Week 4 Top 25 Forecasts

September 21st, 2011 1 comment

Every week I will post my forecasts of all the games involving Top 25 teams. As usual, it includes my computer’s projected box score for each game. Last week the Top 25 Forecasts went 20-3 (87%) and so far this season I am 59-7 (89%).

Last year the Top 25 forecasts went 205-60 (77%)! On the bottom of the forecasts, I have also listed some Upset Specials for this week.

#1 OKLAHOMA VS MISSOURI

Rushing
Passing
Points
TO’s
ST
MISSOURI 102
190
18
2.6
-
OKLAHOMA
163
365
35
2.0

Mizzou hasn’t won in Norman S/’66 dropping 17 str trips. Oklahoma is playing with legitimate revenge as they had 3 trips inside the MO15 result in 0 pts and allowed a KR TD as ESPN Gameday was on hand for the night game that sent the #1 team down. LW OU proved their mettle at #5 FSU by shaking off a 56 yd TD pass which tied the gm with 9:32 left and promptly driving 83/8pl for a TD and adding an insurance FG with 2:01 left to beat the Seminoles. QB Jones (287 ypg, 72%, 2-2) has a weapon in the nation’s #2 rec Broyles (21 rec) but an improved run gm has been the difference spearheaded by walk-on Whaley (202, 5.2). Aggressive Sooners D has 9 sks and has forced 6 TO’s in 2 gms. MO a school record 744-44 yd and 30-1 FD edges in their 69-0 annihilation of FCS W IL. 3rd string TB (1st 2 out) Josey ran for 263 yd (18.8) in the 1H as the Tigers roared out to a 42-0 HT lead. DE Jacquies Smith (out L/2 with elbow inj) may return TW. OU has big edges (#3-28 off, #3-22 D and #12-51 ST) all around and I think the Sooners get their revenge in relatively easy fashion.

PHIL’S FORECAST:  OKLAHOMA 45 MISSOURI 17

 

Read more…

Week 4 News and Notes

September 28th, 2009 10 comments

Mississippi came in with their highest ranking at #4 since Archie Manning was their QB. South Carolina came into the game 1-31 against Top 5 foes. SC managed to pull the upset in the Thurs night game. At the half, SC did have a 186-51 yard edge with the key play being when Ole Miss faked a FG from the SC24 and were stopped with 5:09 left in the 2Q. SC went 73 yards for a FG to lead 6-3 at half. Trailing 16-10, Ole Miss punted on 4th & 1 from their own 42 and their final drive got to the SC32 but their 4th down pass fell incomplete with 1:20 left. Jevan Snead had the worst game of his career hitting just 7 of 21 for 107 yards…

Read more…

Categories: News & Notes Tags: ,